Patternsandstructure
Trade idea - AUDUSD Long4H
Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern potentially in play.
Clear support & resistance zone is there.
Corrective approach towards entry zone.
Market moving in Bull Flag formation.
Fibonacci completions aligning with entry zone.
= Confirmation to place Buy limit.
1.5% risk.
Aiming to take full profit at Daily TP.
10:1 Risk-to-Reward Setup - Bull Flag Breakout with Multi-TimeThis trade setup shows a confluence of multiple factors, aligning with a high-probability approach. Here's the breakdown:
Bull Flag Breakout:
The trade initiates after identifying a bull flag, which is a common continuation pattern following an impulsive upward move. This flag signals consolidation before a further upward push. The breakout from the bull flag gives a strong entry point.
Entry Criteria:
The entry was placed at 2560.404, slightly above the breakout area, ensuring momentum confirmation.
A Stop-Loss (SL) of 30 pips was positioned below the structure, protecting the trade while allowing enough room for price fluctuations. This is crucial to avoid tight stops that may trigger prematurely.
Key Support/Resistance Levels:
5M Lower Time Frame (LTF) S/R: This level acts as a lower frame confirmation zone, ensuring support below the bull flag breakout.
15M Support/Resistance (S/R): The larger structure aligns with the 5-minute support, adding strength to the trade by recognizing that price is supported by multiple timeframes.
Target (TP) and Higher Time Frame (HTF) Confluence:
300 Pips TP is based on the HTF Trendline, offering a solid risk-to-reward ratio of 10:1. This suggests the trade is aligned with a broader market trend, increasing the probability of success.
Zone of Liquidity (LQZ):
5M LQZ represents a liquidity grab, further confirming that the market might push upwards after grabbing liquidity near support.
Key Confluences:
Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Price action supports the move on both lower and higher timeframes.
Risk Management: A well-defined stop-loss ensures minimal risk with a substantial reward target.
Pattern Identification: The bull flag within the trend adds reliability, as flags in impulsive moves offer strong continuation signals.
This trade follows the "Rule of Three," where at least three confirmations (bull flag, multiple timeframe support, and risk/reward alignment) give the highest probability of success.
Chart Patterns Within Patterns: A Guide to Nested Setups Daily Chart Analysis:
Pattern Overview:
The daily chart shows an Ascending Channel formation, which generally indicates a bullish trend but can also signal a potential reversal if the upper trendline acts as strong resistance.
Within the ascending channel, there are continuation patterns such as smaller bull flags, which suggest bullish momentum continuation.
Key Resistance and Liquidity Zone (LQZ):
The upper trendline of the ascending channel aligns closely with the recent highs around the $2,530 - $2,540 region, creating a significant resistance area.
The 1-Hour Liquidity Zone (LQZ) at $2,486.793 is marked below the current price, indicating potential areas where price might retest before any significant upward or downward move.
Potential Reversal Signal:
The upper boundary of the ascending channel has recently been tested multiple times, and each time, there has been a slight pullback, indicating selling pressure. This could be a precursor to a possible reversal if this level is not broken with conviction.
4-Hour Chart Analysis:
Nesting Patterns:
The 4-hour chart also reveals several nested patterns within the broader ascending channel, including smaller bull flags and a potential double-top pattern forming at the resistance zone.
The price action is consolidating below the resistance line at $2,530.750, creating a possible Double Top scenario, which could indicate a bearish reversal if confirmed by a breakdown below the neckline support.
Impulse and Correction Phases:
The recent impulsive moves upwards have been followed by corrective pullbacks, which have been forming higher lows, reinforcing the bullish bias in the medium term.
However, the proximity to the resistance and the potential double-top formation might signal caution for long positions.
1-Hour and 15-Minute Chart Analysis:
Short-Term Structure:
The 1-hour chart shows a more detailed view of the recent consolidation phase near the key resistance level. There are signs of weakening momentum as prices approach the upper trendline.
The 15-minute chart further shows a tightening range and potential bear flag or a descending channel, which could indicate a short-term bearish continuation if the lower trendline of this smaller pattern breaks.
Critical Levels:
The support level around $2,486.793 (1HR LQZ) is critical for intraday trading. A break below this could lead to a sharper correction towards the lower boundary of the ascending channel on the daily chart.
For bullish continuation, a clear break above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance with strong volume would be needed to confirm further upside potential.
