NEWS MOVE ALERT PPI AND UNEMPLOYEEMENT CLAIM.🚨 Gold Trading Update 🚨
Hey Traders! 👋
Here's the current scenario: Gold is heading towards the 2950-2955 level. Expect a possible fake-out, followed by a sharp drop. 📉
🔍 Key Insight: There’s an FVG on the H1 chart, signaling a potential sell-off before we see another GOLD rally. 🚀
Today’s News: PPI report 📊 drops, so expect a significant market move! Gold might respect the FVG and target these levels for a potential buy:
👉 2970
👉 2980
👉 3000
⚠️ Tip: Follow my strategy and always use proper risk management with a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio. 💡
Happy Trading! 💰📈
Pennant
Mexican Peso Shows Resilience Despite ChallengesThe Mexican peso advanced 0.35% during the session, demonstrating remarkable resilience amid negative signals from the Mexican industrial sector and economic uncertainties in the United States. However, the near-term outlook for the currency presents considerable challenges.
In Mexico, recent industrial data has raised concerns among investors. The Monthly Indicator of
Industrial Activity (IMAI) fell 0.4% in January, accumulating an annual decline of 2.8%. The most significant deterioration came from the mining and extraction sector, particularly oil and gas, which saw sharp contractions of 8.8% and 10.7%, respectively. Additionally, the construction sector remained weak with an annual drop of 6.7%, while manufacturing declined slightly by 0.8%, with textiles, machinery, and metal goods suffering the most pronounced losses.
On the international front, the recent moderation in U.S. inflation has provided some support to the Mexican peso. The Producer Price Index (PPI) remained unchanged in February, coming in below market expectations. Additionally, the recent slowdown in the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), which fell to an annual rate of 2.8%, reinforces expectations of a potentially more dovish Federal Reserve. This scenario could benefit emerging market currencies, including the Mexican peso.
However, significant risks remain. Global trade tensions and concerns about a potential U.S. recession could drive an increase in risk aversion, negatively impacting the peso in the short term.
Market attention will be focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve monetary policy decision. A dovish stance would clearly favor the peso, while a more aggressive monetary approach would strengthen the U.S. dollar, putting additional pressure on the Mexican currency. For now, the peso has shown resilience, but it will navigate cautiously while awaiting clarity on these key fronts.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Bitcoin in a falling wedge / bull pennant It’s hard to say where it will. Break up from ths pennant, I put the dotted measured line in an arbitrary spot which will almost certainly have to be readjusted and most likely further down than where I placed it but if it were to somehow break up from the wedge by then and confirm that breakout the target would be in the 145k zone. *not financial advice*
SUI - Short or Long? The Ultimate SUI Trade BlueprintHere’s an update to the analysis I did one month ago on February 10. Since then, SUI has continued to show its bearish tendencies—making lower highs and lower lows. After that dramatic 30% drop from a golden pocket short opportunity, the price started inching up on low volume. This weak rally suggests that while buyers are testing the ceiling, the overall trend remains down. That sets the stage for two possible plays: a short trade if the price reaches the resistance zone, and a long trade if it bounces off a strong support level.
1. Identification of Support and Resistance Zones
Resistance Zone (for the Short Trade):
Daily Resistance: ~2.7888
Point of Control (POC): Around 2.8035
Monthly Open: 2.83
0.618 Fibonacci Retracement: 2.8711
All these levels combine to create a robust resistance area where sellers are likely to step in.
Support Zone (for the Long Trade):
$2 Psychological Level: A key round number that attracts attention.
0.7 Fibonacci Retracement: Derived from the swing low of $0.4625 to the high of $5.3687, this places an important level at 1.9344 (just below $2).
Monthly Bullish Order Block: At 1.9137, indicating buying interest.
Fib Speed Fan (0.786): Points to support near the $2 mark.
POC: 2.0225
Anchored VWAP: Calculated from the deep low at $0.362, which again aligns around $2.
These multiple layers of confluence make the $2 area a strong support zone and an attractive entry point for a long trade.
2. Short Trade Setup
The Plan:
Building a short position gradually using a laddering strategy. With a $15,000 allocation from a $100,000 account, scale in at different levels to keep risk in check.
