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Peaks

GBPAUD I Returning to the peak and possible rejectionWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPAUD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
19
XLM Stellar 2025 price target of $34We have an ascending channel that depends on a low for XLM of between $0.042 and $0.05 price target sometime in the 1st quarter of 2023. In 2017 we had a meteoric rise of 67k% (67,000%) from the low price of $0.0015 beginning of 2017 up to the high of $0.93 by end of 2017. If we use a fractal and use the same percentage increase for 2025 the price of XLM could possibly hit a $34 target. I also have $8 on a Fibonacci line that could play a possible target as well. Will these actually happen is anyone's guess. No one has a crystal ball but we could use past percentages and fibs to make as close a determination as possible. A special note to keep in mind is the March deadline for the Ripple case to come to an end, therefore, giving both XRP and XLM good reasons for a rise in price action. Of course, this is all speculative and should be taken seriously considering all macros and other trading factors when making a decision to acquire both assets.
COINBASE:XLMUSDLong
by altcoinb
2
RVGI analysis on BTC Monthly ChartAll the ideas are on the chart. You need to know that you should ignore if RVGI crosses in series, it only makes sense if it crosses after not crossing for a long time. I can see that I ignore a couple of things like we didn't spend all 365 days on bear market after last downside cross of RVGI, actually no explanation for that I just think from 64k to 69k in 7 months is not exactly bull market we just spend a couple of months correction and accumulation then tried to put another ride but the time was not right.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by xuk1
1
📌📈📉The Peaks & Valleys 📈📉“Economists will know tomorrow why the things they predicted yesterday didn’t happen” is a joke that, in this fast-moving market cycle, has a deeper lesson. Rather than sticking to an all-knowing prediction, it’s more fruitful to use a transparent cause-effect framework to recalibrate the base case as events unfold. Peaks and Valleys By Spencer Johnson, which I highly recommend reading, is a motivational story of a young man who lives in the valleys uneasily until he meets an old man who lives on a peak and changes his work and life forever. Initially, the young man does not realize he is talking with one the most peaceful and successful people in the world. However, through a series of conversations and experiences that occur up on peaks and down in valleys, the young man comes to make some startling discoveries. Eventually, he comes to understand how he can use the old man's remarkable principles and practical tools in good and bad times and becomes more calm and successful himself. how to have more Peaks and fewer Valleys in our future. Peaks And Valleys Are Connected in Two Ways: The Errors You Make In Today’s Good Times Create Tomorrow’s Bad Times. And The Wise Things You Do In Today’s Bad Times Create Tomorrow’s Good Times. So Traders and investors can now take a similar journey in the story and use what you find to their advantage in business and even in life. Few key Learning From the Book for traders; Here’s how to get out of a Valley sooner, how to stay on a Peak longer, Imagine the peaks, as when Your portfolio has grown dramatically , And the valleys as when the market has fallen and you are bankrupt and feel like doomed. 1. What helps in coming out of Valleys (Low times) – This line sums up the solution well – To change Valley times into peak time we need to know what brought us to the valley, and which of our habits were keeping on Peak. We may not control outside circumstances all the time however, we can always control how we respond to current situation and how we act. 2. Nothing fails like Success – After returning from Peak, the young man applies what he learns from Old man and sees success in all areas of life. Though within some time everything starts to fall apart for he doesn’t manage his success well. Lesson – As we get success, we should always take out time to appreciate, rest and reflect on what we have achieved so far, what got us there? Keep in mind that there will be always valleys following peaks and we need to be prepared accordingly. We only get better with every valley we pass through. 