Patterntrading
NZDJPY, 1h, potential patterns - Gartley and BatDuplicate patterns are in progress in NZDJPY 1h timeframe.
Looking at 4h timeframe, we see that we have a slight upward trend, although daily shows something else.
So little caution and possibly even further confirmation may be desirable.
The Gartley pattern is the first to be complete and therefore traded upon given confirmations after tested PRZ.
Should the Gartley pattern "fail" and price continues to decline, we'll look at the Bat pattern in the same way.
We see quite strong movements back and forth generally so that a Fib. retracement 38.2% could be reached on respectively
patterns are not at all unreasonable.
Awaiting test of PRZ for further decisions.
AUDJPY, 15min, ascending triangle - aggressive entry This is an example of a trade with aggressive entry on an ascending triangle.
Trend is up and this technique takes both that and the psychology of the pattern into consideration.
SL just below structure and targets up in higher TF structures.
Great R:R but keep in mind that this IS an aggressive entry. Alot of traders, including myself, would like to get more confirmation
but I took this one just to demonstrate.
GBPUSD, 1H, potential Bat patternBat patterns with good ratios and momentum down to the D point.
GBPUSD is In a downtrend, looking at Daily Time Frame, so we use a tight SL and realistic price targets, since most likely only a pullback is to wait.
We also have a strong daily support level just below PRZ, which means I'm expect price movements down there before we see a turn.
In other words, PRZ is not as strong in setups like this, but is still important to measure and keep track of when the pattern is valid and if it can handle price movements below without being stopped out, alternatively, invalidate the pattern for an entry when the price get up to PRZ again.
The prize must test the entire PRZ.
If the price goes down and tests the support level - it should not close below the intended SL level.
EURNZD, Daily, a structure trade.Some might allready have taken a trade on the previous test of the structure forming this consolidating zone of range bounde movement.
I did not, for reasons not having to do anything with the setup, and therefore (following my plan) I´m waiting for a new setup.
We might not see a complete doubletop so a entry just below, from this ongoing pullback, after a candlestick confirmation or likewise
might become a trigger point. With a double top we will probably also see RSI Divergence as another confirmation.
SL just above the structure and at least a target down at a structure that has been a proven turningpoint several times, even though the
"zone" bottom is lower. A second position could be at that bottom or a trailing stop - looking for the bottom to break.
Allthough, my bias is bullish, since we have a bullish trend and this is a typical bullish flag - so I´m holding my targets within the zone.
EURUSD Gartley Pattern (Bearish)?Today we have seen this pair push well below our trendline which indicates a lot of selling pressure from the bears. After yesterday's daily close (indecision) and today's rejection off of the low 1.1690, the scale slightly favors the bears. With that said, we are looking at the Bearish Gartley pattern. I don't trade these patterns often but feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.
Happy Trading, folks!
Cheers!
EURUSD - A Head & Shoulders to Go With Our 2 Pattern FormationsFirst and foremost I want to wish you a great week of trading! I wanted to briefly follow up on my previous EURUSD 0.04% post & show you that we also have a potential head & shoulders top forming as well for those who did not catch the initial downward move.
Also congrats England! Way to make it to the Semi's Let's see if it's really Coming Home
Your Trading Coach Akil
Bullish Pennant on CAD/JPY @ D1The bullish pennant on the daily chart of CAD/JPY can be used for trading an upside breakout. The pennant and its pole are marked with the yellow lines. My potential entry level is a the cyan line. My potential take-profit level is at the green line. I will set the stop-loss to the low of the breakout candle (not shown).
AUDJPY, 15min, potential Bat patternWe are in an underlying down trend, which means that you should be a little extra restrictive with patterns like this.
The bat pattern is relatively deep (B-point), which also speaks for smaller profit target(s).
PRZ coincides with a smaller support level which can speak for at least a 38.2% recoil to make a small profit.
If you run 2 positions you have to be tight with SL and maybe even trail it to protect at least a smaller profit for
this 2nd position - it is all up to one's own rules for trade management.
AUDJPY, Structure tradeAUDJPY has been moving between 2 levels for a while now and once again we can see reaction from the resistance.
Just as a additional confirmation I used Bollinger bands on 1hr to confirm that it was over extended there as well.
Looking at the lower TF, 15min, we can also see that we have a RSI Divergence.
You could go for 2 positions here taking the first one off, and moving SL to BE, hitting the first structure and then
let the second position run, either to next support level or with a trailing SL.
EURUSD 4HR - POTENTIAL BEARISH GARTLEY & BUTTERFLY PATTERNSHey Traders!
