PYPL | PayPal or MemePal?PayPal Holdings has emerged as a leader in the digital finance landscape, leveraging its consistent growth and strategic initiatives. PYPL has attracted unreasonably high valuation multiples post-pandemic, but the recent crash of around 80% from all-time highs, in combination with its growth outlook, portrays a compelling deep-value play for long-term investors.
This article explores the company's strategic initiatives, development toward market share and competitive edge, the new CEO's impact, the valuation outlook, and a technical assessment, which ultimately supports a strong buy rating for the stock in the next 24 to 36 months.
In today's ever-evolving digital landscape, understanding web traffic dynamics is crucial for any business aiming to stay competitive. PayPal demonstrates a robust trajectory in its web traffic and market presence, positioning itself as a dominant player in the finance sector.
Over the past decade, PayPal's organic traffic has grown steadily, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 17.27%, reaching monthly organic traffic of 14.3 million. The sustained growth highlights its strong online visibility and brand recognition.
However, its organic traffic dropped significantly in early 2022 from a level near 18 million per month, a nearly 20% drop from the all-time high due to fierce competition in the industry. Nonetheless, considering recent traffic trends (desktop users) on PayPal.com, the platform's total traffic has surged by 8.05% compared to the previous month, suggesting that PayPal continues to attract and engage a widening user base.
PayPal's web traffic has demonstrated remarkable growth of 9.65% in total visits in the last month, suggesting an expanding user base and heightened online engagement. Correspondingly, unique visitors have risen by 7.91%, reinforcing PayPal's capacity to attract new audiences consistently.
The average user interaction on PayPal's platform is equally remarkable, with users viewing an average of 3.3 pages per visit. This figure, which has increased by 0.78%, suggests that users actively explore the platform's offerings, potentially indicating higher interest and engagement.
Furthermore, the average visit duration is an impressive 5 minutes and 34 seconds, marking a significant 5.03% improvement. This underscores the platform's ability to capture user attention, facilitating extended interactions conducive to achieving business objectives.
Finally, PayPal's diligent efforts are reflected in its bounce rate, which has decreased by 5.38% to 29.47%. A lower bounce rate indicates improved user engagement and content relevance, implying that visitors find the content and offerings on PayPal's platform more aligned with their expectations.
A comparative analysis with a close competitor, Stripe, offers further insights into PayPal's standing. While both platforms have experienced growth in visits (PayPal: 9.65% vs. Stripe: 9.18%) and unique visitors (PayPal: 7.91% vs. Stripe: 5.37%), PayPal maintains a significant lead in both metrics, indicating a stronger market presence. Additionally, PayPal's higher pages per visit (3.3 vs. Stripe's 1.7) further emphasize its ability to capture and retain user attention
Despite a gradual slowdown, the company maintains a substantial user base and has demonstrated a consistent user growth trend in recent quarters. From Q1-22 to Q2-23, active accounts remained relatively stable, ranging from 429 million to 431 million. This includes user and merchant accounts (35 million), contributing to PayPal's versatility as a payment solution for a broad spectrum of users, from individuals to businesses. However, the YoY growth rate has steadily declined, indicating a potential saturation in its market reach. Over this period, YoY growth dropped from 9% to below 1%, signaling the weakness of its strategies to reignite expansion.
Considering the broader industry landscape, PayPal's growth outlook is influenced by the Global Payment Processing Solutions Market's projections. The market is anticipated to experience robust expansion, with an estimated USD 63.48 billion growth between 2022 and 2027. This growth trajectory translates to a CAGR of 12.18%. Despite slowing growth, PayPal's current user base and market share position it favorably to tap into this market growth.
To secure growth, PayPal prioritizes customer retention and engagement within its existing user base to counteract the sluggish YoY growth. This includes enhanced personalized offerings, rewards, and seamless experiences. PayPal also explores untapped markets and demographics geographically and among underserved segments. For instance, if PayPal uses emerging technologies such as blockchain and cryptocurrencies to expand its service portfolio, it may attract tech-savvy users and capitalize on the growing interest in decentralized finance.
