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XAU/USD – Long off Lower Channel + Fundamental Tailwind📌 Bias: Bullish (technical + macro alignment 🔹 Trade Setup Entry Zone - 3 245 – 3 255 Stop-Loss - 3 240 TP1 - 3 375 (Last Month High) TP2 - 3 475 (Upper Channel) 🧠 Technical Rationale - Price is respecting a clean ascending channel - Confluence at entry: lower trendline + last month’s low + hidden order block - Liquidity sweep expected below 3 245 before bullish continuation 🌍 Fundamental Tailwinds (July 2025) 🏦 1. US Dollar Collapse - The US Dollar Index (DXY) is down 10.8% YTD, its worst start since 1973 - Driven by: - Trump’s erratic tariff policies and fiscal expansion - Loss of confidence in US Treasuries as a safe haven - Moody’s downgrade of US credit rating “The dollar has transformed from a safe haven into a symbol of instability.” – ING strategist 🪙 2. Central Bank Gold Demand - Global central banks continue accumulating gold to hedge against dollar devaluation - This institutional demand underpins long-term bullish momentum 🔥 3. Geopolitical Risk Premium - Ongoing tensions in the Middle East (Iran–Israel, Gaza) and Russia–Ukraine keep gold attractive as a safe-haven asset - Even with temporary ceasefires, the risk premium remains embedded in price 📉 4. Fed Dovish Shift - Fed Governor Waller signals a possible July rate cut, citing weak labor data and easing inflation - Lower rates = weaker dollar = stronger gold 🧠 Final Thought This setup isn’t just technically sound—it’s fundamentally explosive. You’re riding a macro wave of dollar weakness, geopolitical hedging, and central bank gold demand. If price reacts cleanly at 3 250, this could be your high-conviction entry of the month.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Billionaire_bills
#007: LONG EUR/MXN Investment OpportunityHi, I'm Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about this long investment opportunity on EUR/MXN. After a careful analysis of institutional flows, market sentiment and macroeconomic dynamics between Europe and Mexico, I have identified a potential medium-term long opportunity on this currency pair, often overlooked by retail traders but closely followed by professional operators for its hybrid technical-fundamental structure. I would like to thank in advance the Official Partner Broker PEPPERSTONE who supported us in creating this technical analysis. 🔍 Technical and strategic context In recent days, EUR/MXN has shown typical institutional accumulation behavior: prolonged congestion on key levels, progressive decrease in volatility, increase in volume anomalies on bearish spikes and presence of clear defenses on strategic support areas. All this while retail positioning remains strongly unbalanced short, with over 75% of retail operators selling this pair in the current area. Historically, when such extreme levels of imbalance are reached, the likelihood of an institutional-driven reversal increases significantly. 🧠 Expected Behavior and Institutional Dynamics Large financial institutions – including global banks and hedge funds – never enter “on cue”: they enter when the market is ready for them to win. This often happens after retail has positioned itself heavily against the upcoming move, and that is exactly what we are seeing these hours. EUR/MXN is a high-yielding pair: the Mexican peso often benefits from favorable carry trades, but is also highly exposed to geopolitical tensions (such as the current US-Iran turmoil) and the overall direction of the US dollar and the euro. In this environment, with a stable euro and rising systemic risk, the natural flow tends to move away from the Mexican peso, making long EUR/MXN particularly attractive. 🎯 Operational positioning and objectives My entry occurred on a well-defined compression zone, with a protected technical stop loss and a target calculated on structure, volumes and previous similar breakouts. The target is an area around 22.73, where institutional profit taking is likely to arrive. It should be noted that the entire current structure is built on protection zones generated by passive orders: we know that in EUR/MXN these levels have historically caused strong rebounds when reached. 📊 Conclusion This trade is not simply a directional bet. It is the thoughtful execution of a model based on the behavior of large operators, market psychology and advanced analysis of capital flows. It is not about "predicting the future", but positioning yourself at the same time as the strong hands do, exploiting their own rules. My goal is to operate like a hedge fund does, and in this trade on EUR/MXN I see all the conditions for this to happen.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
