Ethereum - Final 24% drop before a new all time high!
Ethereum is now in an extremely difficult situation because the price is at the resistance of this symmetrical triangle and also inside the bearish rising wedge pattern on the daily chart! These patterns are bearish, so the probability of breaking down is higher at this point. Of course, we can breakout bullish, but do you really want to bet on it?
What's more, it looks like the first impulse Elliott wave has been completed, and we should take a look for a potential buying level on the next bull run! An ABC correction is on the way, and in this case personally, I am targeting the previous POC or the 0.618 FIB of the impulse wave, which is a 24% drop.
The very good news is that this triangle has impulse waves to the upside and corrective waves to the downside. It's a sign of trend reversal, and that's why I think this symmetrical triangle will break to the upside (later)! I think the bull market has started, but we are still stuck in this symmetrical range.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As you can clearly see, we have an unfilled GAP, and it is very dangerous to go up without filling it. The reason is that the market will want to fill the gap later, maybe in 2024, and you probably don't want it. So let's fill it now.
If you haven't seen my previous very popular idea about "Bitcoin to 18K," "The big crash is coming!" You have to check out the related section down below, because it's absolutely mind-blowing.
Currently I am bearish on Ethereum and Bitcoin, but only temporarily until we reach my targets. It's hard to speculate on the breakout of the symmetrical triangle while the price is still inside it. So from my perspective, the probability of going down is 75%.
It was a very good rally with tons of profits, but now we need to trade the market differently. Of course, it will be more difficult for the majority of traders, but it is doable!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
Pennant
We going to 35000 this year and 220000 in 2025, proofA bit late- but FED won't be printing money this year, they will figure out inflation is sticky and just do it next year. Gold and Bitcoin, similar assets will do well.
The chart of this year looks eerily similar to 2019.
Have a look:
Top:
2017 Dec 18 - 19700
2022 November 10 - 69000
Exactly four years.
Bottom:
2018 Dec 15 - 3650
2022 Nov 22 - 15650
Again, four years.
2019 June: 13,9k
2022 May: 35k
Again, four years.
Guess when the next top is?
Bearish Pennant Formation on CADCHF?The CADCHF is currently forming a bearish pennant, which could signal a significant downside move if the price breaks out to the downside, toward the previous swing low at 0.66 from March 2020.
This would be a similar pennant pattern (November 2022) leading to a move to the downside, with the price dropping to test the 0.68 support level.
Additional downward pressure could come from further weakness in the Canadian Dollar, especially with the employment data due to be released later in the week
IOTAUSDT needs more Liquidity?IOTAUSDThad a false breakout from its daily resistance level and is currently consolidating below it.
The market is creating a pennant, which is a common technical chart pattern that can indicate a potential continuation or reversal of the current trend.
Traders who follow technical analysis may be watching for a breakout from the pennant pattern to signal the direction of the next price move. However, it is important to note that false breakouts can occur and may lead to significant losses if traders are not careful.
In addition, traders should also be aware of the potential for a false breakout on the previous support level. If the price breaks below the support level but quickly rebounds back above it, this could be a false breakout and may lead to further consolidation or a potential reversal of the current trend.
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Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
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Bitcoin to 18k. The big crash is coming!
It looks like Bitcoin has completed the first bullish impulse wave, which is a very positive sign for the future, but right now the correction is in progress.
As you know, from the Elliott Wave perspective, wave 2 corrections are usually deeper, especially in crypto. 0.618 FIB or even lower is a classic retracement, and because we have a huge unfilled GAP, this is going to happen!
0.618 FIB is at 18658 (LOG), and the start of the gap + POC of the previous consolidation structure is at 16830. Only these two levels are important; the others are insignificant. So you want to buy bitcoin at these points!
The market always moves in waves, no doubt about it. The waves in crypto are absolutely different from the stock market because different environments have different personalities. What works on the crypto market doesn't work on the stock market. If someone claims that his bot or trading system works on all markets, including forex, indices, crypto, commodities, and stocks, he is most likely lying to you. It is best to concentrate on a single type of market; in my case, that is crypto. I don't trade forex, stocks, or gold because the market movements are very different. It's like comparing apples to beef steak; they look different and taste different. It's better to eat the beef steak.
We can see on the chart that there is a large unfilled GAP between approx. 16830 and 20407. These gaps tend to be filled sooner or later. I think maybe it's better to fill the gap right now than next year. You probably do not want Bitcoin to go to 40k and then dump back to 16k next year; this would be as ugly as the COVID crash in 2020.
