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Preparing For A Potential Double-Top HereTraders, As you all know, the SPY has been moving EXACTLY as anticipated by me the last two years. And that worries me. Don't get me wrong, I have thoroughly enjoy the profits that have come with getting it right, but what we have to be careful about when doing so well is over-confidence. Because if we don't take a couple of steps back and say to ourselves, "I could get it wrong this time", then we could likely get it wrong. The market loves to humble cocky traders. And that is why I have sold half of my longs once again ...just in case I could be wrong. So, you can all read my previous posts and calls on the SPY, but for new readers, let me just catch you up with a brief summary to give you some context. About 2 years ago, after the market had dropped and many investors thought it would continue down, I came under the persuasion that it would soon reverse. Though, I am a rookie when it comes to Elliot Wave, I had noticed some other contrarian traders and chartists had begun to explain from a fundamental basis why it would move up soon. These same investors began plotting a likely blow-off top scenario based on fundamentals, market psychology, and Elliot Wave theory. It made sense to me but I was hesitant to go full in based on this information alone. I began reading more about market fundamentals and psychology and learned that most of what I read actually supported the idea of a blow-off top. Then I spotted another pattern on the daily chart (an inverse head and shoulders pattern) which strengthened the theory even more. This pattern gave me my SPY target of 570. You can still see that Previous Target outlined here on my chart. We nearly reached that target. Missed it by a few dollars. It was there that I sold half. And right on time. The Japanese carry trade flash crashed the markets and down we went. As we were nearing the 200 DMA, I spotted a new bullish pattern on the weekly chart. This was a Cup and Handle. I bought back in near the bottom recognizing that this blow-off top was probably not at an end ...yet. Fast forward to today. We are once again nearing my Previous Target of SPY 570 and though we could move even higher (and I honestly believe we will), I want to prepare for a scenario where I could be wrong. You can see from the chart here that we may also be forming a bearish double-top or M-Pattern. If this is the case, it is wise for me to prepare for another drop soon. Thus, I have once again, sold half. Should the M-Pattern play out, I will likely buy back in around the 200 DMA (wherever this happens to be at the time) because I still believe that Cup and Handle pattern on the 2-week chart will play out and that the blow-off top will not end until we reach 650-700 on the SPY. Obviously, this forcast could change based upon significant geo-political/global events. But for now, this is how I see it going. Scenario 2: If we do not drop and that M-Pattern becomes invalidated. I will also buy back in should we exceed my previous target on the chart. In either case, updates will follow.
AMEX:SPY
by stewdamus
PEPE - MEMEs are on the rise again#PEPE/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + MEME has hit the support zone and recently formed a higher high. + A successful reversal is evident from the support zone. + The RSI is also indicating a reversal as it bounces from the <30 zone. + The next resistance may pose a challenge, but strong bullish momentum could potentially break through it. --------------------------------------------------------------- VectorAlgo Trade Details ------------------------------ Entry Price: 0.00000812 Stop Loss: 0.00000547 ------------------------------ Target 1: 0.00001047 Target 2: 0.00001284 Target 3: 0.00001737 Target 4: 0.00002566 ------------------------------ Timeframe: 1D Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount Leverage: 5-10x --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo
2
ENA - A reversal is inevitable #ENA/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + The price has formed a channel and is currently trading within it. + A clear breakout from the channel could trigger a bullish trend. + A minor correction is expected before the trend reverses. --------------------------------------------------------------- VectorAlgo Trade Details ------------------------------ Entry Price: 0.35 Stop Loss: 0.27 ------------------------------ Target 1: 0.39 Target 2: 0.44 Target 3: 0.51 ------------------------------ Timeframe: 4H Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount Leverage: 5-10x --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
Long
by VectorAlgo
Gold Traders Alert: Crucial Levels to Watch for the Next Trade!Key Components: Chart Type and Pair: The chart is a 1-hour (1H) timeframe for the Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) pair. Support and Resistance Levels: Horizontal Resistance Line at $2,446.18: This is labeled as "1HR LQZ" (1-hour liquidity zone), indicating a significant resistance level where price might face selling pressure. Horizontal Support Line at $2,347.82: Also labeled as "1HR LQZ," indicating a significant support level where the price might find buying interest. Trend Lines: There are descending yellow trend lines drawn, indicating a downtrend. The lower yellow trend line has a label suggesting a "Potential 3rd Touch," which typically indicates a possible point for a bounce or reversal. Price Action: The recent price action shows a lower high (LH) formation near $2,446.18, suggesting a downtrend continuation. Two potential scenarios are sketched on the right side of the chart with different colored lines (orange and green) depicting possible future price movements. Analysis: Current Trend: The overall trend appears to be bearish due to the formation of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL). Support and Resistance: The price is currently trading between two significant levels ($2,446.18 and $2,347.82). Breaking either level with strong momentum could indicate the next directional move. The price nearing the lower yellow trend line for a potential third touch suggests a possible bounce. If the price respects this trend line, it could indicate a temporary support. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If the price finds support at the lower yellow trend line and the horizontal support at $2,347.82, it might bounce back towards $2,446.18. Breaking above this level could lead to a further rise. Bearish Scenario (Orange Path): If the price fails to hold the support at the yellow trend line and $2,347.82, it might continue to fall. A break below this support level could lead to further declines, targeting lower support levels not shown in the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
API3 - Will it retrace ?#API3/USDT #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + Price had significant retracement from 4.8 to 1.08 with -76% crash from recent high + it is trading around the local support zone and we are seeing significant retrace from the crash. + If this support holds then we can expect a sharp bounce back from the support zone. --------------------------------------------------------------- VectorAlgo Trade Details ------------------------------ Entry Price: 1.415620298 Stop Loss: 1.009165284 ------------------------------ Target 1: 1.7841 Target 2: 2.3682 Target 3: 3.3682 Target 4: 4.9078 Target 5: 9.1698 ------------------------------ Timeframe: 1W Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount Leverage: 5-10x --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
CRYPTO:API3USDLong
by VectorAlgo
Bitcoin's Candle Close Today Is Significant - Here's Why.Traders, Just want to take a minute to focus on two items from my chart. First, you will notice that yesterday we dropped from our bull flag and nearly re-tested my 48,415 neckline from that inverse head and shoulders pattern we have been tracking. I had stated in yesterday's video that I assumed we would re-test the neckline much sooner and that since we didn't re-test earlier that maybe the bull channel would hold price up and inside of it until the bulls gained enough momentum to break to the upside. So far, the bull channel has held. The wicks poking down and through the bottom side of the channel aren't as significant as a body close below the channel. But yesterday's wick down can pass as a re-test of the neckline, though a body touch and close would be most positive. At any rate, you can see that the market is conflicted at the moment. The body of yesterday's candle closed slightly below the bottom of our channel, indicating that the market was ready to sell down further on any whisper of FUD. And today's body thus far is just slightly above the bottom of our channel though the candle formation itself is bearish. All this indicates at the moment that further selling remains a priority for the market pending news. Unless there is positive news and a strong close on today's candle back inside of our channel, we can expect that there will be more selling to come. On the other hand, a strong bullish move to the upside today and close inside of our channel may indicate that buyers are ready. However, make no mistake, the move must be strong and the candle close must give us another percent or two. Watch closely.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by stewdamus
Cup & Handle Forming!! - GUHere I have GBP/USD on the 1 Hr chart! Price dipped down into the Support Zone that was recently used in the beginning of July making its Low @ 1.2707! Afterwards, price came right back up to make an Equal High @ 1.28404 forming quite a popular Reversal Pattern, the Cup & Handle!! Now this PA formed the "Bowl" and after the Equal High, using the Fib Retracement Tool, we can see Price made a 61.8% Retracement beginning the formation of the "Handle"! This Higher Low tells us that if this Fib Retracement holds, we could be seeing the end of this Downtrend and the beginning of an Uptrend to the Potential Range Target of 1.29992 - 1.30502! - Bullish Divergence @ Support - Violation of Structure from LL to HL - RSI ABOVE 50
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
4
Gold at a Crossroad: Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch!Chart Overview Timeframe: 1-hour chart Exchange: OANDA Current Price: 2444.100 Key Levels and Zones 4HR LQZ: 2474.524 1HR LQZ: 2370.122 Support Level: 2348.660 Key Low: 2287.754 Patterns and Channels Descending Channel: The price moved within a descending channel before breaking out. Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) formed within this channel. Ascending Channel: The price moved into an ascending channel after breaking out of the descending channel. Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) are visible, indicating a potential upward trend. Current Price Action Recent Higher High (HH): Price reached a higher high at the top of the ascending channel. Potential Lower High: There is a possibility of forming a new lower high, as indicated by the recent price action near the 4HR LQZ. Rejection at 4HR LQZ: The price touched the 4HR LQZ and showed signs of rejection, pulling back slightly. Inset Chart: DXY The inset chart displays the DXY (US Dollar Index), which shows a descending pattern, potentially indicating USD weakness. This is relevant because gold often inversely correlates with the USD. Market Sentiment Bullish Signs: The breakout from the descending channel. Formation of the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows. Bearish Signs: Rejection at the 4HR LQZ. Potential formation of a new lower high, indicating possible weakness or a reversal in the uptrend. Summary The XAUUSD chart shows a recent breakout from a descending channel and the formation of an ascending channel, suggesting a short-term bullish trend. However, the price faced rejection at the 4HR LQZ and is showing signs of forming a potential new lower high, which could indicate a reversal or consolidation phase. Monitoring key levels and market sentiment (especially USD movements) will be crucial for future price action.