PayPal has demonstrated consistent growth in its payment transactions, bolstered by its expanding active account base. Specifically, in Q2-23, PayPal reported processing 6.074 billion payment transactions, representing a 10% YoY increase but with a slower growth rate. A closer look at Transactions per active account (TPA) that reached 54.7 reveals a 12% YoY growth attributable to Braintree's transaction volume, a subsidiary playing a pivotal role in driving the company's transaction growth.
PayPal had nearly 55% market share in 2020, but the fierce competition has taken significant market share away from the fintech conglomerate. However, there are positive signs of stabilization, and PayPal currently holds a market share in the global online payment processing industry, with a commanding position of 40.52% as of July 2023, which stabilized its market share YoY (July 2022: 41%) and indicated PayPal's ability to preserve its market share.
The ongoing transition to electronic payments and increased e-commerce, which the coronavirus epidemic further hastened, had boosted PayPal's growth. Although there are niches in the acquiring market, PayPal is the undisputed e-commerce leader, creating a protective moat.
A few new rivals have emerged due to what appears to be a concentration of fintech innovation in the e-commerce sector, even though growth slowed in 2022 as the company overcame some headwinds. The company could face additional headwinds if the economy worsens.
The ongoing global shift towards e-commerce presents a substantial growth avenue for the entire industry, including PayPal. Therefore, given its platform's relative ease and security, PayPal will continue to be a preferred partner in the online world, yet, the company's market position does not allow it to impose terms on other participants or eat up an ever-increasing market.
PayPal's introduction of a fully backed stablecoin, PayPal USD (PYUSD), has the potential to bring about significant long-term benefits to the company from a fundamental perspective.
This move aligns with the ongoing shift towards digital payments, blockchain technology, and the expanding Web3 ecosystem. By launching a stablecoin that's 100% backed by US dollar deposits, short-term US Treasuries, and similar cash equivalents, PayPal aims to bridge the gap between traditional fiat currency and the emerging world of digital assets.
Firstly, PayPal's stablecoin can enhance its role in the evolving digital payments landscape. As the exclusive stablecoin within the PayPal network, PYUSD offers a seamless method for users to transition between fiat and digital currencies. The combination of PayPal's established payments expertise and blockchain's efficiency can facilitate faster transfers, reducing friction for inexperienced payments, remittances, international transactions, and more. As a result, this will likely strengthen PayPal's appeal to consumers, merchants, and developers seeking convenient, low-cost, secure payment solutions.
Furthermore, by leveraging the Ethereum blockchain and adhering to transparency standards, PayPal USD can tap into the growing Web3 community. This opens doors for integration with external developers, wallets, and web3 applications, boosting adoption and usability. The compatibility with Web3 environments positions PayPal as pivotal in expanding digital assets into mainstream use cases.
Interestingly, PayPal's focus on regulatory compliance and its partnership with Paxos Trust Company, a licensed trust company, bolsters confidence in the stability of PayPal USD. Regularly publishing reserve reports and third-party attestations will enhance transparency, reassuring users about the backing of the stablecoin. Finally, this adherence to transparency and regulation will enhance PayPal's credibility and trustworthiness in the digital finance space.
While the loss of the lucrative eBay relationship significantly impacted margins, the company's focus on cost-cutting and long-term strong growth will eventually drive solid margin expansion in the long run.
PayPal is decreasing expenses as its growth slows to maintain its adjusted operating margins. Therefore, PayPal anticipates its adjusted operating margin to improve by "at least" 100 basis points in 2023.
However, PayPal's net margin of 14.27% places it competitively in the industry, and the improvement is due to its strategy to improve transaction margin dollars. As it is management's long-term focus, net margin may improve considerably, providing a solid foundation for its long-term financial outlook.
