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4/10/2023 (Monday) SPY Analysis and Market Macro Deep DiveIn this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds to equities. In the Trading View App, You can use the links below and hit play, so you can see the action from the dates the charts were published. I will keep this going so we can follow outcomes to analysis. Please Like and Subscribe , or on Trading View, Follow and Boost! See you Next Monday for the next Market analysis!
TVC:MOVELong
by Markets-Sniper
The Put/Call Ratio in a NutshellWhat is the put/call ratio? The put/call ratio (PCE) is a popular barometer of market sentiment, which shows the ratio of trading volumes of Put vs Call options. However, with distortions in the current price of nearly every instrument off the back of "free money," and persistent market intervention by policy makers, we're not quite seeing the price discovery we're used to, which has made it more difficult to make sense of the Put-Call, and other technical indicators as well. What is a derivative? To understand the value of the put/call ratio, we must first understand the derivatives market. A derivative is a (leveraged) instrument, which gives the holder a right to either buy (call) or sell (put) a specific amount of a stock (or other instrument), at a specified price, and timeframe. If your'e holding a put, you're likely expecting the price of the stock to fall, while holders of calls are expecting the price to rise. Puts are usually used as a solid hedging tool, while calls are more often related to speculative behaviour. How to use the put-call ratio? When the put/call rises above 1, it indicates that market sentient is shifting more bearish. At the moment, we're looking at a put/call of around 0.46, which indicates that market sentiment is very bullish, and actually, it's been bullish for quite some time as you can see in the chart. When we see a massive shift in the put/call back above 1, naturally it would be showing that investors and traders are becoming more defensive.
USI:PCEEducation
by Hedge_Of_The_World
32
PCI Gap fill play - 20.55 Thought I published this yesterday, was thinking that the gaps on this might get filled. Not overly optimistic about a run down to 20.35, let alone the one below 20, compromising with an order for a few. Tiny starter position at 20.55 for 14 shares, might just say screw it, we may get get some more bearishness tomorrow or the next week, but as we close in on the holidays, unless pension fund re-balancing manifests as we've been warned for the last few weeks (I think they did it during the election), or another catalyst manifests, I'll just by somewhere in the current vicinity and look forward to that firehose of 2.30$ USD per month pumping profits into my investment account. Monthly payer, so every bit counts when you're small potatoes. RSI is confirming a breakdown in price on the 30 min, but might be using 4 hr to confirm buy signal if my price is not met in the next day or so. Being impatient on more than a couple of plays in the last week, but so far, any dip seems to be bought up in whatever I am trying to purchase at a discount.
PLong
by JJMa
Gap filling strategy - PCIDo all gaps get filled? No, but sometimes it pays to have an order or two in, especially when the market is as it is - overvalued. PCI seems like a relatively decent instrument to harvest dividends over the long-term, but...as always, I want a better price. Not being overly ambitious in trying for the second gap, tiny position planned, but as always, I like to try things on for size before I start to build a position in earnest. 20.35 for a few shares doesn't seem like too much of a stretch, and we are due for a correction imho. More aggressive buyers would probably look to get filled on the gap down to 20.77, and if it appears, I might just get impatient and go with that. I am not looking for growth here, just another steady payer. Will start digging into the financials today.
P
by JJMa
Top us stock portfolio PCI synthetic instrument #spreadtradingWe are observing 5 exact trend line touches, lack of false breakthroughs. There are five maximums in the resistance line area, as it is shown in the figure. The trend is a classic (training!) linear growth channel and it is comfortable enough for analysis. Historical analysis period (1 year), which was used to obtain the sample, is limited by a red lines - bearish divergence + Abc Retracement Elliott Wave Theory. The dynamic (synthetic spread) created portfolio (Personal Composite Instrument - PCI) allows achieving a better balance of risk and return, than any of the assets included (Spy)
AMEX:SPYShort
by Startrader