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Gold Faces Critical Resistance: Will the Bull Run Continue?Chart Overview Timeframe: 1-hour chart Exchange: OANDA Current Price: 2444.100 Key Levels and Zones 4HR LQZ: 2474.524 1HR LQZ: 2370.122 Support Level: 2348.660 Key Low: 2287.754 Patterns and Channels Descending Channel: The price moved within a descending channel before breaking out. Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) formed within this channel. Ascending Channel: The price moved into an ascending channel after breaking out of the descending channel. Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) are visible, indicating a potential upward trend. Current Price Action Recent Higher High (HH): Price reached a higher high at the top of the ascending channel. Potential Lower High: There is a possibility of forming a new lower high, as indicated by the recent price action near the 4HR LQZ. Rejection at 4HR LQZ: The price touched the 4HR LQZ and showed signs of rejection, pulling back slightly. Inset Chart: DXY The inset chart displays the DXY (US Dollar Index), which shows a descending pattern, potentially indicating USD weakness. This is relevant because gold often inversely correlates with the USD. Market Sentiment Bullish Signs: The breakout from the descending channel. Formation of the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows. Bearish Signs: Rejection at the 4HR LQZ. Potential formation of a new lower high, indicating possible weakness or a reversal in the uptrend. Summary The XAUUSD chart shows a recent breakout from a descending channel and the formation of an ascending channel, suggesting a short-term bullish trend. However, the price faced rejection at the 4HR LQZ and is showing signs of forming a potential new lower high, which could indicate a reversal or consolidation phase. Monitoring key levels and market sentiment (especially USD movements) will be crucial for future price action.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Where is the Dollar heading next ?• Dollar has been showing weakness in recent weeks as markets are expecting the FED to deliver its first rate cut in September. • The index fell from levels near 106 to 103.60 and then corrected to 104.90 (50% Fibonacci retracement). • If the jobs report tomorrow shows additional weakness, the Dollar should face selling pressure and break the previous support at 103.60 potentially down to 102.41. • Breakouts are occasionally re-tested. Therefore, the index could potentially breakdown to 102.41, re-test 103.60 and then make another leg lower and so on. • Same principle applies for upward breakouts, which should be the case if the jobs report points to increasing wages and tight labor market.
TVC:DXY
by RamziAbouAbdallah-CMT
Gold's Next Explosive Move: Is a Massive Surge or Dramatic Drop?Major Support / Resistance Zone: This zone is marked clearly on the chart and acts as a significant level where price has previously reversed or consolidated. It's crucial to monitor how price reacts around this area. Wave Analysis: The chart shows a clear Elliott Wave structure, with a 5-wave pattern identified. Waves (1) to (5) represent the motive waves, and the correction waves are seen in between. Bearish Flag #1 and #2: These flags indicate periods of consolidation following a downward movement, suggesting potential for continuation to the downside. They are often characterized by lower highs and lower lows forming within a channel. Descending Channel: The descending channel provides a clear bearish structure, with price making lower highs and lower lows. This channel acts as a guide for potential price movement, indicating bearish sentiment as long as the price remains within this structure. Daily Bull Flag: This larger bullish flag formation suggests a longer-term bullish potential if price breaks above the flag's upper boundary. It's a key pattern to watch for potential upside. 1HR LQZ / Reversal Zone: This liquidity zone (LQZ) is marked as an area where a significant amount of orders might be present, potentially leading to reversals or significant price reactions. 4HR LQZ: Similar to the 1HR LQZ, but observed on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting a more significant potential reversal or consolidation area. Bullish Potential: If the price breaks above the 1HR LQZ / Reversal Zone and the descending channel, there is a bullish potential up to the levels marked on the chart. The structure would need confirmation through higher highs and higher lows. Bearish Potential: If the price fails to break above the descending channel and instead moves below the 4HR LQZ, a bearish continuation is likely, potentially targeting lower support levels. Summary The chart indicates a potential for both bullish and bearish scenarios depending on how the price reacts to the identified key levels (major support/resistance zone, 1HR and 4HR LQZs, and the descending channel). Bullish scenario: Break above the 1HR LQZ and the descending channel, leading to a continuation towards higher levels. Bearish scenario: Failure to break above the descending channel and a move below the 4HR LQZ, indicating a continuation to the downside. This analysis should help in making informed trading decisions based on the observed technical patterns and key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adlercon333
4