DXY on the Brink! Key Levels and Patterns You Can't Miss Trading Idea Breakdown for USD Index (DXY)
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-hour and 1-hour charts
Instrument: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Key Levels and Zones:
Daily High:
Level: 112.304
Significance: Significant resistance level from previous price action peaks.
Weekly LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Level: 108.007
Significance: Key zone where price has shown notable liquidity and potential for major reversals or continuations.
Daily LQZ:
Level: 106.524
Significance: Important daily liquidity zone that influences short to medium-term price action.
4-hour LQZ:
Level: 103.894
Significance: Critical level for intraday trading, often indicating significant support or resistance.
Daily LQZ (Lower Zone):
Level: 101.908
Significance: Lower daily liquidity zone that could act as a strong support if the price dips.
Missed LQZ:
Level: 100.552
Significance: A previous liquidity zone that was not retested, potentially a strong support area.
Missed LQZ (Lower Zone):
Level: 99.561
Significance: Another potential support level if the price continues to decline.
Technical Patterns:
Descending Triangle:
Visible on the 4-hour chart, the descending triangle pattern indicates a potential bearish continuation if the price breaks below the lower trendline.
Ascending Triangle:
Observed in the price action within the upward sloping trendlines, suggesting potential bullish movement if the price breaks above the upper boundary.
Flag Pattern:
Noted in both the charts, flag patterns typically indicate a consolidation phase before a continuation of the prevailing trend.
Price Action Insights:
Current Price: 104.084 (at the time of the screenshot)
The price is hovering near the 4-hour LQZ, indicating a critical decision point for either a bounce or a further decline.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds the 4-hour LQZ and breaks above the recent consolidation, we could see a move towards the daily LQZ at 106.524 and potentially higher towards the weekly LQZ at 108.007.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the 4-hour LQZ and breaks below, we might see a decline towards the daily LQZ at 101.908 and possibly further towards the missed LQZ at 100.552.
Market Sentiment:
The charts suggest a balanced sentiment with key liquidity zones serving as potential pivot points for future price action. Traders should watch these levels closely for signs of strength or weakness to determine the next significant move.
Patterns
Gold Price Explodes Past Key Levels! Is $2500 Next?Trading Idea Breakdown for XAUUSD
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-hour chart
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
Key Levels and Zones:
Daily LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Level: 2450.370
Significance: Major liquidity area where price is likely to experience significant reactions.
4-hour / LQZ:
Level: 2437.909
Significance: Intermediate liquidity zone crucial for intraday trading decisions.
1-hour TP (Take Profit) Zone:
Level: 2419.054
Significance: Shorter-term take profit area, potentially indicating minor resistance.
Support and Resistance:
Key Support Level: Around 2410.920
Previous Top of Flag: Highlighted zone where price action showed previous resistance before breaking out.
Technical Patterns:
Flag Pattern:
The chart showcases a flag pattern where the price initially showed strong upward momentum (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase within parallel lines (flag). The breakout from this flag pattern indicates a continuation of the bullish trend.
Upward Channel:
The price is currently moving within an upward channel, suggesting a controlled and steady rise in the price of gold.
Current Price Action:
Price: 2410.920 (at the time of the screenshot)
The price has broken out of the flag pattern and is currently trading near the 4-hour LQZ level.
There's an observed strong bullish momentum as the price approaches the daily LQZ.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Bias:
Given the breakout from the flag pattern and the upward channel, the bias remains bullish.
The price targeting the daily LQZ indicates further potential upside. For participating inside of this trade you would be waiting for the market to give some sort of pull back to the support box that we have indicated. The shadow vars that i have provided give a good representation of what we would be looking for in order for price to continue long.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper risk management by calculating position size according to your risk tolerance.
Monitor key levels for any signs of reversal or significant market reactions.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 7/10 - EOD Followup AnalysisWell, what a crazy day.
Did you guys see that momentum rally carry into today's Gap Up/High pattern? Boy, sure would have hated trying to short this market trend and watching my account collapse.
This video shows you why I believe the momentum behind this move may carry into and through the big data hitting tomorrow. We may see a very strong rally tomorrow after the data hits that could push the SPY price up into the $565~568+ level.
For those of you capable of executing quick shorts, I think you may have an early morning opportunity with price volatility tomorrow - but I would be cautious of getting too aggressive in shorting until closer to the 15th (Monday).
