PFE | Shorting the Vaccine 💉My current position and play is marked on the chart. I am expecting more selling pressure to come in now that we closed below the nearest zone. Expectation is that PFE will head toward the next zone located at the bottom. I will be trailing my stop once PFE begins the bearish move.
PFIZER
Pfizer more to drop
I see a 5 waves move up finished at $61 on 20th December, fallowed by an A-B-C standard correction.
Using the guideline of equality A=C and the Trend Based Fibonacci extension Pfizer will drop till about 1 level or $41.
This has support as well from $41 OCT 2021 level which is also the W4 level in the previous impulse movement.
Disclaimer:
This is my analysis and does not constitute financial advice
For more analysis like this ON DEMAND please leave me a message.
MRNA and PFE are going to crash even harder....$MRNA is currently running trials on an HIV vaccine.
Why?
Because they, as well $PFE, with the vaccines and the booster programs have now decimated people's immune systems.
$PFE at least has other products on the market, they may ultimately survive, but this could be the end of $MRNA.
People are dying of Vaccine induced AIDS.
The media and world leaders (lead by Prince Harry) are now advocating for the normalization of HIV testing.
WE WILL NOT FORGET, AND WE WILL NOT FORGIVE.
Pfizer RSI bearish divergenceon weekly we can see bearish divergence on RSI. there is also possible h&s forming. we have also fundemantals about rigged vaccine trials for emergency authorization acceptance, vaccine deaths piling up and big shareholders of Pfizer dumping their stock.
sell now!
first profit target 32$
second profit target 1$
Pfizer: Ready to Shoot Lower? Pfizer - Short Term - We look to Sell at 49.33 (stop at 51.54)
The trend of lower highs is located at 53.50. Previous support located at 50.00. A move through bespoke support at 50.00 and we look for extended losses. Closed below the 20-day EMA. The medium term bias remains bearish.
Our profit targets will be 43.51 and 41.00
Resistance: 54.00 / 57.00 / 60.00
Support: 50.00 / 45.00 / 40.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Pfizer - Might get worse! 😨-The reason why PFE is dropping is not the economical situation but rather the COVID situation which is getting lighter (at least in folk's mind) every day.
-We got omicron but it being a light virus almost like a flu also didn't catch much attention lately.
-This stock throughout the pandemic depended on negative news, whoever is chaos oriented invested in this company, but lets all agree that the better the health situation gets and less of a tragedy COVID becomes, the less attention will be on this stock.
-Not to say that the company is worthless now but it wont have the hype it had for sure!
-Earnings are forecasted to decline on average of 6.2% per year.
OUR TARGET PRICE:
$45-$50
Pfizer, and why you keep old notesI got an alert on Pfizer NYSE:PFE just now that on the 30m a Tradingview Spike Alert I had setup fired. This is following research I did over the weekend to the Support level that PFE reached in the recent down move. While doing that I found an old annotation from November 2020 earnings that informed a long term dividend investment play. It's nice to see how something has performed over the long term to remind an investor to buy and hold good companies.
The company has earnings tomorrow.
$PFE - Downtrend Reversal - 4 Day Inside Bar - Upcoming CatalystNYSE:PFE
A hammer signaled reversal for $PFE. Shortly after price broke out of the downtrend resistance. Four inside bars have formed during period of consolidation.
$PFE looks primed for sharp movement. Catalyst would likely be FDA / CDC approval/rejection of its Covid vaccination for children, expected in 4th week of Feb. Application is for 2 doses, though 3 would be required. Application and study for 3rd shot are expected to be submitted during the initial application review phase.
This is one ticker to be aware of.
Biased long, but willing to play both sides.
Pfizer | Fundamental Analysis | MUST READ | LONG 🔔Historically, Pfizer has not had much momentum when it comes to stock performance. Over the past ten years, the S&P 500 Index has outperformed this large pharmaceutical company. But now Pfizer is gaining momentum. Last year it outperformed the benchmark index - Pfizer was up 60%, while the S&P 500 was up 27%.