Trading Strategy and Recommendations:
Bullish Scenario:
Look for a strong breakout above the $2,530 - $2,540 resistance on the daily chart, accompanied by increased volume and a break above the smaller continuation patterns (flags) on the lower timeframes.
Enter on a reduced risk entry after a pullback to the breakout level, with stops placed below the recent consolidation range or the 1-Hour LQZ.
Bearish Scenario:
Watch for a confirmed Double Top breakdown on the 4-hour chart, with a clear break below the neckline support around $2,486.793.
Consider short positions on the break of the neckline or after a retest of the breakdown level, with stops placed above the recent highs or the upper boundary of the descending channel on the 15-minute chart.
Risk Management:
Given the proximity to a key resistance level and the potential for a reversal, it is crucial to manage risk carefully. Use tight stops and consider reducing position size until a clear directional move is confirmed.
XAU/USD Strategy: Pattern Recognition and Trade ExecutionComprehensive Market Breakdown for XAU/USD (Gold Spot) Based on Multi-Time Frame Analysis
Overview:
The analysis of XAU/USD across multiple time frames (15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour) indicates a complex market structure with both bullish and bearish signals. This detailed breakdown will provide insights into the current market conditions, key patterns to watch, potential trading strategies, and risk management considerations.
1. 15-Minute Time Frame: Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Pattern Details:
Symmetrical Triangle: This pattern is characterized by converging trend lines connecting lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision in the market.
Apex Proximity: The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, suggesting a potential breakout is imminent.
Implications:
Neutral Bias: The symmetrical triangle does not inherently suggest a bullish or bearish bias but indicates a potential breakout in either direction depending on market sentiment.
Volume Confirmation: A breakout with a significant surge in volume will confirm the direction of the move.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the upper trendline with strong volume, consider entering long positions targeting previous resistance levels.
Bearish Breakout: Conversely, if the price breaks below the lower trendline with increased volume, consider short positions targeting previous support levels.
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the opposite side of the breakout point to mitigate risks from false breakouts.
2. 30-Minute Time Frame: Mixed Channels (Descending and Ascending)
Patterns Observed:
Descending Channels: Suggest bearish continuation if in a downtrend or a potential reversal if broken to the upside.
Ascending Channels: Suggest bullish continuation if in an uptrend but signal a potential reversal if broken to the downside.
Market Implications:
Corrective Phase: The presence of both descending and ascending channels indicates the market is in a corrective phase, oscillating between support and resistance levels.
Range-Bound Trading: Until a significant breakout occurs, the market is likely to remain range-bound.
Trading Strategy:
Range Trading: Consider buying at the lower boundaries of the channels and selling at the upper boundaries.
Breakout Preparation: Prepare for a potential breakout by setting alerts around key levels (upper and lower boundaries of the channels).
Stop-Loss Placement: Place stops just outside the channels to protect against unexpected breakouts.
3. 1-Hour Time Frame: Rising Wedge Pattern
Pattern Details:
Rising Wedge: This pattern is characterized by higher highs and higher lows within a narrowing upward slope, typically a bearish reversal pattern.
Implications:
Bearish Reversal: The rising wedge suggests that upward momentum is weakening, and a potential breakdown could follow.
Reversal Zone: The price is near the upper boundary of the wedge, which may serve as a reversal zone, especially if a breakout to the downside occurs on high volume.
Trading Strategy:
Short Entry on Breakdown: Enter short positions if the price breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge with confirming volume.
Target Levels: Target the lower boundary of the larger ascending channel or previous support levels as take-profit points.
Stop-Loss Placement: Set stops above the most recent high within the wedge to protect against false breakouts.
4. 4-Hour Time Frame: Broader Rising Channel and Nested Patterns
Patterns Observed:
Broad Rising Channel: Indicates a larger uptrend is intact, providing a bullish bias.
Nested Descending Channels: Smaller corrective patterns within the broader uptrend suggest temporary pauses or consolidation phases before potential continuation moves.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance at 2,540: A break above this level would suggest a bullish continuation and potential for new highs.
Support at 2,470: A break below this level would indicate a significant shift in market sentiment towards bearishness.
Market Implications:
Potential Continuation or Reversal: The larger rising channel gives more weight to potential continuation moves, but the presence of smaller corrective patterns within suggests caution.
Echo Phase: The nested descending channel could represent an echo phase, a corrective move within the larger uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
Long Positions on Break Above 2,540: Enter long positions if the price breaks above this resistance level with confirming volume.
