The Kangaroo - An Australian Analytical PatternThis image is of a kangaroo pattern. Just like a kangaroo in the top paddock, you will find many bulls associating with this pattern, as they are both fond of the top paddock.
When you see a kangaroo pattern, you can be sure that the price will race up as the kangaroo is ready to take another bound.
The paws sometimes rest on the 0.618, but they are known to hang lower. After the head is made, it is common for a dip to the arms or paw height on occasion, as the kangaroo gets a hold of the back of the next kangaroo and works its way up.
The kangaroo pattern was first discovered by Speiros in 2019, and put on display in 2021.
Patterns
TRIPLE TOPHello everyone
Today I want to share with you a figure of technical analysis called the TRIPLE TOP.
This figure occurs quite often and brings excellent profit.
What does it look like?
The figure looks like three maxima, approximately at the same level.
These peaks are formed because the buyers' forces are drying up and with each new peak, the bears are getting stronger.
Very often, the third peak will be higher than the previous two - this is the last gasp of buyers, before capitulation.
How to trade?
The main criterion is the formation of three peaks, after a strong uptrend.
After that, the price makes the last spurt (the third peak) and breaks through the support.
This breakout is the first possible entry point .
Often you will observe how the price makes a retest of the level, after which it turns down.
The second possible entry point will be this retest of the level.
To calculate the potential profit point , you need to measure the height from the minimum to the maximum of the vertices.
This value, plotted below the breakout, will be a potential profit point.
The stop loss is set above the maximum of the vertices.
Conclusion
The figure is very profitable and often found.
In addition, you can find a triple bottom on the chart, which trades in the same way as a triple top, only in the opposite direction.
Very often, after a triple top, a strong downtrend begins and holding a part of the position can bring big profits.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
complete analysis on Bitcoin ( Read this carefully )Hello guys, welcome back, I hope you all doing great.
I decided to write a complete analysis on bitcoin, recent moves brought so much fear into the market, everybody having different ideas on the price action, some going short some going long, so the question is, what to do now.
We are going to take a look at bitcoin on different time frames and check the technical analysis for each one.
now this is probably going to be a long article but I believe its worth the time.
Lets start with weekly chart to see what is going on here.
I drew a trendline by connecting 2020 big crash and 2021 crash ( pointed out on chart ) and it turned out to be a proper trend line ( by checking out the daily chart you will realize price had reactions to this zone many times )
by drawing this line, now I can tell we have a reliable price as bottom, we can kind of expect to bitcoin reverse its move by touching that line once again ( if price ever decides to touch it again ! )
Don't worry, I will summarize all of the content at the end, but please follow the text carefully ;)
I also drew an orange trend line which is kinda forming a triangle for us ( and again if you check on lower time frames you will realize its an actual trend line not just a random line ); by break of this orange line, price managed to make a new ATH and we all know you should always expect a pullback to broken levels.
So again, we have another level that we can expect a trend reversal from !
now lets take a look at daily time frame and draw some important support and resistances for a better understanding
now if price keeps going down from here steady and slowly, 40.8 - 41.0 k is where I expect a trend reversal :
Why? Because there is so much support! we have a huge weekly trend from 2020, another support zone and the orange trend line, the support on that level is massive and if price ever goes below that level, we are going to see a huge crash and that shouldn't happen. ( That will probably ruin crypto market )
- So to summarize #First_Scenario would be :
but we might also see a trend reversal after an small pullback to 44k Zone, for this you can use candle stick patterns, pin bars , doji bars and ... with a bull candle after them will probably confirm a trend reversal and a pullback.
But ! these are all harsh scenarios, lets look at lower time frames to see if we stand a chance for a run from where we are !
as you can see, we have a trend line and also a support zone ( purple one ) on the chart, price broke out of the trend line but the support zone is strong enough to hold it for now, you can also see a trend reversal candle stick pattern here, which is kinda telling us that we are going back up for a bit now ( this might be a pullback of the down trend ).