3. I can have more good times than bad times. Why does being in a Valley have to be so painful? The Pain In A Valley Can Wake You Up To A Truth You Have Been Ignoring. We can have fewer bad times when we appreciate and manage good times wisely. We shouldn’t mistake arrogance for confidence in good times, and fear for comfort in bad times. Having and drawing sensible vision for future is another great way of getting out valleys faster and staying on peak longer. We must avoid believing things are better than they are while on peak, and worse than they really are when in valley. . Studies by Morningstar and other independent researchers have shown that individual investors’ average returns over time have tended to lag those of the mutual funds in which they have invested. The reason: the tendency of many investors to move in and out of funds, too often at the wrong times, with negative consequences. “Most investors would agree that it’s most desirable to buy low and sell high,” says Judith Ward, a T. Rowe Price financial planner. “This may sound simple, but it isn’t easy for investors to achieve that timing as markets rise and fall.” This year—with the sharp fall in global markets and I don't expect a sudden reversing course into a steep recovery in the current worldwide recession — this is not the only and the latest period when many equity investors may have found their long-term investment plans challenged by their emotions. let have a flash back to stock market situation in 2009 “Given the turmoil at the beginning of 2009, many investors doubtless were tempted to change their investment strategies by reducing their exposure to stocks and stock funds,. but best advice: Determine your investment goals and an appropriate long-term investing strategy to reach those goals. And then resist the temptations to deviate from that long-term plan. Finally, review the plan regularly but not so often that you are frequently tinkering with it—let alone attempting to time your stock market investments. . To underscore this point, compare two hypothetical investors who each want to set aside a part of their income monthly . from the end of 2017 to Over the next years, each investor buy $100 a month to his account. The only difference between the two was that after March 2020—when bitcoin had fallen more than 50% over the past months—the second investor capitulated, moving all of his portfolio to cash and investing all subsequent additions into cash. Meanwhile, the first investor continued adding $100 a month to portfolio monthly as the market rose until now, Both investors had balances of more than $2800 by Mar-20 .At that moment the second investor looked like he had made a good move by bailing out of the market. But meanwhile disciplined investor who had continued purchasing then saw the market began its rally . But then the market recovery took off, the investor who had stayed the course with was ahead again—a lead that would widen as the year went on. you see even this more disciplined investor still had less in his account for a while in mar-20 than the regular saving . ($2,833.75 investors balance<==> $3000 regular saving) . Of course, given the scale of the historic market downturn during this period, even this more disciplined investor still had plus in 2022, his account totaled almost $13,200 more at end rather than the investor who had fled to cash in early 2020. “ Although the truth is that “Regular contributions cannot assure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market,” “But over the long haul, it can help you weather market storms, build a solid foundation for your investment goals, and take advantage of downturns to buy at lower prices.” DATA SHEET: date -------------------- open-------- high-------- low-------- close-------- avg high and low --------month-------- investor 1-------- investor2-------regular saving 1-Oct-17-------- $5,712.00--------6384.91--------5400--------6339.65--------5892.455 -------- #1---------------$100 -------- $100- ---- -------$100 |...... 1-Mar-20--------$8,650.64--------9187.7--------3800--------6453.05--------6493.85 --------# 30--------------$2,833.75--------$2,833.75----------- $3,000 |... 1-May-22-------- $38,468.34--------40029--------26656--------29620--------33343.19 --------#56------------- $18,539.70 -------- $5,433.75 -----------$5,600 Conclusion : So in a metaphor, I likened peaks and valleys to similar situations, both market ups and downs and trading accounts. I think we can be well inspired by reading this book. as we know Market conditions are always changing. So to be a part of 10% successful trader ,Having mental and emotional mastery is vital, what helps us is that when our balance grows so high, we should not be in a frenzy, nor should we be overwhelmed by fear, despair, and severe depression during a recession. It is better to have a long-term view of the market and investment. To get through these inevitable steps sooner! quintet.com-The Peaks & Valleys by Spencer Johnson
Education
by PRO_SMART_Trader
2
Where is the THETA peak?Cosmic Bands are useful for determining how far the price will keep rising (or falling). In this case the price of THETA is experiencing exponential-like growth on lower timeframes and it's not clear where the final peak will be. To estimate the peak, we add the Cosmic Bands indicator as-is, turn on the `log` and `auto` chart settings and find a relatively high timeframe (here it's 1M) where the price approaches the indicator's R5 level. This level equates to the upper plot of a regular BB indicator when the StdDev setting is set to 4.5. It appears that the price is approaching R5 (a common peak level) which on this timeframe is about USD 14.5. But don't let this be your only guide! On a 1W timeframe, the R5 level is at about $18, so check several timeframes at once and make your decision accordingly.