Short Positions on Break Below 2,470: Consider short positions if the price breaks below this support level with increased volume.
Volume Confirmation: Ensure any breakout is confirmed with a surge in volume to avoid false signals.
Risk Management: Use wider stops given the higher time frame context to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
5. Synthesis of Multi-Time Frame Analysis:
Confluence of Patterns: The alignment of rising wedges, symmetrical triangles, and mixed channels across multiple time frames suggests a market at a critical juncture. The presence of both bullish and bearish signals indicates that the market is poised for a decisive move.
Key Takeaways for Traders:
Patience and Discipline: Wait for confirmed breakouts with volume before entering trades. Do not rush into trades without sufficient confirmation.
Adaptability: Be prepared to adapt strategies based on the direction of the breakout or breakdown. Use alerts and monitor key levels closely.
Focus on Higher Time Frame Signals: Higher time frame signals carry more weight and should be given priority when making trading decisions.
Risk Management: Employ tight stops and carefully manage position sizes to limit exposure in case of adverse market movements.
6. Final Recommendations:
Potential Bullish Scenario:
Watch for a break above 2,540 on strong volume across multiple time frames. A confirmed breakout could lead to a bullish continuation towards new highs.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Monitor for a breakdown below 2,470, especially if supported by a break of the rising wedge and descending channel patterns. A breakdown here would signal a shift to a bearish trend.
By combining these insights with real-time monitoring of market conditions, traders can enhance their decision-making process and capitalize on high-probability trade setups in the XAU/USD market.
Gold Faces Critical Resistance: Will the Bull Run Continue?Chart Overview
Timeframe: 1-hour chart
Exchange: OANDA
Current Price: 2444.100
Key Levels and Zones
4HR LQZ: 2474.524
1HR LQZ: 2370.122
Support Level: 2348.660
Key Low: 2287.754
Patterns and Channels
Descending Channel:
The price moved within a descending channel before breaking out.
Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) formed within this channel.
Ascending Channel:
The price moved into an ascending channel after breaking out of the descending channel.
Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) are visible, indicating a potential upward trend.
Current Price Action
Recent Higher High (HH): Price reached a higher high at the top of the ascending channel.
Potential Lower High: There is a possibility of forming a new lower high, as indicated by the recent price action near the 4HR LQZ.
Rejection at 4HR LQZ: The price touched the 4HR LQZ and showed signs of rejection, pulling back slightly.
Inset Chart: DXY
The inset chart displays the DXY (US Dollar Index), which shows a descending pattern, potentially indicating USD weakness. This is relevant because gold often inversely correlates with the USD.
Market Sentiment
Bullish Signs:
The breakout from the descending channel.
Formation of the ascending channel with higher highs and higher lows.
Bearish Signs:
Rejection at the 4HR LQZ.
Potential formation of a new lower high, indicating possible weakness or a reversal in the uptrend.
Summary
The XAUUSD chart shows a recent breakout from a descending channel and the formation of an ascending channel, suggesting a short-term bullish trend. However, the price faced rejection at the 4HR LQZ and is showing signs of forming a potential new lower high, which could indicate a reversal or consolidation phase. Monitoring key levels and market sentiment (especially USD movements) will be crucial for future price action.
Gold Just Left me behind... AGAIN! Here's How you can Avoid This1. Daily Trendline
Description: The yellow trendline running across the chart represents the overall upward trend on the daily timeframe. It shows that despite the recent fluctuations, the long-term trend has been bullish.
Significance: This trendline serves as a dynamic support level. Traders often look for price action around this trendline to gauge the strength of the ongoing trend. A break below this trendline could signal a potential reversal or a stronger bearish movement.
2. Ascending Channel
Larger Ascending Channel:
Description: This channel is characterized by two parallel lines (yellow) sloping upwards. The price has been moving within this channel for a considerable period.
Significance: The upper boundary acts as resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. The price breaking below the lower boundary can indicate the end of the bullish trend and the beginning of a bearish trend.
Smaller Ascending Channel:
Description: A smaller channel within the larger context, indicating a shorter-term upward movement.
Significance: The break below this smaller channel, as shown on the chart, signifies a potential reversal or correction within the larger trend.
3. Support/Resistance
Description: Horizontal lines marked as support and resistance represent key price levels where the price has historically faced buying or selling pressure.