On a trailing 12-month basis, PayPal has returned $4.9 billion to stockholders via repurchases (buybacks of 63 million shares), highlighting a focus on enhancing shareholder value. This practice continued in Q2-23, as PayPal repurchased approximately 22 million shares at an average price of $68.89 per share, totaling $1.5 billion. The ongoing trend of buybacks signifies the company's confidence in its growth trajectory.
Since becoming an independent company in July 2015, PayPal has generated approximately $29 billion in free cash flow (FCF). This underscores its financial strength and capacity to fund various growth initiatives. The allocation of $19 billion towards share repurchases and $13 billion for acquisitions and strategic investments underscore its focus on rewarding shareholders and driving strategic expansion.
Over five years, PayPal has consistently reduced its Diluted Weighted Average Shares Outstanding to 1.14 billion. This trend indicates potential benefits in earnings per share for existing shareholders, given a constant or growing net income.
PayPal's focused efforts on new product innovations, efficient A/B testing, and enhanced time-to-market capabilities are driving significant improvements in its operational efficiency and customer experience.
By consistently delivering on its roadmap and investing in platform infrastructure, tools, and AI-driven software development processes, PayPal is establishing a competitive edge. The company's commitment to continuous experimentation, with over 300 experiments launched in the year's first half, leads to incremental customer benefits and drives cumulative improvements in key metrics, including branded checkout growth.
PayPal's expansion into the buy now, pay later space and innovations like pre-approved amounts for consumers contribute to accelerated traction in this sector. The company's efforts in onboarding and introducing new experiences are leading to higher engagement and lifetime value among its customer cohorts.
One of PayPal's strategic initiatives is the rollout of passkeys in the US and Europe, streamlining the checkout log-in experience and enhancing authorization rates. This initiative positions PayPal to maintain and extend its lead over competitors, promoting continued growth.
Moreover, PayPal's focus on differentiated wallet experiences for both PayPal and Venmo users aligns with the company's belief that unique and scaled data sets are essential for leveraging AI's power to drive actionable insights and deliver differentiated value propositions to customers.
Internally, experimenting with an AI-driven PayPal assistant indicates the company's commitment to harnessing AI technology to enhance customer interactions and experiences. By envisioning the integration of this assistant into its consumer app, PayPal is poised to elevate its service offerings further.
In addition, PayPal's growth in the Payment Service Provider (PSP) business (nearly 30% on a currency-neutral basis), strong partnerships with major tech companies, and expansion of value-added services internationally are contributing to the company's robust performance. The rollout of PayPal Complete Payments, a PSP merchant solution, has garnered substantial interest and participation from key channel partners.
PayPal is effectively implementing PayPal Complete payments with various channel partners (Adobe, LightSpeed, Recurly, Shift4, Shopify, Stacks Payments, UltraCare, Wix, and WooCommerce). Notably, over 25 channel partners are slated to go live by 2023. Based on offering a modern and streamlined checkout experience, PayPal enables numerous SMB merchants to access its innovative solutions. Finally, the company's ability to leverage its platform capabilities and AI models is key to its market leadership.
The appointment of Alex Chriss as the new President and CEO of PayPal holds significant support for the company's long-term fundamental growth. Chriss brings extensive experience in technology, product leadership, and a proven track record of driving growth in the small business and self-employed segments. This background aligns well with PayPal's role as a digital payments platform and its focus on serving consumers and merchants.
Under Chriss's leadership, Intuit's (INTU) Small Business and Self-Employed Group experienced substantial growth, with a CAGR of 20% and 23% in customers and revenues, respectively. This success indicates his ability to foster growth engines within business segments and establish market-leading platforms. His leadership overseeing Mailchimp's acquisition demonstrates his ability to expand a company's capacity and customer base.
PayPal's stock is at a pivotal juncture from a technical standpoint. The recent formation of a double bottom around $59.50, marking a six-year low, carries significance. Notably, the pattern was accompanied by a bullish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), hinting at a possible long-term shift towards a bullish trajectory. In short, the technical setup implies the potential for a vital price reversal.
