Pepsi
Pepsi Co to test 157$ resistance, what's next?Pepsi co had a steady bull run from March of 2020 to May 2023, where the price doubled in a span of three years after testing it's long term support line in March of 2020 at 100$.
Since May 2023, the price is in a downtrend and even Trump pump did not help it!
Currently price is about to test its short term resistance at 157$. This price coincides with 0.382 fibonacci retracement level. If the price holds there, there might be a chance for Pepsi co to break out of the downtrend and start a bull run.
However, if the resistance does not hold and price fall below 150$, we are probably going to test the long term trend line (green line) which has been a support since market crash of 2009. If that happens, then we will be looking at prices around 130$ per share. This price is retracement level of 0.618 of fibonacci level.
PepsiCo Stock Struggles Amid Weak Revenue and Guidance CutPepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) has long been a staple of the food and beverage industry, with a reputation for consistent growth and strong brand recognition. However, recent performance suggests a slowdown in momentum, as both technical indicators and fundamental data point to challenges ahead for the stock.
Declining Revenue and Softened Outlook
On Tuesday, PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) reported its fiscal third-quarter results, revealing a mixed performance that failed to meet Wall Street's expectations. The company posted earnings per share of $2.31, narrowly surpassing analyst expectations of $2.29, but its revenue of $23.32 billion fell short of the anticipated $23.76 billion ugh too bad. This marks a 0.6% decline in net sales compared to the same quarter last year.
The revenue shortfall is largely attributed to the impact of product recalls in its Quaker Foods North America division, a key segment of the company’s portfolio. Quaker Foods saw a 13% volume drop following recalls related to salmonella contamination and the subsequent closure of a production facility. The weakening demand in the U.S. market, alongside disruptions in international markets such as Latin America and the Middle East (Tensions between Israel, Iran and Lebanon), exacerbated PepsiCo's woes.
PepsiCo CEO Ramon Laguarta acknowledged the challenges, noting that weaker-than-expected sales, particularly in its snack and beverage divisions, have weighed heavily on the company's outlook. As a result, PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) trimmed its full-year organic revenue growth forecast, now expecting only a low-single-digit rise, down from the previous 4% projection.
Moreover, despite some resilience in brands like Gatorade and Pepsi within the North American beverage segment, overall volume declined by 3%, underscoring the broader slowdown in consumer demand. Rising inflation and shifts in consumer behavior have prompted shoppers across various income levels to cut back on discretionary spending, especially on premium products.
Let's check out what the Technical data says
From a technical perspective, PepsiCo’s stock is reflecting the underlying weaknesses in its business. After consolidating within a tight range for much of the year, NASDAQ:PEP has now formed a bearish reversal pattern, signaling the potential for further downside.
As of the latest premarket trading, the stock is down 0.66%, and its technical indicators suggest that more selling pressure may be on the horizon. The relative strength index (RSI) stands at 32.74, inching closer to the oversold territory, which reflects a growing bearish sentiment. An RSI reading below 30 typically indicates that a stock is oversold, but NASDAQ:PEP is dangerously close to crossing that threshold, which could spur a wave of panic selling.
Furthermore, PepsiCo's stock is currently trading below its key moving averages, with the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages converging at a critical juncture. When these averages converge and begin to trend downward, it often signals that a stock could face extended bearish momentum. In this case, the bearish crossover suggests that NASDAQ:PEP may experience further downside movement in the near term.
The stock is also hovering near a crucial support level at $158, a pivot point that, if breached, could open the door to a steeper decline. Should NASDAQ:PEP break below this support, it may revisit its recent lows, potentially entering a more prolonged bearish trend.
Conclusion: A Cautious Outlook for PepsiCo Investors
PepsiCo's (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) revised guidance for organic revenue growth indicates that management is bracing for slower growth ahead, and this cautious outlook has weighed on investor sentiment.
From a technical standpoint, PepsiCo’s stock appears vulnerable to further declines, with bearish patterns and weak momentum pointing to the possibility of additional downside. The stock's proximity to a critical support level at $158, coupled with a low RSI and downward-trending moving averages, suggests that investors should exercise caution.
PepsiCo (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PEP ) may face headwinds in the coming months. While the company remains a long-term blue-chip investment, short-term traders and investors should monitor the stock closely for any signs of a reversal, particularly if the stock breaches its key support level. Until the company can demonstrate stronger revenue growth and address its operational challenges, NASDAQ:PEP may continue to underperform relative to market expectations.
Pepsico (PEP): Breakout or Rebound? Earnings Report IncomingThis week, Pepsico is set to announce its earnings, and we continue to monitor the same pattern that has persisted for a while now.