Significance: These levels are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. The support level acts as a floor where buying interest is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Conversely, the resistance level acts as a ceiling where selling interest prevents the price from rising further.
4. Higher High (HH) and Lower High (LH)
HH (Higher High):
Description: A peak higher than the previous peak, indicating the continuation of an uptrend.
Significance: The formation of a higher high typically signals bullish momentum. However, in this case, the subsequent failure to maintain this level and the formation of a lower high (LH) suggests weakening bullish strength.
LH (Lower High):
Description: A peak lower than the previous peak, indicating potential trend reversal.
Significance: The lower high after a higher high is a bearish signal, suggesting that buyers are losing control and sellers are gaining strength.
5. 15M/5M Bear Flag Entry
Description: A bear flag pattern on the 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes is highlighted. This pattern consists of a sharp decline followed by a short consolidation in the form of an upward-sloping channel (flag).
Significance: The bear flag is a continuation pattern, indicating that after a brief consolidation, the price is likely to continue its downward movement. The breakout from this flag pattern provides a potential entry point for short positions.
6. Target Profit Levels (TP 1 and Daily LQZ/TP 2)
TP 1 (2,347.560):
Description: The first target profit level is set at 2,347.560.
Significance: This level is likely determined based on historical support levels or a measured move from the recent price action. Traders might look to take partial profits or exit their positions at this level.
Daily LQZ/TP 2 (2,265.195):
Description: The second target profit level is set at 2,265.195, which aligns with the daily liquidity zone.
Significance: This is a more ambitious target, potentially indicating a stronger bearish move. The liquidity zone suggests an area with significant trading volume, which could act as a magnet for the price.
Conclusion
The chart presents a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD (Gold Spot) with multiple technical indicators suggesting a potential bearish outlook. The breakdown from the ascending channels, the formation of a lower high, and the bear flag pattern all point towards a continuation of the downward trend. The identified support and resistance levels, along with the target profit zones, provide clear benchmarks for managing trades.
Gold at Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown? Dont Miss It!Technical Breakdown for XAUUSD
Impulsive Move and Correction:
The price made an impulsive move upwards, indicating strong bullish momentum initially.
After reaching the peak, the price began to form a correction pattern, which typically suggests that the trend might continue in the same direction after the correction is complete.
Descending Channel:
Within the correction, a descending channel formed. This pattern often indicates that once the correction is over, the price may break out in the direction of the original move (downwards in this case).
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
1HR LQZ / Reversal: The current price is around the 1-hour Liquidity Zone, a critical area where buyers or sellers are likely to step in, potentially causing a reversal or significant price movement.
4HR LQZ: A longer-term liquidity zone that acts as a strong support level, where price may react and change direction.
Daily LQZ: Another significant support level on a daily timeframe that can influence long-term price movements.
Key Observations:
Lower High (LH): The chart shows a lower high, suggesting a potential bearish trend continuation.
Correction Pattern: The price forming a correction pattern within the descending channel indicates that traders should watch for a potential breakout, likely to continue the downtrend.
Trading Insights:
Trend Continuation:
The correction pattern within the descending channel suggests a possible continuation of the downtrend. Traders might look for breakout signals below the channel to confirm this move.
Reversal Potential:
If the price holds at the 1HR LQZ or breaks above the descending channel, it could signal a bullish reversal, providing an opportunity for upward trades.
Key Levels to Monitor:
1HR LQZ: Watch for price reactions around this level for potential short-term trading opportunities.
4HR and Daily LQZ: These levels are crucial for identifying long-term support and resistance, offering potential entry and exit points based on how the price interacts with them.
Summary
Understanding impulsive moves, correction patterns, and liquidity zones can significantly enhance your trading strategy. By observing how price reacts at these key levels and patterns, you can make more informed trading decisions. Watch for breakout signals from the correction pattern and monitor the liquidity zones for significant price reactions to identify potential trading opportunities.
Is Gold About to Surge or Drop? Handle XAUUSD's Next Big MoveChart 1: 15-Minute Timeframe
Key Observations:
Trendlines: The chart displays an ascending channel pattern. The upper and lower trendlines are drawn to capture the price action within this channel.
Resistance Zone: There is a marked resistance zone around 2470-2480, where the price has faced rejection multiple times.
Support Levels:
Immediate Support: The lower trendline of the ascending channel acts as immediate support.
LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2429.19, there is a significant level indicated, likely a liquidity zone or a potential reversal point from a higher timeframe.
