US OIL - Potential upside move to 78.00TVC:USOIL After the Gap up on Monday we got a nice retracement back to the 61.8% level yesterday followed by a 200 point rally.
Now there is the same pattern on a smaller scale but the same set up.
if it holds above 71 then the intra-day upside target is 73.00 but there is a chance that on the higher TF we could get to 78.00.
See how this one plays out.
I will post updates as it goes along.
Patterntrading
Chart Patterns: Mastering Price Patterns for Successful TradesChart patterns are powerful tools that allow traders to anticipate market movements and make informed trading decisions. This trading idea focuses on mastering various price patterns to enhance trading proficiency. By gaining expertise in recognizing and interpreting chart patterns, traders can identify high-probability trade setups, optimize entry and exit points, and increase their chances of success in the market.
Objective:
The objective of this trading idea is to equip traders with a comprehensive understanding of different price patterns and their significance in technical analysis. By mastering these patterns, traders can effectively analyze market trends, identify potential reversals or continuations, and make well-timed trading decisions.
Key Components:
Introduction to Price Patterns:
Begin by understanding the fundamentals of price patterns and their importance in technical analysis. Learn about the types of patterns, including reversal patterns (such as head and shoulders, double tops/bottoms) and continuation patterns (such as flags, triangles, and rectangles). Gain insights into the characteristics and significance of each pattern in predicting future price movements.
Reversal Patterns:
Dive into studying popular reversal patterns that indicate potential trend reversals. Explore patterns such as head and shoulders, double tops/bottoms, and triple tops/bottoms. Understand how to identify these patterns, confirm their validity through volume analysis, and generate entry or exit signals. Analyze real-life examples to strengthen your pattern recognition skills.
Continuation Patterns:
Explore continuation patterns that suggest the resumption of existing trends. Study patterns like flags, triangles (ascending, descending, symmetrical), rectangles, and wedges. Learn how to interpret these patterns to validate trend direction, anticipate breakout or breakdown levels, and improve trade entries. Understand the importance of volume and other technical indicators in confirming continuation patterns.
Complex Patterns:
Delve into more advanced and complex patterns, such as the cup and handle, head and shoulders inverse, and ascending/descending triangles with multiple touches. Gain insights into the nuances of these patterns, their variations, and their potential impact on price movements. Understand how to incorporate these patterns into your trading strategies for enhanced accuracy.
Pattern Confirmation:
Learn techniques to confirm the validity of price patterns and reduce false signals. Explore additional tools and indicators such as trendlines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, and oscillators to validate and reinforce pattern signals. Understand the importance of multiple confirmations for higher-probability trades.
Trade Management and Risk Control:
Develop effective trade management techniques to maximize profits and minimize risks when trading price patterns. Learn how to set appropriate stop-loss levels based on pattern structures and support/resistance levels. Understand position sizing and risk-reward ratios to optimize risk management. Explore techniques for trailing stops and scaling out of positions to maximize gains.
Backtesting and Paper Trading:
Apply your knowledge by backtesting price patterns using historical market data. Utilize paper trading or demo accounts to practice trading based on your analysis without risking real capital. Evaluate the performance of your pattern-based strategies, identify strengths and weaknesses, and refine your trading approach.
By mastering price patterns and effectively utilizing them in your trading approach, you can significantly improve your trading outcomes. This trading idea aims to provide you with the knowledge and skills necessary to navigate the markets with greater precision, identify high-probability trade setups, and achieve consistent trading success.
Note: Trading carries a level of risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. It is important to conduct thorough research, practice proper risk management, and consider personal circumstances before making any trading decisions.
1,2,3 Confirmation PatternWhat does it consist of?
It consists primarily of 3 candles, and the fourth one is where we will enter the operation. In a bearish scenario the High of 2nd candle must be higher than the high of the 1st candle. The high of the 3er candle must be below the high of the 2nd candle. The 4th candle must re test the point of origin of the 3er candle.
How can you use it?
It is extremely important to complement and use this with a strong idea of where the price is heading. To know where the price will move, we need to understand that it moves towards the most liquid areas. The most liquid areas can be the unfulfilled Daily, Weekly, or Monthly lows and highs.
Where should you place the entry?
You should wait till the 3er candle close and place the entry at the point of origin of the 3er candle.
Where should you place the stop loss?
The stop loss should be above the 3er candle.
Important
I use this technique in D,W and M timeframes. After establishing a bias I look for the pattern. After the 3er candle is complete I move to 1hr or 15minutes to find the point of origin of the 3er candle.Then, I place the order.
Cup and Handle Trading Guide ☕️
The cup and handle pattern is a continuation chart pattern that looks like cup and handle with a defined resistance level at the top of the cup.
It forms from a strong drive up that pulled back and consolidated over a period of time creating the cup before making another push to the resistance where it pulls back again but not as far creating the handle and then makes it final push past the resistance level and continuing on the trend.
How To Trade A Cup and Handle Pattern
To trade using a cup and handle strategy, place your stop buy order a little higher than the handle’s upper trend line. Your order will only execute if the price breaks through the pattern’s resistance.
As an alternative you can wait for the price to close higher than the handle’s upper trend line, and then place a limit buy order a little bit lower than the breakout level for the pattern, which will execute if the price retraces.
However, you will face the risk of missing the trade if the price fails to pullback and continues to advance uninterrupted.
💫Useful tips:
The ideal cup pattern should not be too deep. Avoid patterns with handles that are too deep as well, since the handles should be forming somewhere in the cup pattern’s top half.