And today's Pfizer doesn't look much like Pfizer did a few years ago. In 2020, the company completed the separation of its Upjohn business, eliminating an element that was driving down revenues. Today, Pfizer has many "best sellers," a new coronavirus drug, and a full development cycle. So is it worth investing in this drug maker in 2022?
First, let's look at the company's Covid business. Pfizer is a leading supplier of vaccines in many parts of the world. In the U.S., the company has fully vaccinated more than 118 million people. But overseas, Pfizer's vaccine business is actually even bigger. The company claims that it generates 75% of its revenues from vaccine sales outside the United States.
The European Union recently exercised an option to supply more Pfizer vaccines, bringing the total number of doses of Pfizer vaccines to be delivered this year to over 650 million. The full agreement, signed last spring, calls for up to 1.8 billion doses to be delivered to the region by 2023.
In Pfizer's latest earnings report, the company projected vaccine revenue of $36 billion for all of 2021.
But this year could turn out to be even more successful for Pfizer than last year. Here's why. Vaccine orders remain high -- but with the addition of a new coronavirus product. Late last year, Pfizer received approval for the emergency use of Paxlovid, an oral coronavirus treatment. Paxlovid is a pill that should be given at the first sign of infection. The drug's main ingredient blocks the action of an enzyme necessary for the coronavirus replication process.
The U.S. has ordered 20 million courses of Paxlovid treatment, and the U.K. has ordered 2.75 million. SVB Leerink analyst Geoffrey Porges predicts that Paxlovid will generate more than $24 billion in revenue this year and $29.7 billion in vaccines, according to FiercePharma. That amounts to more than $50 billion in revenue from the coronavirus program alone.
Of course, investors are most concerned about what will happen to these revenues in a post-pandemic world. Right now, it's impossible to accurately predict the level of revenue from the coronavirus program in the future. And that represents uncertainty. Nevertheless, experts say the coronavirus will exist. And that means we will need remedies and treatments. So we can probably expect a satisfactory level of revenue from coronavirus-related products for quite some time.
But here's the best news: Pfizer is far from being a coronavirus-only company. The company's nine-month earnings report shows that at least six products are generating blockbuster revenue. And in the third quarter, the company says, revenue excluding the coronavirus vaccine rose 7 percent to more than $11 billion.
As if that weren't enough, Pfizer has something else to like. And that's the pipeline. The company is working on 94 programs -- 29 of which are in Phase 3 and nine of which are in the registration phase. That means we may see a new batch of drugs in the not-too-distant future. This is important because the patent on some of Pfizer's drugs expires at the end of this decade. The blood-thinning drug Eliquis, for example, will lose protection in 2028. This is a standard part of life for a pharmaceutical company - and that's why it's important to have a strong product portfolio to make up for future patent expirations.
Now let's look at the valuation. As mentioned earlier, Pfizer's stock price has risen slightly. But it is still trading at very reasonable levels. It trades at only 8.5 times projected earnings. In addition, Pfizer pays a solid dividend, with a yield of over 2.8%.
So should you invest in Pfizer in 2022? Well, now seems like a good time to do so. The company generates billions of dollars in revenue from its coronavirus vaccine program. It has a portfolio of non-coronavirus drugs and a full cycle of late-stage research. The stock looks inexpensive -- and an investment in this major pharmaceutical player will provide you with passive income in the form of dividends. All of this is a great formula for success this year and in the years to come.
PFIZER, INC Hello friends, Black Mountain Analysis Team:
PFIZER price after a good climb to the top is resting - Time resting or price resting -
You can see the positive divergence of the RSI indicator in the chart.
If supported, we can expect to climb again in the new year.
TP1=61-62$
TP2=65$
TP3=70-74$
____________________________
sl=54$
Dividends recommendations? Hi guys, I am new here and I am trying to build a long term portfolio. Half of investemnt will be in growing stocks or ETFs and half in high yield dividends paying companies. I would start with J&J, MMM, KO, VZ and PFI for a start. Any other safe stocks recommendations please?
