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XAUUSD Poised for a Massive Breakout: Are You Ready?Chart 1: 4-Hour Timeframe Trend Analysis: The chart shows a clear upward trend, forming higher highs and higher lows. A wedge pattern is visible with converging trend lines indicating a potential breakout scenario. Key Levels: Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ). Resistance: Approximately 2412.240. Major Resistance: The upper trendline around 2480. Recent Price Action: The price has recently tested the lower trendline support and is currently retracing upwards. A lower high (LH) has formed around 2480, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation phase. Potential Scenarios: Bullish: If the price breaks above the 2412 resistance, it may retest the upper trendline around 2480. Bearish: A break below the 4hr LQZ at 2348.248 could signal further downside towards the daily LQZ at 2267.320. Chart 2: 1-Hour Timeframe Trend Analysis: A shorter-term view confirming the upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. The formation of a wedge pattern indicates consolidation within a narrowing price range. Key Levels: Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ). Resistance: Approximately 2412.240, coinciding with the previous chart. Recent Price Action: Price recently bounced off the 4hr LQZ support level and is now hovering near the 2412 resistance. The lower high (LH) indicates sellers are stepping in around the 2412 level. Potential Scenarios: Bullish: Breaking and closing above 2412 could lead to further upside towards 2480. Bearish: Rejection at 2412 and a break below recent lows could target the 4hr LQZ support at 2348.248. Chart 3: 15-Minute Timeframe Trend Analysis: Short-term consolidation observed within a wedge pattern. Recent price action indicates potential for a breakout or breakdown from this pattern. Key Levels: Support: Around 2348.248 (4hr LQZ). Resistance: Approximately 2412.240. Recent Price Action: Price is consolidating just below the 2412 resistance level, forming a wedge pattern. The 15-minute timeframe shows the price struggling to break above 2412. Potential Scenarios: Bullish: A breakout above the wedge and 2412 resistance could lead to a quick move towards 2480. Bearish: A breakdown from the wedge could revisit the 4hr LQZ support at 2348.248. Conclusion The overall trend across multiple timeframes remains bullish with key resistance at 2412 and significant support at 2348.248. A break above 2412 could signal further upside towards 2480, while a failure to break and sustain above this level may lead to consolidation or a pullback to the 4hr LQZ support. Monitoring price action around these key levels will provide insights into the next directional move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Is Gold About to Surge or Drop? Handle XAUUSD's Next Big MoveChart 1: 15-Minute Timeframe Key Observations: Trendlines: The chart displays an ascending channel pattern. The upper and lower trendlines are drawn to capture the price action within this channel. Resistance Zone: There is a marked resistance zone around 2470-2480, where the price has faced rejection multiple times. Support Levels: Immediate Support: The lower trendline of the ascending channel acts as immediate support. LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2429.19, there is a significant level indicated, likely a liquidity zone or a potential reversal point from a higher timeframe. Chart 2: 1-Hour Timeframe Key Observations: Higher High (HH): The chart indicates a higher high formation at the recent peak, suggesting an uptrend. Possible Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the resistance zone around 2480 and holds, it could target higher levels around 2520 and potentially 2550. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break the resistance and instead breaks down from the ascending channel, it could move towards the LQZ/Reversal points at 2429.19 (1-hour) and 2391.39 (4-hour). Support Levels: 1-Hour LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2429.19, providing a potential support zone for a bullish reversal. 4-Hour LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2391.39, indicating a deeper support level from the 4-hour timeframe. Immediate Support: The lower trendline of the current ascending channel. Summary: Immediate Focus: Watch the price action around the resistance zone (2470-2480) for potential breakout or rejection. Bullish Confirmation: A breakout and retest above 2480 could signal a continuation towards higher targets. Bearish Confirmation: A breakdown from the ascending channel and below the immediate support levels could trigger a move towards the lower LQZ/Reversal points. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 2470-2480 Support: 2429.19 (1-hour LQZ), 2391.39 (4-hour LQZ)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Gold Price Set to Explode? Must-See Analysis Inside! [Update]Trade Update: XAUUSD Analysis Date: July 17, 2024 In our previous post and video, we discussed how to approach XAUUSD given the current market conditions. Let's dive into the latest developments and analyze the chart for further insights. Key Observations: Break Above HTF Trendline: We observed a significant break above the Higher Time Frame (HTF) trendline. This move indicates a strong bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers are in control. After the breakout, the price pushed back into the structure, which is a common retracement behavior. This retracement offers a potential entry point for