Moderna about to reclaim bullish Channel. Short-Term-BULLISH! Not financial advice!
With the new corona variant spreading fear all over the world, PFE and MRNA are running. I think it's possible for MRNA to reclaim the bullish channel, aka the Bull-Trap that broke down, when PFE announced the Paxlovid-med. I got in MRNA way to late, now taking a risky trade, since MRNA gaps like crazy, and there's always the chance that it'll brake down to be traded at skipped price-levels. I think one should watch out for PFE announcing Paxlovid being effective against the omicron variant, which could lead a lot of investors to switch to PFE.
Today I want to see MRNA reclaiming the bullish channel at $377,xx and hold within this channel.
From there on, it's more than a 30% ride to the top of the channel. But this stock has done crazy things like this in the past. Depending on how fast MRNA manages to reclaim the top, the price correlates with the last ATH at $494,xx. I think, if it manages to get back at the center of the channel, it will be rejected at the old resistance at $463,xx first, settle a bit and then trying to break the $500. My plan is to sell at $463 and then watch how things develop.
But remember if, you're not in it by now, it maybe is bad timing to get in at this pricelevel. Risk is way to high, because of the gaps. That is why I marked this trading strategy as Neutral.
Good luck in the markets!
Again, this is not financial advice!
PFIZER
PFE Pfizer to All Time HighIf you haven`t bought at my first call, when PFE was $40:
Than you should know that Pfizer’s vaccine with BioNTech SE is on track to be the best-selling drug product on a yearly basis and received backing from a European regulatory panel on Thursday to expand its use into children as young as five.
Still low PE Ratio (TTM) 15.42
Decent Forward Dividend & Yield 1.56 (2.89%)
The stock jumped also on the promise of its antiviral pill!
For me is a Buy even at this level!
Are Pfizer, Merck and Moderna Still Worthy to Be in Portfolio?Pfizer is now outperforming Merck and Moderna stocks after announcing its anti-COVID pill despite its shares not being the best option for investments in the first half of this year. Pfizer stocks gained only 35% since the beginning of this year until mid-August. Moderna stocks were skyrocketed by 375% for the same period. So, undoubtedly Moderna was the favourite.
However, when Merck announced the production of its COVID pills, the shares of vaccine producers spiraled into correction. But Merck was not the one to get its COVID pills into the market. Its shares peaked up to $91.40 and plunged with a gap after Pfizer announced its even more promising COVID treatment pills. The company said clinical trials showed that hospitalisation and deaths were reduced by 89% when the pill is taken within three days of the onset of symptoms.
So, this news from Pfizer came on November 5 and since then the technical picture for the above-mentioned three Big Pharma stocks changed dramatically. Pfizer shares are taking the lead while waving away all their August corrections and now they are close to the all-time highs at $51.86. If they are successful at breaking through this level, technical price acceleration may bring its stocks to $56.03 and $58.60 may be the next target. These levels could be a correction impulse to the decline from $51.86 to $40.94 per share. The nearest support level is at $47.70-48.80.
As for Moderna stocks, the last quarter financial report hit them badly. Nevertheless, impulsive selloffs are now over as shares dipped to the important support level established in November 2020. So, now it is worth consider buying these shares. Corrections went into an ABC zigzag and shares are likely to return on the upside track. Initially, A and B waves were suggested to be equal, but now we see that the C wave is 161.8% of the A wave that gave us a decline to $225.85 per share. In my opinion Moderna shares have accomplished their correction and are close to the trend line of the last 12 month, and for that reason are an interesting investment. So, Moderna stocks may even be catching up to Pfizer. The nearest targets for Moderna stocks are within the area of $283-291 where EMA 21 moving average is located at the daily timeframe chart together with the resistance level formed by dips of July and October 2021. Moreover, at the $298 landmark, the resistance line of the downward trend that started on September 23 is located. If this zone would be broken the perspectives for Moderna stocks should be extended.Despite all these different technical pictures for these stocks, I would recommend holding all three stocks in your investment portfolio. Pfizer and Merck continue to compete in the COVID pills market while Moderna has a forward P/E ratio at 9, which highlights that the company is the cheapest among the Big Pharma biotech companies if compared with its peers sector performance.
ascending channel, gains after earnings, short-time bullishNot financial advice!
