Patterns
BTC Log Cycles - Based on HalvingsExperimenting with Bitcoin high time frame log charts, I began to notice some patterns.
Please note: This is a work in progress and by no means financial advice.
Highlighted in yellow are two box areas, the rest is built around them. The similarity appears striking, imo. Does this mean the chart will continue to produce and follow these patterns?
Log charts are generally meant for and used with curved lines. However, when one finds a straight forward geometric pattern between the last 2 major cycles and this one, based on halvings... couldn't help but continue to explore, and hope this is interesting for you too.
I will continue to monitor and update, if this chart and pattern continues to make sense as it unfolds, and will attempt to simplify so it is easier to read. But wanted to post this before going to sleep, and again, this is only a work in progress. Any feedback, questions or suggestions are welcome. Best.
HOW TO SET PROPER TAKE PROFITS AND STOP LOSSES 🧙♂️Knowing patterns is one thing and using them to the fullest potential is another. Above, we've depicted 3 major patterns commonly used by traders during a technical analysis (wedges and pennants will be covered next week). We all know how to notice them on the charts and general shapes. However, a lot of traders don't know how to act once they notice these patterns and we're here to clarify that.
First, let's look at the proper entry points for these patterns. A general rule of thumb would be to enter the trade at the neckline once we get a closure below/above it. This way we can increase the probability of a trade and make sure the pattern is still valid. What about the take profit? Well, from tons of observations by a lot of talented traders there is a theory that the move following these patterns would be:
1) Double TOP/BOTTOM: the same as the distance from the neckline to the top or bottom
2) Head and Shoulders: the same as the distance from the neckline to the head
3)Rectangle: the same as the range of the rectangle
This way we can maximize our profits made from the trades based on these patterns.
Lastly, let's look at the Stop Losses for our trades. This one really depends on your trading style. More conservative traders (for instance, we like to keep our SLs tight as possible) would go with the mid-range of the pattern ensuring at least a 1:2+ Risk-Reward Ratio. However, if you're using this pattern as an indication that the price will follow further than the expected TP1, you may as well slightly increase your stop loss (not advised).
This is pretty much what you have to do once you notice one of the patterns above and you want to capitalize on the opportunity. Safe trades and stay tuned for more posts!
Ah also, it's Investroy's birthday this weekend, so if you have time, stop by and wish the HAPPY BIRTHDAY to the team :)
BITCOIN TARGET NOW 30000 USD. A roadmap towards the target!Dear traders,
I have created a new 2 hour chart of Bitcoin so that you can better follow the price movement by clicking on the arrow on the right side of the chart.
With the breakout of the neckline and bearish rising wedge, I see the following possible scenario happening.
A re-test of the head shoulder formation and then a decline with the next support and resistance lines:
37604
37110
36177
33900
31287
30226
According to this analysis, the final goal of the possible decline is 30000 / 30226 USD.
After that, another analysis will follow.
Keep in mind the ALTS can fall faster than Bitcoin itself due to bitcoin dominance. Money then flows out of the ALTS back into Bitcoin.
Trying to catch bottoms can be very risky and often require day trading and constant monitoring. After the bottom at 30000 we will most likely get another rebound but everything depends on the situation at that time. I trade what I see and not what I think. Totally without bullish or bearish bias. Just because that doesn't help you in trading. That is perfect for long term investors but we as traders will never sit so long in a position that can fluctuate 50% up and down.
I myself had closed all my long positions long before the neckline was broken. This was because the Bearish rising wedge had been broken through but also by personal experience, you notice that the market was struggling with little volume. So because we had a heavy decline the possibility was already very high that it was going to be a countertrend move in a downtrend. That made it all that much more suspicious.
As long as Bitcoin doesn't rise back above 42600 every rise remains suspicious and you have to take into account a sudden reversal.
Good luck guys and as always, trade safely with stops and use money management to make sure you'll still be trading next year. Leverage is only for experienced traders who perfectly know what they're doing and use good moeny management. This is my personal opinion and experience not everybody have the same idea and that is perfectly fine.
Please share your idea's what you think of Bitcoin and very important why you think that. Then we get an interesting discussion which can imporove your own trading.
Wish you all good luck!
Disclaimer Traders this is my view, no advice to buy or sell. Also always do your own research!
--->> Traders please follow me for updates and give me support with a like👍. That motivates me a lot to continue💚!
Bullflag -The Bullish patternThe Flag pattern is one of the best-known continuation pattern in trading which happen after an uptrend.On-chart you can see a good pump and after a minor consolidation zone.This consolidation zone is important to calm down slowly indicators and calm volume,after this step we can see a growth of volume and a breakout
What is the target of a bullflag?
