Regis Resources Limited (RRL) - LONGRegis Resources Limited (RRL) - LONG
Regis Resources, together with its subsidiaries, engage in the exploration, evaluation, and development of gold projects in Australia. The company owns 100% interests in the Duketon project located in the North Eastern Goldfields of Western Australia; and the McPhillamys project situated in the Central Western region of New South Wales. Regis Resources Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Technicals:
This is a med/long term hold for me with a phenomenal RRR. On my previous analysis I mentioned that from the extension of the descending triangle, a further move down to the $3.15-$3.35 mark was imminent (which is coincidentally where the long term trendline support, and major all time fib support of 78.6% exist). A long entry around this area would present extremely good risk/reward. Conservative traders could look for a dow entry off the bounce.
Fundamentals:
RRL is significantly undervalued. It has a PE ratio of 9.5 compared to the Metals and Mining industry average of 12.6. Furthermore, it’s PE ratio (9.5) compared to the Australian market (22.6) makes it even better value.
RRL also has very high quality earnings (see attached spreadsheet) and has historically grown by 15% annually (this year actually at @ 22.2%).
It’s net profit margins have consistently increased as well. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to look at the escalation of the revenue and profit over the past 5 years to tell that this is a company that is very well structured and financially stable; 5 years ago it’s debt to equity ratio was 4.9% and now it is debt free and also has a 23.9% return on equity.
It’s seen some noticeable purchasing from directors and major shareholders since November, which is also a positive sign.
Although the average management tenure is 1.4 years, Mr. Jim Beyer, has been the CEO and Managing Director at Regis Resources Limited since October 15, 2018. Previously he was the CEO of Mount Gibson Iron Limited from December 2011 to May 14, 2012 and its Chief Operating Officer from November 2011 until May 14, 2012. In addition he has also held general management roles with Newmont Mining Corporation where he was responsible for the development and implementation of Business Improvement initiatives and Technical Services support across the Asia Pacific region. He served as Operations General Manager for Boddington Gold Mine from 2007 to 2010, where he was responsible for start-up preparations, commissioning and production ramp up. He was General Manager of the Pajingo Gold Mine from 2004 to 2006. He has a broad range of operating and start up experience encompassing 25 years across a number of commodities. In the past ten years he has held general management, operational and planning roles with WMC Resources at its Olympic Dam operation. Mr. Beyer holds a Bachelor of Engineering (Mining) degree, a Masters of Geoscience (Mineral Economics) and is a Vice President of the Executive Council of the Association of Mining & Exploration Companies (AMEC).
Never take stock tips. Educate yourself and always DYOR whilst implementing a rigid risk management plan before investing your own money.
Patterntrading
FLYY Golden Cross AlertWatch for the break out on the RSI. #Goldencross is very bullish and volume comes in fast and price can go parabolic. This ones been consolidating slowly and is due for its continuous uptrend. #roundingbottom
TSLA - just guessingPatterns
- increasing slope with every bull run so far
- price appears to be at new furthest point from 55 EMA in stock history
- stock is 10x after one year and 2x in the last three months
- EMAs spread wide
Other Potential Factors
- buys from S&P inclusion to run out eventually
- looks like bitcoin did three years ago (crazy impulse wave)
- is the company really doing that much better than last year?
- market cap is 32 x revenue from 2019
Doubts About My Prediction
- investors may believe too strongly in long-term to sell
- strong company and leader in uncertain times
- extremely high brand affinity
- betting against Elon Musk is historically proven to be a bad idea
***IMPORTANT***
I'm very new to this, don't trust me!
SPY: A Trump & Biden ElectionI think the market is smart. We need to read its psychology. I received countless texts, calls and DM's about this election year and the potential results. Well its tough. I have many friends on both sides of the spectrum and some of Biden's and even California's tax plans is really important to understand.
While it would potentially take years and months to implement and Republicans are anticipated to control Congress and a decent control in the Supreme Court. This is important in providing the Check's & Balances in our Primarily Two Party System. (I see you Green & Libertarian Party).
Thus far we are in a consolidation phase. It is hard to call this pattern a rising wedge...which often leads to a bear reversal. Is that something we are going to see under Biden? Or do we predict one final big run in the market and if Biden win's we can potentially see huge sell off's prior to the execution of his tax plan. Its a big WHAT if scenario.
I will be very honest and say I am not to sure about who is going to win. Biden looks to have the advantage with the various votes coming in at the last minute. I'll leave conspiracies and my personal political values on the sideline.
Chart Wise:
We set two Lower Highs.
Two Higher Lows.
