What does Paypal USD mean for Eth ? Will we have a McDollar ??Paypal launches PYUSD
This does not mean it will get adoption just because Paypal wants it to. There may be regulatory hurdles incoming just as we saw with Libra and Diem for FB // Meta. This is now a clear trend though where larger traditional companies are seeing the immense upside in their own stablecoin products. I dont think this trend is going to die out.
Where does it go ?
I think this is leading to a McDollar. Just as Big Mac index is a good rule of thumb for judging currencies.. a McDollar is a good option for currency itself. Goods or services in demand can be digitalised into currency on the back of the traditional product. This is great for provider and customer both. Prosperity is about speed. From the wheel to the sail to the car to the internet. Moving things (people//stuff) faster is compounding the human ability to create more together. Prosperity.
Can Eth handle it ?
I believe so. There are many "eth killers" now and there'll likely be more popping up esp by more traditional outfits. At this stage though what Ethereum has done to compete well against crypto competitors is add layers with utility related to their core layer flaws. Rollup technology allows Eth to outsource the heavy lifting of smaller transactions. Rather than individual $3 nfts clogging the network one by one we are likely to see places like Paypal use rollup technology to bundle microtransactions and send them thru the network that way. This will reduce costs involved and increase time to settle for everyone.
Paypal
Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market?Paypal is an antiquated business model. The problem is, the Federal Reserve just launched FedNow, which is like a bank-to-bank Central Bank Digital Currency.
Most CBDCs will come in the future, and they will target retail/consumers, and Paypal will no longer be useful for transferring money.
In Canada, where I am, Paypal is already primarily worthless, because the company that handles debit card payments, Interac, set up, many, many years ago, a service that allows us to send money to each other from our banks via email.
Both people and businesses use it extensively. It's fast, easy, instant, and free, so why bother with Paypal?
CBDCs are a problem for humanity, because they are the collar, leash, and chains that enable Party West's implementation of their favourite role model, the Chinese Communist Party, who deployed full scale social credit under the guise of "Zero COVID."
The CCP and its 24-year persecution against the Falun Dafa spiritual believers launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, are something absolutely essential for mankind to reject, oppose, and eliminate.
They aren't things for you to rack your brains thinking about importing so that stimmies can be collected from a central authority.
If you want a future, we need to return to mankind's traditions, human, divinely imparted tradition and culture, and dispose of the garbage that is Marxism, atheism, the Theory of Evolution, and the doctrine of struggle.
The fact that Paypal is being replaced by CBDCs is awful evident on monthly candles, which give you absolutely no reason to believe there's going to be any kind of Meta/Tesla/NVDIA-style reversal of fortune.
But what's really notable about this stock, which I have criticized extensively on Twitter as not being a long, is the weekly bars, since April, actually indicate a long trade scalp is set up.
That scalp setup has not been present for even one second, until today's post market earnings dump back to $68.
The thesis is simple.
Since Paypal has filled ALL of the gap, and over a long period of time, it indicates for lower prices to come, some objectives over previous highs are most likely in order.
The most premium level for this to occur would be the January high at $88.
But a failure swing somewhere over $84 would also be a heck of a trade.
Where to long? Tomorrow's dump may be too early. The most perfect would be $65, under the flat bottom lows. But you may or may not get it.
The problem is, how long does it take Paypal to mark up into the $80s?
We don't have that much time to play with the JPM collar being long 4,200 SPX puts expiring September 29.
And the markets are looking like they intend perhaps one more upswing before doom, which I cover here:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
In any event, markets correcting violently and VIX pushing highs hard may put a painful and abrupt end to rallies across all classes.
But it seems we may have a rally ahead.
And with all the factors combining, buying Paypal between Thursday and Friday in a price range between $68 and $65 is a trade.
If it doesn't go up, then the trade isn't confirmed. But you might have to wait at least a month to see if that comes true.
What you don't want to and can't see is the $58 low taken out.
When Paypal is done taking out short sellers who didn't take profit at $58 and want to ride to zero, I believe the next target is the $45 level.
And then this thing goes the way of Bed Bath and Beyond and Blockbuster.