Currently price has a resistance on 52k, if we somehow manage to break this level, we can see another run toward up but I really think the first 2 scenarios are more likely to be accurate.
in conclusion I'd like to say, we are most likely facing a downtrend but the whole thing is still bullish, there has never been a bear market in crypto and all the downtrends were just some corrections, there is always ups and downs in financial market.
this is not a financial advice, you can hold your money or you can use this analysis to sell on pullback and enter on lower prices ( if ever happened ) or wait for 52k break to enter again.
But I repeat " THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE ", please be very careful these days.
Hopefully my work will help you guys a bit, wish you all great trades and profitable days.
please like and follow me on tradingview and other social medias, your support means the world to me.
Im open to your ideas let me know in the comment section below.
Good luck
Why am I ignoring the 85% probability that Bitcoin will crash?In this video:
* A Head and Shoulders pattern is glaringly obvious on the Bitcoin Daily chart. So, why am I ignoring the 85% probability that it will play out and we will drop to 20k?
* I review my top 7 reasons why I do not see bitcoin price dropping much further
1. Bullish Divergence and kiss of the top of our trendline
2. Weak right shoulder
3. Liquidity pools drying up
4. Hedge funds back to work next week Jan 10. Back from vacation
5. Many of the altcoins have already suffered an 80% pullback. Not much room to go lower.
6. BTC.D is low
7. Everybody thinks we will crash in Jan.!
Wishing you all the best!
- Stew
FLAG and PENNANTHello everyone!
I want to tell you a little about such figures as Flag and Pennant.
These patterns are quite common on the chart, so every trader should know how to trade them.
What does the flag look like?
After a strong movement (flagpole), the price begins to correct in the form of a rectangle, which corrects against the previous trend (flag).
What does a pennant look like?
Just like a flag, a pennant appears after a strong trend.
After that, the correction begins in the form of a narrowing triangle.
How to trade the flag?
A bullish flag is a flag that has formed after a strong upward movement.
The entry point for a bullish flag will be a breakout and anchoring the resistance of the rectangle (flag).
The stop is placed at the low of the flag.
To calculate a possible profit target, it is worth measuring the flagpole of the flag - this value superimposed above the breakout will be the target for your profit.
How to trade a pennant?
A bullish pennant forms after a strong bullish move.
To find an entry point, you need to wait until the resistance of the triangle is broken and the price fixes above the level.
Stop loss is usually placed below the nearest minimum.
To get an approximate profit target, you need to measure the length of the bullish move in front of the triangle - this value will be your target above the break.
Conclusion
These patterns are very common and give an excellent risk / reward ratio, usually greater than 1: 3.
With correct trading, the profit value will be even higher.
Do not forget that these shapes are continuation shapes.
And don't forget to set your stop loss.
Good luck to you!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
HEAD AND SHOULDERSThere is probably no more famous figure than the HEAD AND SHOULDERS.
Head and shoulders - gives a very profitable signal about the market reversal.
Thanks to this figure, you will be able to open a position at the beginning of a new trend.
What does it look like?
The appearance of the Head and shoulders figure consists of five stages:
1. Uptrend;
2. Left shoulder;
3. Head;
4. Right shoulder;
5. Neck line.
First, we need to find an uptrend on which the left shoulder will form.
After that, the price makes the last rise, forming a head, after which the fall begins.
The right shoulder appears on a downward movement, and the neck line can be drawn after the formation of the right shoulder.
How to trade?
The entry point is the breaking of the neck line.
It is at this moment that the signal of the figure is confirmed.
Some traders are in a hurry and open positions at the peak of the right shoulder, which is very dangerous.
Always wait for the confirmation of the figure.
Don't worry if you missed the first entry point, there is always an opportunity to open a position after the neck line retest.
What about setting a stop loss?
Stop loss is usually placed above the right shoulder.
If the price went above the right shoulder, then the figure did not work, and it's time to exit the deal.
Where will the profit target be?
To calculate possible targets, the following method is used.
It is necessary to measure the distance from the neck line to the maximum of the head, the resulting value is imposed below the penetration of the neck line, after the right shoulder, this will be your goal.