PYPL, fintech, stablecoin, crypto, stripe, PayPal stock, PYPL stock, PayPal stock price, PayPal stock news, PayPal stock forecast, PayPal stock analysis, PayPal stock performance, PayPal stock market, PayPal stock today, Buy PayPal stock, Sell PayPal stock, PayPal stock quote, PayPal stock symbol, PayPal stock value, PayPal stock chart, PayPal stock trends, PayPal stock investing, PayPal stock outlook, PayPal stock information, PayPal stock predictions.
Looking ahead, a notable resistance level at approximately $76.55 has materialized during the ongoing accumulation phase. A decisive breach above this resistance is pivotal. Once breached, this could trigger a markup phase characterized by robust bullish momentum. The stock may experience rapid appreciation during this phase.
Delving into historical data and projecting forward, there is potential for PayPal's stock price to scale heights and reach an all-time high of over $300 within the next 3-5 years. The bullish momentum highly depends on the company's fundamental progressiveness and the favorable outcomes of its strategic initiatives.
personally I shorting PYPL since it was 255 and here we are at 59$ and despite facing challenges such as shifts in web traffic, competition, and evolving market dynamics, PayPal has showcased resilience and a commitment to growth.
Paypal
Disney - Is Your Compass Upside Down?On trading social media, Disney has been the target of moonboys for quite a while.
For some reason, whenever a stock is in a landslide and doesn't go up, everyone gets it in their head that they're going to BUY THE CALLS and catch the next MOTHER OF ALL SHORT SQUEEZES.
And this is because you want to gamble on a single day candle, which results in you blowing your account, and then you stop using TradingView and can't have fun anymore.
Disney, fundamentally, is a company that may not have any future whatsoever in a society that returns to mankind's traditions.
For so many years, it has been pushing a warped and depraved culture at both its parks and via its broadcasting networks. It was even an entertainment industry leader in onboarding the Chinese Communist Party's Zero-COVID social credit edicts.
And this is a problem if you want to get long.
They always say "zoom out," and so let's look at yearly candles:
8 months of price action for 2023 so far indicates that we've probably just been painting the wick portion of a year that will break the 2020 COVID low.
And the first place you find support below the COVID low is at $40.
"Sure, sure. But it's Disney. It's the stock market. EVERYONE KNOWS it's going up. Bears always get #rekt LOL."
"Bear flags" and "bull flags" are astrology and don't exist. But what does exist is when an equity spends more than a year in an area it should have bounced from and simply doesn't go up, which is what we see on the monthly.
But the contrary, on the Weekly, there is a problem for bears, which is the August of '22 high at $126.
And so there is a potential that tomorrow's earnings call actually results in a raid to $80 that actually produces a bullish buying opportunity with a target of $126.
The problem is, the "JPM Collar" has the world's most significant bank long on SPX 4,200 puts that expire September 29 that have literally been under water every second of every day since they were bought at the end of Q2.
SPX/ES - An Analysis Of The 'JPM Collar'
However, I note in my recent SPX call:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
And a recent Nasdaq call
Nasdaq NQ - Is It Time To Sell The Rip?
With CPI pending on Thursday morning, what happens tomorrow is really significant.
That although I suspect our index tops to get raided, the problem is, are you going to see $40+ on Disney in a time frame of less than 3 weeks?
September is likely to be something of a "chilly autumn" for equities markets with the way everything is set up, including the SOXS bear semiconductor ETF and the VIX.
If there's to be anymore rally, that rally may only come in Q4.
And thus, that would mean for Disney that a likely scenario would be a raid on the lows from earnings and even more bearish consolidation, with the $126 target being left for the beginning of Q4.
This stock is a lot like Verizon and T-Mobile. It's better left not bothered with until it starts to show you signs that a bank or a fund really wants to rip it bigly in one direction or the other.
There's lower hanging fruit and greener pastures out there to trade.