Be careful. What lies ahead in the remainder of 2023 will be hard to navigate.
And 2024 might be an entirely unpleasant experience for all.
PAYPAL - Long Term Accumulation WindowPaypal - NASDAQ:PYPL
Below I cover the Chart and some interesting fundamental news on what Paypal is upto.....
CHART
Everyone should have expected significant resistance at the $74.66 price level due to a confluence of the following at that level;
1. 200 Day SMA
2. Point of Control (POC)
3. Falling Wedge Diagonal overhead resistance
(SEE CHART FOR OUTLINE)
Further downside in the short term would not surprise me, however the long term positive divergence presents a long term opportunity.
How am I playing this?
I have a long term small position that is 15% in the negative at present, its thee one negative position I hold. Similar to NIO (which was at a small loss for weeks on end, I continued to average in on a positive divergence), I will average now to PYPL with a 2nd purchase and if we drop down to the RSI resistance line I will average in again with a 3rd purchase.
Ideally traders, would want a break out above the point of confluence on the chart and to find support above or on $74.66. I would not be day or week trading from current levels. I intend to hold for months, potentially years, similar to my NIO play.
If we lost the bottom of the falling wedge I would cut my losses at this point.
This is a High Risk / High Reward trade. The NIO trade has rendered me a significant 50% unrealized profit over the past few weeks. It could take months for me to see a similar return here on Paypal, and I'm ok with that. Timeframe expectation is long term.
What's PayPal Upto?
Interestingly Paypal announced a major deal with KKR in June 2023 whereby KKR agreed to purchase up to €40 billion of eligible current and future PayPal Pay Later loans that originated in Europe.
PayPal has become an industry leader with its PayPal Pay Later products, issuing more than 200 million loans to over 30 million customers in eight markets around the world since 2020.
PayPal expects to allocate approximately $1 billion to incremental share repurchases this year and updated the outlook from approximately $4 billion to approximately $5 billion in total share repurchases in 2023.
Paypals close association with KKR is notable. KKR - Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. are an major American global investment company who have secured the two largest company buy outs in history RJR Nabisco & TXU. Paypal have huge ambitions and the buck to back them from the KKR.
The deal and association with KKR is yet another reason to keep a long term headset on for this trade/investment.
PUKA
SQ WVAP Breakdown into Earnings LONGOn the 30- minute chart BLOCK ( SQ) broke down from a VWAP pop last week into
a drop this week to earnings which were a 7% beat on earnings. MACD lines are about
to cross. he lower RS line in green is showing bullish divergence while the mass index
signal is in the reversal zone looking to trigger with a fall. Finally the narrow range or
flat candlebars at the end of the price action show the reversal is impending.
I see this as a fade into good earnings worthy of a reversal long and so I will take that trade.
PayPal suppressed by the 1.618 of golden sectionPayPal stock in the past three weeks has been suppressed by the 1.618 level of the golden section
This chart shows the weekly level candle chart of PayPal stocks in the past six months. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section. As shown in the figure, the high point of PayPal stock in the past three weeks has been suppressed by the 1.618 level of the golden section in the figure. In the future, it is likely to retreat downwards! The strong support level for PayPal's stock is at the starting point of the big positive line in July 2023!
PYPL PayPal Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold when ARK did:
or when the CFO left for WMT:
or reentered this dip:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CAT Caterpillar prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 73usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-25,
for a premium of approximately $4.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PayPal is starting to recoverHi, according to my analysis of Paypal shares. There is a good buying opportunity. The stock appears. In a positive condition with the stock exiting the descending channel. And breaking the strong resistance at level 68. Which indicates a strong entry of buyers. Good luck to all
AXP: Confirming Break Below Lead-In Trend at Bearish Crab PCZAmerican Express has broken below the Lead-In trend line and looks to be confirming a lower high below the breakdown zone, all at the PCZ of a Bearish Crab on the Weekly Timeframe.
If we get the desired performance from this we should see AXP go down about 30-60% from the current levels.
PYPL Testing Upper Wedge LinePaypal is testing the upper line of a falling wedge pattern while recently crossing above all short and long moving averages(8,21,34,50,100) with the 200sma as the last MA to be tested. The short MAs are all rising and have crossed above the 50ma indicating a short-term bullish trend in price.
