Perp
PERP descending trianglePERP in descending triangle, now above 200SMA and below 20SMA, also right above the support level. Expecting possible bounce up to open long trade. That position between 200 and 20SMA could be tricky for entry, price often bounces up and down from them before descision. SRSI RSI and MACD on 1hr chart look like it could go up. Could have a nice move, but you should be aware that it has a death cross printed on MACD 12hr chart, so this could be short-term trade or scalp trade only (if long). If this support is lost we could enter a short trade, breaking under 200SMA is usually a nice chance for short trade... GL traders... Needless to say that BTC could have an impact on this trade...
Perpetual Protocol HODL Longjust some fun for some BanklessDAO Fam!! #Markets
Here we have PERP Daily time frame. Elliot Wavers will understand that this broke the previous 1 wave of 5, signaling that the 5 wave identified is the end of the 5 wave and we have been correcting ever since. Hit the Golden Pocket. Low Market cap tokens often are a little messy in hitting their algo targets. If this low holds i will be looking for a 1 to 1 fib extension (100x+) with some take profit along the way and HODLing some for the 1.618 fib extension.
The pitch fork is added confluence and if you redraw a new pitchfork from the bottom of the 5 wave to the top of the 5 wave and down to the low, you may realize that a 50x move to the red median line is an 80% probablility with very close stop loss.
that being said if bitcoin takes off and leaves alt coins behind one could expect to find support and a great buy opportunity at historic lows. for sure i will try to catch a wick down there.
So if you are bullish on DEFI and check out the exchange and like it, well it looks like an opportunity to me to have fun. this is of course not financial advice.
DYDX & PERP - Narrative and fundamentalsAll over the world we have regulators attacking crypto. Slowly, but surely... More and more exchanges having mandatory KYC , shutting down derivative products for certain countries, closing down registrations and trading for certain countries, as well as having issues maintaining and launching new products. China has essentially completed and finalized its crackdown, but US is coming next and will probably go after certain exchanges like Binance the same way they went after Bitmex (big fines and prison time).
Crypto is going against the state's interests and this was to be expected. That's why DeFi is so big and why decentralization really matters. Currently there are two major tokens related to 2 perpetual swap protocols which have been growing for some time. DYDX is the first one and launched its token fairly recently, while PERP is the other one and has been out there for some time. DYDX is at about 900M and PERP at about 800M, however DYDX is looking a lot better for many reasons.
First of all DYDX has a much cleaner chart and is a much younger coin. It's making new highs vs BTC and is near ATHs vs USD, while PERP is looking more heavy. Now for this there are some fundamental reasons as to why things look that way, and that's because DYDX just over the last week has had 11x higher revenue compared to PERP. DYDX also has a few more listings and is a bit more liquid, so currently either DYDX is undervalued or PERP overvalued.
In my opinion based on PERP's chart I think it could grow more and I don't think its valuation is that extreme. There is potential for both of them to grow as people might want to have a backup in case something happens to one of them. Both have had some major upgrades recently and have been doing pretty well, and in my opinion could continue to grow rapidly as Ethereum's scaling technologies could grow really fast as well. However the key takeaway here based on the current set of circumstances + the rapid growth + the relative valuations based on the current revenue, is that DYDX is undervalued and its price could appreciate a lot.
Finally I'd just like to point out that there are big risks for both of those. On chain derivatives trading isn't simple and we all know how easy it is for a DeFi protocol to get hacked... So be careful with the amount of money you put in either of those and remember that there are no certainties here.
PERP USDT: 8Hr timeframe, end of correction?8hr timeframe had an amazing run-up of 500% + since the start of Jul... In rising wedge since the start of Aug.
Now pulled back almost exactly to the measured move of break down from this wedge, and that is also the big support level which was tested multiple times in the first half of Aug...
If that support is lost, we could see a massive selloff, but also if it holds and BTC doesn't crash over our heads, we have a good chance to see some nice upside movement...
We could expect a golden cross on MACD and already got one on SRSI, RSI looks ok, but on a shorter timeframe it's already high, and maybe one more retest of that support level is possible before attempting break of this next resistance level...
TrendTracers Weekly Market Analysis #11tl:dr
Small correction across the markets in the short term, followed by sideways bitcoin and ethereum, other alts should start gaining strength when this range is being formed.
Review of last weeks TA
BTC hit our target from last week between 45k and 47k. So did ETH. The markets seem topped out for now as predicted.
BTC
We expect some sideways consolidation near the resistance depicted in the chart. From a bullish perspective, after consolidation for a period of time, a move to the highs of April seems possible. The bearish scenario is where btc tests around previous lows for maximum pain around 28k. It might even go lower to sweep liquidity.
During this consolidation we expect an alt season. So now we look at BTC.D which
seems to be heading to the lows of the range again around 40%, supporting our theory for another alt season. Because when BTC.D is moving down money is flowing out of BTC and into altcoins.
ETH
Ethereum is at resistance depicted on the chart. We don’t expect a massive bullrun from here instead some consolidation seems more likely because of Bitcoin. However there is a bull flag pattern forming on the ETH-BTC Daily chart which will play most likely play out coming days. This is one to keep an eye on.
THE PERPS
Midperp and shitperp reacted from a nice bottom pattern. After a small correction at the start of Bitcoins consolidation we expect shitcoins and midcap coins to make a significant move to the upside.
So we expect a pullback in the coming days to get in our positions. And then ride them up into the next resistance.
My DEFI SUMMER profit taking indicatorLooking at ratios to finally get some profits paid in btc and eth from my many many many early defi positions which I took before ETH mooned to 4.5k!
Good opportunity to recover lost gains. I am in AAVE, ALPHA, PERP, SNX and LINK against ETH and BTC at this current point.