Thank you for all your great comments and boosts. Remember, I do this to help traders become better skilled at executing their own trades.
Now, we've still got 10+ more days of my predictions to work through. So, we get to see if my research/analysis is worth anything compared to the others out there.
I firmly believe most of the people pushing out research are simply pushing out click-bait. Me, I'm a little different.
Trade idea - EURNZD Long4H
Market was moving in Bull Flag formation.
3rd touch of trend line was aligning perfectly with the -68 Fibonacci.
Missed the early entry on this trade.
New opportunity now to get involved.
Bullish impulse: indication .
Pattern within pattern: confirmation.
Inverse Head & Shoulders, Bullish M.
Clear support & resistance zone is there.
1% risk
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade July 9 - End Of Day FollowupToday's Momentum Rally never really showed up.
Remember, I've been warning you these SPY cycle patterns are not 100% accurate all the time. They've done a fantastic job of calling the markets correctly over the past 17+ days. But, today, the Momentum Rally never really materialized.
As you'll see in this video, I believe the momentum for a bullish price move was muted today because of the Fed comments and lack of data.
In short, the Fed comments took the momentum away, and price struggled to find any real trend.
But the momentum for a bullish price move is still there. It is inherently biased toward price. So, I believe we could see a very big (explosive) move to the upside over the next 4+ trading days.
Stay patient. This is a great example of learning to wait for the best setups.
If my analysis is correct, this current setup could be a very big winner. The bullish price bias may explode to the upside over the next four to five days.
Get some.
Has EUR/USD Bottomed-Out???Here I have EUR/USD on the 4Hr Chart!
Now we see Price on EU has made a sort of "Rounded Bottom" making its official LOW @ 1.06660
Now with Price struggling with the Resistance Zone @ ( 1.08441 - 1.08266 ) it is beginning to form what looks to be a Potential CUP & HANDLE PATTERN!!
This pattern after the completion of the "Bowl" is typically followed by the formation of the "Handle". This will be considered a HIGHER LOW which should be followed by Bullish momentum to the Top of the Cup (Resistance Zone) again, then to BREAK and possibly continue HIGHER!!
-The RSI is showing that price is Over-Bought which tells me we could see price needing to make a decline!
-Strengthening the Bullish Bias on this idea is also backed by the fact price is now trading ABOVE the 200 EMA!
*Before we can confirm this is a Cup & Handle Pattern, we must see Price make a retracement from this High to the ( 1.07751 - 1.07647 ) Range for potential BUY positions!
**If Price decides to Break Below our Fib Entry Zone, The potential Cup and Handle Pattern will be INVALIDATED!!
DPWires is ready for 20-30% returns DPWIRES is around the support area
Stock has corrected appx 35% from highs
Previously stock always corrected between 30-35%
So it has nature to give 30-35% correction !!
After a fall, Stock is around support area which is working from 2020
We may see bounce from 450 level and see further upside !!
Thank you !!
Plan Your Trade 6-28 - Today Is The Big CRUSH DayThis continuation of my Plan Your Trade video series highlights the potential price rotation we'll see today with the big CRUSH pattern. Next week, I believe, will result in a substantial rally phase throughout the week of July 4th.
Today's big CRUSH pattern will likely result in a fairly deep downward price move in early trading, followed by a period of basing/stalling before we may see a fairly strong rally phase/squeeze into the end of trading today.
These types of price swings are fantastic for day traders and intraday swing trading.
Watch the video today and prepare for next week. Overall, nothing has changed. Price is rotating into a rally phase ahead of Q2:2024 earnings.
Learn how my SPY Cycle Patterns can help you plan and prepare for market direction and trends.
Do you know anyone who can accurately predict price setups/trends 2 to 4 weeks into the future? Well, you are watching me do it right now.
Let me know what you think in the comments.
Go make some money today.
Plan Your Trade 6-26 - SPY BreakAway PatternGood Morning.
This continued video series highlighting my Proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns is designed to help you understand how to prepare for, and trade expected market trends.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are predictive. They represent shapes/trends of future price bars on the SPY that can help traders understand where opportunities may exist for trading. They can also help you stay away from consolidation/congestion periods.
In today's video, I highlight how the current BreakAway pattern in Trending mode suggests the SPY will rally a bit today. I expect the SPY to close above 545.50-546.50 as the bullish base/support level holds today.
There is a bit of downward pressure on the SPY this morning. It will be interesting to see if my expectations are accurate or not.