those looking to capitalize on the upward momentum. Support Zone Tested on LTF: The price action tested a support zone on the Lower Time Frame (LTF). This support zone held well, providing a solid foundation for the next leg up. This test reinforces the strength of the support level and can be seen as a bullish signal. Current Market Conditions: Currently, XAUUSD is displaying a textbook play back into an area where we might see signs of either reversal or continuation. Traders should watch for key signals at this level to determine the next move. A strong bullish reaction could indicate continuation, while a bearish signal might suggest a potential reversal. Liquidity Zones and Reversal Points: The chart highlights two significant liquidity zones (LQZ) and potential reversal points: 1HR LQZ/Reversal at 2429.940 4HR LQZ/Reversal at 2391.394 These zones are critical levels to monitor as they can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential turning points. Conclusion: As the price approaches these key levels, traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals. If the price respects the support zone and breaks higher, it could provide a good opportunity for a long position. Conversely, if the price shows signs of weakness, it might be prudent to consider short positions or wait for further confirmation before making a move. Stay Updated: We will continue to monitor the price action closely and provide updates as the situation evolves.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
3
Gold at Record Highs! Breakout or Imminent Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis: Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP 1: 2319.385 TP 2: 2288.085 TP 3: 2267.832 Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action. 1-Hour Time Frame Analysis: Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation. Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements. 15-Minute Time Frame Analysis: Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction. Summary: Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook. Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively. Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Gold Hits Record Highs! Skyrocket Further or Sharp Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis: Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP 1: 2319.385 TP 2: 2288.085 TP 3: 2267.832 Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action. 1-Hour Time Frame Analysis: Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation. Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements. 15-Minute Time Frame Analysis: Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure. Key Levels: 1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940 4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394 Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction. Summary: Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows. Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook. Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively. Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
Editors' picks
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
29
Gold Breaks 4HR Liquidity Zone: Reversal or Continuation?We provided a really clear outlook on XAU/USD yesterday evening at the start of Asia Session to look for a move to the top side or a possible start to reversal depending on reaction to the support zone being offered. Today we have a BEAUTIFUL 4HR LQZ being shown in this chart that we are currently participating inside of. Will price reverse after hitting our TP or Do we continue to follow the trend that is being given. CORE LESSON: When gold is in areas of unknown price that you have never traded before the TREND is your friend. You can find yourself wanting the market to do something because it fits your BIAS and plan better but the market is the wild west and it doesn't have to do anything you want. You anticipate and don't get caught on the side of just reacting to price. Yesterday evening at the start of the Asia Session, we provided a crystal-clear outlook on XAU/USD. We were looking for a move to the upside or the potential beginning of a reversal, depending on the reaction to the support zone. Today, we are witnessing a BEAUTIFUL 4HR LQZ on this chart, and we are currently trading within it. The big question now is: will the price reverse after hitting our TP, or will it continue to follow the existing trend? CORE LESSON: When gold trades in uncharted territory, the trend is your friend. It's easy to develop a bias and want the market to fit your plan, but remember, the market is like the wild west—it doesn’t have to do what you want. Stay ahead by anticipating market moves and avoid getting caught reacting to price action. ADDITIONAL INSIGHTS: Understanding market psychology is crucial in these scenarios. Traders often get trapped in emotional decisions, influenced by fear and greed. Maintain discipline and stick to your trading plan. Watch for key levels and patterns that can indicate potential reversals or continuations. Utilize proper risk management strategies to protect your capital. Setting stop-loss orders and taking profits at predefined levels can help mitigate risks and secure gains. Always be prepared for multiple scenarios and adjust your strategies accordingly. Remember, successful trading is about adapting to market conditions and making informed decisions based on thorough analysis. Stay patient, stay focused, and keep learning from each trade to improve your skills and outcomes.