PayPal added to the watchlistShares of PayPal lost nearly 82% of their value since the top in July 2021, and judging solely by this metric, one could consider the stock cheap. Nonetheless, there is more to it. In 2022, PayPal saw its revenue increase by 8% on a yearly basis and transaction volume grow by 16%. In addition to that, the company processed 22.3 billion payments and $1.36 trillion in total payment volume, with active accounts rising by 2% YoY to 435 million. However, its operating margin dropped by 10% and net income by 42% (using GAAP accounting).
In the first quarter of 2023, the company delivered better results compared to the first quarter of 2022, with net revenue growing 9% YoY, operating income by 41% YoY, earnings per share by 62% YoY, and net income by 56% YoY. As for the second quarter of 2023, the company reported a further increase in net revenues by 7% YoY, operating income by 48% YoY, and earnings per share by 414% YoY. In this quarter, PayPal generated $1.029 billion in net income compared to the loss of $341 million a year earlier.
Based on some of the fundamental improvements and cheap valuation, we think PayPal is growing increasingly attractive and worth watching out for. However, we would like to emphasize that the stock keeps making lower lows and lower highs. Thus, entering the trade is still quite risky. One alternative to approach this situation is to wait for a price to break above the upper bound of the channel and place a long entry there with stop-loss below the bound.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of PayPal and its losses since the top in July 2021.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Bearish
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
PYUSD - The PayPal StablecoinHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
PayPal announced yesterday on August 7, 2023 that it has launched a U.S. dollar stablecoin, called PayPal USD (PYUSD) . PYUSD is fully backed by U.S. dollar deposits and short-term U.S. Treasuries, and is issued by Paxos Trust Company. It is available to PayPal customers in the United States with PayPal Balance accounts.
PayPal has partnered with Paxos to launch PYUSD. Paxos is a leading blockchain infrastructure company that specializes in stablecoins. Paxos also issues the BUSD stablecoin, which is used by Binance. PYUSD was first announced in January 2022, but its launch was delayed due to regulatory concerns. However, PayPal has since received approval from the New York State Department of Financial Services to issue PYUSD.
PYUSD is currently valued at $1.00 per token. It can be used to buy, sell, hold, and transfer funds on PayPal. It can also be used to make payments to merchants that accept PayPal.
PayPal has been crypto-friendly for some time. In addition to PYUSD, PayPal also offers four other cryptos: Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, and Litecoin. PayPal customers can buy, sell, hold, and transfer these cryptocurrencies on the PayPal platform.
PayPal's launch of PYUSD is a significant development in the cryptocurrency space. It is the first major financial technology firm to launch its own stablecoin . PayPal's move is likely to boost the adoption of stablecoins and cryptocurrencies in general.
💭 It's interesting to see how the fundamentals tend to follow the chart or vice versa. When we analyze the PayPal chart, we see a definitive completion of a bearish trend / downward cycle. According to Wyckoff Method and other market phases, the next cycle is the upward cycle / bullish phase. And so, this news comes at just the right time to kickstart a new market cycle!
_______________________
📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍
We thank you for your support !
CryptoCheck
NASDAQ:PYPL
Symmetrical triangle hereYou know what it means, a good company, good results, waiting for a CEO (Elon Musk maybe) making that part of the 20 years plan for X, but, we have that Symmetrical triangle with a potential 60% in the next months, and two huge falling wedges., Why PYPL have now a crypto?, the answer is X!
$PYPL Double Bottom Bullish closeNASDAQ:PYPL Double Bottom Bullish close
It sounds like you're discussing technical analysis concepts in the context of trading. A "double bottom" is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs after a downtrend and is characterized by two consecutive lows at a similar price level, followed by a breakout above the pattern's neckline. This pattern suggests a potential reversal from the downtrend to an uptrend.
A "false breakdown" occurs when a price breaks below a support level but quickly reverses and closes back above it. This can be interpreted as a bullish sign, indicating that the selling pressure wasn't sustained, and buyers stepped in to push the price back up.