Pfizer (PFE) to continue its BULL run in 2022!Fundamental Analysis
Pfizer, Inc. has consistently been one of the largest pharmaceutical companies in the world for the better part of the last two decades. The company has a remarkable history going back all the way to the year 1849, when Pfizer was founded in Brooklyn, New York. The large cap pharma giant has developed a well-balanced and deep portfolio of products in key areas like Inflammation and Immunology, Internal Medicine, Oncology, Rare Disease, Vaccines etc.
However, it seems that as a result of the success of Pfizer's vaccine COVID-19 treatments, many investors have forgotten about the rest of Pfizer's business and how successful it continues to be.
It is true that the sales of its COVID-19 vaccine ($36 billion in 2021 alone) have managed to nearly double Pfizer's annual revenue from $41.9 billion in 2020 to over $78 billion in 2021.
What's even more important is that the strong sales growth has also translated into higher profits for the company as its profit margins before interest and taxes, referred to as EBIT margin, have risen over the past year. This shows that Pfizer has managed its R&D and all other fixed and operating costs associated with development, production and distribution efficiently, thus improving the profitability ratios of the company. The large cap pharma giant has also managed to almost triple the size of its free cash flow to more than $29 billion over the past twelve months compared to only $11.6 billion in 2020. More free cash flow makes a business more robust, giving Pfizer more money to invest in research and development of new products, pay more in dividends, or strengthen its balance sheet.
The company currently has a total of 94 drugs in the pipeline spread across critical treatment areas like Inflammation and Immunology, Internal Medicine, Oncology, Rare Disease, Vaccines etc. all waiting regulatory approval.
- Phase 1(27); Phase 2 (29); Phase 3 (29); Registration (9)
Looking at the outstanding track record of Pfizer's drug development capabilities, we can easily state that the company will continue to be a leader in the sector that it operates in.
Macro view
The equity markets in the US are currently undergoing a process of meaningful repricing and re-valuation of what companies are actually worth, as everyone is getting ready for the Federal Reserve to start raising interest rates in the US and tighten its monetary policy. In a rising interest rate environment, investors tend to move away from expensive high-growth stocks trading at unreasonably high P/E and P/S valuations as the tighter monetary policy environment makes it much more difficult and more expensive for such companies to borrow and invest capital and produce the high earnings growth that investors expect from them. Well-established large cap Healthcare and Biotech stocks are considered to be least correlated with the monetary policy situation in the country as they tend to trade more on FDA drug approvals and drug-related announcements rather than actual earnings per share. Most of the leaders in this space also have a substantial pricing power, as people using their medicines are doing so because they need them and because the drugs are helping them get better. Thus, owning Healthcare and Biotech stocks in a rising inflation and interest rate environment is a defensive play that could end up paying off big time, as stocks in these sectors are rather volatile.
Technical Analysis
The stock has experienced a volatile retracement from its $61 all-time highs and is currently in a corrective phase. However, the uptrend is still intact as the price is well above both the strong horizontal support at $51 and the upward sloping diagonal support (blue line) at $44. Furthermore, the stock is trading above its 5, 20, 50, 200 EMAs, which is also a bullish continuation signal. We expect buyers to start coming in around the $52-53 level, thus establishing the next higher high. Once that is done, the stock will re-test its ATH at around $61 in Q1 of this year. The broad market framework, together with the many positive company related developments in the coming months are expected to bring enough momentum to the stock in order for it to break its previous ATH and set a new one sometime in Q2. Our target for the stock in H1 of 2022 is around the $68 level, which is roughly 30% higher from the current levels.
Follow and Copy us on eToro for more detailed market analyses, profitable trading ideas and a consistent portfolio performance.
[ b] Sincerely,
@DowExperts
PFE / USD 1D Pfizer - Flying the Bull Flag?Bull flag in the trading sense of the word... I could see a retest of the ATH...Pretty sure the shareholders can too. Bull flag within the ascending broadening wedge pattern may visit around the $55.00 region first. Look at how fast this ones moved though. No surprises eh. Personally not trading this instrument.
Pfizer | Fundamental Analysis | LONG SETUP ⚡️Pharmaceutical giant Pfizer has been at the forefront of the industry, developing drugs to treat COVID since the pandemic began. Unfortunately, the world continues to struggle with different strains of the virus, most recently with the Omicron variant, but Pfizer's products are still in high demand, which will likely boost its results in 2022.