Scaling In (Entry Levels):
Entry # Entry Price % of Position Amount Invested ($)
1 2.6808 5% $750
2 2.7070 5% $750
3 2.7314 10% $1,500
4 2.7552 10% $1,500
5 2.7755 10% $1,500
6 2.7990 15% $2,250
7 2.8242 20% $3,000
8 2.8485 25% $3,750
Total: Avg. ~2.7924 $15,000
Stop Loss: Set at $3.07, limiting the risk to about $1,506 (roughly 10% of the trade allocation or 1.51% of the account).
Scaling Out (Exit Levels):
Exit Cover Price % of Position Amount Paid to Cover ($)
1 2.7925 5% $750.02
2 2.1715 5% $583.23
3 2.1365 10% $1,147.66
4 2.0981 20% $2,254.07
5 2.0630 20% $2,216.36
6 2.0257 10% $1,088.14
7 1.9930 15% $1,605.87
8 1.9625 15% $1,581.29
Outcome:
Total: Avg. ~2.09 $11,226.65
Net Profit: $15,000 (initial proceeds) – $11,226.65 (cost to cover) = $3,773.35
Profit % on Trade: +25.16%
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Approximately 2.51
This laddering approach helps to secure profits at various levels while managing the risk effectively.
3. Long Trade Setup
The $2 support zone is a magnet, backed by multiple confluences. When SUI tests this area and shows signs of a rebound, it sets up a great opportunity to go long.
Key Support Details:
$2 Psychological Level: A well-watched price point.
0.7 Fibonacci Retracement: Places a key level at 1.9344 from the low ($0.4625) to the high ($5.3687).
Monthly Bullish Order Block: At 1.9137, adding to the support.
Fib Speed Fan (0.786): Confirms support near $2.
POC & Anchored VWAP: Both clustering around $2 (POC at 2.0225 and VWAP from a low of $0.362).
Trade Details:
Entry: Buy at $2.00
Target: Sell at $2.337 for an approximate 20%+ gain
Stop Loss: Set just below $1.80 to protect against further downside
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: About 2.44 or better
Wrapping It Up
In this dual-setup strategy, we're well-prepared for different market outcomes:
Short Trade: If SUI rallies into the tightly clustered resistance zone, scale into a short with defined entries, exits, and a stop loss that caps our risk at about 1.51% of the account. Exit ladder aims for an average cover price of around $2.09, netting a neat profit of approximately $3,773 (or +25.16% on the trade).
Long Trade: Conversely, if SUI finds strong footing at the confluence-rich $2 support zone, we can flip to a long position. Entering at $2.00, with a target of $2.337 and a stop loss below $1.80, gives an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of roughly 2.44.
This approach lets us capitalise on both sides of the market. Keep an eye on volume and price action. Happy trading! P.S. If you have any coin requests, feel free to share them in the comments. I will be selecting one or two for the next TA.
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Perpetual Futures – Monthly Chart Analysis Overview:
Ethereum is currently testing a significant price zone after breaking out of a long-term symmetrical triangle pattern on the monthly chart. The recent drop has brought ETH to a major support area, which could act as a strong demand zone before a potential reversal.
Key Observations:
Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown:
ETH/USDT formed a symmetrical triangle over multiple years, representing a period of consolidation.
The price recently broke below the lower boundary of this pattern, leading to a sharp decline.
Major Support Zone (Potential Bounce Area):
The black box highlights a key demand zone between $1,750 – $1,800.
This area previously acted as a support level in the past market cycles.
If buyers step in, ETH could see a strong rebound from this region.
Reversal Area Target ($6,000+):
The chart suggests a potential long-term rally if ETH holds the current support and reclaims key resistance levels.
The expected price trajectory follows a higher-high, higher-low pattern toward the $6,000 zone.
This target aligns with the previous all-time high zones and Fibonacci extension levels.
Bearish Scenario (Risk Consideration):
If ETH fails to hold the $1,750 support, the next significant support level is near $1,500 - $1,200.
A continued downtrend could invalidate the bullish recovery scenario.
Trading Strategy Considerations:
✅ Bullish Setup (Rebound from Support)
Entry: Near $1,750 - $1,800, looking for a bullish confirmation (e.g., daily/weekly green candle).
Target 1: $2,500 (prior support turned resistance).
Target 2: $3,500 (mid-range resistance).
Target 3: $6,000 (full breakout target).
Stop-loss: Below $1,700, in case of further breakdown.
❌ Bearish Setup (Breakdown Below Support)
If ETH closes below $1,750, the next downside targets are:
$1,500 (key psychological level).
$1,200 (historical support zone).