The first target of confirmed can be derived from measured move tehnique.The first target of bullflag is the vertical distance between the lower and the uper point of flag
The second target is the size of the FLAGPOLE(measure the flagpole size and you will put this size at the breaking point from the bullflag
It s important to book some profit also after the first target(size of flag).
If the flag during too much will fail.Keep your eyes on it all time and have a stop-loss
Have fun and good luck!
History Does Not Repeat, But Often Rhymes $BTCSome similar 3 weak new highs, followed but 1 new lower high patterns to compare. When trends have a loss of momentum and it is impossible to maintain you typically see these rounded top looking distribution patterns. The good news is that the 200 Day moving average is being tested. The bad news is that is Bitcoin cannot find the buyer support that it needs, then it could be a slow bleed or a whipsaw for the unforeseeable. Bulls must either buy like crazy or close margin longs and allows for a quick capitulation candle. A leveraged long shake out and bear trap could be just what the market needs in order for new liquidity. However if the Crypto class of 21' gets distracted by all the new sh*t coins and pulls out of BTC, then the flipping may be real and the BTC Maxis will panic.
GBJPY Third Time's a Charm?
Hello everyone:
GBPJPY has once again move up to the top of the overall structure now, and there could be a third opportunity to sell.
We can see from previous 2 sells that pushed down the price, but just failed to break lower and continue.
This is a indication that price is getting ready for a bigger correction, and is still consolidating.
Latest price finally made another move up to the top of the HTF correction, and we see LTF ascending channel correction as well as mini-double tops also.
To confirm the downside move, wait for the ascending channel to complete correcting, and look for strong bearish breakout and continuation correction to get on on the sell.
Thank you
MKR/USDT BITTREX ANALYSISVery basic TA here, examining the Maker/Tether pair on Bittrex, we have local support at $4583 and local resistance at $5080 so
now we will wait for confirmation to the downside or the upside. If it breaks the top trendline we can shoot for around $6k but if 4HR candle close below
support we can expect townfall to $4331 and then $3714. We do not enter here, we sit and wait and see what happens
Support: $4583/$4331/$3754
Resistance: $5080/$5210/$6000
Now we wait for confirmations
BTC/USDT ANALYSISToday we are doing simple analysis of BTC/USDT chart. We will not short or long in this situation, this is simple analysis to make better decision later.
We see BTC dipping further towards the $43k range which indicates a futher downslide is coming, however we do see a bullish cross on the 4HR MACD so if BTC makes a move upwards it will meet resistance
at around $51,131, if it pushes past this resistance and 4HR candle closes above $50,835 then we can enter long target $55k. If BTC continues to drop we will possibly see $42K, I believe it will make a slight move upward and
bounce off resistance and continue it's downward move towards $42k, would be decent short oppurtunity but let's wait for confirmation.
As you see we never take profit at exact resistance and exact support, we take profit slightly before to protect our funds.
Resistance: $50,835/$59,507
Support: $46,832/$42,301
We will sit, watch, and wait from here for any entries
Ethereum ETH DIAMOND top seems to be set!Dear traders,
Here is a quick new update for Ethereum on the 4 hour chart.
We see here a pattern not often seen, the diamond. Like the head and shoulder formations, this pattern has lower targets. It signals normally tops.
My previous analysis of Ethereum is still valid with the head-shoulder pattern but now we have a diamond formation and that strengthens my idea that the targets from the HS will come out even more!
Guys, now keep an eye on the red trend lines. If we break out to the downside, 2760 will quickly come into view. An upward breakout is less logical with this pattern, but everything is possible. Nothing is 100% sure but this pattern is a top pattern. If it fails then we see an agressive move upside. Keep that in mind!
Always confirm trades by a re-test of te trendline and volume to be more sure of false breakouts.
Traders, this is my personal view on Ethereum , No trading advice. Always do your own research before trading and at least use stops and money management to limit your risk.
If you guys appreciate my work it will be a motivation for me if julle give a thumbs up and follow me for updates.
I wish you all lots of profits and above all safe trading!
Weekly Trading Recap: NZDJPY, AUDCAD, GBPCHF May 01 2021Hello everyone:
Welcome back to this week’s trading recap video. Let's take a look at the trades enter this week.
I will explain my approach on the entry, SL, TP and management.
NZDJPY - running about +2%
Full analysis/forecast:
AUDCAD - running about +4%
Full analysis/forecast:
GBPCHF - running about +3.5%
Full analysis/forecast:
Any questions, comments or feedback please let me know. :)
Thank you
Jojo