Remember, the SPY Cycle Patterns are not 100% accurate all the time. They are only about 80-85% accurate in most cases. Big news events or outside factors can drive prices in ways that do not align with my SPY Cycle Patterns.
However, these SPY Cycle Patterns are generally very accurate in terms of how to plan/prepare for trading opportunities 3 to 10+ days into the future.
I hope you enjoy it. Please leave a comment and tell me if you see value in these videos or what you think.
Plan Your Trade 6/21 - SPY Cycle PatternsPlan your trade to prepare for future price moves using my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns.
This is a continuing video series related to my proprietary SPY Cycle Patterns. These unique patterns highlight potential price moves/trends weeks and months in advance.
I wanted to highlight the next 15+ trading days on the charts and track these potential setups to see how closely my expectations translated into price moves.
About 3+ days into this experiment, we should see a Top/Resistance price trend today. This is usually where the price attempts to rally upward to a peak, then rolls downward, seeking a new base/bottom.
Follow my research and learn how to Plan Your Trades more efficiently.
Could Support @ $65K be New Low? - BitcoinHere I have Bitcoin on the 4 Hr Chart!
In the Overall Daily Chart, price on Bitcoin looks to be Consolidated!
But scoping down to the 4 Hr, we see Price has been using this Support Zone @ $64,500 - $65,500
- Feeding the Bullish Bias is purely boiled down to Technical Analysis being the:
- Tweezer Bottom
&
- Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern forming ..
@ an interesting level of SUPPORT!!
Learning To Plan Your Trade With SPY Cycle PatternsDid you watch my SPY Cycle Pattern video this morning? Were you aware that today was designated a Harami-Inside type of price action? This type of pattern represents a very narrow, often trendless, trading day.
I warned all of you before the market opened that today would be a day to sit back and wait for the market to show us whether it wanted to trend or not. Obviously, there were some quick pullbacks and trends—but nothing very big. If you had stayed out of the market most of the day, you probably would have been happy avoiding the chop.
Tomorrow is a big CRUSH pattern. These patterns are usually fairly large price range bars that often move against the 3~5 bar trend - in this case, downward.
This video covers the next three weeks of trading in the SPY and shows how I read the SPY Cycle Patterns as "sentences" related to how prices will react and move (including trends and ranges) going forward.
Of course, nothing is 100% perfect when predicting future price trends. But I think you'll find real value in the SPY Cycle Patterns and how they can help everyone prepare for the type of price action to expect.
Plan your trade. Use all the tools required to help you make better decisions.
Remember, trade only when the market provides opportunity and efficient price trends.
I'll keep updating these videos for all of you over the next few weeks. Let's go make some money as the markets trend into Q2:2024 earnings.
ETHFI - Confirmed Breakout for a LONG trade$BINANCE:ETFIUSDT (4H CHART) Technical Analysis Update
ETHFI is currently trading at $4.1 and showing overall bullish sentiment. Price has broken out from the resistance zone and showing a good bullish momentum. Our first target is around the resistance zone (4.3-4.4) and we can expect the price to reach around 4.8
This is a short term trade and if the price breaks below the support of 3.7 then bearish trend will continue and we will have a short trade opportunity.
Entry level: $ 4.09
Stop Loss Level: $
TakeProfit 1: $ 4.224
TakeProfit 2: $ 4.352
TakeProfit 3: $ 4.481
TakeProfit 4: $ 4.684
TakeProfit 5: $ 4.862
Max Leverage: 3x
Position Size: 1% of capital
Don't forget to keep stop loss.
Follow Our TradingView Account for More Technical Analysis Updates, | Like, Share and Comment Your thoughts.
Cheers
GreenCrypto
Cancellation of “Head-and-Shoulders” Pattern. Bears trapThe "Head-and-Shoulders" (H&S) pattern is considered a powerful trend reversal indicator. However, it can also become very costly for new traders. Yesterday, the S&P provided a great example of H&S cancellation. Traders who entered short on the break-out of the shoulders line (and Monday's low) incurred losses after the price returned to the previous day's range and rallied all the way up. Such scenarios happen more often than you might think.
To avoid being caught in such traps, it is important to consider two things:
1. Higher Level Context : In this example, the H&S pattern formed on the hourly time frame. But if we zoom out, we'll see that on the weekly chart, the price is in a strong uptrend, currently making new historical highs. This is a very bullish context, with buyers having full control over the price.