#006: EUR/NOK SHORT Investment Opportunity Hi, I'm Andrea Russo and today I want to show you this SHORT investment opportunity on an often undervalued but extremely interesting pair: EURNOK. I would like to thank in advance our Official Broker Partner PEPPERSTONE for the support in creating this article. The Euro / Norwegian Krone exchange rate has reached an excess area, with a recent high in the 11.79 area, showing signs of bullish exhaustion on multiple timeframes. Prices are currently above the EMA200, but this data is not enough to justify a further extension of the rise, especially considering the behavior of institutional operators and the macro weakness of the euro. Technical context The price structure shows a congestive lateral phase, with upper spikes that do not find continuation, signaling a probable distribution phase. The level of 11.8530 has acted as an upper protective zone, often defended with declining volumes and passive orders. The target at 11.5800 corresponds to a historical cluster of volumes, and is supported by protections at the level of options and open interest. In the event of a break of the local lows, an acceleration of the bearish movement is plausible. Fundamental context The Norwegian krone is currently benefiting from an improvement in domestic macro data, while the euro is suffering from a fragile context with divergences between member countries and signs of slowdown. Market sentiment shows a balanced positioning by retail traders, indicating a possible expectation of institutional investors to strike forcefully in the opposite direction to any future imbalances. Stay tuned for more updates.
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
2
"Gold’s War Cry: XAUUSD Eyes $3700 Amid Middle East Turmoil"PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD Gold is once again stepping into the spotlight as global markets reel from escalating geopolitical tensions. With President Trump confirming a full-scale U.S. airstrike on Iran’s nuclear facilities—Fordow, Natanz, and Esfahan—the world is bracing for potential retaliation and broader instability. In times like these, gold doesn’t just shine—it roars. 📈 My Bias: Strongly Bullish 🎯 Targets: - Primary: $3500 - Extended: $3700 These levels are not just technical aspirations—they’re grounded in the reality of rising global risk aversion, central bank accumulation, and a potential flight to safety as the Middle East teeters on the edge of wider conflict. 🔍 Key Technical Zone: - $3341–$3352: This is my immediate area of interest. I expect a pullback into this zone on market open, which could offer a high-probability long setup. - Break Below? If price slices through this zone, I’ll be watching the $3330–$3320 demand area for signs of absorption and reversal. 🧠 Macro Context: - The U.S. strike marks a historic escalation, with Trump declaring the nuclear sites “completely and totally obliterated”. - Iran’s expected retaliation could further destabilize the region, fueling safe haven flows into gold. - Central banks remain net buyers of gold, and with inflation still lurking, real yields remain a key driver. 📊 Confluence Factors: - Rising volume on bullish candles - RSI holding above 50 on higher timeframes - DXY showing signs of topping out - VIX creeping higher—risk-off sentiment brewing 📌 Final Thoughts: Gold is no longer just a hedge—it’s becoming a statement. In a world where headlines move markets, XAUUSD is poised to benefit from both fear and fundamentals. I’ll be watching price action closely at the open, ready to strike if the setup aligns.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Billionaire_bills
15
LINKUSD LINK USD CRYPTO CFD on PEPPERSTONE Higher local rejections aren't marked because they appear to be tested, if you're doubtful, mark them yourself. Initial lows, supports, untested spots marked with hotpurple box. Testing support currently, also a local low has been created, either we regain it and hold to continue with the move up.. or more likely, break below and push on to retest initial lows that created this whole trend up. Always refreshing charting a different ticker, removes imprinted biases, lets you acknowledge key spots, and removes all the bs. Anyways, i'll be watching this ticker over the next week or two. Once again LINKUSD LINK USD CRYPTO CFD on PEPPERSTONE gravy
PEPPERSTONE:LINKUSD
by gravy49
1
What's affecting JPY price?The price of the Japanese Yen (JPY) can be influenced by a variety of factors, including: 1. Macroeconomic factors: The value of the JPY can be affected by macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, and unemployment. For example, if Japan's GDP grows at a faster rate than expected, this can cause the value of the JPY to increase. 2. Global market sentiment: The JPY is often seen as a safe-haven currency, meaning that investors tend to buy it during times of global economic or political uncertainty. When investors feel nervous about the global economy or the stability of other currencies, they may flock to the JPY, causing its value to rise. 3. Geopolitical events: The JPY can be affected by geopolitical events such as elections, wars, and diplomatic tensions. For example, if tensions between Japan and another country escalate, this could cause investors to sell off the JPY, leading to a decrease in its value. 4. Monetary policy: The Bank of Japan has the ability to influence the value of the JPY through its monetary policy decisions. For example, if the bank lowers interest rates, this can make the JPY less attractive to investors, causing its value to decrease. 5. Trade relationships: Japan's trade relationships with other countries can also affect the value of the JPY. If Japan's exports increase, this can cause an increase in demand for the JPY, leading to an increase in its value. Overall, the value of the JPY can be affected by a wide range of factors, and it is important to carefully monitor global economic and political developments to gain insight into its potential movements.