The volume should be decreasing as the price declines, and then stay lower than the average seen in the base of the cup. The price should increase as the security starts to move higher toward the previous high.
The retest at the end of the cup pattern does not need to directly reach the previous high, but the further the top of the handle is from the old high, the less significant the breakout from the handle’s bottom may be.
Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post?
Ascending Triangle Alert on USDINR.A pattern has formed on the USDINR chart with a flat resistance top at around 83 and a rising trendline with gradually higher supports. It could be identified as an ascending triangle pattern.
A breakout in either direction could increase momentum and open up a range of about 3 rupees.
Keep watch.
A big fall on AUDJPY - Selling at 92.20 There are many reasons to like this trade.
1) AUDJPY is overbought on H4. It showed a strong reaction at 92.25 and dropped.
2) It has made a double top on H4 with divergence.
3) There is a big pattern to sell.
4) There is a M15 sell pattern as well.
The move at a minimum should be aiming for 91.40 and then hopefully lower.
Good luck!
XAUUSD LONG IDEAGold broke out of grey trendline and the 4h zone(1970.50 - 1975.40) on 19/05 (friday) then retested it and now forming a triangle pattern. Looking to take a long position if a candle pattern presents on smaller zone (purple zone within the grey) or if there is a break of bearish trendline of the triangle pattern up until the black trendline above
$F - Descending TriangleThe bears have been able to drive this market downwards at steadily lower up swings. And conversely, the bulls have not been able to drive this market past its previous swing highs since August 2022.
Although this chart pattern and price action behavior is suggestive of bearish dominance in this market. Although the price is trading below the key EMAs. The longer time frames and the RSI bullish divergence formed from July to October 2022, does not allow us to jump into conclusions as to how to form our bias.
More important perhaps than forming our bias here, is to register how neatly this pattern is being formed, from volatility to the lack of it. To the extent that the price is now trading in a very narrow range. To the extent that a breakout with conviction in either end of the triangle, now, will be a revealing signal of where this market wants to go.
Despite the sensation of control that any sort of analysis might lend you, please note that the future is unknown. For this reason, risk management is the real name of the game here. Remember to keep your positions small and dispersed.
Cheers,
Tenacious Tribe - Backtested Trading Strategies & Studies
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Necklace Pattern = KECLMy favorite "Necklace Pattern" is getting unfolded in "KECL" on monthly Time Frame. In fact, this Kirloskar Group is seriously re-vamping all its group companies & it's evident in their charts as well!
Referring Monthly TF on BSE Chart since NSE has limited data to study for this scrip.
Cheers!
AAPL - Time for a Correction??NASDAQ:AAPL Has rallied 35% this year and is coming into Earnings this week.
Most of the other Tech giants have reported and have had rallies, Is AAPL going to continue this or are we due for another correction to get long.
If its really bullish like the last move a move back to 160 would be all we get. If it breaks through these levels then 150-155 is the next level.
There are smaller patterns completing around 170-171 so these are the levels to watch.
US Interest rates this week which will give a bit of volatility and the VIX is at very low levels not seen since 2021.
These are the conditions setting up this week.
Enjoy the week.
Learn the Strongest Reversal Candlestick Patterns
Hey traders,
In this educational article, we will discuss powerful reversal candlestick patterns that every trader must know.
Bullish Engulfing Candle
Bullish engulfing candle is one of my favorite ones.
It usually indicates the initiation of a bullish movement after a strong bearish wave.
The main element of this pattern is a relatively big body. Being bigger than the entire range of the previous (bearish) candle, it should completely "engulf" that.
Such a formation indicates the strength of the buyers and their willingness to push the price higher.
Bearish Engulfing Candle
The main element of this pattern is a relatively big body that is bigger than the entire range of the previous (bullish) candle.
Such a formation indicates the strength of the sellers and their willingness to push the price lower.
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Bullish Inside Bar
Inside bar formation is a classic indecision pattern.
It usually forms after a strong bullish/bearish impulse and signifies a consolidation.
The pattern consists of 2 main elements:
mother's bar - a relatively strong bullish or bearish candle,
inside bars - the following candles that a trading within the range of the mother's bar.
The breakout of the range of the mother's bar may quite accurately confirm the reversal.
A bullish breakout of its range and a candle close above that usually initiates a strong bullish movement.
Bearish Inside Bar
A bearish breakout of the range of the mother's bar and a candle close below that usually initiates a strong bearish movement.
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Doji Candle (Morning Star)
By a Doji we mean a candle that has the same opening and closing price.
Being formed after a strong bearish move, such a Doji will be called a Morning Star. It signifies the oversold condition of the market and the local weakness of sellers.
Such a formation may quite accurately indicate a coming bullish movement.
Doji Candle (Evening Star)
Being formed after a strong bullish move, such a Doji will be called an Evening Star. It signifies the overbought condition of the market and the local weakness of buyers.
Such a formation may quite accurately indicate a coming bearish movement.
I apply these formations for making predictions on financial markets every day. They perfectly work on Forex, Futures, Crypto markets and show their efficiency on various time frames.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CGPT 1H Elliot waveCurrently retraced to under.18 on some exchanges earlier, a bit more to go before a break or full retrace to around .11-.12. Monthly token unlock a probable cause of a harsh correction before rise to .31 as well as a BTC correction before 30k. NFA I'm looking at the .17 and .12 for additional entry and exit at .42 if momentum keeps up