Catch Big Market Moves: How to Trade Liquidity Zones Like a Pro The charts provided showcase potential scenarios based on different liquidity zones (LQZ) on multiple timeframes, such as 15M, 1H, and 4H. Let's break down the key insights from the images:
Key Levels:
Weekly Flag Trendline: This yellow trendline represents the long-term trend and acts as a major resistance or support. It’s crucial to monitor price action around this level for significant moves.
4HR LQZ (Liquidity Zone) at 2,532.077: This level signifies an important area of liquidity on the 4-hour chart. It’s a potential reversal point or continuation area depending on how the price interacts with it.
1HR LQZ and 15M LQZ: These shorter timeframe liquidity zones are at 2,482.129 and 2,470.544 respectively. They act as interim targets or bounce zones based on the smaller trend movements.
Price Action Context:
Wedge Formation: The rising wedge pattern visible in all the charts, combined with slowing momentum near the top, suggests possible bearish pressure. Wedges often lead to sharp breakouts, so a breakout to the downside would align with the wedge structure.
Multi-Touch Confirmation: The multiple touches on trendlines, both support and resistance, increase the probability of significant movements. This concept is supported by multi-touch confirmation techniques.
Scenario Planning:
Upside Potential: A breakout above the 4HR LQZ suggests further bullish momentum, likely toward higher liquidity zones. This can result in a continuation to the upside, as shown with the green line projection on some charts.
Downside Risks: A breakdown below the wedge support and failing to hold the 15M or 1HR LQZ may lead to a bearish move toward the lower liquidity targets. The yellow line projections suggest a pullback to 2,485.055 and potentially lower.
The Trinity Rule Approach:
Confluence Setup: If price interacts with three major zones (like the 4HR LQZ, wedge support, and Weekly Flag Trendline), we can assess whether these align with other signals. This rule adds extra confirmation for higher-probability setups, as discussed in your document.
Overall, price action shows a decision point around the wedge and liquidity zones, with strong reactions expected in either direction.
Patterntrader
BTCUSD - 100k but not an easy path..COINBASE:BTCUSD has had a fairly decent run this year and looks like it will continue. The path seems to be filled with decent Pullbacks to scare a few people but overall looking like 100k will be the major target for now.
The multi year ABCD from the 2020 low gives us a target around the next major level of 80k. The question now is if this PB we had from Thursday is done or will we see one more move lower to the 382 from this move up around the 60k level.
There are a couple of major turn points coming up that I will post.
I will take a look at the shorter TF as well to give some levels to watch.
US Interest Rate decision on Wednesday this week as well will move the market as well.
S&P500 - Possible Short Term Top in. OANDA:SPX500USD is looking like its in the end of the move higher. Thursday/Friday were very slow after the early week rally even with NFPs giving things a spike.
now we look for Monday to give us some clues for the next move.
Option 1 - We get a move down to 5320 before one more high up to 5400 area.
Option 2 - The top is in on this run from the April low and we get a deeper PB down towards 5200 followed by another ATH around 5500.
Option 3 - But less likely, it holds Fridays lows and we get one more run up to 5400 then a deeper correction.
Things to watch going into this week with Inflation data Wednesday/Thursday and the next Interest rate decision out of the US Wednesday were they are expected to keep things at the same level.
I will also post expected intra-day movements throughout the week.
Enjoy the week, watch for Monday clues.
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Stop-Loss: 1490
Target: 2000
Consider exiting half your position after a 10-12% gain and hold the rest to capture the trend.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions.
DXY in a critical area.. TVC:DXY - Is in a critical area now almost completing an ABCD rally. Why its so critical is that if it fails in this area then it will likely drop down to the 102.00 area. In turn this will likely give the Indices that one last push higher to complete patterns. If it starts rallying through the 104 level then we will likely see a run to the bigger upside pattern at 108-109 area which will give us a deeper correction in the Indices and likely GOLD. 🧐🧐 Big few days ahead.. 💰💰
USOIL - Start of a corrective rally??FX:USOIL looks to have created a short term low just below 7300.
Im now looking at a rally so watching this PB going into Monday for a potential move back up towards 78-80.
Watching for 7400-7480 on Monday to hold for the next move higher.
Enjoy the week. More updates coming.
GOLD - Deeper correction coming!!FOREXCOM:XAUUSD had a nice $100 drop on Friday with a further correction likely of the next week, but with Inflation data & Interest rates this week it could get wild.
Firstly i'm looking for a low to come in then I will look to Sell on the first decent PB.