2. Price Behavior on the Break-out : Upon confirmation of a reversal pattern, you should expect sellers to jump in and drive the price down as fast as possible. It is "abnormal" to see the price returning to the previous range and gaining acceptance. This is a trigger that something is not right.
Some people will add volume analysis on the break-out, but I’m personally not a fan of it, especially for SPY.
XAU/USD - Q2 Market AnalystBased on current trends and analysis, I forecast that XAU/USD will reach a new all-time high (ATH) this week at the earliest and next week at the latest. Therefore, we should consider taking a Long/Buy Action in the market. Here are the key insights:
Reversal: There was a strong rejection at the 2291 area after experiencing a strong rejection at 2393. This is a sign that the market has the potential to move upward. Additionally, this week, on May 10, 2024, the market closed above the support area.
Correction: The market will undergo a correction around the 2393 area before continuing its bullish trend, as long as there are no adverse news or situations affecting the market.
Please remember, this analysis is a personal interpretation of market trends and should not replace professional financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consult financial experts before making investment decisions.
Impulsive Wave Rally: AUD/USD Targets 0.70750.Hello traders,
Here is my analyis of AUDUSD pair.
After AUD/USD completed an upward impulsive wave labeled as wave (1) in the chart, the pair is expected to form a minor correction in wave (2) before continuing the impulsive upward wave (3), consisting of five subwaves. Based on our analysis, waves (1) and (2) have already formed, and it appears we are currently in wave (3).
We expect a rally from this zone following the shallow wave (2) correction.
The channel break indicates potential reversal areas, suggesting the start of a continued upward phase towards the 0.70750 level as a potential target in the bullish direction. However, a lower low below 0.63623 would invalidate the bullish scenario.
Alternative Scenario:
The alternative scenario is a further drop in wave (2) towards the 0.64977 price region marked by blue box before the rally to the upside.
USD Waving The Flag in AU?!Here I have AUD/USD on the 1 Hr Chart!
Tonight, we have seen Price make a drastic turn to the Upside back into this Descending Channel it was traveling in last week!
With this False Break of the Falling Support, could we see the appearance of a BULL FLAG?!?!
Now with a Bull Flag, we expect valid tests of both the Falling Resistance and Falling Support!!
So far, we've had 2 tests and a False Break of the Support but we are missing a 3rd test of the Falling Resistance!
With Price using this Local Support level, I believe we could see that 3rd test of the Resistance!!
Now with NZD Low Inflation Expectation Results tonight, we're seeing some strength being put into AUD!!
Fundamentally for the rest of the week:
AUD-
Wage Price Index (Tue) Employment Change, Unemployment Rate (Wed)
USD-
PPI, Powell Speaks (Tue) CPI, Retail Sales, Empire State Manufacturing Index (Wed) Unemployment Claims (Thur)
Pennant - EUHere I have EUR/USD on the 4 Hr Chart!
Price made a good push to the Upside surpassing the Highs earlier this month but then getting caught up by the Highs of April
Currently Price is bouncing back and forth between the Falling Resistance and Rising Support.
Potential False Break zones for both Resistance and Support are marked by the High and Low Points starting the pattern!
Pennants are patterns where the fight between Bears and Bulls is equal and eventually one will win out the other, this will be followed by a STRONG, CONVINCING Break of Pattern and Close to Validate the movement.
Fundamentally this week for both EUR and USD will be Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI being released Thursday!
As Indicators go:
-Above 200 EMA
-DSR Assist
-Above 50 RSI
-Super Nova Layout +3
Euro can reach resistance level and then rebound downHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some days ago rebounded from the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level and rose to 1.0940 points, after which it started to decline inside the pennant pattern. In this pattern, EUR broke the 1.0850 level and fell to the support line, after which at once rebounded and rose to the resistance line of the pennant. Soon, the price exited from this pattern and entered to seller zone, where the Euro some time traded and soon made a downward impulse. price broke 1.0850 and 1.0650 levels, and also later started to grow inside the wedge. In the wedge, the price soon broke the 1.0650 level, which coincided with the buyer zone and continued to move up. But later it made a correction move to the support line of the wedge, after which rebounded and rose until to the resistance line. When the price reached this line, it made a small correction move, after which at once backed up, and now it trying to exit from the wedge. So, in my opinion, the Euro, after exiting from the wedge can reach a resistance level and then the price will rebound down. For this reason, I set my target at 1.0750 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