Patterntrading
SOL PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE SHORT TERM (UPDATED)The total evaluation for the SOL asset is bearish. Please be reminded that the price action displayed is quite similar to the previous updates in my profile ideas, but with considerable amount of differences involved. All fundamentals behind the market structure shown below are explained in the BTC and ETH chart. Thank you. Here are the analyses for the decisions, structure and trend below:
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Pattern Analysis
The asset itself has been developing a higher-high rejection from a very obvious point of past support now-turned resistance 40-42$ level and a breakdown to the 31-33$ is very likely to be expected. A right shoulder is also possible to show a re-test of that high just to confirm the failure to sustain any bullish bias sending the price to the original support down to 25-27$. There is a slight resemblance of a descending triangle, but the most likely pattern to associate the current market structure with is the Head and Shoulders Pattern. The HnS is normally a bearish pattern that is further amplified with negative fundamentals and low volume. An invalidation point of such pattern is when the current downturn towards 31-33$ has served as support for another leg up potentially breaking 40-42$, however it has to be supported with proper volume and fundamentals or else it would just be deemed as a manipulation wick for market makers to grab liquidity from stop losses and overleveraged shorts.
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Wave Analysis
The price flow of the structure projected is NOT RANDOM but is mimicked similarly to past previous references of such market structure behavior especially after a significant downturn. When the HnS is confirmed, the support around 25-27$ would most likely NOT be broken down very easily and just like our re-tests above, the support will now be continuously re-tested multiple times until a further breakdown is established. The reasoning for such higher edge of a breakdown is the negative fundamentals in smart money markets and as well as other crypto related issues (exchanges withholding funds, etc.)
When we meet the support again, we will have a very tight consolidation from 25$ to 33$ until we break down. The 200 Day MA will possibly intertwine with the shorter moving averages at its tightest range and this is a potential manipulation ground for market makers to squeeze in either direction. A personal tip is to wait for confirmation on the breakdown or breakup before re-entering positions even IF the MAs fully crossed together.
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Trade Analysis
The initial short trade is shown to have a potential of up to 1:3 Risk Reward Ratio with the stop loss being the highest point of the HnS pattern which is exactly 43$. There will be 2 open short positions which 1 will be used to take profit as early as dropping to the 31-33$ region and another position that will be held until it drops to 25-27$. If in any case that the 31-33$ level has acted as a consistent demand level, you will not close your 2nd short position until it hits the original price you shorted from at break-even (no loss except for fees). You will re-evaluate your options then before entering the same short position again with the same target being 25-27$.
The second set of short positions is shown to have a 1:2 Risk Reward Ratio with 43$ being the stop loss area and the first take profit level will be around the 25-27$ region with the latter being around 15-20$. The reason behind ignoring the take profit level at 31-33$ level is that will already have served as resistance. As I mentioned before, a consolidation pattern will happen at the bottom of the range before a further breakdown. It is carefully advised to not revenge trade at any cost nor do you overleverage beyond what you think you cannot afford to lose, the key to leverage is to prepare yourself mentally and emotionally on what you think you can tolerate to lose WITH RESPECT to your profit and loss calculations, liquidations, time tolerance and fundamentals.
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-Wamses
Nasdaq Firstly Order Block Short, Later LongNasdaq firstly order block short, later head shoulders long can follow zones.
USDCAD - FUNDAMENTAS WITH TECHNICAL LEVELS- DXY is currently at 104.105 LEVEL. The USD traded slightly lower with the MARKET RISK OFF in the last few days. Also, at present the CAD FEATURE is at 0.7725 LEVEL. However, CAD is a bit WEAK compared to DXY. Due to this USDCAD is becoming BUY. This is because the USD receives a POSITIVE SENTIMENT and the USD receives a RATE HIKE SENTIMENT.
- USDCAD PRICE can be DOWN to 1.2732LEVEL before re-UP. After that the USDCAD PRICE can be UP again to 1.3189 LEVEL. The USD is slightly stronger at this time due to the MARKET SENTIMENT. The OIL PRICE applies to USDCAD, and the decisions made at OPEC MEETING will have the greatest impact on USDCAD. You can be a DXY UP from FOMC UPDATES today. So stay tuned for that.
ICICIBANK technical analysisNSE:ICICIBANK
In ICICIBANK
I used auto harmonic pattern to predict the market if u also want to use this then follow the steps:
1) open "indicator" and search "auto harmonic pattern" and click on it.
2) open "settings" and go to "style" and remove "table".
3) this indicator will automatically generate targets.
And if u want to understand more then follow us and observe how we give targets and find levels:-
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If it breaks downward level (* 715* ) as you can see in the chart above, then our :-
Targets :-- 685 , 625.
Make sure that market may retrace after achieve target.