First target is the ABCD from the top @ around 2250 but then we could hit the 382 from the October low last year just above 2200. This is the key level for the bullish continuation.
Enjoy the week. Shorter TF levels to watch posted later with points to watch this week.
DOW JONES - Completed Pattern. OANDA:US30USD While the OANDA:SPX500USD & OANDA:NAS100USD have been hitting new highs the DOW has struggled and has completed a Double ABCD Gartley pattern on friday and sold off into the close.
Setting up potential downside targets of 38300, 37800 & to complete the bigger pattern @ around 37k.
If we start heading lower on Monday then that could put the wheels in motion for the bigger correction.
Big data out mid week will send it one way or the other.
Enjoy the week.
I will post shorter time frame areas to watch with potential intraday turns points.
ETH - Getting close to Major levels. COINBASE:ETHUSD is moving towards some major levels in time and price.
We have the equal time and price with the August 2022 high, April 2023 high giving us a potential high around the 17th of December.
There are double 1.27% Extension areas from those previous 2 highs around 2300.
The 382 from the ATH @ 2400 and if we break that then the 2600 level will be waiting with double 1.618% Extensions.
Once a top comes in the retracement will be key to the next move.
I will post smaller TF targets shortly.
An interesting run into the end of the year might set up the course for next year.
Enjoy the Week. 👍👍
SPX500 - Completing a multi year pattern FOREXCOM:SPX500 After this big run up from October last year we are getting close to some serious headwinds. The major ABCD Pattern comes in a little higher around the 5220 area where there are multiple smaller TF patterns completing. I will post them after to show target areas.
This ties in with the DXY completing an ABCD rally. If that turns lower then this run might continue a bit longer.
Friday after a bearish Thursday is generally Bullish so watch thos key levels around 5220 later this evening.
A break of yesterdays lows will open up the possibility of more weakness and a deeper correction..
Enjoy the day.
DOW - At ATH's 38k next Target. BLACKBULL:US30 is sitting at the top of the move with what is looking like one more move higher into 38k before we see a decent retracement.
In the smaller TFs there is a pattern setting up giving us potential upside targets.
I go into more details of these levels to watch in my group.
Once the high comes in we look at the retracement to see if its going to be bullish or bearish. But first we need a top, then we can go from there.
I hope this helps. Enjoy the week.
DXY, GOLD & THE EURUSD - All coming together. TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:EURUSD Are all setting up for the same move so we need to pay attention.
GOLD - after going through the ABCD down yesterday it now looks as though its going to be headed lower to complete the bigger ABCD down towards 1920 and the next day or 2 will give us the set up.
DXY - looks like it wants to push higher towards the 108-109 area.
EURUSD - Will then follow the Gold and look for lower prices.
The next couple of days are key and we also have NFPs Friday before the US Open which will give these markets a push either way.
I hope this helps, Enjoy the week.
EURJPY: Price Action Based Short 🇪🇺🇯🇵
EURJPY formed a head and shoulders pattern after a strong bullish impulse.
The violation of its neckline signifies the exhaustion of the market
and a highly probable initiation of a correctional movement.
I expect a retracement at least to 157.1
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USDCAD - Hitting Major Double ABCD/Gartley Buy Zone.OANDA:USDCAD Has hit a major Double ABCD/Gartley Buy Zone. With the DXY also getting close to a reversal area this could be one to watch.
There is also the 61.8% level from the September low.
A multi month pattern that lines up nicely.
Enjoy the week.
I will be back posting more content going forward.
USDJPY - Heading to lower target AreaOANDA:USDJPY is finally headed lower towards the 145.00-145.50 area where there are multiple patterns completing. From here we should see some type of rally and the way it moves will give us the clues for a bullish or Bearish continuation.
Def one to watch over the coming days.
NFPs tomorrow which will stir the $$ up either way.
Enjoy the day.
GBPUSD - Extended into the 61.8% area. OANDA:GBPUSD Has extended higher into the 61.8% level @ 1.2720. Now with other USD pairs we look at the DXY to see if its going to hold these levels or break in which case we will see higher Indices, Gold & USD Pairs.
Big couple of days ahead. If it breaks these levels then the 78% & 1.2900 would be the next target..
With other straight line moves its best to wait for a top to come in and break then Sell the first 382 PB.
Will be keeping an eye on this one.
EURUSD - Spike low sets up a corrective move. OANDA:EURUSD After a spike low on Friday we now look for a correction before more downside.
If it doesn't bounce and breaks below 1.0840 then I will have to adjust to a new move, but for now this is the best looking scenario.