by cosmic_indicators
2
Potential Future Move of ETH/USDThis graph shows the price patterns and the trends. As you can see the time range for this graph is 1M. I am expecting the price to reach the green circle if the trend prevails . The Blue channel represents the bigger/overall trend that was formed around a month or two ago. The yellow line indicates the support levels. The white channel represents where I am expecting the future price to the peak. If the pattern holds the price should follow the blue arrows. Great for thinking of when to buy and when to sell! (THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISE NOR TRADE ADVISE, I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR NOR HOLD ANY TITLES AND LICENSES THAT WOULD SAY OTHERWISE; THAT WOULD CERTIFY MY EXPERTISE. I AM JUST A GUY LOOKING AT PRICE CHARTS, I AM NOT GUARANTEEING THE PRICE WILL FOLLOW MY PREDICTION OR ANYTHING, DO NOT TRADE BASED ON MY POST. YOU NEED TO DO DUE DILIGENCE WHEN INVESTING. THIS IS NOT A BUY, SELL OR HOLD RECOMMENDATION.) As always: "Past performances do not guarantee future returns" Have fun and good luck!!!!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by luisco98
Trendlines, Volume and FibonacciTrendlines are the simplest chart pattern you can find, but they are some of the most widely used, and for good reason. They highlight a price trend going up, down, or sideways. Which therefore will be used for further analysis and other chart patterns, but what many people don't know are the specifics of trendlines. Firstly, widely-touched trendlines (about a month apart) perform much better than closely-touched trendlines. Trendlines with more touches also perform better than those with fewer. Furthermore, the longer the trendline the better the performance. However, steeper trendlines don't cut - performance usually lacks when trendlines get steeper. The Gold monthly chart shows a downward channel highlighted by blue trendlines. This channel isn't the best since the breakout doesn't kick in for a couple of years, however, it would have been great for a few swing trades. Highlighted by the blue notes are regions of high volume at valleys and peaks. Heavy volume at peaks and volumes are good indicators of support and resistance. Represented by the white horizontal lines. However, one important thing to note is that horizontal consolidation regions provide better support and resistance then peaks and valleys. The HCR is presented by the yellow note and the highest blue note in the chart. Also shown is the Fibonacci retracement. The Fibonacci retracements of 38%,50%, and 62% are good regions for support and resistance. A stop placement at 67% protects trades 66% of the time.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by BlackbearTrader
When will BTC peak in the next parabolic rally?This is another iteration of a previously published chart, but simplified to drive the point home. Motivation Predicting the peak of BTC's next parabolic rally is critical for the profit-taking strategies of speculators and hodlers alike. For speculators, it's about knowing when to get out. For hodlers it's about how to grow your bags. Really, knowing the timing of the peak is more important than knowing the potential price levels. BTC is a deflationary asset. As market cap continually builds, flow is being squeezed on a pre-set schedule and real value continues to grow. So, we know price will rise. Whatever levels we may reach ($50K? $150K? $250K? 1 million?), taking profits requires knowing WHEN those peaks may be attained. Two Perspectives There seems to be two primary camps in the timing debate. In the first camp, there are analysts who note that the time between each previous peak has grown. For these analysts, the first all-time high of around $30 in 2011 is key. The subsequent ATH in 2013 of nearly $1,200 came only 2 years 5 months later (884 days). In contrast, the next ATH took 4 years and 1 month to arrive (1491 days). This 40% expansion in time between peaks logically leads some to believe we will see a similarly expanded time frame as we wait for the next peak, with many predicting peaks delayed until 2023 or even 2024. Such predictions, however, seem to discount or devalue the underlying architecture of BTC growth, the built-in halving cycle in which the flow of new BTC into the system drops every 4 years when the reward to miners is cut by 50%. The 2017 peak arrived 4 years and 1 month after the 2013 peak (1491 days). Was this a signal that the parabolic price cycle had become calibrated with the 4 year halving cycle? If so, the cycles seem to be offset by approximately 18 months, which would make the target for the next peak in or around December 2021, or some 18 months (1460 days) after the 3rd halving in May of 2020. The Upshot Obviously there are so many attenuating factors that can influence the market, and when and where we'll find peak price discovery is anyone's guess, but smart profit seekers would do well to monitor the market closely as we approach December 2021. Even if the peak is delayed, this should be a key profit-taking window for speculators. For hodlers, it will be an opportunity to strategically pull capital from overvalued BTC before the inevitable 75-85% retracement in which we can grow our bags with an eye to 2025 and beyond.