Consolidation theory makes sense considering the election year.
IF we want to hit a big final push into HH...which seems a bit insane in this market, but potentially possible if Trump wins. The amount of people who have sat sidelines cash and waiting for a Orange Hair win is quite large. I know real estate developers and investors who told me if Trump wins they will go full steam ahead in their developments and acquisitions. So can this be a big driver for people who have money? Maybe.
I also heard of many saying they will pull out of the market if Biden wins and slowly decrease their ownership of stock to preserve portions of their wealth.
What is MOST important during this time is to BUY LOW & SELL HIGH. Be patient. Try not to touch anything at ATH's. The best posture is a defensive one. That being said I opened position around the time of the second lower high. It was a easy trade that benefitted me greatly in the last two days. So if you are willing to take a little risk try and enter as close to the bottom of the symmetrical triangle.
Again, these are all my personal opinions and not professional advice. Do your own due diligence and trust your own gut. If you have any other perspectives please let me know! I would like to continue to educate myself and see how other trades think and perceive the markets.
Thanks again. Stay safe & Happy Hunting!
Reg.
BTCUSD - DAILY - POTENTIAL BEARISH BAT I'm not a Bitcoin or Crypto follower at all, but I glanced at it this morning after getting a question about it & saw that from a technical perspective we have a potential bearish bat pattern setting up on it. If you're someone who is predicting more future consolidation this we would a perfect opportunity to sell at the previous level of structure resistance.
Akil
NZDUSD - 4HR - Potential Bearish Butterfly & Cypher FormationsWe have 2 potential bearish pattern formations setting up here on the NZDUSD 4 Hour Timeframe. A potential Bearish Butterfly (in purple) & a potential bearish Cypher (in blue). The completion zone for both of these patterns line up at a retest of previous structure highs (for the butterfly specifically) proving a good shelf to place protective stops.
I hope you guys have a great week of trading. Another pretty heavy week of news releases so stay safe out there!
Your Trading Coach - Akil
CADJPY - 4 HOUR - A Butterfly Pattern That I Actually LikeYou don't see me post a lot about the Butterfly Pattern or any of the others that have a "D" Completion point beyond the "X" leg because they don't fit within my philosophy & how I value structure. With that being said I don't dislike the pattern, infact it's one of my favorites from a price action psychology perspective (which we won't get into here).
But what makes this potential Bearish Butterfly Pattern stand out is the fact that we wouldn't have to have a blind stop loss because the D completion actually lines up with a higher timeframe level of structure looking left. This adds more confluence to the opportunity whether you're a butterfly trader or a structure playing looking to build your CTS score at that level. Either way I think it's a decent opportunity to look for shorts.
If you have any questions or what to leave any comments about this idea please do so below. Also, don't be shy about sharing how you view this pair as the more ideas we have the more newer traders get to learn.
Your Trading Coach - Akil
USDCAD - 1 HOUR - BULLISH GARTLEY - A LOOK AT SECONDARY CHANCESBefore the close on Friday we saw the completion of a bullish Gartley pattern here on the USDCAD at 1.3054. Price immediately pushed down (causing us to adjust our targets) before closing slightly higher to end the week. For those who didn't have a chance to get involved in this opportunity, there are 2 ways that you can still do so.
1) Let a buy limit order at the original D completion price & IF price works it's way back to that level THEN you'll be filled at the same price were supposed to be filled at anyway.
2) Wait for a more conservative entry such as a retest of the lows & a hold. This is called a Double Bottom and it would provide more confirmation than the limit order that price is likely to hold that level.
As always if you have any questions, comments, or just want to share some feedback or your ideas, please don't hesitate to leave them below in the comment section.
*There's also a bigger potential bullish cypher on the 4h hour chart. I'll link that idea below*
Your Trading Coach - Akil
USDCAD - 4 HOUR - POTENTIAL BULLISH CYPHERHere on the USDCAD 4 Hour timeframe we have a potential bullish Cypher Pattern setting up. Not shown on this chart, but if you look left we've just run into a zone of previous structure support around the 1.30 level & my higher timeframe analysis sees this as a level in which we may see a bigger reversal than just the small relief that is usually expected from pattern trades.
*In another post I'll share the at market Gartley Pattern that we have on the hourly chart*
As always if you have a questions, comments or just wanted to share your idea on this pair please do so below!
Also how about those Everton signings! :-)
Your Trading Coach
Akil
GBPAUD - 1 HOUR - MULTIPLE PATTERN FORMATIONSWhen the market is in consolidation (not trending/between trends) a lot of people tend to shy away because there is no clear directional movement. This is true, but it doesn't mean that there aren't trading opportunities available.