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Master Gold Trading in High-Volatility Zones! Unlock Risk Manag.In this video, I delve into the crucial aspects of Risk Management and share my insights on interpreting the market when it is in critical zones, just like the one displayed on our current XAUUSD chart. Here's what you can expect: Risk Management Techniques Learn the strategies I employ to manage risk effectively, ensuring that my trades are protected against sudden market moves. I will cover: Setting appropriate stop-loss levels below key support zones like the 15M LQZ. Calculating position sizes based on account equity to maintain a disciplined approach. The importance of risk-reward ratios in ensuring long-term profitability. Market Perception in Key Zones I explain my approach to analyzing the market when it is within significant liquidity zones (LQZ), as seen in the chart. This includes: Understanding price behavior around Daily LQZ (2,450.370), 4hr LQZ (2,447.909), 1hr TP/LQZ (2,419.054), and 15M LQZ (2,399.472). How these zones influence my trading decisions and help identify potential entry and exit points. Time Frame for Trade Execution Discover the time frames I focus on when executing trades in these volatile zones. I discuss: Benefits and drawbacks of different time frames. Why certain time frames, such as 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts, are more suitable for analyzing price action and making informed trade decisions in the current market context. Trading Sessions Participation Gain insights into which trading sessions I actively participate in and why. Understanding the dynamics of different sessions (Asian, London, and New York) can significantly impact your trading strategy and execution. I will share: My preferences and how each session's characteristics influence market volatility and trading opportunities. The best times to trade gold (XAUUSD) based on historical volatility patterns. Chart Analysis Overview We analyze the current XAUUSD chart showing an ascending channel, highlighting key support and resistance levels. Key technical points include: Support Levels: Near the bottom of the ascending channel and around 2,399.472 (15M LQZ). Resistance Levels: Near the top of the ascending channel and around 2,450.370 (Daily LQZ). Price Action: Higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. A noticeable spike breaking through the channel suggests strong buying interest at lower levels. Potential Trade Setup Long Position: Consider entering near the lower boundary of the ascending channel or the 15M LQZ support level, targeting the 1hr TP/LQZ or the Daily LQZ. Stop Loss: Place below the 15M LQZ to manage risk. Key Takeaways Master the art of risk management to safeguard your trades. Learn to perceive and analyze the market effectively within key liquidity zones. Understand the importance of selecting the right time frame for trade execution. Know which trading sessions offer the best opportunities and align them with your trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
DXY on the Brink! Key Levels and Patterns You Can't Miss Trading Idea Breakdown for USD Index (DXY) Chart Overview: Time Frame: 4-hour and 1-hour charts Instrument: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Key Levels and Zones: Daily High: Level: 112.304 Significance: Significant resistance level from previous price action peaks. Weekly LQZ (Liquidity Zone): Level: 108.007 Significance: Key zone where price has shown notable liquidity and potential for major reversals or continuations. Daily LQZ: Level: 106.524 Significance: Important daily liquidity zone that influences short to medium-term price action. 4-hour LQZ: Level: 103.894 Significance: Critical level for intraday trading, often indicating significant support or resistance. Daily LQZ (Lower Zone): Level: 101.908 Significance: Lower daily liquidity zone that could act as a strong support if the price dips. Missed LQZ: Level: 100.552 Significance: A previous liquidity zone that was not retested, potentially a strong support area. Missed LQZ (Lower Zone): Level: 99.561 Significance: Another potential support level if the price continues to decline. Technical Patterns: Descending Triangle: Visible on the 4-hour chart, the descending triangle pattern indicates a potential bearish continuation if the price breaks below the lower trendline. Ascending Triangle: Observed in the price action within the upward sloping trendlines, suggesting potential bullish movement if the price breaks above the upper boundary. Flag Pattern: Noted in both the charts, flag patterns typically indicate a consolidation phase before a continuation of the prevailing trend. Price Action Insights: Current Price: 104.084 (at the time of the screenshot) The price is hovering near the 4-hour LQZ, indicating a critical decision point for either a bounce or a further decline. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price holds the 4-hour LQZ and breaks above the recent consolidation, we could see a move towards the daily LQZ at 106.524 and potentially higher towards the weekly LQZ at 108.007. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the 4-hour LQZ and breaks below, we might see a decline towards the daily LQZ at 101.908 and possibly further towards the missed LQZ at 100.552. Market Sentiment: The charts suggest a balanced sentiment with key liquidity zones serving as potential pivot points for future price action. Traders should watch these levels closely for signs of strength or weakness to determine the next significant move.