The idea that "the best moves come from failed moves" is a common adage in trading and investing. It suggests that when a market or a security initially breaks out or breaks down and then reverses, it can lead to strong price movements in the opposite direction. This is often attributed to the idea that traders who were positioned on the wrong side of the initial move are forced to close their positions, contributing to the momentum in the opposite direction.
It's important to note that while these concepts are commonly discussed in trading circles, they are not foolproof strategies. Technical analysis is just one approach to understanding price movements in financial markets, and it should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management strategies. Markets can be unpredictable, and there is no guarantee that any pattern or signal will always lead to a profitable outcome.
PayPal Long?PYPL has been a slow grinder lower. Each time it gains momentum it somehows manages to lose it.
The only positive thing about this chart is the long divergence that is occurring between price & RSI.
When will this divergence bear fruit? Anyone's guess but you do have it on the daily, Weekly & Monthly time frame.
$PYPL PayPal Double BottomThe main reason why I like NASDAQ:PYPL PayPal it has a Double Bottom another one of the reasons why I am starting a small starter position is because Jim Cramer hates the stock.
1. Business Model:
PayPal is a leading digital payment platform that offers a range of online financial services, enabling individuals and businesses to make payments, transfer money, and conduct transactions electronically. It serves as a bridge between buyers and sellers in the digital marketplace.
2. Revenue Streams:
PayPal generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to merchants for processing payments, as well as fees for certain value-added services. These services include PayPal Business Solutions, Venmo (a peer-to-peer payment platform), and Xoom (a digital money transfer service).
3. User Base and Market Reach:
PayPal boasts a vast user base, with its services available in more than 200 countries and supporting multiple currencies. The platform is widely used by consumers, businesses, and merchants for various online financial transactions.
4. Acquisitions and Diversification:
PayPal has strategically acquired several companies to diversify its offerings and expand its market presence. Notable acquisitions include Venmo (a social payments platform), Braintree (a payment gateway), Xoom (a digital money transfer service), and Honey (a browser extension that helps users find discounts and deals).
5. Strong Partnerships:
PayPal has formed strategic partnerships with major e-commerce platforms, payment processors, and financial institutions. These collaborations enhance the reach and convenience of its services, as well as drive transaction volume.
6. Mobile-Centric Approach:
Recognizing the increasing reliance on mobile devices, PayPal has invested in creating user-friendly mobile applications for seamless mobile payments and money transfers. Its subsidiary, Venmo, has become especially popular among younger users for peer-to-peer payments.
7. Financial Performance:
PayPal's financial performance has shown consistent growth over the years. The company's revenue and net income have been steadily increasing, driven by the growing adoption of online and mobile payments, as well as expansion into new markets and services.
8. Innovation and Technology:
PayPal remains at the forefront of financial technology innovation. The company has explored blockchain technology and cryptocurrencies, allowing users to buy, hold, and sell select cryptocurrencies through their PayPal accounts.
9. Regulatory and Compliance Considerations:
Operating in the financial services industry, PayPal is subject to various regulatory and compliance requirements. Adhering to these standards is essential for maintaining trust and securing user data.
10. Competitive Landscape:
The digital payment industry is highly competitive, with players like Square, Stripe, and traditional financial institutions vying for market share. PayPal's ability to innovate, adapt to changing trends, and offer seamless user experiences contributes to its competitive advantage.
In summary, PayPal is a pivotal player in the digital payments landscape, offering a wide range of services that facilitate online transactions and money transfers. Its user base, partnerships, technological innovation, and strategic acquisitions have propelled its growth and solidified its position in the industry. However, like any company, PayPal faces challenges related to competition, regulatory changes, and cybersecurity. Staying ahead of these challenges through continuous innovation and customer-focused services will be crucial to its sustained success.