It's been about a year since the first COVID vaccine became available in the U.S., and a race has begun to ramp up production and dose distribution. Several companies have been working on vaccines, but the market has become a two-company market. The vast majority of the doses administered in the U.S. came from Pfizer and Moderna, two companies that developed vaccines using mRNA technology.
Pfizer and Moderna have developed mRNA vaccines that use the genetic code of the virus to trigger an antibody response in the human body.
Traditional vaccines use an attenuated form of the whole virus, which teaches the body to defend itself against it. This is essentially similar to how the body develops immunity after a person gets chickenpox, but the weakened virus does not make the person sick. Both types of vaccines achieve similar results, but pharmaceutical companies can reproduce the genetic code for production faster and easier than the virus itself.
Demand for the vaccine has increased primarily because of the ability of the virus to mutate into new variants. Initially, Pfizer's vaccine was supposed to treat with two doses, but as new variants emerged, many began to give a third shot (called a booster). Pfizer's original 2021 forecast called for 1.3 billion doses, but it ended up producing about 3 billion doses in 2021. Now, the company's management predicts that Pfizer will produce about 4 billion doses in 2022.
This is a tragic and challenging time for society as the pandemic continues, but Pfizer's leadership position has created tremendous benefits for the company. First, the actual sales of its vaccine have been enormous: The company's expected revenue in 2021 was $36 billion. By comparison, Pfizer's 2020 revenue was $41.9 billion; this means that the COVID vaccine nearly doubled Pfizer's business!
What's more, it was profitable for Pfizer. The company's earnings before interest and taxes, called EBIT margin, increased over the past year as the vaccine business grew. The company has also significantly increased free cash flow, which was more than $29 billion in the past twelve months, up from $11.6 billion in 2020. Increased free cash flow makes the business more sustainable, which gives Pfizer more money to invest in research and new product development, pay dividends, or strengthen its balance sheet.
As the Omicron option spreads, it is becoming more likely that COVID will not disappear entirely shortly. Pfizer recently developed an oral antiviral pill to treat early-stage COVID symptoms, and company executives estimate that 80 million courses of treatment could be produced in 2022. Although our focus today is on the next twelve months, Pfizer could potentially profit from the COVID treatment for several years.
Investors have reacted to Pfizer's COVID success; the company's stock is up 56% in the last year, a big gain for a company with a market value of $329 billion. Still, the market may not be valuing Pfizer highly enough.
If we want to value a stock by the amount of free cash flow that investors receive per share, we can look at the free cash flow yield; this percentage reflects how much of the stock price investors receive in free cash flow. We want to get as much free cash flow for our money as we can because it pays dividends, funds new products, and generally creates value for shareholders - it's like the "lifeblood" of a company. Accounting or non-cash items can affect earnings, so free cash flow can provide a fresh perspective on stock valuation.
Pfizer's increase in free cash flow this year resulted in higher returns because free cash flow grew faster than the stock price. Now that the stock has started to rise, yields are down, but we are still near multi-year highs, which means that the stock offers you more "value for your money" than it has for most of the last ten years. In other words, they are still cheap. With COVID firmly entrenched in our world, Pfizer retains its chances of success in 2022.
PFIZER, INC Black Mountain Analytical Team in the previous Pfizer Idea update:
We see that the resistance line of the rsi indicator is broken in the monthly time frame, if the failure is not fake and has happened validly, we can expect good things from this company.
There is also a pulse of positive news from the company. (Pfizer and BioNTech Provide on Omicron Variant)
PFIZER SANTA RALLY?Pfizer Pfizer Pfizer where do i start? over the past month Pfizer has been on an uptrend. good news bad news omicron covid etc. this thing just keeps going and i do not think it’s done. i have been scalping this over the past two weeks and on Friday we closed on an inside bar on the 30-minute window which we can see is a period of consolidation. i think Pfizer break outs from here. i am typing my ideas after a long 10-hour shift so I will try to just list out my indicators and why i say it will break out from here. also, i am a beginner so bear with me.