PepsiCo's recent $1.2 billion acquisition of Siete Foods is a strategic move to expand Frito-Lay's "better-for-you" snack segment. Although the near-term impact on revenue is expected to be minimal, Citi predicts a modest contribution to overall growth. The deal is anticipated to close in 2025, broadening PepsiCo's multicultural portfolio.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:PEP is still moving within the established range. We've added zones above and below the range and highlighted each instance when NASDAQ:PEP broke through the range. Except for one occurrence, all these breakouts provided good entry opportunities. The future direction remains uncertain, but the key is whether Pepsico can hold its level upon breaking through the range—it needs to hold to sustain momentum rather than falling back.
For now, we continue to keep a close watch on NASDAQ:PEP and are waiting for this week's earnings report to provide further clarity. ✅
PepsiCo _ Next Target is Triangle Pattern TopPepsiCo is forming a Triangle Pattern. The Next Target is the Top of the Triangle. If it doesn't Breakout above the Triangle Pattern (or) Resistance, the market is Expected to move downward again, anticipating a breakout at the bottom of the triangle. If there is a breakout at the bottom of the triangle, the market Expects a 27% fall. Because PepsiCo has been trading within two parallel lines, or a channel, since 2009. Therefore, if it breakout on the bottom side of the triangle pattern, the market could fall to at least the 0.3 Fibonacci Retracement level. Refer to this below image :
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PepsiCo: Analyst Bullish Despite Slowdown, Sees 17% UpsidePepsiCo, the giant in the beverage and snack food industry, is currently under the spotlight as analysts adjust their price targets ahead of its upcoming quarterly earnings report. Amidst varying evaluations, one Wall Street analyst remains notably optimistic about the stock's future, suggesting a significant upside potential.
Banking on Continued Profitability:
Analyst Bryan Spillane of Bank of America Securities remains bullish on PepsiCo despite lowering his price estimate from $210 to $190 per share. Spillane's objective suggests a potential 17.2% increase over the following 12 months, demonstrating significant confidence in PepsiCo's steady profitability and earnings power.
PepsiCo's Financial Resilience:
Spillane acknowledges some concerns regarding soft demand in the food and beverage sector but believes PepsiCo's current valuation is attractive. The company has a solid track record of profitability, supported by its strategic pricing and product placement. Spillane's confidence is further bolstered by PepsiCo's ability to maintain healthy profit margins despite industry challenges.
PepsiCo's Strengths and Opportunities:
PepsiCo has always been a favorite choice for investors due to its diverse product portfolio and consistent dividend payouts. The company's strong presence in both snacks and beverages ensures a steady revenue stream. Presently, PepsiCo offers a dividend yield of over 3%, making it an appealing option for income-focused investors.
Growth Amidst a Slowdown:
Even with recent concerns about a slowdown, PepsiCo's results remain robust. Despite a modest 2.3% sales increase in Q1, this follows years of consistent revenue growth. In 2023, the company's sales increased by 8.7%, with a 10-year CAGR of 3.3%, showcasing PepsiCo's resilience and consistent growth capability.
Pricing Strategies:
PepsiCo's revenue growth has largely been driven by strategic price increases. Despite higher prices potentially affecting volume sales, the company has successfully increased its overall revenue. This approach underscores PepsiCo's strong brand equity and its ability to navigate market dynamics effectively.
Valuation and Dividend Appeal:
Given PepsiCo's current trading price, investors have a valuable opportunity. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the stock is currently 20.6, which is less than its historical average of 23 to 25. With PepsiCo's astounding record of 52 years of dividend increases, this reduction presents a unique opportunity to purchase shares at a discount in a dependable and rapidly expanding business.
Broader Industry Context:
The non-alcoholic beverage market is evolving, with major brewers like Carlsberg expanding their soft drink portfolios to adapt to changing consumer preferences. Carlsberg's recent acquisition of Britvic, a Pepsi and Lipton distributor, underscores the growing importance of the non-alcoholic segment. This trend reflects a broader industry shift towards diversification and catering to health-conscious consumers.
Strategic Implications:
PepsiCo is well-positioned for future growth thanks to its sustained emphasis on both its core products and smart acquisitions. The company remains an appealing option for investors seeking steady returns due to its robust dividend policy and ability to balance price hikes with volume sales.
Conclusion:
PepsiCo remains a strong contender in the beverage and snack food market, with analysts like Bryan Spillane projecting significant upside potential. Despite a recent slowdown in growth, the company’s strategic pricing, consistent profitability, and attractive valuation present a solid investment opportunity. As PepsiCo prepares to release its second-quarter earnings, investors should closely monitor its performance and consider the long-term benefits of holding PEP stock in their portfolios.