TVC:DXY
by Adlercon333
Gold Price Explodes Past Key Levels! Is $2500 Next?Trading Idea Breakdown for XAUUSD Chart Overview: Time Frame: 4-hour chart Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD) Key Levels and Zones: Daily LQZ (Liquidity Zone): Level: 2450.370 Significance: Major liquidity area where price is likely to experience significant reactions. 4-hour / LQZ: Level: 2437.909 Significance: Intermediate liquidity zone crucial for intraday trading decisions. 1-hour TP (Take Profit) Zone: Level: 2419.054 Significance: Shorter-term take profit area, potentially indicating minor resistance. Support and Resistance: Key Support Level: Around 2410.920 Previous Top of Flag: Highlighted zone where price action showed previous resistance before breaking out. Technical Patterns: Flag Pattern: The chart showcases a flag pattern where the price initially showed strong upward momentum (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase within parallel lines (flag). The breakout from this flag pattern indicates a continuation of the bullish trend. Upward Channel: The price is currently moving within an upward channel, suggesting a controlled and steady rise in the price of gold. Current Price Action: Price: 2410.920 (at the time of the screenshot) The price has broken out of the flag pattern and is currently trading near the 4-hour LQZ level. There's an observed strong bullish momentum as the price approaches the daily LQZ. Trading Plan: Bullish Bias: Given the breakout from the flag pattern and the upward channel, the bias remains bullish. The price targeting the daily LQZ indicates further potential upside. For participating inside of this trade you would be waiting for the market to give some sort of pull back to the support box that we have indicated. The shadow vars that i have provided give a good representation of what we would be looking for in order for price to continue long. Risk Management: Ensure proper risk management by calculating position size according to your risk tolerance. Monitor key levels for any signs of reversal or significant market reactions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adlercon333
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7/10 - EOD Followup AnalysisWell, what a crazy day. Did you guys see that momentum rally carry into today's Gap Up/High pattern? Boy, sure would have hated trying to short this market trend and watching my account collapse. This video shows you why I believe the momentum behind this move may carry into and through the big data hitting tomorrow. We may see a very strong rally tomorrow after the data hits that could push the SPY price up into the $565~568+ level. For those of you capable of executing quick shorts, I think you may have an early morning opportunity with price volatility tomorrow - but I would be cautious of getting too aggressive in shorting until closer to the 15th (Monday). Thank you for all your great comments and boosts. Remember, I do this to help traders become better skilled at executing their own trades. Now, we've still got 10+ more days of my predictions to work through. So, we get to see if my research/analysis is worth anything compared to the others out there. I firmly believe most of the people pushing out research are simply pushing out click-bait. Me, I'm a little different.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
8
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade July 9 - End Of Day FollowupToday's Momentum Rally never really showed up. Remember, I've been warning you these SPY cycle patterns are not 100% accurate all the time. They've done a fantastic job of calling the markets correctly over the past 17+ days. But, today, the Momentum Rally never really materialized. As you'll see in this video, I believe the momentum for a bullish price move was muted today because of the Fed comments and lack of data. In short, the Fed comments took the momentum away, and price struggled to find any real trend. But the momentum for a bullish price move is still there. It is inherently biased toward price. So, I believe we could see a very big (explosive) move to the upside over the next 4+ trading days. Stay patient. This is a great example of learning to wait for the best setups. If my analysis is correct, this current setup could be a very big winner. The bullish price bias may explode to the upside over the next four to five days. Get some.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