Conclusions
The Head and shoulders figure can bring you a lot of profit when trading correctly.
It is worth noting that there is an inverted head and shoulders figure - and this figure signals a reversal and the imminent beginning of a bullish trend.
The rules of trading are the same as when trading Head and shoulders, but only in a different direction.
Trade using not only your shoulders, but also your head !
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Ascending & Descending Triangle Triangles are very often found on the chart, but not everyone knows how to trade them.
Today we will try to learn how to trade triangles correctly.
What does it look like?
The ascending and descending triangle have two sides: one side is flat and horizontal, the second is inclined and moves towards the first.
The ascending triangle has an upper flat horizontal side, and the lower one is inclined.
When you see this figure, you have to wait for a bullish movement.
The descending triangle is a mirror image of the ascending triangle.
With a descending triangle, there is a flat lower line and an upper inclined one, which moves in the direction of a flat one.
If you see this pattern, expect a bearish breakout.
Opening a position
There are three techniques for opening a position:
1. Stop order at the level.
2. Fixing the level.
3. Retest of the triangle trend line.
Each method is good in its own way, but the logic is the same everywhere – a breakthrough of a flat line and further movement towards a breakthrough.
Therefore, if the price starts moving against the breakout, most likely the figure did not work, and in order not to lose money in such situations, set a stop loss.
Stop Loss
You need to set a stop loss in a place where it will be clear for sure that the figure did not work.
Usually this point is located behind the inclined line of the triangle.
Profit taking
There are two ways to fix profits:
1. Trailing stop.
2. Graphical projection of the price.
The trailing stop is set according to your trading strategy and there shouldn't be many questions if you have a strategy.
It is easy to calculate the fixation point from the graphical projection: it is enough to measure the width of the base of the triangle and put the resulting value below the punched flat line – this will be your goal.
Conclusion
These figures are quite common, so it is important to know how to trade them.
Do not forget that nothing works in the market 100% of the time, so set a stop loss.
Good luck!!
Sol -H4- Jan / 2022 OverviewHappy New to All !
We are going for a quick look to the charts just to get a bigger picture.
I’m not diving to any technical details this time, still too early to get sleeves up !
Share You thoughts, likes and TA!
PS: trendline has been drawn just for illustration purpose
BTC Same old song and dance.Not sure why most people are unable to understand that the higher the price goes the more money it is going to take coming into the market in order to drive the price up higher.... Bitcoin Has never changed its cycle and probably never will like most things in life..
CYCLE - An interval of time during which a characteristic, often regularly repeated event or sequence of events occurs..
The only thing that has changed with bitcoin is the amount (%) it achieves within this cycle.. Bitcoin will not go to 100k This year nor will it next year.. With so many other projects coming into the space i would almost find it unlikely to ever see BTC at such high prices as some of these "Youtube Traders" wanna Flop and Grope to everyone..
Take off the Tin Hats... Turn off all the noise. And Use your Common sense, And Don't ever fall in love with an idea of where you want price to go or where anyone else says it will go....
We are in the midst of a Recession in the economy and I find it almost too obvious yet am amazed that So many can't see what is really happening in our world right now... Buckle up Traders. It's going to be a Wild decade..
Could this pattern repeat on Chromia?Chromia has been doing pretty well after recovering from the december lows. Holding well in this dip and already gaining upwards momentum.
I couldnt help but realise this pattern re occur (one in green rectangle). if you look closer it is very similar and if it plays out could signify a local top at the 618 level of the current fib retracement from the dip.
Furthermore the red line you see all the way down is a trend line that exists from previous ATH to subsequent tops and once that broke CHR flew like there is no tomorrow.
The recent crash wick retested this line so it is possibly a nice confirmation of upward move.
Seasonal Futures Trading Patterns S&P 500 Hey traders today I wanted to go over what I believe are the best Seasonal Futures and Forex trades during the year. There are many markets that have seasonal patterns. Such as Forex, Stocks, Futures, and Commodities. Knowing the best time to trade to look for these Seasonal Futures and Forex opportunities will help you in your trading. This series on Seasonal Futures and Forex will be ongoing with several videos. The first video will be about the S&P 500 futures and how to trade them seasonally.