Once this smaller move completes that will give us the upside target where I will look to Sell.
An Intra-Day look but I will post the longer term outlook as well.
Enjoy the week. Plenty happening.
GOLD & SILVER @ KEY SUPPORTFOREXCOM:XAUUSD & FXOPEN:XAGUSD are at key Double Fib levels at the same time. We are also in a Change in Trend Window today and with a lot of things at extension levels and with Interest rates in the US coming out tonight its setting up for a volatile day.
I hope this helps.
Enjoy the day.
ETH - Still chasing the 650 area!!COINBASE:ETHUSD has started the next leg lower which im thinking could finish around 650-700. The 88.6% retracement from the ATH.
There are other possibilities with 1200 holding followed by another rally above 2k then lower from there but as it stands it looks as though it could follow the stockmarket down as well.
Looking for a retracement to sell short again where ever this low comes in.
Another big week ahead. 👍👍
📊 Diverse Chart ApproachesHere is a diverse chart approach for trading that includes some tips:
📍 Use multiple timeframes:
Analyzing charts at different timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly, monthly) can provide a broader perspective on market trends and potential trading opportunities.
📍 Combine chart types:
Using different types of charts, such as line, bar, and candlestick charts, can provide different insights into price action and help identify support and resistance levels.
📍 Apply indicators:
Technical indicators, such as moving averages and oscillators, can be applied to charts to identify potential entry and exit points, as well as confirm price trends.
📍 Incorporate chart patterns:
Chart patterns, such as triangles, flags, and head and shoulders, can be used to identify potential price breakouts and reversals.
📍 Use trendlines:
Drawing trendlines on charts can help identify potential areas of support and resistance, as well as indicate trend direction.
📍 Keep it simple:
While it's important to use a diverse range of charting techniques, it's also important not to overload charts with too much information. Keeping charts clean and easy to read can help avoid confusion and lead to more effective trading decisions.
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🔠 The ABCD PatternThe ABCD is a basic harmonic pattern. All other patterns derive from it. The pattern consists of 3 price swings. The lines AB and CD are called “legs”, while the line BC is referred to as a correction or a retracement. AB and CD tend to have approximately the same size. A bullish ABCD pattern follows a downtrend and means that a reversal to the upside is likely. A bearish ABCD pattern is formed after an uptrend and signals a potential bearish reversal at a certain level. The rules for trading bullish and bearish ABCD patterns are the same, you will just need to take into account the direction of the pattern you trade and the movement of the market it predicts.
🔷Classic ABCD
The point C should be at 61.8%-78.6% of AB. The point D, in its turn, should be at the 127.2%-161.8% Fibonacci expansion of BC.
Notice that a 61.8% retracement at the point C tends to result in the 161.8% projection of BC, while a 78.6% retracement at the C point will lead to the 127% projection.
🔷AB = CD
Here CD has exactly the same length as AB. In addition, it takes the market the equal time to travel from A to B as from C to D. As a Result, AB and CD have the same angle. This type of ABCD pattern is seen quite often and is popular among traders.
🔷ABCD Extension
ABCD extension refers to when CD is the 127.2%-161.8% extension of AB. CD can be even 2 times (or more) bigger than AB. There actually are some signs that can hint that CD will be much longer than AB. They are a gap after point C or big candlesticks near point C.
📊Trading with ABCD pattern
The key thing you should remember is that you can enter the trade only after the price reached the point D.
Study the chart looking at the price’s highs and lows. It may be helpful to use ZigZag indicator (Insert – Indicators – Custom – ZigZag) that marks the chart’s swings.
Watch the price as it forms AB and BC. In a bullish ABCD, C must be lower than A and should be the intermediate high after the low at B. Point D must be a new low below B.
When the market arrives at a point, where D may be situated, don’t rush into a trade. Use some techniques to make sure that the price reversed up (or down if it’s a bearish ABCD).
The best scenario is a reversal candlestick pattern. A buy order may be set at or above the high of the candle at point D.
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SPX - Gaps to fill?? UpdateSP:SPX Cash market has a few gaps still to fill.
Current rally from Friday which should follow through into Tuesday due to the market holiday tomorrow.
A high percentage of times after a holiday the market is bullish so thats why im looking for that move higher to complete the pattern.
If its going to fail then it will happen between 3850-3900. 50-78.6% retracements from the current levels.
Other than that we will see what the futures markets have in store for us Monday and early Tuesday.
We also have a critical turn point later in the week to watch.
I hope this helps. Enjoy the week.