9
Has EUR/USD Bottomed-Out???Here I have EUR/USD on the 4Hr Chart! Now we see Price on EU has made a sort of "Rounded Bottom" making its official LOW @ 1.06660 Now with Price struggling with the Resistance Zone @ ( 1.08441 - 1.08266 ) it is beginning to form what looks to be a Potential CUP & HANDLE PATTERN!! This pattern after the completion of the "Bowl" is typically followed by the formation of the "Handle". This will be considered a HIGHER LOW which should be followed by Bullish momentum to the Top of the Cup (Resistance Zone) again, then to BREAK and possibly continue HIGHER!! -The RSI is showing that price is Over-Bought which tells me we could see price needing to make a decline! -Strengthening the Bullish Bias on this idea is also backed by the fact price is now trading ABOVE the 200 EMA! *Before we can confirm this is a Cup & Handle Pattern, we must see Price make a retracement from this High to the ( 1.07751 - 1.07647 ) Range for potential BUY positions! **If Price decides to Break Below our Fib Entry Zone, The potential Cup and Handle Pattern will be INVALIDATED!!
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
Plan Your Trade 6-28 - Today Is The Big CRUSH DayThis continuation of my Plan Your Trade video series highlights the potential price rotation we'll see today with the big CRUSH pattern. Next week, I believe, will result in a substantial rally phase throughout the week of July 4th. Today's big CRUSH pattern will likely result in a fairly deep downward price move in early trading, followed by a period of basing/stalling before we may see a fairly strong rally phase/squeeze into the end of trading today. These types of price swings are fantastic for day traders and intraday swing trading. Watch the video today and prepare for next week. Overall, nothing has changed. Price is rotating into a rally phase ahead of Q2:2024 earnings. Learn how my SPY Cycle Patterns can help you plan and prepare for market direction and trends. Do you know anyone who can accurately predict price setups/trends 2 to 4 weeks into the future? Well, you are watching me do it right now. Let me know what you think in the comments. Go make some money today.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
12
Plan Your Trade 6-26 - SPY BreakAway PatternGood Morning. This continued video series highlighting my Proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns is designed to help you understand how to prepare for, and trade expected market trends. The SPY Cycle Patterns are predictive. They represent shapes/trends of future price bars on the SPY that can help traders understand where opportunities may exist for trading. They can also help you stay away from consolidation/congestion periods. In today's video, I highlight how the current BreakAway pattern in Trending mode suggests the SPY will rally a bit today. I expect the SPY to close above 545.50-546.50 as the bullish base/support level holds today. There is a bit of downward pressure on the SPY this morning. It will be interesting to see if my expectations are accurate or not. Remember, the SPY Cycle Patterns are not 100% accurate all the time. They are only about 80-85% accurate in most cases. Big news events or outside factors can drive prices in ways that do not align with my SPY Cycle Patterns. However, these SPY Cycle Patterns are generally very accurate in terms of how to plan/prepare for trading opportunities 3 to 10+ days into the future. I hope you enjoy it. Please leave a comment and tell me if you see value in these videos or what you think.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Plan Your Trade 6/21 - SPY Cycle PatternsPlan your trade to prepare for future price moves using my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns. This is a continuing video series related to my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns. These unique patterns highlight potential price moves/trends weeks and months in advance. I wanted to highlight the next 15+ trading days on the charts and track these potential setups to see how closely my expectations translated into price moves. About 3+ days into this experiment, we should see a Top/Resistance price trend today. This is usually where the price attempts to rally upward to a peak, then rolls downward, seeking a new base/bottom. Follow my research and learn how to Plan Your Trades more efficiently.
AMEX:SPY
by BradMatheny