The PPO indicator show the green RSI line rising, and above a rising purple signal line which indicates short-term bullish momentum. Both lines trending above the 0 level indicates intermediate to long-term bullish momentum.
The TDI indicator shows the green RSI line above 60 and rising which indicates a bullish trend in price, as does the RSI line trending in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands. Going forward we want to see the RSI line trend between the 40-60 levels as an indication of intermediate to long-term bullish trend.
My buy price was $70.63
Stop-Loss(SL) is at $65.26.
No upper target for now as the falling wedge pattern is a sloppy one with the dip in the middle not touching the lower trend line. Will continue to move my stop-loss up as/if price continues to move higher. In general I tend to move my stop-loss orders up as price continues to make higher highs and higher lows. On each new push to a higher high, stop-loss is moved up to the most recent higher low.
Paypal is about to approachi strong pressure !Paypal is about to approachi strong pressure !
This chart shows the daily level candle chart of PayPal stock in the past year. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section and the upcoming strong pressure horizontal line. As shown in the figure, PayPal's stock has shown a jumping upward trend this week, releasing a lot of bullish momentum and approaching the bottom of the short selling gap in February 2023 ($69.53)! In the future, we can use this position as the watershed for judging PayPal stocks: below it, bears dominate, above it, bulls dominate!
$PYPL - Brewing for further upside ☕NASDAQ:PYPL displaying relative strength with price advancing 6% since my previous analysis (considering the stock's historically low valuations and the expected clarity on their leadership outlook later this year). It remains one of my favorable long-term trades despite debatable growth outlook. With selling pressure gradually diminishing and I expect a gap fill above $69.68 within my designated timeframe for my positions.
$PYPL Can Rise #PayPalOne of the fallen super heroes of one time has broken through 5 year lows. At this moment in time, the price is getting ready to reach an FCP zone which can be a potentially very good idea to buy or accumulate.
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3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too
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____________________________________________________
📌 DISCLAIMER
The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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Continued downside for PYPLPYPL has significantly weakened after breaking consolidation to the downside starting May 8, 2023.
Looking at the weekly chart, the most obvious downside targets I am seeing is $57.0 FVG under the Weekly SSL line and $47.4 FVG with $44.5 Weekly +OB as a draw on liquidity.
Once price reaches $44.5, I anticipate price consolidation in the form of accumulation by institutional players at a steep historical discount before any meaningful move higher.
Paypal - too cheap? PayPal's stock looks undervalued, trading at 6-year lows and a forward P/E ratio of 12.3, despite a strong Q1 performance with respectable transaction revenues, total payment volume, and growth in value-added services.
Operating expenses are well-managed, contributing to substantial growth in operating income and earnings per share, while consensus estimates suggest mid-to-high teens EPS compound annual growth rate.
Market concerns, such as PayPal's Q2 revenue guidance and increased competition, are offset by the Moderate Buy consensus rating, suggesting a 60.7% upside potential.
The involvement of activist investor Elliott Management and the potential sale of the cross-border payment unit, Xoom, signal strategic changes that could enhance PayPal's performance.
PayPal still rides the wave of the growth in e-commerce, with 12% payment volume increase in Q1 2023, and a rise in peer-to-peer transfers, demonstrating resilience in a challenging macroeconomic environment.
The fundamentals of this company have become detached from the share price, making this a long term buy and hold with hugely asymmetrical risk/return profile.
Shorter term, the move back to the highly developed Point of Control would represent over 20% growth, which I see as a high probability outcome within weeks.
$pypl after earning 3 day rule The 3-day rule is a trading strategy that suggests waiting three days after a company releases its earnings report before buying or selling the stock. The idea is that the stock price will have had time to adjust to the news by then, and you will be less likely to make a rash decision based on emotions.
There are a few reasons why it's a good idea to wait three days after earnings before making a trade. First, the market is often volatile in the days leading up to and after earnings. This is because investors are trying to anticipate the company's results and how they will affect the stock price. As a result, the stock price can be very unpredictable during this time.