- I use Wyse trade fib retracement between .618 and .50 for confirmation on entries. using this fib from that gap down on the 21st shows us that we have a solid entry for calls here. that paired up with the 9ema touching the inside bar that we closed with on the last trading day gives me more conviction to go long on this trade.
- also, Pfizer pill is now a thing so that’s even more bullish if that works.
- to get more technical price bounced back to the 58.70 level which is a newly formed level of support over the past week coming off all-time highs.
- using the tradingwarz fib retracement after the price came back to support the apparent uptrend that was coming, shorts tried to short this down again to break support but that didn’t happen. the fib shows us that we fell a little under the .78 on the 30 min chart.
- considering that we are on this same type of scenario now I think that a price target following the fib we could see mid 62 or even 63s this week on Pfizer let’s see how this plays out.
Pfizer | Fundamental Analysis | LONG SETUP | MUST READ 🔔Some people say that the Chinese word for "crisis" is composed of two characters, one meaning "danger" and the other meaning "opportunity. In fact, this is not the case. Nevertheless, the word often hits the mark. While many crises carry danger, they also often present opportunities.
In the case of COVID-19, we can certainly see this happening. To date, more than 5 million people worldwide have died from this viral infection. At the same time, numerous businesses made a lot of money during the pandemic by selling personal protective equipment, tests, therapies, and vaccines.
None of them benefited more financially than Pfizer. In the third quarter alone, the company reported $13 billion in sales of its COVID-19 Comirnaty vaccine. SVB Leerink analyst Jeffrey Porges estimates that Pfizer expects to make a staggering $131 billion on sales of the COVID-19 vaccine by the end of next year. But is this pharmaceutical company stock worth buying?
Let's first look at how Pfizer could make $160 billion on coronavirus over the next two years. First, we need to consider the company's projected revenue of $36 billion in 2021 from Comirnaty.
Porges believes that sales of the vaccine will actually be much higher this year. He expects that approvals and authorizations in many countries for booster doses and for children could boost Comirnaty's total worldwide sales to $59 billion in 2021.
The Wall Street analyst expects vaccine sales to drop to about $48 billion next year. So by the end of 2022, Pfizer's revenue from Comirnaty sales will be $107 billion.
But Comirnaty probably won't be Pfizer's only source of revenue from COVID-19. The company hopes to soon get emergency approval and approval for the oral antiviral drug Paxlovid in the U.S. and other countries.
Purges predicts that sales of Pfizer's COVID-19 pills could be about $95 million this year and $24 billion next year. If you add it all up, Pfizer's total revenue from COVID-19 sales would be about $131 billion over two years.
Pfizer shares the profits from the sale of Comirnaty with its partner BioNTech. Although the company's revenue will be huge, its profits from the vaccine will not be as large.
Sales of the COVID-19 vaccine are also likely to be lower in 2023. Porges, however, predicts that Paxlovid sales will grow to $33 billion in 2023. After 2023, though, the picture becomes less cheerful.
Many investors speculate that COVID-19 will be like the flu, requiring annual vaccinations. But it is too early to judge whether this will actually be the case. If not, Pfizer's revenues will fall markedly over the next few years.
Looking ahead, Pfizer faces a patent cliff beginning in 2026. Several of the company's currently best-selling drugs will lose patent exclusivity in the second half of this decade.
Despite these potential problems, it should be noted that there are three reasons why Pfizer stock is still worth buying.
Let's start with the most compelling one on the list, the dividend. Currently, Pfizer's dividend yields just under 3%. Given the cash flow the company will generate, there is a good chance that the dividend will increase.
Pfizer is also predicted to use its growing cash reserves to make business development deals. The company is expected to license more promising drugs developed by other drugmakers. In addition, many believe that Pfizer will make a major acquisition in the not-too-distant future. The right deals could go a long way toward offsetting the impact of the patent cliff, which is looming in a few years.
Finally, there is the possibility that sales of Comirnaty (or its successors) and Paxlovid will remain strong for a long time to come. COVID-19 could become endemic and bring Pfizer much more money over the next decade than anyone expects.
