EURUSD ready to trade below parityEURUSD is showing strong potential of trading below the breakeven parity level and I highly believe that by the end of August we could break the parity level and trade below it for the rest of 2022.
Looking at price action on this one I see 0 reasons for buying, in fact all we are forming is constant lower highs and lower lows... which suggests we are in tune for more bearish momentum if this process continues.
We just came out of a build up range followed by a bearish flag pattern... momentum is strong and I highly believe, based on what I see, that we'll be heading south bound for now.
Patterns
The Good, The Bad and The Ugly - BTC to $430 000 (there's a catc
The Good: $430k is in slight 🚀
The Bad: $7-$9k will come first ⚡
The Ugly: it'll take 4 years to reach the top, 3 years of which in a bear market. 🐻
Despite the high volume in the recent weeks BTC was unable to push through $25 200 or hold the $23 800 resistance that flipped support for a short while! This is very significant and paints a grim picture, especially when paired with the state the US economy and the high inflation.
This price action is usually characteristic for the PS stage in a Wyckoff Accumulation, where institutional buyers accumulate the asset so that they have enough of it to sell through major resistance levels (and subsequently buy back at a discount). This in turn triggers a cascade effect, pushing weak hands, who in a state of a panic try to salvage whatever they can and sell everything they have left at a great loss.
In the short term we should see a bonce back to $22 600-$22 800k before the final leg down. Bottom price is not guaranteed, but the bottom will almost certainly be at the end of November / beginning of December.
To show the potential path I've used an inverted fractal from ADA that covers the accumulation period and the ascend to $3+.
Never a financial advice, dyor.
CANDLESTICK PATTERNS BASICS | Engulfing Candle 📚Hey traders,
In this educational post, I want to discuss with you one of the most accurate REVERSAL candlestick patterns - the engulfing candle.
On ETHUSD chart, I spotted for you bullish & bearish examples of this pattern.
The logic behind this pattern is quite simple:
⭐️In a bullish trend, after a strong directional movement, the price reaches some important structure level. Growing steadily and forming a sequence of green bullish candles the price suddenly forms a strong bearish candle.
What is particular about that candle is the fact that its total range (distance from the wick high to wick low) & body range (distance from body open to body close) exceed the ranges of a previous bullish candle.
🔻Such a candle we will call a bearish engulfing candle.
Most of the time it signifies a strong spike in selling volumes and willingness of sellers to push.
With a high probability, such a formation leads to a pullback or even a trend reversal.
Ultimate Candlestick Cheat Sheet For CryptoHello, traders!
Here is the cheat sheet for the candlestick patterns. They are divided into five groups:
-Bullish Reversal
-Bullish Trend Continuation
-Bearish Reversal
-Bearish Trend Continuation
-Neutral
All these common formations you can see on the chart but first of all you should understand what has happened on the market. When you are looking at the candle a lot of useful information can be received.
For example if the candle have the long wick to the downside and short body ( hammer ), it means a huge bullish pressure and this is a reversal to the uptrend sign.
When you have three stars in the South formation it is can be noticed that the wicks to the downside are long and bodies became shorter. It means the weakness of the downtrend and also the sign of the potential reverse.
If the candle have a very small body ( doji ) this indicates that the market is in indefinite situation. Bulls and bears war did not lead to price changes and future price direction is unknown.
Do you use the candlestick patterns? Please write your comment and give us a support with like if you like such cheat sheets!
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions.
SPX500 - Pattern repeating??
Just a simple look at the market repeating. In the Photo I have the TVC:SPX from 2008. In that example we have the market retesting the 200MA before we saw the major selling.
From the High in Oct 2007 until that retest was 221 Days and if we look at where we are today we are sitting at 224 Days and we have just hit the trendline from the top.
Can we go higher?? Yes we can as we still have the 4368 level @ the 61.8% but if we look at 2008 it didnt quite get there as well.
Major point to watch!!!
Just one way of looking at this massive rally.
I hope this helps.. Enjoy the week.
Learn Ascending Triangle | Classic Price Action Pattern 📚
Hey traders,
In this educational video, I will teach you how to identify an ascending triangle.
We will discuss the structure and the bias of this patter
and how to apply that in analysis.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SOLANA - INTRADAY TURN POINT. FTX:SOLUSD looking at a possible turn point for today around 15:30.
This could be a high or a low but as it stands a move up to the 37.50 - 38.00 level would be the best set up.
Just a look at how I use the AI to time trades. If its not a high or a low then it wont work.
Enjoy the day.
ETH - Getting close to the end of correctionCOINBASE:ETHUSD is getting close to the end of this correction.
Are we finished here or do we get to 2k before the final sell off to 6-700??
For me its still looking corrective and a move to 700 is likely to be coming shortly.
What will be the catalyst for the next move lower?
Trading much like the stock market, We have just come off a week where US Interest rates were raised, big earnings from the major companies and the onset of a recession due to 2 negative GDP quarters and yet the markets are higher.. 🤔🤔🤔🤔
2 CIT Windows on the 6th and 19th of August. These will be crirical for direction.
Wait to see what next week brings and go from there.
Ascending wedge breakout short saleThis is Siga. If you view on a different chart this has formed a giant inverse head and shoulders on the monthly candle from 2011
From the bottom after re listing on the major exchanges ( it went otc pink back in the day)
Measuring from the bottom to the top of a multi year ascending wedge Then measuring again from the resistance of the wedge to the price now.
I’m short. -5000 shares cost average 17.50
It’s like a miniature UPST Which I rode from the mid 200s short all the way to 400. Averaging up slowly. All the way back to reality
How To Analyze Any Chart From Scratch - Episode 11Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Today we are going to go over a practical example on GBPAUD, but you can apply the same logic / strategy on any instrument.
Feel free to ask questions or request any instrument for the next episode.
You can find the previous episodes below "Related Ideas"
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NIKKEI - Gartley completion on the Spike high.OANDA:JP225USD Has completed a Gartley Sell signal this morning on the open of the Asia Session.
The Daily AI had a top at that time as well.
First area to watch will be around 26300-26430 area below there would set up a 25500 Double bottom.
If it gets up above 27k then we will be looking at 27500-27800 bigger Gartley area.
Some levels to watch. Enjoy the day.
ASX200 - Double Gartley'sOANDA:AU200AUD is setting up for another Gartley sell pattern.
This time we have the choice of 2 to choose from.
The first one comes in at 6730 the smaller pattern.
The second would see it going up into the 12th of July which would give it equal time and price.
These come on the back of the previous Gartley sell at 7297.
Its great when patterns line up one after the other.
I hope this helps. Enjoy the day.👍👍
Pennant in Nasdaq 100This pennant has a strong probability to generate a directional move, 15-20% in either direction. Wait for breakout and trade accordingly. Make sure to stay flexible and reverse the position if a headfake occurs.
Generally speaking, pennants usually continue the previous trend, and so a downwards breakout should be given a higher probability of occurring.