"Beast Mode" to the Rescue?! - TSLASome exciting developments have come to light for Tesla and their CEO Elon Musk!
Technically, price has been falling since the beginning of August with its Highs and Lows outlining what looks to be price traveling in a Bull Flag! If we want price to travel higher, we need a solid Break and Close above the Falling Resistance!
Fundamentally, Tesla announced its new version of the Cyber Truck with "Beast Mode" with features as impenetrable panels and glass (If opted), 0-60 UNDER 3 seconds, No differential allowing it to be the best bottom clearance vehicle with adjustable ride heights.
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Also Elon announced he is rolling out he's AI tech model, xAI, to select a few and being readily available to X (formely Twitter) Premium Subscribers.
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*Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
Patterns
Falling Wedge - AAPLHere we have the Apple Stock on the Daily Chart showing signs of a Falling Wedge!
Consisting of Lower Highs and Lower Lows into a Pinch Point where typically we should get a BULLISH break!
Technically, if we want to see this stock rise again, we need a good break of the Falling Resistance of the Wedge and with current news events and movements the tech giant is doing, we could be seeing it soon!!
Fundamentally, Thursday Earnings showed positive results where Q4 results came in less than great for AAPL where it had shared sales have dropped globally for the fourth consecutive quarter, in China dropping -2.5%.
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Today, news was released that rumors of the iPhone 16 features exceeding that of the iPhone 15's Camera and Zoom and with a huge Tech Investor, Gene Munster calls for a reassessment of the Q4 results saying they are "Exaggerated".
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*Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
Resistance above the next challenger for GOLDGold broke out of a recent uptrend to form a correction through positive US data and peace strategies in Gaza.
Price now finds itself hovering around 1990 with a level of resistance above in the region of 1991-1993. Price on the 4hour has also pushed lower to push off the 50/55 moving averages, prompting a possible double top on the cards.
BULLS PLAN:
- Push through this key level of resistance above and kick off a role reversal (change of character) to test highs int he 2010 region
- Watch for entries when this level is broken as currently price is too high currently to enter longs ad price moves into resistance. HIGH RISK
BEARS PLAN:
- Wait for price to reach the resistance level above around 1991-1993 and look for rejection candles
- Lower time frame charts (1m/5m/15m) for price action entry (double tops/lower lows)
- Targets medium to long term will be 1950 region
Descending Triangle, Hidden Pennant GUGBP/USD has been falling since July 14th and now is looking like its trapped within what looks to be a Descending Triangle or Pennant considering the current Low is higher in the Support zone then the Previous.
The Descending Triangle made of Lower Highs into the Support Zone should typically give us a Bearish Break where price continues LOWER!
-What makes this a special case to me is the possible presence of a Pennant!
The Pennant is made up of Lower Highs into Higher Lows, consolidating into a "Pinch Point" where eventually price will break Bullish OR Bearish.
-Typically the break will happen in the direction price was heading prior to entering the pattern BUT there is potential for price to play within the Pinch Point until giving a Proper Break!!
**Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time SO BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!!
-Fundamentally, USD & GBP have:
Employment Cost & Consumer Confidence (USD) - Tuesday
ADP Non-Farm Employment, JOLT Job Openings, Federal Funds Rate & FOMC Statement and Conference (USD) - Wednesday
Monetary Policy Statement, Official Bank Rate Votes, Bailey Speaking (GBP) and Unemployment Claims (USD) - Thursday
Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change & Unemployment Rate (USD) -Friday
**With the heavy news week, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN!!
My gut is giving me BEARISH vibes with the analysis of this chart and I believe USD could be finding support after its stunning comeback later in the week last week!!
Three White SoldiersGreetings, traders! Today, let’s dive into a powerful candlestick pattern: the Three White Soldiers. This pattern, often regarded as a bullish signal, can provide valuable insights.
Understanding the Three White Soldiers Pattern:
The Three White Soldiers pattern is identified by three consecutive bullish candles, symbolizing a robust influx of buying pressure. When these candles appear in a sequence, it suggests a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
Key Characteristics:
Bullish Momentum: The pattern signifies a strong uptrend, indicating a potential continuation of the existing market trend.
Candlestick Size: Pay attention to the size of the candles. In this pattern, large-bodied candles with minimal wicks reflect substantial buying activity. This emphasizes the dominance of buyers in the market.
Volume Confirmation: Volume indicators on charting platforms can validate the pattern. An uptick in volume during the formation of the Three White Soldiers further strengthens its significance.
Trading Strategies with the Three White Soldiers Pattern:
Confirmation with Volume: Ensure the pattern is supported by increased trading volume, affirming the authenticity of the bullish move.
Combine with Other Indicators: Enhance your trading strategy by integrating the Three White Soldiers pattern with trend lines, Fibonacci retracement levels, or other technical indicators. This synergy can provide a more comprehensive view of the market.
Wait for Confirmation: Patience is key. Wait for the bullish candles to close before considering the pattern confirmed. This approach reduces the risk of false signals.
Consider Timeframes: Analyze the pattern across multiple timeframes. A Three White Soldiers formation on higher timeframes (such as daily or weekly charts) often indicates stronger bullish potential.