Given that Pfizer made $13 billion on sales of its coronavirus vaccine in the third quarter alone, it's understandable why investors are wary of the rapidly evolving threat posed by the new variant, dubbed Omicron. If Omicron proves to be as insidious as early reports suggest, it could well become a serious problem for vaccinated people and vaccine manufacturers worldwide.
But the fear of Pfizer's defeat of Omicron is quite premature. In fact, there is probably no company in a better position to solve such a problem as a new option, as an opportunity to rise to the next level.
The dangers of this crisis may not go away. And the opportunities for Pfizer may not disappear either.
Big Pharma Holds the LineLast week ended with sell-offs amid fears about the new extremely contagious COVID 19 Omicron variant. Crude and stock markets suffered. But during this brief rally some shares continued to gain, and it is no wonder that these are the stocks of vaccine producers.
Pfizer stocks posted a new all-time high on Friday rising by 6.11% to $54.94. Stocks were additionally supported when the company promised to develop a tailor-made vaccine in 100 days if the Omicron variant cannot be tamed by the current vaccine. The shares also reacted to the news that the European Medicines Agency approved the BioNTech-Pfizer vaccine for children aged 5-11. That is good news for the world’s top-selling medicine of the year.
In order for the shares to continue on this upside climb, the price of Pfizer stocks need to remain above $50.49, which is the shares’ peak which was reached in August, and also keep with its upward trend that started on November 4 and has a support level at $51.50-51.80.
BioNTech stocks also performed well, adding some 14.19% on Friday. The technical picture suggests stocks may rise further as they managed to break through the downward channel they have been on since August 10. Besides, we may see a reverse pattern “double dip” with a neck level crossing $304.35. The implementation of this pattern may boost stock prices to $378.67-401.19. Stock prices are close to the 61.8% Fibonacci correction level of the lows of August-November at $365.13. In case this landmark is passed, investors will have more reasons to push the stock to this year’s highs.
Moderna stocks also enjoyed the sunny side of the COVID-19 panic as they soared by 20.57% to $329.63 on Friday, breaking from their downward channel which began on September 23. The next price target is at the $387-395 area, where the 61.8% Fibonacci level from the downside correction of August-November, and the resistance line of the downward trend from August 10 are located.
I have already said that all Big Pharma stocks should be included in portfolios as they may all rally.
Nevertheless, at the beginning of the new week fears around the South African Omicron variant have faded as the virologist Barry Schoub, who advises the South African government, said he did not believe the variant will lead to a major new wave of serious illness and the vaccine will still protect most people from severe cases of COVID-19. But the overall picture now that there is a new variant in circulation is unclear, and the market may become agitated. In this case the best option is to have downside-resistant stocks in your portfolio. Some people may find profit anywhere!
Moderna about to reclaim bullish Channel. Short-Term-BULLISH! Not financial advice!
With the new corona variant spreading fear all over the world, PFE and MRNA are running. I think it's possible for MRNA to reclaim the bullish channel, aka the Bull-Trap that broke down, when PFE announced the Paxlovid-med. I got in MRNA way to late, now taking a risky trade, since MRNA gaps like crazy, and there's always the chance that it'll brake down to be traded at skipped price-levels. I think one should watch out for PFE announcing Paxlovid being effective against the omicron variant, which could lead a lot of investors to switch to PFE.
Today I want to see MRNA reclaiming the bullish channel at $377,xx and hold within this channel.
From there on, it's more than a 30% ride to the top of the channel. But this stock has done crazy things like this in the past. Depending on how fast MRNA manages to reclaim the top, the price correlates with the last ATH at $494,xx. I think, if it manages to get back at the center of the channel, it will be rejected at the old resistance at $463,xx first, settle a bit and then trying to break the $500. My plan is to sell at $463 and then watch how things develop.
But remember if, you're not in it by now, it maybe is bad timing to get in at this pricelevel. Risk is way to high, because of the gaps. That is why I marked this trading strategy as Neutral.
Good luck in the markets!
Again, this is not financial advice!