Conclusion:
Ethereum is at a make-or-break point after breaking its long-term triangle pattern.
Holding $1,750 could spark a massive bullish reversal, with potential upside toward $6,000+.
A failure to hold support may lead to deeper corrections.
Traders should monitor the $1,750 level closely for confirmation before entering positions.
🚀 What’s Next?
Watch for bullish price action signs (e.g., long wicks, strong green candles) around the $1,750-$1,800 area before making a move. If ETH reclaims $2,500, it could signal a strong recovery phase.
BTCUSDT BEARISH PENNANT IN 1-H ATHello Guys Here Is Chart Of BTCUSDT in 1-H AT
Resistance: The upper trendline of the triangle around 86800 - 87200
Target Will Be : 84100
Support: The lower trendline of the triangle around 83800
This setup indicates potential Bearish momentum , If the price stays above support, it may go up again. If it breaks below, it could fall to the target.
Bearish Pennant has been formed!
Btc has been in a crazy movement for the past couple of weeks up thousand pips down thousand pips. And finally we able to see a clear structure. Awaiting for a clear breakouts.
Situation 'B' break penant upwards
98,000-100,000 its destination
Situation 'A' break penant downwards
73,000-74,000 its destination
Strong month chart , holding support zoneThe company is among India’s leading shipbuilding yards, specializing in constructing and repairing warships and submarines for the Ministry of Defence and commercial vessels. It is the only Indian shipyard to have built destroyers and conventional submarines for the Navy, among the first to manufacture Veer and Khukri-class corvettes, and a lead builder of 4 Nilgiri-class stealth frigates. It is the only shipyard to be conferred with the Navratna status.
When you're Dancing on the ceiling; Short then LongWe recently broke-out of a trading range, to the Upside. Short now for Temporary Profits, or, Wait for the price to follow the grey line I drew in illustrating the likely Anticipated move. Buy long, at-or-near the Pullback (top Dashed line).
Should go (up) Down Upppp!
For your added Confidence, i recommend Waiting for a Bullish Candle After the retest to Pullback Level; you Want to See a Green candle after touching that Dashed line.
Gold (XAUUSD) Breakout Setup – Targeting $3,014Gold is showing strong bullish momentum on the 1H timeframe, forming a breakout structure with a well-defined resistance and support zone.
Key Levels:
📌 Resistance: Around $2,940 (previous rejection zone)
📌 Support: Around $2,900 (previous consolidation zone)
📌 Target: $3,014 (+3.16% move)
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Gold recently broke out of a bullish flag pattern after a strong uptrend.
🔹 Price successfully retested the support zone and is now pushing higher.
🔹 A breakout above $2,940 could trigger a sharp rally towards the $3,014 target.
🔹 Volume confirmation and strong momentum support further upside potential.
Trade Plan:
✅ Long above $2,940 with a target of $3,014
❌ Stop-loss below $2,900 to protect against fake breakouts
Gold remains bullish, and if the price holds above the breakout zone, we could see a strong move higher! 🚀
$OM Bullish pennantBINANCE:OMUSDT is currently doing a bullish pennant pattern after an explosive move from 1.67 area. A break of this pennant could send BINANCE:OMUSDT price parabolically to around 6.40 - 6.80 area, measured using the length of the pole in confluence with 2.618 fib level.
In a typical retrace on a continuation move towards the upside, volume tends to dry out, signalling that a move may be due sooner than later. In futures, BINANCE:OMUSDT.P O/I continue to hover around $14M which is a good sign given the sentiment of the market towards premium RWA projects, with a positive L/S ratio.
On the flipside, a break of the lower level will only continue the current ranging move of BINANCE:OMUSDT towards 3.30 - 3.50 area.
Given that the market is still focusing on BTC, BINANCE:OMUSDT will continue to move in a laggard fashion, therefore there is still time to find a long entry near 3.55 - 3.63 area. Once money shifts towards alts, this will propel BINANCE:OMUSDT to new ATHs.
As always, manage your risks.
GL!
- JD
U.S. Tariffs Hit the Mexican Peso and Escalate Trade TensionsThe recent imposition of 25% tariffs by the United States against Mexico has generated significant pressure on the Mexican peso, which today has reached levels above 20.8 per dollar, marking yet another notable depreciation in 2025. This up to 1.5% increase at its daily high in the exchange rate reflects the uncertainty surrounding Mexico’s economic and trade outlook, especially considering that more than 80% of Mexican exports go to the United States. As the market has reiterated multiple times, a deterioration in trade relations between the two countries could result in serious consequences for Mexico’s economic development and financial stability.