If you're an advanced pattern trader then periods of consolidation are times when you need to be on alert for setups as they are typically plentiful.
In this example, we have no idea on which way price is going to ultimately go, but as you can see, whichever way it does, there will be a potential opportunity to take advantage of.
Wishing you the best today in the markets & as always if you have any questions, comments or just want to share your view on things please leave it in the comment section below & I'll be sure to respond.
Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan!
Your Trading Coach - Akil
Ascending Triangle on AUD/JPY @ D1An ascending triangle on the daily chart of AUD/JPY offers a bullish breakout opportunity. The triangle's borders are marked with the yellow lines. My potential entry is marked with the cyan line. My potential take-profit level is marked with the green line. The stop-loss is to be set to the low of the triangle at 71.591.
Double Top on AUD/NZD @ H4A double top pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart of AUD/NZD. The tops are marked with the yellow brush; the neckline is marked with the yellow dash-line. My potential entry level is at the cyan line. My potential take-profit level is at the green line. Stop-loss can be set to the high of the breakout candle (not shown on the chart).
ESP35 - Bearish Gartley In Bigger Bear Pullback SetupI just started watching this index a few days ago after one of our live room members brought it up, so I have zero understanding of it's personality. Now I know that may seem dumb to many of you but it's actually very important since different setups perform differently depending on the markets personality. (THAT'S WHY WE BACKTEST)
But last week we broke a pretty decent level of structure support & we were waiting for a retest of that previous support turned potential resistance to be used as a chance to hop on a bearish pullback trade to the downside.
After some consolidation, we've no put in a bearish Gartley pattern which can be used as an aggressive reason to enter the aforementioned pullback trade.
Akil
STRONG DAILY EVENING STAR IN EUR/USD, real or fake ?As you can see in EURO/USD there is a very strong daily candelstick pattern which you know it as a EVENING STAR!
What is an EVENING STAR? An Evening Star is a stock-price chart pattern used by technical analysts to detect when a trend is about to reverse. It is a BEARISH! candlestick pattern consisting of three candles: a large white candlestick, a small-bodied candle, and a red candle.
so clearly we have a fight between bulls and bears in euro/usd :
Fundamental view: as you know euro has very strong bullish fundamental news rather than US and the factors effecting on USDOLLAR during opening economics after pandemic , not very intresting for SELLERS !
so now what is my idea ? im searching for short-term intraday in euro/usd because its too soon to tell you about changing the trend in euro/usd.
I expect to see euro/usd bulls at first hours of next day trying to raise the price somewhere between 1.1820 - 1.1850, then bears come and use good sell situation and price falls 1.1720-1.1700.
important demand area for euro/usd bulls : 1.1720-1.1700
GOLD | XAUUSD | Log Time Pattern Analysis (Since FEB 2019)This is a representation of all major pattern trade occurrences in Gold since February 2019. Each 👍 represents a winning trade and each 👎 represents a losing trade. (Only found 2 losing trades since Feb 2019)
And the good news is that price is on the way to another winning trade right now!!
Look inside to see yourself 👍
Disclaimer : This is just a representation of my personal trading analysis and should not be considered as any financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100 - 4 Hour - Bat Pattern Within High & Tight Flag PatternIt's hard to show the bigger & smaller picture here without having a very ugly looking chart, but the NAS100 has been bullish lately & is now forming a sideways channel at the end of it's last extension higher. This formation is called a high & tight flag formation & it's one of my favorite setups for breakout/Continuation trading.
Something that we also know is that Advanced Pattern formations often form during periods of consolidation in the market & what we currently have forming is a potential bullish bat pattern with a completion point towards the lower end of the channels range.
Entering at the bottom of the range is risky because it doesn't provide confirmation of a bullish breakout, but what it does provide is an opportunity to create an excellent risk to reward situation. Because this is an index (which is typically more directional) I look at a conservative target being the retest of the channels highs & using an active trade management method to trail stops while you look to be involved in the continued move higher.
I hope you guys have a great weekend & as always if you have any questions, comments or just want to share your analysis, please leave them below.
Your Trading Coach - Akil
FAIRCHECM SPECIALILTY - BAT PATTERNFairChem Speciality daily chart has a Bat Pattern Probability
Bat pattern is the most common and frequent pattern among all other harmonic patterns and the best part is,it gives you a better risk: reward ratio.
.886 Fib Retracement of XA leg and 2.618 projections of BC leg , whenever these two ratios aligns in close proximity, it provides a tight zone to execute a trade entry with good risk reward ratio.