The bulls didn't react to the major supports on lower timeframes, and it's a huge sign of weakness at this moment. The structure was bullish, but currently at this point, it's extremely bearish to me.
So what is the plan now? You can trade Bitcoin on futures and trade reactions on the previous structures. For example, 21,950 is a strong level and bitcoin could bounce from it, so you can take some intraday trades with a few % of gains before it collapses down to the abyss. You can definitely short bitcoin. I will make these types of trades in the next few weeks. Once bitcoin reaches my reversal zone, I will take some brutal long trades with an extremely high RR and a target of 30k+.
March is going to be a very bearish month. And usually Bitcoin starts to pump significantly when April starts. You can do a back test. April is a very positive month.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
NZD/USD Possible Bullish setup/outlook**Before anything, if y'all have any questions or a different outlook plz let me know.
I like to hear other people ideas.**
From last week setup, I was looking at a larger
parallel channel but now I've modified it into a outward expanding structure.
**Price within the expanding structure is forming a possible falling wedge because im
still leaning more bullish base on my HTF bias**
Im forecasting by next week for price to form
and breakout with a CAB and push higher from the falling wedge.
Some confluences to satisfy my HTF outlook is a falling wedge, a possible double bottom and a
larger expanding structure with other smaller pattern and structures
We can see a HTF daily Descending channel with a HTF double bottom
as well as a larger inverse h & s pattern
Bitcoin Consolidating to go Lower AGAINBitcoin/1H Doing another Pennant
We are also in a down trend channel that I draw which everytime it reaches the end of the channel it makes a move.
Worth noticing when SPX was consolidating btc went to 25K now that spx started to move down btc coming down with it.
We could perform a fake pump and grab some liquidity before further downside.bearish momentun is just starting and we yet have to see bigger red candles ~13%
Please Follow,Comment,Boost if you find it informative.
Thanks for watching
XRPUSDT is inside a massive descending channelXRPUSDT has been creating a daily channel, indicating a period of consolidation and uncertainty in the market. However, after a bullish impulse, the market bounced off the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which is a common level of retracement in technical analysis.
This retracement suggests that buyers are still interested in entering the market and that there is strong support at this level. Furthermore, if the market is able to grab new liquidity from the 0.37$ area and break out of the descending channel, it would signal a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish.
If the market were to satisfy Plancton's Rules, which is a trading strategy that involves taking a long position when a market experiences a significant price increase, it could indicate that the market is gaining momentum and that there is strong bullish pressure in the market.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
AGIX Targeting $1.00? Looks like AGIX is about to squeeze to a new ATH if this bullish pennant breaks out to the upside! 🚀
TP1 0.65
TP2 0.85
TP3 1.00
USDJPY ;Waiting for pullback ?!Hello, The price broke the red line with many ups and downs and formed a continuing triangle pattern there!!
Note that in continuing patterns, a fake break usually occurs during the third encounter!!
Now wait for the pullback to the body of the pattern and when you see the entry trigger, go long!
Good luck !
Bitcoin Bleeding Started!More Pain To Come!Bitcoin/1H doing a pennant that is a sign of continuation ( maybe with a small up move ~24.2)
Please Follow,Boost,Commet it really motivates me to do more. REALLY DOES!!!!!
Bitcoin has been going down for couple of days , Bulls getting demolished on every RIP they push it. meaning smaller upsides bigger downside and with the pennant its doing it could come down to ~22.8 and hold this range for weekends.OR hit ~21.7 (over 4M liq cluster there) and then bounce back to ~22.8 holding that range again for weekends.
CVD is negative and Open Interest is going down indicates more sell pressure
Detailed Explanation on the video - Also the new mic is comin today
Thanks for watching
Chart Patterns Cheat SheetHey guys!
Today we'll have a look at chart patterns - which ones are the most popular, what do they look like, and how you can leverage them in your own trading!
Chart patterns are technical analysis tools used to predict price movements based on chart formations. There are two main types of chart patterns - reversal patterns and continuation patterns . Reversal patterns suggest a shift in the prevailing trend, while continuation patterns suggest that the trend is likely to continue.
How to trade these chart patterns effectively using trendlines on Tradingview?
Draw the chart patterns you see on the cheat sheet.
Create alerts for your drawn trendlines. Set the alarms when the price crossing up/down of the trendline you draw.
Click on the "Alert" icon in the menu. This will bring up the alert creation window. You can select whatever conditions you want, I usually just use crossing up/down, and change the message to something I recognize.
Click "Create" to save the alert.