PYPL | Buy the Fear!!! | LONGPayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments on behalf of merchants and consumers worldwide. The company provides payment solutions under the PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, PayPal Zettle, Hyperwallet, PayPal Honey, and Paidy names. Its payments platform allows consumers to send and receive payments in approximately 200 markets and in approximately 150 currencies, withdraw funds to their bank accounts in 56 currencies, and hold balances in their PayPal accounts in 25 currencies. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
What does Paypal USD mean for Eth ? Will we have a McDollar ??Paypal launches PYUSD
This does not mean it will get adoption just because Paypal wants it to. There may be regulatory hurdles incoming just as we saw with Libra and Diem for FB // Meta. This is now a clear trend though where larger traditional companies are seeing the immense upside in their own stablecoin products. I dont think this trend is going to die out.
Where does it go ?
I think this is leading to a McDollar. Just as Big Mac index is a good rule of thumb for judging currencies.. a McDollar is a good option for currency itself. Goods or services in demand can be digitalised into currency on the back of the traditional product. This is great for provider and customer both. Prosperity is about speed. From the wheel to the sail to the car to the internet. Moving things (people//stuff) faster is compounding the human ability to create more together. Prosperity.
Can Eth handle it ?
I believe so. There are many "eth killers" now and there'll likely be more popping up esp by more traditional outfits. At this stage though what Ethereum has done to compete well against crypto competitors is add layers with utility related to their core layer flaws. Rollup technology allows Eth to outsource the heavy lifting of smaller transactions. Rather than individual $3 nfts clogging the network one by one we are likely to see places like Paypal use rollup technology to bundle microtransactions and send them thru the network that way. This will reduce costs involved and increase time to settle for everyone.
Paypal - Going Long In a Bear Market?Paypal is an antiquated business model. The problem is, the Federal Reserve just launched FedNow, which is like a bank-to-bank Central Bank Digital Currency.
Most CBDCs will come in the future, and they will target retail/consumers, and Paypal will no longer be useful for transferring money.
In Canada, where I am, Paypal is already primarily worthless, because the company that handles debit card payments, Interac, set up, many, many years ago, a service that allows us to send money to each other from our banks via email.
Both people and businesses use it extensively. It's fast, easy, instant, and free, so why bother with Paypal?
CBDCs are a problem for humanity, because they are the collar, leash, and chains that enable Party West's implementation of their favourite role model, the Chinese Communist Party, who deployed full scale social credit under the guise of "Zero COVID."
The CCP and its 24-year persecution against the Falun Dafa spiritual believers launched by former Chairman Jiang Zemin on July 20, 1999, are something absolutely essential for mankind to reject, oppose, and eliminate.
They aren't things for you to rack your brains thinking about importing so that stimmies can be collected from a central authority.
If you want a future, we need to return to mankind's traditions, human, divinely imparted tradition and culture, and dispose of the garbage that is Marxism, atheism, the Theory of Evolution, and the doctrine of struggle.
The fact that Paypal is being replaced by CBDCs is awful evident on monthly candles, which give you absolutely no reason to believe there's going to be any kind of Meta/Tesla/NVDIA-style reversal of fortune.
But what's really notable about this stock, which I have criticized extensively on Twitter as not being a long, is the weekly bars, since April, actually indicate a long trade scalp is set up.
That scalp setup has not been present for even one second, until today's post market earnings dump back to $68.
The thesis is simple.
Since Paypal has filled ALL of the gap, and over a long period of time, it indicates for lower prices to come, some objectives over previous highs are most likely in order.
The most premium level for this to occur would be the January high at $88.
But a failure swing somewhere over $84 would also be a heck of a trade.
Where to long? Tomorrow's dump may be too early. The most perfect would be $65, under the flat bottom lows. But you may or may not get it.
The problem is, how long does it take Paypal to mark up into the $80s?
We don't have that much time to play with the JPM collar being long 4,200 SPX puts expiring September 29.
And the markets are looking like they intend perhaps one more upswing before doom, which I cover here:
SPX - The Sound of a Shattering Iceberg
In any event, markets correcting violently and VIX pushing highs hard may put a painful and abrupt end to rallies across all classes.