Risk Management and Trade Execution:
Set Stop-Loss: Establish stop-loss below first candlestick of the Three White Soldiers.
Diversify Your Trades: Avoid over-concentration in a single asset. Diversifying your trades across different instruments can mitigate risks associated with individual market volatility.
By combining this pattern with meticulous analysis, strategic planning, and risk management, traders can enhance their overall trading prowess.
Happy trading, and may the markets be ever in your favour!
PROSBUSD - Bump and Run Reversal Bottom PatternThe bump-and-run reversal bottom is a chart pattern that is a surprisingly good performer in both bull (ranking best for performance) and bear markets (ranking second best). It has a low break even failure rate and high average rise after the breakout. Discovered by Thomas Bulkowski in 1999.
EURCAD ABC BULLISH PATTERN Hello and welcome to an insightful journey into the world of trading chart patterns, where we'll explore how to analyze and leverage patterns like a professional trader. Whether you're new to trading or looking to refine your skills, understanding chart patterns can provide valuable insights into market trends and potential opportunities.
The Power of Chart Patterns:
Chart patterns are visual representations of market behavior, formed by the collective actions of traders. They offer a way to identify potential trends, reversals, and price targets. By recognizing these patterns, you can gain a competitive edge in the markets.
Symmetry ABC Bullish Pattern on EURCAD:
Today, we'll focus on a specific example: the Symmetry ABC Bullish Pattern observed on the EURCAD daily chart. This pattern consists of three distinct legs: A, B, and C.
Leg A: The initial bullish move.
Leg B: The corrective phase, often retracing part of the move from Leg A.
Leg C: The continuation of the bullish trend, exceeding the high of Leg A.
By identifying these legs, we can project potential price targets using Fibonacci extension levels. In our EURCAD example:
100% Target: At 1.50836 - representing a full extension of Leg A projected from the end of Leg B.
127% Target: At 1.52451 - a more ambitious target indicating strong momentum.
162% Target: At 1.54518 - the most aggressive target, suggesting significant bullish potential.
How We Use The Forecast Model PatternsThe current position of all patterns (with the exception of the Cumulus Triangles) are not set in stone. The patterns can extend across many different price and time ranges at any given point in time. The current positions are default locations determined by analyzing the historical average position were each pattern occurred across all cycles. We currently have every pattern in this default position to help us gauge where the Bitcoin price most likely will be in the future, and to compare historical price behavior to the current situation.
Thanks for watching!
4 Classic Bullish Patterns EVERY TRADER Must Know
In the today's post, we will discuss accurate bullish price action patterns that you can apply for trading any financial instrument.
1️⃣Bullish Flag Pattern
Such a pattern appears in a bullish trend after a completion of the bullish impulse. The flag represents a falling parallel channel. The market corrects itself within.
Bullish breakout of the resistance line of the channel is a strong bullish signal that can be applied for buying the market.
Best entries should be placed immediately after a breakout or on a retest.
Safest stop loss is below the lows of the flag.
Target - the next key resistance.
Here is the example of a bullish flag pattern that was formed on Gold on a 1H time frame. As you can see, after the breakout of the resistance of the flag, a strong bullish rally initiated.
2️⃣Ascending Triangle
Such a pattern forms in a bullish trend on the top of the bullish impulse. The market starts consolidation, respecting the same highs and setting higher lows simultaneously.
The equal highs compose a horizontal resistance that is called the neckline.
Its breakout is an important sign of strength of the buyers.
Buy the market aggressively after a violation, or set a buy limit order on a retest.
Stop loss should lie at least below the last higher low within a triangle.
Target - the next strong resistance.
Take a look at that ascending triangle formation on EURUSD.
Bullish breakout of its neckline was a perfect bullish signal.
3️⃣Falling Wedge
That formation is very similar to a bullish flag pattern.
The only difference is that the price action within the wedge is contracting so that the trend line of the wedge are getting closer to each other with time.
Your signal to buy is a bullish breakout of the resistance of the wedge.
Stop loss is strictly below its lows.
Target - the next key resistance.
GBPUSD formed a falling wedge on a 4H time frame, trading in a strong bullish trend.
You can behold how nicely the price bounced after a breakout of its upper boundary.
4️⃣Horizontal Range
Similarly to the ascending triangle, the horizontal range forms at the top of a bullish impulse in a bullish trend.
The price starts consolidation, then, setting equal highs and equal lows that compose a horizontal channel.
Breakout of the resistance of the range is a strong trend-following signal.
Buy the market aggressively after a breakout or conservatively on a retest.
Stop loss will lie below the lows of the range.
Target - the next strong resistance.
Dollar Index formed a horizontal range, trading in a strong bullish trend.
Breakout of the resistance of the range triggered a bullish rally.
The best part about these patterns is that they can be applied on any time frame. Whether you are a scalper, day trader or swing trader, you can rely on these formations and make consistent profits.
Bitcoin with a Breakout/ReTest Remains BullishTraders,
Two posts ago, I showed this bullish triangle. I expected one more drop down inside the triangle and I stated the price support would range between 28,300 and 28,800. We got our drop and we got our support. I remained bullish.