The immediate trigger of this volatility has been the implementation of punitive measures, which had been postponed after negotiations in which both Mexico and Canada agreed to address the issues of illegal migration and drug trafficking, though not to the extent that the White House deemed necessary. While Canada has already responded with tariffs on U.S. goods valued at $107 billion, President Claudia Sheinbaum has called a press conference to announce Mexico’s response to this situation. She is expected to unveil retaliatory measures this weekend, which, according to some analysts, could include tariffs on strategic U.S. products. This factor has kept investors and business leaders on edge, awaiting concrete definitions of the Mexican government’s course of action.
While market sentiment had remained relatively stable until now, statements from U.S. President Donald Trump, declaring that “there was no room” for further negotiations, and the fact that the tariffs are directly linked to the fight against fentanyl, have created a cautious atmosphere. In addition, recent economic data—such as the eighth consecutive month of contraction in the manufacturing sector and the decline in business confidence in February—further complicate the outlook. This reinforces expectations that the Bank of Mexico will continue its monetary normalization process, which began in 2025 at a more aggressive pace with a 50-basis-point normalization.
In this context, it is crucial to observe how the Mexican government responds to what many see as an escalation of the trade war. Personally, I believe the key will be balancing the need to protect the national economy with the urgency of avoiding an even greater confrontation.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
XCN has serious breakout potential on the 5th wave count.XCN went on a massive run over the past few months, followed by a significant decline along with the overall crypto market. The chart, however, is telling a story of what could become a massive move to the upside on the 5th wave of the wedge pattern's internal wave count.
I wouldn't count XCN out just yet. I think good things are coming to XCN in the future, even if the 5th wave ends up failing this time around.
Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
Discover Financial Services | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Discover Financial Services Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* 012345 Wave Feature | Completed Survey
* Trendline Crossing | Entry Feature & Long Support | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (Uptrend Argument)) On 1st Retracement At 124.00 USD | Subdivision 2
* 0.5 & 1.618 Retracement Area | 2nd Retracement | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias))
* (Uptrend Argument)) & Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
The Bearish Pennant – A powerful continuation pattern!The Bearish Pennant is a classic continuation pattern that signals the market is likely to resume its downtrend after a short consolidation. It consists of two key components:
🔻 The Flagpole – A strong, impulsive move downward, indicating high selling pressure.
🔻 The Pennant – A brief consolidation with lower highs and higher lows, forming a small symmetrical triangle. This represents a temporary pause before the next leg down.
How to trade it?
1- Identify a sharp downward move (the flagpole).
2- Wait for price consolidation within the pennant.
3- A breakout below the pennant’s lower trendline confirms continuation.
4- Target = The length of the flagpole projected downward from the breakout point.
Why does this happen?
After a strong downward move, some traders take profits, causing consolidation. However, when sellers regain control, the trend resumes with force, leading to another leg down.
⚠️ Pro Tip: Look for increasing volume on the breakdown to confirm the move!
Bitcoin can continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. A short while ago, the price started to rise within a pennant and soon reached the resistance level, aligning with the seller's zone. After breaking this level, BTC continued upward, testing the resistance line of the pennant before reversing and beginning a decline. Not long after, Bitcoin dropped, breaking out of the pennant to the downside and even dipping below the 101900 level before quickly recovering. The price then climbed to 106500 points but soon pulled back to the buyer's zone and dropped even lower, breaking through the resistance level once again. Following this move, BTC reversed direction, made a strong impulse up to the resistance level, and then started declining within a downward channel. Inside this channel, the price fell to the buyer's zone and attempted to bounce but failed, rapidly returning to the buyer’s zone, which coincided with the support level. After that, it rebounded, reached the resistance line of the channel, and then corrected downward. At the moment, Bitcoin is still declining inside the channel. I expect a slight rebound before further downside movement toward the support line of the channel, breaking the support level. In this scenario, my target is set at 92200 points, which aligns with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Westlife forming a classical convergent triangleWestlife is consolidating in a convergent triangle, and might take some time to break down and break out.....There are levels 498 which hasn't been tested yet, but nevertheless, I see 2 scenarios for this stock....with the current market conditions it is possible a breakdown could happen....If you are buying this stock, make sure you get it at the lowest price possible.....I have multiple sell orders till 1000 and above