BNC:BLX
by DragonFish1969
Is it better to buy Bitcoin than Ethereum!?!As we all know Bitcoin is deciding where the market will go! Etherium, as the majority of the other coins, follows the market that is set by BTC. How can we take advantage of that!? As you can see, it is possible to buy cheaper and sell more expensive if you are in the right place at the right time. Here is the interesting logic though. "It is more important to buy at the right time than to buy at the right price!" - Samoto Why? Cause with the right time, you can use the power of interests compounding and thus getting much higher profits. Imagine you earn 100% profit on BTC and then you put it in ETH and you earn 100% in that one also. It compounds into 400%! Is it harder to expect BTC making 400% or BTC and ETH making "only 100%"? Sure this is just a hypothetical example but if you check up the graph closely you will see that you can use the same logic. Imagine selling BTC when it peaks and putting (some of that) funds into ETH. If and when ETH peak is delayed you can use both for maximizing your profits. Are you buying BTC right now or are you thinking of buying some more ETH? ;-) Now, the interesting calculation: How many times do we need to double our money to get from 2k$ to 1mio$? Believe it or not, it's just 10 times! Compound interest is great if you can use it in your favor. Much better than banks using it against you! This is just an idea. It's not investment advice! However, if you like it you can follow me and get to know more ideas like that.
by Samoto
6
Dow Jones - What do Fibonacci Time Tell us? This blog is using fibonacci spirals as basis for price projection in several market, while the same basis can be apply in time series manner. First, we need a first swing for projection, the obvious one was the 2007 peak to 2009 market bottom, it took 512 days from peak to low. So projection as follow: Factor First Swing 61.80% 161.8% 261.8% 423.6% 685.4% Duration of Trend 512 316 828 1340 2169 3509 Date of Peak 15-Jan-10 13-Jun-11 8-Nov-12 12-Feb-15 11-Oct-18 A summary of price action from projection date: 15-Jan-10: Market reached its peak at the same date, price dropped for 8.34% 13-Jun-11: The day pointed the low of 7.87% correction, but price made lower high and correction for 18.24% with Greece crisis. 08-Nov-12: Low of 8.71% correction came 6 days later from projection date, trend continue to rally. 12-Feb-15: Price reached historical high 11 days later from projection date, Dow fall 16.24% after that and correction for 21 months. 11-Oct-18: At 3 Oct, Dow reached historical high , no further indication yet.
DJ:DJI
by Johnkiew
Facebook - Peak expected near 187.17Facebook has seen an amazing rally since the September 2012 low at 17.55. This wave rally should be close to completion - Ideally near 187.17 for a correction in wave . As wave was a simple and deep zig-zag correction, we should expect a complex and shallow correction in wave . The ideal target for this wave correction is seen in the 114.77 - 115.93 area. The corrective structure of wave should be either a flat or a triangle consolidation. If the corrective structure proves to be a triangle, then the low will be seen early (likely in the A-wave down). Short-term a break below minor support at 168.89 will be a good indication that Facebook has peaked in wave and wave is developing. So tighten up your stops and don't fall in love with Facebook at these levels.
NASDAQ:META
by EWS