Setting alerts allows you to act quickly on the trading opportunities that the chart patterns indicate. This is a super-effective way to manage these chart patterns.
The Triangle pattern
It can be both a continuation and reversal pattern. It consists of three types of triangles:
Symmetrical Triangle
Ascending Triangle
Descending Triangle
Symmetrical Triangle
The symmetrical triangle is a classic sideways pattern where the market consolidates, creating lower highs and higher lows that look like a squeeze. Neither the bulls nor the bears have control over the current movement during the pattern.
Ascending Triangle
The ascending triangle pattern forms when the price creates a series of higher lows within a clear resistance level. This indicates that buyers are unable to break through the resistance, but selling pressure from bears is weakening with each attempt. The bulls may take control and drive a breakout.
Descending Triangle
The Descending Triangle is an inverse formation of the ascending triangle and is a bearish continuation pattern that typically forms in a downtrend. To identify this pattern, look for a clear support level followed by a series of lower highs. This indicates that buyers are unsuccessful in pushing the price higher and each attempt weakens, potentially leading to a bearish breakout.
Pennant Chart Pattern
A pennant pattern is a continuation pattern that forms when the price makes a significant move in either direction and then consolidates in a sideways movement.
Bullish Pennant Pattern
Bearish Pennant Pattern
Bullish Pennant Pattern
A bullish Pennant Pattern is where the price is likely to move in the same direction it was trading before entering the consolidation period. It forms after a sharp move higher, followed by a pennant, and then a continuation breakout. To trade this pattern, traders typically place a long order above the pennant and set a stop below the bottom of the pennant to avoid false breakouts.
Bearish Pennant Pattern
The Bearish Pennant Pattern is the inverse of the Bullish Pennant Pattern. It forms after a sharp move lower, followed by a pennant, and followed by a breakout to the downside, signaling a continuation of the overall downtrend. Traders often take advantage of bearish pennants by placing a short order at the bottom of the pennant and a stop loss above the pennant to limit their losses in case the price moves against them.
Wedge Chart Pattern
Wedge Patterns can be both continuations and reversals based on the market trend.
Rising Wedge Pattern
Falling Wedge Pattern
Rising Wedge Pattern
The Rising Wedge Pattern is identified by upward-sloping support and resistance levels in which the support level is steeper than the resistance level and creates a wedge. If the Rising Wedge Pattern forms during a downtrend, it is often used as a continuation. On the other hand, if it is formed during an uptrend, it could indicate a potential reversal. Traders typically place their entry orders when the price breaks out of the wedge formation.
Falling Wedge Pattern
The Falling Wedge Pattern is characterized by a downward-sloping resistance level and a steeper upward-sloping support level. This pattern is usually a continuation if it forms during an uptrend. And it could signal a possible reversal if it forms at the bottom of a downtrend.
Flag Pattern
The flag pattern is a continuation pattern and is useful for price action analysis.
Bullish Flag Pattern
Bearish Flag Pattern
Bullish Flag Pattern
The Bullish Flag Pattern is formed during a strong uptrend when the price makes a sharp move higher creating the pole, followed by a sideways consolidation which forms the flag. it can be formed by two rallies separated by a brief retracement period, with the first rally creating a sharp spike known as the flagpole.
Bearish Flag Pattern
The Bearish Flag Pattern is formed during a downtrend when the price pauses sideways to create the flag form after a sharp moving lower. Price often consolidates or rebounds slightly higher before continuing with the trend. The flagpole forms on an almost vertical panic price drop and is followed by a bounce that has parallel upper and lower trendlines to form the flag.
Channels
A channel chart pattern is a continuation and it consists of two parallel lines that act as zones of support and resistance.
Bullish Channel
Bearish Channel
Horizontal Channel
Bullish Channel
Bullish Channel is a continuation pattern with a positive slope. The previous uptrend will likely continue if prices break through the upper channel line. There is no theoretical price objective on this chart pattern, and the movement is bullish, which can continue as long as the bullish channel support line is not broken.
Bearish Channel
The Bearish Channel is a continuation pattern with a negative slope. The previous bearish trend will likely continue if prices break through the lower channel line. It's not recommended to go long when the price touches the lower band as the trend may continue moving along it. Corrections towards the upper band in a downward trend are usually weaker.