Food & Beverage Titans: Macro Fib SchematicsThe biggest food and beverage companies in the world consist of Nestle, Coca Cola, Pepsi, Unilever, Mondelez, Kraft Heinz, Tyson, and Hormel. These are the main ones but there are other ones as well. I have linked the rest in my other idea below. While it does not cover every single company in the group, it highlights the Main Titans of the sector.
I have shown their main products showing why they are the Titans dominating grocery stores. Especially thing like Pepsi and Coca Cola. Just for example, people do not know that they own many other brands and companies themselves.
KO EARNINGS CHART - SUGAR DRINKS Potential to see a decent sized exit pump.
I would play it like this.
IF earnings brings us down to like 43, BUY.
IF earnings brings us up to 57-63, SELL.
There are only two really short term trends I could find, they both trend down. The rejection trend is quite strong, I expect this stock, if it tops out, to top out around 71. But it's hard to say at this exact moment. Tomorrow we will know more.
Be aware, there isn't much more room to the upside, but KO is a slow moving stock, so it could be a long way out. Long term projection is still bullish.
There is support at 52-50, and you could see a movement from that number. I'd expect the biggest movement to occur, should earnings take us really negative. I would start to favor the topside.
COKE Preliminary trading plan for earningsBasically, coke is setting up for a nice little trade setup around earnings. As we sit right now, the short term indicators are nearly flipped, and the longer term indicators are crossed down, which implies some bearish movement incoming. Nov 7th is the date to eye, but not only that, catching a falling knife in this case has you catching into some strong support.
My ideal trade would be a bounce around 615-618, with confirmation on the top side of both trend support and horizontal support. Ideally, the bounce is seen and the entry occurs before 625.00.
If this price movement lines up with earnings, as shown by the pink arrow. It would hit a lot of needed price targets, confirmations, and allow for a nice movement towards the topside.
This is a rough trading plan and subject to change as trends start to redevelop and break. However, either way, it sets up a nice play for earnings. In other words, if we pump into earnings and we're nearing 650-680, I'd be looking for short plays. IF we are down around 621 a week before earnings or the day of or after the announcement, I'd be using that as an chance to jump in long with some pretty good odds.
PEPSICO Testing Lower Highs. Strong buy if broken.Pepsico Inc (PEP) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for more than 1 year. Currently it has been rejected on the internal Lower Highs trend-line from the May 15 High. As you can see within this Channel Up, every time the price tested such Lower Highs (3 occasions), it had an initial rejection (twice to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line)) and then broke out. On all occasions, it hit the dotted Higher Highs trend-line, just below the top of the Channel Up. The 1D RSI is on a similar pattern with all those past fractals.
As a result, we will be ready to buy after it breaks above the Lower Highs and target the dotted trend-line at 200.00.
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PEP PepsiCo Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PEP here:
or sold it here:
Then analyzing the options chain of PEP PepsiCo prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 180usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-7-14,
for a premium of approximately $0.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PepsiCo: Thirst for More 🥤PepsiCo is thirsty for more, heading upwards and striving for the green zone between $195.83 and $212.31 purposefully. Soon, the share should reach its goal and complete wave (I) in white. Afterwards, it should rebound from the upper edge of our pink trend channel and start an extended downwards movement, leaving the pink trend channel on the southern side and dropping below the support at $155.11. There is a 34% chance, though, that PepsiCo might finish wave alt.3 in green in the green zone instead and stop the descent above the support at $155.11. In that case, it should conclude wave alt.4 in green at this level and turn upwards earlier already.
Pepsi has had an impressive move into resistance. A pullback in Pepsi is likely to occur.
XLP has been one of the best performing sectors YTD.
Pepsi has completed a measured move into resistance.
A massive deviation away from the mean should cause some profit taking in Pepsi.
If you look at the price of Sugar soaring recently this should eat into Pepsis margins moving forward.
PEP PepsiCo Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PEP here:
Then analyzing the options chain of PEP PepsiCo prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 185usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-5-19
for a premium of approximately $3.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them, I expect a retracement afterwards.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
Pepsi Ahead of earningsPepsi reports earnings tomorrow morning.
Based off the bearish consolidation, its looking likely that Pepsi can fall lower on maybe a bad earnings or weak forward guidance.
The trading play that we are watching is a gap down into support and then buying Pepsi as a long. This will be a day trading level we will be looking for.
PEP PepsiCo Options Ahead Of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PEP after my last call:
Then you should know that looking at the PEP PepsiCo options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $165 strike price Puts with
2023-2-17 expiration date for about
$1.83 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.