We can clearly see the ascending channel of this stock. Even though the stock is running for quite some time now, I don't think it will actually stop before we see $54,XX.
After last earnings the stock gained about 20% and reached the top of channel after 14 trading days. From my point of view, since the last earnings reported were even better and the Covid-medication is on the way, there is no doubt that it will touch the top of channel again within a few days. If it does, it magically gained about 20% within 14 trading days after earnings.
Watch the last high closely, as PFE may get rejected there.
Not financial advice!
Pfizer manipulates the marketPre pandemic this stock was in the process of a bear market. Big handed investors prepared their investors where to move money. With the help of the government they can now force every citizen to take their manufactured "Drug" for life.
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Big government is working for big business to keep money flowing into their pockets for Life. Gov+Mandates= money for an entirety of human life will go into big pharmaceuticals.
Al those yellow lines are day gaps in money that need to be filled. What will be the last domino and when?
PFE is bullish with Aspen Trading Support & Resistance LevelsPFE has bounced up from support @ 41.5 using Aspen Trading Support & Resistance Levels.
Next target is 49.5 and a move above this level can lead to further upside.
More tailwinds, it is above 50 & 200 moving averages and PFE typically displays seasonal strength this time of year.
Please like, share and follow if you agree with the analysis.
Note - Aspen Trading S/R levels are invite only. They can be accessed through my profile information.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for information purpose only and does not constitute any investment advice.
Pfizer | Fundamental Analysis | Must Read ⚡️Pfizer has grown an authority at being first. The pharmaceutical behemoth was the pioneer to introduce a coronavirus vaccine a year ago. Since then, it has had several other successes: bringing the COVID-19 booster to market, getting approval for its vaccine for adolescents, and most recently getting approval for a vaccine for children.
This has been followed by a lot of revenue. Moreover, the company recently raised its revenue forecast for coronavirus vaccines this year to $36 billion. Pfizer also raised its total revenue forecast to at least $81 billion as demand for the company's other drugs grows as well.
At the same time, the company's stock is up about 18% this year. So now the big question is: Is it too late to buy Pfizer stock?
First, let's look at Pfizer's performance now and what may lie ahead. Last week, Pfizer reported a 134 percent increase in third-quarter revenue to $24.1 billion. That includes sales of the coronavirus vaccine.
It's impossible to say exactly how much sales of this drug will grow after the pandemic, but it looks like sales of the vaccine could remain at the "best-seller" level for a long time to come. Experts say the virus will persist into the future, so we need protection - and that means regular vaccinations. As recent studies have shown, immunity declines a few months after the initial vaccination.
Let's take a look at what Pfizer itself says about future vaccine revenues. During its earnings report, the company said that some projections of vaccine revenue for 2022 look "very high," and offered more moderate projections. Pfizer projected vaccine revenue for 2022 at $29 billion, based on the delivery of 1.7 billion doses.
That's still a pretty impressive level. And that figure could be higher. Pfizer can produce 4 billion doses, and the company is still negotiating with governments.
Meanwhile, two elements are helping Pfizer continue to gain market share for coronavirus vaccines: the booster and the use of the vaccine in children and adolescents. The company is just getting started in these areas, so they clearly can help boost orders as countries plan the number of doses needed for next year and beyond.
The competitor's Moderna vaccine is not yet available for teens and children in the U.S. This means that Pfizer has an opportunity to dominate these age groups.
At the same time, Pfizer is moving closer to conquering another COVID-19 market: the treatment market. The company's investigational coronavirus pill is currently in late-stage clinical trials. The company says trial data could be available as early as this quarter. The potential pill could be a game-changer because it could be prescribed immediately after a person is diagnosed with COVID-19 and could be taken at home.
Competing company Merck, however, maybe first on the market with a potential pill treatment. It has already requested approval for its drug. But given the need for such a drug, both companies could generate billions of dollars in revenue in this area.