Education
by JackPepperstone
1
What's affecting the gold price?Gold is considered a safe-haven asset and is often sought after by investors during times of economic uncertainty or market volatility. The price of gold can be influenced by a number of factors, including: 1. Global economic conditions: Economic conditions such as inflation, interest rates, and stock market performance can all affect the price of gold. In general, when economic conditions are uncertain or unstable, investors tend to turn to gold as a safe haven asset, driving up its price. 2. Demand and supply: The supply and demand of gold can have a significant impact on its price. While gold mining production can increase the supply of gold, demand from jewelry, technology, and investment can also fluctuate and impact the price. 3. Geopolitical events: Political instability or uncertainty, such as conflict or trade disputes, can increase demand for gold as a safe haven asset, leading to price increases. 4. Currency fluctuations: Since gold is priced in US dollars, fluctuations in currency values can also impact its price. When the US dollar weakens, gold becomes relatively cheaper for investors using other currencies, which can increase demand and drive up the price. 5. Interest rates: The price of gold tends to have an inverse relationship with interest rates. When interest rates are low, the opportunity cost of holding gold is lower, which can increase demand and drive up the price. It's important to note that the price of gold can be volatile and can fluctuate based on a variety of factors. Investors interested in gold should do their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDEducation
by JackPepperstone
BTCUSD reached a turning point for LongLooking at Bitcoin we can both notice that Bitcoin has been falling rapidly in the past few weeks due to China and Tesla refusing to accept Bitcoin. Bitcoin fell from 60k to 29k which was a bad fall but an opportunity for new investors to capitalise on by buying Bitcoin as it has already reached a turning point and gaining back it's momentum and value. So for every trader it's a good news because Bitcoin will go Long. For more accurate details you can check my Analysis
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by ForexKid101
Use the ECB meet to sell EURJPY ralliesTrade set up – Our preference is to sell rallies in EURJPY, placing a limit order at 128.30. With implied volatility spiking, predominantly in global equities, the JPY has strengthened, and we believe it will continue to do so, as traders flock to the guru of all safe haven currencies. Should the trade be filled, we would target 126.75, placing stops set at 128.75 (20-SMA dynamic resistance can be used too). Why we like it - With the JPY strengthening against all major currency pairs and the VIX index spiking to the highest close since February, we see risk appetite falling, which should result in further downside in EURJPY. Global equities have continued their decline, and it seems support levels mean very little here, and this is having the clear knock-on effect in FX, increasing uncertainty and moving traders to JPY. Tactically, there are risks of a small upside tick in the EUR with the ECB monetary policy statement coming later today, but we don't see Draghi changing his trajectory when it comes to QE and policy. With that in mind, any rallies are a selling opportunity as we ride the trend and leverage to elevated volatility. Disclaimer. Trading leveraged products carries a high level of risk and may result in you losing substantially more than your initial investment. Pepperstone Group Limited is licensed and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (AFSL 414530). Pepperstone Limited is authorised and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 684312). This information not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation
Short
by Pepperstone
1