Enjoy!
Trade Well,
Clifford
PATTERNS "BAT" and "CAT".Strange as it may seem, but not only bulls and bears can be found on the market, but also a couple of cats and even a bat!
But don't be afraid, these animals have come to help you get rich in the new year.
Let's go!
The Bat pattern.
The bat is a 5-point pattern that can indicate a bullish or bearish breakout.
What does it look like?
The pattern consists of five points:
X is the beginning, from this point the price makes a significant movement;
A - here the price unfolds, forming the first vertex;
B is a pullback, which can be from 38% to 50% of the X – A movement.
C is the price movement, which can range from 38% to 88% of the A – B movement. It is worth noting that C should not go above the point A.
D is the price reversal, after movement C. The shortest movement of all other points. At this point we are looking for an entry into the transaction, you can use the Fibonacci lines. The movement from point D can be 88% of the movement of X-A, and can go above point A.
Risks
The stop loss can be set below the D point, but not below the X point.
The CAT JUMP pattern.
This pattern is characterized by a strong downward movement and, with proper trading, can bring huge profits.
How to find it?
The pattern appears in situations of strong movement, usually caused by bad news.
The following pattern will be observed on the graph:
1. A sharp drop in price, sometimes with a gap;
2. Rollback to the bottom line of the gap;
3. After which there is a long and strong fall.
How to trade?
To begin with, you need to find a strong drop with a gap, as correctly accompanied by a strong volume.
After that, we are waiting for a pullback to the bottom line of the gap and a reversal – this is where you can enter into a deal.
Risks
The stop loss is placed above the lower gap line.
It is worth noting that from time to time the price may go above the lower gap line.
In rare cases, the price reaches the upper level of the gap, and then falls.
It is important to note that the fall lasts from one month or more, which is why this pattern is used by long-term traders.
Important
It is worth recalling that there are alternative patterns: an INVERTED CAT JUMP and a BEARISH BAT PATTERN.
Both models work the same way, only in the opposite direction.
These figures are very profitable, with proper trading.
For example, a fall after a gap and a rollback can be 50% or even 70%, in the CAT JUMP pattern.
Whatever pattern you trade, I wish you good luck and a lot of profit in the new year!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
EURJPY - In Trend Engulfing Long Setup 4HEURJPY has set up a perfect in trend engulfing long setup on the 4 hour time frame.
The engulfing candle formed on Dec 23rd at 8am (closed at 12pm noon CST) engulfed 6 previous candles.
The engulfing candle also closed above resistance of the previous highs.
Price rejected the 61.8% retracement level perfectly which confirms this setup.
Entry at 61.8% retracement level.
SL 2 pips below the engulfing candle low.
TP set at 3X the risk.
Very similar setup to CHFJPY.
WMT Ascending Triangle tradeMassive ascending triangle forming. You don't want to miss out on this one
I would wait for a few more days to see if it is following the pattern. If it stays in the pattern until mid-late January, it will breakout hard to at least $150 if not even higher.
Just keep watching the chart. Don't act on emotions, don't act recklessly, don't be rash. I am personally going to buy calls if the pattern holds until Jan 20.
This is not financial advice, I am not an investment advisor, these are just patterns I see.
AUDUSD. Intraday A.I Trade. AUDUSD has an intraday long opportunity based on my A.I time prediction strategy.
There are a lot of things coming together at the same time.
1. We have had a 120 point drop from the recent high with no 38.2% pullback yet.
2. We have the 89% retracement from the recent low and high 15m chart. This gives us a very low risk opportunity to see if its right.
3. There is an A.I expected turn area at 1200pm Jakarta time. If it is right then I'm expecting a 38.2% rally, or a rally into 830pm which ever happens first.
A short term trade with a great R/R ratio.
This strategy is time based not price, This is why I'm looking for an 830pm time not price.
If it goes sideways for 30mins or more then the set up will be invalid.