Chart 2: 1-Hour Timeframe
Key Observations:
Higher High (HH): The chart indicates a higher high formation at the recent peak, suggesting an uptrend.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the resistance zone around 2480 and holds, it could target higher levels around 2520 and potentially 2550.
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to break the resistance and instead breaks down from the ascending channel, it could move towards the LQZ/Reversal points at 2429.19 (1-hour) and 2391.39 (4-hour).
Support Levels:
1-Hour LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2429.19, providing a potential support zone for a bullish reversal.
4-Hour LQZ/Reversal Point: At 2391.39, indicating a deeper support level from the 4-hour timeframe.
Immediate Support: The lower trendline of the current ascending channel.
Summary:
Immediate Focus: Watch the price action around the resistance zone (2470-2480) for potential breakout or rejection.
Bullish Confirmation: A breakout and retest above 2480 could signal a continuation towards higher targets.
Bearish Confirmation: A breakdown from the ascending channel and below the immediate support levels could trigger a move towards the lower LQZ/Reversal points.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 2470-2480
Support: 2429.19 (1-hour LQZ), 2391.39 (4-hour LQZ)
Gold at Record Highs! Breakout or Imminent Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
Gold Breaks 4HR Liquidity Zone: Reversal or Continuation?We provided a really clear outlook on XAU/USD yesterday evening at the start of Asia Session to look for a move to the top side or a possible start to reversal depending on reaction to the support zone being offered.
Today we have a BEAUTIFUL 4HR LQZ being shown in this chart that we are currently participating inside of. Will price reverse after hitting our TP or Do we continue to follow the trend that is being given.
CORE LESSON:
When gold is in areas of unknown price that you have never traded before the TREND is your friend. You can find yourself wanting the market to do something because it fits your BIAS and plan better but the market is the wild west and it doesn't have to do anything you want. You anticipate and don't get caught on the side of just reacting to price.
Yesterday evening at the start of the Asia Session, we provided a crystal-clear outlook on XAU/USD. We were looking for a move to the upside or the potential beginning of a reversal, depending on the reaction to the support zone.
Today, we are witnessing a BEAUTIFUL 4HR LQZ on this chart, and we are currently trading within it. The big question now is: will the price reverse after hitting our TP, or will it continue to follow the existing trend?
CORE LESSON:
When gold trades in uncharted territory, the trend is your friend. It's easy to develop a bias and want the market to fit your plan, but remember, the market is like the wild west—it doesn’t have to do what you want. Stay ahead by anticipating market moves and avoid getting caught reacting to price action.
ADDITIONAL INSIGHTS:
Understanding market psychology is crucial in these scenarios. Traders often get trapped in emotional decisions, influenced by fear and greed. Maintain discipline and stick to your trading plan. Watch for key levels and patterns that can indicate potential reversals or continuations.
Utilize proper risk management strategies to protect your capital. Setting stop-loss orders and taking profits at predefined levels can help mitigate risks and secure gains. Always be prepared for multiple scenarios and adjust your strategies accordingly.
Remember, successful trading is about adapting to market conditions and making informed decisions based on thorough analysis. Stay patient, stay focused, and keep learning from each trade to improve your skills and outcomes.
Master Gold Trading in High-Volatility Zones! Unlock Risk Manag.In this video, I delve into the crucial aspects of Risk Management and share my insights on interpreting the market when it is in critical zones, just like the one displayed on our current XAUUSD chart. Here's what you can expect:
Risk Management Techniques
Learn the strategies I employ to manage risk effectively, ensuring that my trades are protected against sudden market moves. I will cover:
Setting appropriate stop-loss levels below key support zones like the 15M LQZ.
Calculating position sizes based on account equity to maintain a disciplined approach.
The importance of risk-reward ratios in ensuring long-term profitability.
Market Perception in Key Zones
I explain my approach to analyzing the market when it is within significant liquidity zones (LQZ), as seen in the chart. This includes:
Understanding price behavior around Daily LQZ (2,450.370), 4hr LQZ (2,447.909), 1hr TP/LQZ (2,419.054), and 15M LQZ (2,399.472).
How these zones influence my trading decisions and help identify potential entry and exit points.
Time Frame for Trade Execution
Discover the time frames I focus on when executing trades in these volatile zones. I discuss:
Benefits and drawbacks of different time frames.
Why certain time frames, such as 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts, are more suitable for analyzing price action and making informed trade decisions in the current market context.