Analysts talk a lot about coronavirus. But the reality is that Pfizer has many other sources of revenue today - and potential in the future. This means that Pfizer can continue to thrive even if sales of the COVID-19 vaccine stall or decline.
The drivers of today's revenue are seven other drugs. Two of them, the blood-thinning drug Eliquis and the cardiovascular drugs Vyndaqel/Vyndamax, posted double-digit revenue growth in the third quarter. Pfizer has 94 programs in development. Of these, 29 are in phase 3 trials. This is cause for optimism about the company's ability to make up for possible declines in sales of its older drugs.
As mentioned earlier, Pfizer stock is up this year, but the stock is only trading at 10 times earnings guidance. This is a bargain, given Pfizer's near- and long-term growth prospects.
Pfizer's growing return on invested capital and free cash flow are two more reasons to be optimistic about the stock.
Pfizer is also a good bet for income-seeking investors. The company just paid its 331st consecutive quarterly dividend.
So, is it too late to buy Pfizer? Not if you're a long-term investor. Pfizer stock hasn't soared as fast as stocks of biotech companies involved in the fight against the coronavirus. And they're unlikely to do so in the future. But Pfizer has plenty of fuel for incremental earnings growth in the future - and that should lead to sustained, long-term stock price gains.
20 years is a long wait, will Merck regain its glorious days ?Study this article carefully !
From a consumer perspective, if these pills are proven safe and effective with minimal side effects, I am sure the take up rate would be much higher , better still if they can be sold at pharmacies and other distribution outlets for easy access. Jabs take a longer time and the process is much longer as it requires the administration by a qualified staff from the healthcare sector. This takes time on both ends and delay the rates of vaccination to some extent.
Let's wait patiently and see which stock shows a more bullish signs in the coming weeks.
Pfizer and Ghislaine and JeffHavin a look is all. Such a move in PFE, worth reflecting on what Big Pharma really is. Do you know why USA is only country that allows TV commercials of Big Pharma? Any other countries? Why so many connections to FDA? Why so many connections to the Israelis and regular attendees at Bilderberg. People will dismiss these connections as tinfoil then drool over a vaguely worded FED statement, trusting the bots to decipher bias. People will place earnings trades based on economic data. And these larger Bilderbeg and WEF groups are looking at data from sky high macro view. From a practical perspective, some of them think they are just solving problems.
Novavax ShortPfizer's monopoly is very strong on the Covid-19 vaccines . They are spending millions hiding their side effects and creating hurdles for their competitors at the regulatory agencies SUCCESSFULLY . It maybe that Novavax has one the best products out there but that simply does not matter at this point , we know how powerful big pharma can be and Novavax's lateness to the game will not serve them well here . The biggest dangers to NVAX are now the regulatory agencies taking long/asking for additional info and the COVID-19 Antiviral drug news ( Merck's pill approval will be this months and Pfizer may come out with their Phase III study result any moment now). Both are very likely .
NVAX will likely reject braking $200 TODAY. $195 -$200 will be a great entry point for a opening a short position on this . RISK /REWARD RATIO VERY LUCRATIVE .
PFIZER : CMP 43Script Name : PFIZER
CMP : 43
RESISTANCE : 45
Correction : ENTERING in Daily Timeframe
Description : Pfizer trading in correction.. currently already completed a pricewise correction on 4 hour and also on daily time frame...but Timewise Correction expected to go till DECEMBER or Till March...stock only buy above 45 and sl 42...
Can be avoided till breakout of 51
PFIZER INC: FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS REPORT+NEXT TARGET|MUST READ 🔔Late last month, Pfizer announced that its drug abrocitinib had been approved by Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLW) as a treatment for patients aged 12 and older with moderate to severe atopic dermatitis or eczema.
The Japanese approval of abrocitinib under the trade name Cibinqo came just weeks after the UK Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency (MHRA) approved the drug for adults and adolescents with moderate to severe eczema. Let's take a look at why the MHLW approved the drug for use in eczema, as well as its sales potential and what it means for Pfizer.