Horizontal Channel
Horizontal Channel forms when the price moves sideways or when it is in a consolidation phase. A line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times. The horizontal channel pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
That is the end of part one, hope you found it useful! - Don't forget to follow us for more
6month log chart on xrpusd suggests crazy potential targetsThe bull pennant we are in shown here on the 6month time frame seems to have a symmetrical triangle for its flag. The breakout target for just the symmetrical triangle is in the $33 range. Factor in the pole of the flag and the potential target skyrockets to 1.2k. Definitely not financial advice and certainly no guarantee it will hit either target as it’s still up in the air if log chart targets reach their full target as reliably as linear chart patterns do. Even if it does hit these targets you can see the apex of the pennant in its current trendline trajectories doesn’t occur until 2026. The only way I see price remaining inside this triangle for that long is indeed if the SEC ripple case is extended through appeal and taken to the Supreme Court. Hopefully not but it isnt impossible. If this were to occur I would simply keep dollar cost average accumulating until it was to break out from the triangle which would give me more opportunity to take some profit at the first target but then also hold onto some of the asset in case it does indeed reach the full bullflag breakout somehow all the way up at 1.2k. Simply posting this hear so I can see how well price action chooses to follow this pattern over the next year or few. Once again *not financial advice*
GRTUSDT is inside a PennantGRTUSDT is creating a pennant below the 4-hour resistance level, following a previous bull run.
A pennant is a technical chart pattern that is formed when the price moves within converging trendlines, forming a symmetrical triangle shape. The pattern is characterized by a sharp price move in either direction, followed by a consolidation phase where the price forms lower highs and higher lows. The pennant pattern typically indicates a continuation of the previous trend, which in this case was a bullish trend.
In this scenario, the market is consolidating after a strong bullish run, which could indicate that the market is gathering new liquidity. The previous support level at the 0.15$ area could act as a source of liquidity, as traders who missed the previous bull run may be looking to buy at a lower price.
To apply Plancton's Rules in this scenario, traders should wait for the breakout from the current resistance level to be confirmed before opening a new long position. This means waiting for the price to break through the upper trendline of the pennant and establish new support.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
📊 Chart Pattern CheatsheetChart patterns are visual representations of a stock's price movement over time. These patterns can provide traders with information about the stock's trend, momentum, and potential future direction. Continuation and reversal patterns are two types of chart patterns that traders use to identify potential entry points. When considering entry points for both continuation and reversal patterns, traders often use a combination of technical indicators and price action analysis. They may use tools such as moving averages, oscillators, and trendlines to confirm a pattern's validity and identify potential entry points. Additionally, traders may set stop-loss orders to manage risk and limit potential losses.
🔹 Continuation patterns
Continuation patterns are chart patterns that suggest that the current trend will continue. They occur when the stock price consolidates in a certain range, showing a temporary pause in the trend. Some common continuation patterns include triangles, flags, and pennants. Traders may look to enter a long position when the stock price breaks out of the pattern, typically on higher than average trading volume.
🔹 Reversal patterns
Reversal patterns, on the other hand, suggest that the current trend is likely to reverse. These patterns occur when the stock price has reached a high or low point and is likely to move in the opposite direction. Some common reversal patterns include head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and the "V" pattern. Traders may look to enter a short position when the stock price breaks below a support level or the neckline of a pattern.
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GBPJPY 4H OutlookHi again !!
As you C, price swinging high & low in a triangle. and as you know, triangles are continues patterns !!
But we have a strong resistance front of the price for bulls !!
anyway wait for third touch in the floor of triangle, then open a position carefully and don't forget saving!!
targets are clearly in chart !!
good luck ;)
ETHUSDT wants the breakout?As per the previous idea, ETHUSDT had a nice impulse, indicating a potential uptrend in the market. Currently, the price is creating a pennant on a weekly key level, which is a significant level for traders to watch out for.
A pennant is a technical chart pattern that is formed when there is a sharp price movement, followed by a consolidation phase and then a continuation of the initial price trend. The pennant looks like a triangle, where the price moves in a narrowing range, forming the shape of a flag or a pennant.
In this case, we can see that the price of ETHUSDT is forming a pennant on a weekly key level, which indicates a potential continuation of the uptrend. Traders often look for pennants as a potential buying opportunity, as it may lead to a sharp price movement in the direction of the initial trend.
As we can see from the chart, the price of ETHUSDT has grabbed liquidity from the 1500$ area, indicating a strong buying interest in the market. Now, we are waiting for the next distribution, which may lead to a potential breakout of the pennant pattern.
If the price breaks out of the pennant pattern with a significant volume and then retests the same level, it may indicate a potential buying opportunity, according to Plancton's rules.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <= 1h structure.
Follow the Shrimp 🦐