One post ago, I anticipated a breakout to the upside due to patterns remaining bullish. We got our breakout to the upside.
But now where are we at? Well, IMO and according to the charts, we are still positioned biased to the upside. Due to the credit rating downgrade in the U.S., markets are pulling back. Our only question is whether they will now turn bearish? Or, will they remain irrational and bullish. My bet is on the latter but we shall soon find out.
Bitcoin is pulling back with the markets to test the topside of previous resistance as support. If it holds, we'll continue up. If support fails and we drop below 28,500 ish, I will have to reassess the chart.
For now, this classic retest remains yet another bullish signal.
Best,
Stew
Correction to Last Vid ...June 4th NOT June 23rdTraders,
I made a critical data error in my last video in stating that the level we were looking to beat to become more optimistic was June 23rd. That is NOT correct. The date we are looking to beat is June 4th, the day before the SEC lawsuit again Coinbase and Binance was announced. So, you want to draw a horizontal line from that body high on that date as demonstrated in this correction video here. My apologies traders.
Stew
V-BOTTOMTrading V-Patterns
The recognition of patterns and its body of knowledge of how to react and what to expect helps a trader's success.
Traders are always analysing 'Trends' and 'Reversals.' Their eternal question for traders is 'Can the trend continues?'. Knowing trends and trend reversals are critical for any trader’s success.
Chart patterns classification of 'Continuous' or 'Reversal' patterns helps
traders to identify specific patterns and expect their outcome from current price action.
Traders move prices between key support and resistance areas (a tug of war) as their perception shifts between optimism and pessimism. This movement of price adhering to key support and resistance areas create chart patterns.
Reversal patterns exhibit a total shift of trends from bullish to bearish or bearish to bullish in a single pattern structure.
Examples of the reversal patterns are 'Head and Shoulders, Double Tops and Bottoms.
A knowledge of reversal patterns helps traders to estimate the 'end of trends' to execute trades in a timely fashion for maximum gains. This knowledge also helps traders to time the trades in the opposite direction and to place smaller stop levels.
Here I discuss one of the key reversal patterns ('V Chart Pattern') and present examples of how to trade them.
Please note, all V patterns are classified as a bullish 'V-Bottom' and complimentary
bearish patterns ('V-Top').
V Patterns As the name implies, the 'V' chart patterns have the letter 'V' shape and prices shift their momentum from an aggressive sell-off (Bearish) to aggressive rally (Bullish) in its structure.
The 'V' pattern consists of rapid price action and may not be suited for all
casual investors.
The 'V' patterns are formed when its trend is sharply switched from bearish to
bullish (in case of V-Bottom) or bullish (or sideways) to bearish (in case of V-Top patterns).
Trading V-Patterns.
EURUSD Chart it’s a mirror example of how a V-bottom structure looks like.
How to Trade:
Long Above the breakout Neck Line 1.07868
Stops:
Below the low previous to the breakout 1.04819
Targets:
38% Depth 1.12545
62% Depth 1.15479
79% Depth 1.17569
100% Depth 1.20230
Mastering Engulfing Candle Trading
📚Engulfing candles are an essential feature of technical analysis in forex trading. An engulfing pattern happens when a larger candle engulfs the entire body of the previous candle, signaling a potential reversal of the current trend. Engulfing candles, which can be either bullish or bearish, are trusted by many traders for their reliability in predicting future price movements. However, to become an expert in engulfing candle trading, one needs to learn how to identify the best ones and leverage their body size effectively. In this article, we will look at the crucial steps to master this trading strategy.
🔎Identifying the Best Engulfing Candles
One of the key aspects of trading using engulfing candles is knowing how to spot the strongest signals. The best engulfing candles should be resistant to the noise and inconsistent movements that can often occur in the forex market. The first step towards identifying the best engulfing candles is to focus on the size of the preceding candles. Candles with small bodies and long wicks produce too much noise and can lead to false signals. Instead, seek engulfing candles that develop after a significant price move, ideally with a larger body and shorter wick. Higher timeframe charts - like the 4-hour and daily - offer better accuracy in identifying reliable engulfing patterns.
💪Leveraging Body Size for More Efficient Trading
The size of an engulfing candle’s body plays a crucial role in determining the strength of a trend. A larger body indicates more significant price movement and more active participation from traders. The size of the engulfing candle can also help ascertain the potential strength of the new trend. Bigger body sizes usually signal a stronger trend, whereas smaller bodies usually represent a more moderate price move. Traders can leverage body size to adjust their trading strategy – for instance, employing wider stop losses for more significant movements or using tighter take profit targets for moderate trends.
I have collected couple of good engulfing candles that we were trading with our team.
Take a closer look at their body sizes and the previous candles.
Such candles alone can provide fantastics trading opportunities.
🔔Conclusion
Engulfing candles are an essential tool in forex trading, and their size can significantly help traders identify the best entry signals. Traders who master engulfing candle trading can develop a more accurate technical analysis strategy that yields high returns. By continually analyzing candlestick patterns and using other technical analysis tools, traders can build robust investment strategies that enable them to become profitable forex traders.
What do you want to learn in the next post?