Can you believe that we're more than halfway through another trading year already. Sheesh, time flies. Anyway, I hope that it went well for you. If so do more of what you've been doing and don't you dare settle. If not, then it's time to get your act together and have a strong second half.
Here on the EURUSD we have two potential advanced patterns setting up in the form of a potential bearish Gartley & a bearish butterfly.
Akil
XAUUSD, 30min, potential Bat patternXAUUSD is on the final C-D leg and has closed above the B-point, givning it some momentum up for a complete pattern up at D-point and higher TF resistance.
The general trend is bearish so extended targets can be used.
Look for reversal confirmation in the PRZ or just above.
AUDJPY, 1h, Head&ShoulderThis H&S isn´t perfect but since we also have a structure level that will be tested at the same time as a break of the H&S neckline will occur - makes it really interesting to me.
There is couple of ways to set SL and targets and I´m using the last lower high, + couple of pips, as SL in this setup.
For targets I´m looking at a 1.618%-ish move of the right shoulder leg as a first target and second is an equal move down of the same leg.
Break of neckline and structure will alert me for a possible execution.
usdchf daily - potential bearish gartley pattern After a very active day yesterday the markets were a bit slow for me today. Maybe it was the amount of people watching Mexico blow their group lead to Sweden, only to be saved by S. Korea defeating Germany. Talk about upsets! Anyway, as we ventured off to look at a few pairs outside of my portfolio in the live room this morning, I came across this opportunity on the USDCHF
What we have here is a potential bearish Gartley pattern setting up with a deeper than usual projected "D" completion point. Due to the projected completion point being closer to the "X" leg you would be offered a much smaller risk than usual.
June as been an interesting month for me. I've had a flood of trades at the beginning, followed by a few weeks of nothing, only to follow that up with another flood over the past week or so. It'll be interesting to see if the month was profitable or not once i crunch the numbers this weekend.
Anyway, time to watch some more World cup. Who do you have as the favorites? I said Mexico before this mornings match, but I'd have to say Croatia looks to be the most solid.
Akil
AUDUSD, 1h, potential AB=CD patternOne of the most basic and "simple" patterns. However, it should preferably not be traded as the only affirmative factor.
Here we have structure that coincides on the same level as the AB = CD pattern 1: 1 point (D point). In addition, we are also awaiting confirmation of RSI.
A first target is structure that coincides with 38.2%.
Should the AB = CD 1: 1 pattern not stop at the D-point, we have a possible Bat pattern just below which becomes the next point of interest.
US30, 4H, Patterns and StructureUS30 has just landed a AB=CD pattern and is atm testing previous structure. We might se a brief reaction from the structure (double bottom) confluencing with
the AB=CD pattern. I´m waiting for a bit more extended move down to a complete Bat pattern and probably a test of daily structure just below.
The price action at these levels will be my descission point for a long position or not.
EURNOK, 4H, AB=CDA really nice 1:1 AB=CD pattern was just completed on EURNOK 4h.
The only "warning" is the "fast" fall down to the D-point = Tight SL.
RSI is oversold as well but the more restrictive can wait for it to break up over 20 (or 30 for those who use that).
The risk is that you miss a large part of the movement. As always - your plan and what you have tested is what determines how you should
take a trade.
For that reason, that is according to My plan in these conditions, I only place 1 position in this case - ie. half the risk of a "normal" trade with 2 positions.
GBPJPY, 1H, Bat and Deep CrabGBPJPY has just landed both a near to perfect Bat pattern as well as a Deep Crab pattern - both completing at the same levels.
Right now we are watching at a first reaction from the PRZ, that I´m personally not involved with, but will probably see a retest of the complete zone
before we hopefully get another (Type 2) reaction.
We have no clear trend so standard targets is recommended once involved in this trade.
Depending on wich pattern your plan let you trade you can have the SL tighter (using the Deep Crab as descission point).
USDJPY, 15min, Falling wedgeThis is a thought trade within a falling wedge, where we expect a structural downward movement to the bottom of the wedge.
Tight SL and target price down at both the wedge bottom, 113% fibonacci extension of previous bearish leg as well as previous structure.
Provides a good R: R ratio.
BNB Nalysis Update!In case you haven't noticed... BNB is following a very predictable cycle.
1. Bear Div
2. Retrace to 0.5 Fib Level
3. Form a Falling Wedge
4. Breakout to next level
This has created a large Rising Wedge within an even larger Rising Wedge. However, for now it seems we have hit the top.