For more such information stay connected with us.🤘🤘🤘
AUDJPY - ONE MORE MOVE LOWER!!FX:AUDJPY is setting up for one more move lower into the 92.00-92.20 area.
This would complete a 3 Drive pattern into 92.00. At this level where I will be looking for a buying opportunity as we have the 50% and 61.8% levels from previous lows together which makes a stronger case for a reversal.
We also have the AI expecting lower prices.
If it doesnt rally back to 93.56 then I will be selling the first retracement from the current drop @ 11:00am.
Another look at how AI and patterns can work together to give us a strong case for a trade.
I hope this helps, Enjoy the day. 👍👍
BITCOIN - ONE MORE LOW TO 23kPatterns repeating over and over.
In this look at COINBASE:BTCUSD we are having another rally which should stop around the 34k level which in itself is a major Fibonacci number (34). This should start the last leg lower into 23k where we have the 1.618% extension from the last low.
If it manages to get through the 34k level and hold above there then 34k becomes the support then there could be a higher level to watch but for now this is how its playing out.
I hope this helps, updates coming with AI as we follow this move.
Potential Bull Run in Bitcoin, Elliott Wave AnalysisBitcoin outlook: We are tracking an ABC flat correction that is nearing completion. We are currently in wave 5 of (C). We are watching for a small bounce, then one last push down to an area of Fibonacci confluence around the $20,000 - $24,00 area. We expect price to reverse at that level, beginning the final bull wave of the larger term wave sequence.
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USDJPY - CURRENT SENTIMENT , FUNDAMENTAL BIAS- JPY FEATURE is going down a bit right now. Somehow it will come back up. The main reason for this is that the MARKET SENTIMENT RISK ON TONE is still playing. JPY FEATURE stands at 0.0074 LEVEL. According to the JPY ECONOMIC PROJECTION, JPY can be WEAK in the future as well. Already JPY WEAK is coming with JAPANESE UPDATES. But if the MARKETS RISK continues to be ON, the USDJPY price may go up further. USDJPY stands above DYNAMIC LEVELS.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently showing a NEUTRAL BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL RISK TONE in the market. Therefore, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD may definitely be slightly RANGE in the future. Also JPY CHF can be UP.
- USDJPY PRICE can be REJECT from 135.429 LEVEL. For VOLATILITY UP, and JPY FEATURE UP.
If MARKET RISK OFF, it can continue to fall to USDJPY 129.852 LEVEL very easily after breaking the TREND LINE.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- US10Y is currently slightly up to 3.0% LEVEL. Like we said before, it's been a bit of a CORRECTION in the last few days. We can see that the POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD ECONOMIC DATA is also very POSITIVE for DXY.
- The power of USD is still very strong in GOLD. US10Y was largely VOLATILE on the behavior of LABOR DATA. DXY has been DOWN very fast for the last few days. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. DXY is getting a bit down but now it's getting a bit UP up with the MARKET RISK OFF. Also when we look at DXY it has moved to DXY 101.87 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently slightly higher than DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but may be more DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR in the future. So it can be a bit UP before SELL right now. In a DOWN SIDE CHANNEL a GOLD can be seen moving.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently showing a NEUTRAL BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL RISK TONE in the market. Therefore, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD may definitely be slightly RANGE in the future. Also JPY CHF can be UP.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN until 1910 LEVEL. So GOLD is more likely to go back to the 1910 LEVEL. Then you can BREAK TREND LINE and definitely DOWN up to GOLD price 1786 LEVEL. If the TREND LINE is BREAK, you can go up to GOLD 1765 LEVEL DXY or US10Y if there is a UP TREND again.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAGUSD Silver : Stairway to heaven? Bull flag behemoth! 25.5A "bull flag" is a bullish candlestick pattern which is defined by -
1) A linear movement up (flag pole)
2) A tunnel or channel which is on top of the linear movement up (flag)
3) A break above the top of the channel which is the continuation of the up-trend (target)
The target is the size of the flag pole movement stretched from the breakout of the tunnel. In this specific case the long-term target is around $45.
The tunnel or channel range is between 20.20 - 26.20
Looking at the MACD we are furthest away from the baseline since March 2020 and showing convergence similar as back than before the flag pole movement of $17, which of course is a very bullish technical sign.
Silver is fundamentally bullish as well due to rising inflation globally.
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Bearish Flag on EURCHFBased on technical factors (Bearish Flag) there is a short position in :
📊 EURCHF
🔴 Short Now 1.0270
🧯 Stop loss 1.0360
🏹 Target 1 1.0230
🏹 Target 2 1.0132
🏹 Target 3 0.9999
💸Capital : 1%
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BTC LONG POSITION 15' CHARTIn this 15' chart we are looking at the possibility of a long position due to the ascending triangle pattern that has been created. Only thing to take in mind is the volume factor that might change the rule of the game but we are just making assumptions and creating possible chart strategy in case of breakout of the resistance line.