Trading Sessions Participation
Gain insights into which trading sessions I actively participate in and why. Understanding the dynamics of different sessions (Asian, London, and New York) can significantly impact your trading strategy and execution. I will share:
My preferences and how each session's characteristics influence market volatility and trading opportunities.
The best times to trade gold (XAUUSD) based on historical volatility patterns.
Chart Analysis Overview
We analyze the current XAUUSD chart showing an ascending channel, highlighting key support and resistance levels. Key technical points include:
Support Levels: Near the bottom of the ascending channel and around 2,399.472 (15M LQZ).
Resistance Levels: Near the top of the ascending channel and around 2,450.370 (Daily LQZ).
Price Action: Higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend. A noticeable spike breaking through the channel suggests strong buying interest at lower
levels.
Potential Trade Setup
Long Position: Consider entering near the lower boundary of the ascending channel or the 15M LQZ support level, targeting the 1hr TP/LQZ or the Daily LQZ.
Stop Loss: Place below the 15M LQZ to manage risk.
Key Takeaways
Master the art of risk management to safeguard your trades.
Learn to perceive and analyze the market effectively within key liquidity zones.
Understand the importance of selecting the right time frame for trade execution.
Know which trading sessions offer the best opportunities and align them with your trading strategy.
Live Gold Trade Analysis: Catching the Breakout! Did I Miss It?Key Levels and Zones:
4hr LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Marked at around 2437.909 - 2440.000.
This is a higher timeframe liquidity zone which often acts as a strong resistance or support level.
1hr TP 4 / LQZ:
Marked at 2419.433.
This level is a target point or liquidity zone on the 1-hour chart, indicating a significant level where price may react.
15M LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Marked at 2404.619.
This is a key level on the 15-minute chart, suggesting an area where there is liquidity, and price may find support or resistance.
LQZ 1hr:
Marked at 2396.143.
Another liquidity zone on the 1-hour chart, which acts as an important support or resistance area.
Other Levels:
2390.821
2386.644
2379.627
Chart Patterns and Movements:
The price has shown a significant rise recently, breaking through multiple levels of resistance.
There is a noticeable ascending channel marked with blue dashed lines, indicating an overall uptrend on this timeframe.
The highlighted blue zone around 2390.821 - 2396.143 indicates a previous consolidation or support area that has now been broken through.
The most recent price action shows a pullback after hitting the 1hr TP 4 / LQZ level at 2419.433.
Key Observations:
The price is currently hovering around the 15M LQZ at 2404.619, which could act as immediate support.
The significant rise and sharp move up might indicate a bullish momentum in the short term.
The break above the blue highlighted zone suggests that the price might find support here if it pulls back.
Potential Trading Strategies:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above the 15M LQZ at 2404.619, consider looking for buying opportunities with targets at higher liquidity zones such as 2419.433 and beyond.
A break above 2419.433 could further validate the uptrend, aiming for the next liquidity zones.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above 2404.619 and breaks below, consider looking for selling opportunities targeting the next support levels at 2396.143, 2390.821, and lower.
Range Trading:
If the price consolidates between 2404.619 and 2419.433, consider trading within this range, buying near support and selling near resistance.
Weakness in Bullish momentum. Did we see the top for Nasdaq?Lets look at CAPITALCOM:DXY
Currently with a Bullish structure and slow build up Long.
Seems it is attempting to reach that Monthly Area low.
Bullish Dollar=Bearish Equities....Right?
Well this has not been the case these particular past couple of weeks.
We have not seen with clarity the inverse correlation between DXY and Equities. In fact everything has been manipulated up.
Yes! I wrote manipulated do not get hung up on the word.
Back to Indices.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
CME_MINI:ES1!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
These have a strong Bullish structure. NQ is showing signs of repricing with this pullback.
-Is it sufficient to slow down current Bullish momentum?
-Is NQ leading the indices in a reversal?
These are all valid questions, yet we do not have enough data to validate either or.
Bearish Equities seasonality could have kicked in.
This is the week of confirmation or at the very least for price to provide some sort of hint.
My targets for NQ providing price action confirms it are either a repricing to 17107.25 or a break of Highs.
-If we take out lows first then I would expect price to rally once again and make another attempt at Highs.
-An attempt at highs at the beginning of the week will look favorable for the Bears salivating over the Volume Void right at 17107.25
Here is a view of Weekly Charts for:
ES
YM
NQ