But it seems we may have a rally ahead.
And with all the factors combining, buying Paypal between Thursday and Friday in a price range between $68 and $65 is a trade.
If it doesn't go up, then the trade isn't confirmed. But you might have to wait at least a month to see if that comes true.
What you don't want to and can't see is the $58 low taken out.
When Paypal is done taking out short sellers who didn't take profit at $58 and want to ride to zero, I believe the next target is the $45 level.
And then this thing goes the way of Bed Bath and Beyond and Blockbuster.
Be careful. What lies ahead in the remainder of 2023 will be hard to navigate.
And 2024 might be an entirely unpleasant experience for all.
PAYPAL - Long Term Accumulation WindowPaypal - NASDAQ:PYPL
Below I cover the Chart and some interesting fundamental news on what Paypal is upto.....
CHART
Everyone should have expected significant resistance at the $74.66 price level due to a confluence of the following at that level;
1. 200 Day SMA
2. Point of Control (POC)
3. Falling Wedge Diagonal overhead resistance
(SEE CHART FOR OUTLINE)
Further downside in the short term would not surprise me, however the long term positive divergence presents a long term opportunity.
How am I playing this?
I have a long term small position that is 15% in the negative at present, its thee one negative position I hold. Similar to NIO (which was at a small loss for weeks on end, I continued to average in on a positive divergence), I will average now to PYPL with a 2nd purchase and if we drop down to the RSI resistance line I will average in again with a 3rd purchase.
Ideally traders, would want a break out above the point of confluence on the chart and to find support above or on $74.66. I would not be day or week trading from current levels. I intend to hold for months, potentially years, similar to my NIO play.
If we lost the bottom of the falling wedge I would cut my losses at this point.
This is a High Risk / High Reward trade. The NIO trade has rendered me a significant 50% unrealized profit over the past few weeks. It could take months for me to see a similar return here on Paypal, and I'm ok with that. Timeframe expectation is long term.
What's PayPal Upto?
Interestingly Paypal announced a major deal with KKR in June 2023 whereby KKR agreed to purchase up to €40 billion of eligible current and future PayPal Pay Later loans that originated in Europe.
PayPal has become an industry leader with its PayPal Pay Later products, issuing more than 200 million loans to over 30 million customers in eight markets around the world since 2020.
PayPal expects to allocate approximately $1 billion to incremental share repurchases this year and updated the outlook from approximately $4 billion to approximately $5 billion in total share repurchases in 2023.
Paypals close association with KKR is notable. KKR - Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. are an major American global investment company who have secured the two largest company buy outs in history RJR Nabisco & TXU. Paypal have huge ambitions and the buck to back them from the KKR.
The deal and association with KKR is yet another reason to keep a long term headset on for this trade/investment.
PUKA
SQ WVAP Breakdown into Earnings LONGOn the 30- minute chart BLOCK ( SQ) broke down from a VWAP pop last week into
a drop this week to earnings which were a 7% beat on earnings. MACD lines are about
to cross. he lower RS line in green is showing bullish divergence while the mass index
signal is in the reversal zone looking to trigger with a fall. Finally the narrow range or
flat candlebars at the end of the price action show the reversal is impending.
I see this as a fade into good earnings worthy of a reversal long and so I will take that trade.
PayPal suppressed by the 1.618 of golden sectionPayPal stock in the past three weeks has been suppressed by the 1.618 level of the golden section
This chart shows the weekly level candle chart of PayPal stocks in the past six months. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section. As shown in the figure, the high point of PayPal stock in the past three weeks has been suppressed by the 1.618 level of the golden section in the figure. In the future, it is likely to retreat downwards! The strong support level for PayPal's stock is at the starting point of the big positive line in July 2023!
PYPL PayPal Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold when ARK did:
or when the CFO left for WMT:
or reentered this dip:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CAT Caterpillar prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 73usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-8-25,
for a premium of approximately $4.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.