Typically, first-line therapy for eczema patients is topical corticosteroids (TCS), which are effective in treating most eczema patients. But for the large minority of eczema patients who do not experience significant benefits from TCS, there is a huge unmet medical need. And this is where Pfizer's Cibinqo can make a big difference in treating complex eczema cases.
For context, the leading eczema drug is Dupixent, which was developed jointly by Regeneron and Sanofi. Dupixent is also approved as a complementary treatment for a type of asthma and chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps, bringing the drug's sales to more than $8 billion last year. And although Pfizer will release the full results of the drug's latest phase 3 trial later, Cibinqo was found to outperform Dupixent in all measures of efficacy. More patients who received 200 milligrams of Cibinqo once daily compared to 300 mg of Dupixent once every two weeks reported a four-point improvement in peak itch severity on the numeric rating scale in the second week of treatment compared to baseline levels before treatment.
Simply put, the Peak Itch Digital Rating Scale is used by health care providers to measure the intensity of itching in patients with moderate to severe eczema. Although full study data have not yet been published, Cibinqo has demonstrated greater efficacy than Dupixent in reducing itching in patients with eczema in the second week of treatment. This should lead to an improvement in the quality of life of eczema patients.
With a better understanding of Cibinqo's effectiveness in treating eczema, we can now explore the sales potential of this drug for Pfizer. Cibinqo's Phase 3 clinical trial showing higher efficacy compared to Dupixent is certainly an advantage. However, in the coming months, when Pfizer presents additional data, it will become clear how much of an efficacy advantage Cibinqo has over Dupixent.
This is because last month the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued new warnings for Janus kinase inhibitors such as Cibinqo. This may encourage health care providers worldwide to exercise caution when prescribing Cibinqo in favor of Dupixent if the benefits are deemed to outweigh the risks compared to Dupixent. The encouraging news for Cibinqo is that, at first glance, the percentage of patients who discontinued Cibinqo was similar to those who discontinued Dupixent because of adverse events.
There are approximately 105 million adults in Japan, and given that the prevalence of eczema among adults is estimated at 6.5%, there are 6.8 million adults with eczema. Since 23.3% of eczema cases in Japan are estimated to be moderate to severe, there are about 1.6 million adults with moderate to severe eczema. Of these 1.6 million, about 19% will not be able to control their symptoms with TCS alone. Thus, the real market of adult patients in Japan with moderate to severe eczema for Cibinqo is about 300,000. Cibinqo is expected to win 10% or 30,000 of these patients, which conservatively accounts for the remaining efficacy and safety issues of Cibinqo compared to the leader Dupixent.
Since the Institute for Economic and Clinical Analysis estimates that the annual price in the United States is between $30,000 and $40,000, and prescriptions in Japan are on average 43% cheaper than in the United States, Cibinqo would have a net price of $10,000 per year. Thus, this eczema indication should generate about $300 million in annual revenue for Pfizer in Japan alone. Although this is a fraction of a percent compared to Pfizer's expected revenue of $78 billion to $80 billion this year, it is a good additional income for the company.
Although Cibinqo looks like a promising new drug for Pfizer, the company is not idly waiting for results. While established drugs such as the COVID-19 Comirnaty vaccine and the Prevnar-13 pneumonia vaccine are generating significant revenue, Pfizer is working to discover, research, and commercialize the next line of breakthrough drugs.
Pfizer, for example, recently increased its research and development spending from $3.8 billion in the first half of last year to $4.5 billion this year. While no guarantee increased R&D spending will lead to the discovery of more drugs and approvals, it's the best chance pharmaceutical stocks have at innovating and staying relevant. That's why Pfizer's dividend yield of 3.7% is safe for the foreseeable future and is the best choice in its sector for stable income.
WHETHER 200-EMA WILL STOP THE PHIZEZ SLIDING MODE?The Pfizer Inc. Stock has been in a sliding mode since August when it hit its all-time high at $51.84 per share. However, the slide was stopped yesterday from strong support 200-period Exponential moving average and 38.2 Fibo level, which prevented the stock from drifting lower. Overall, the stock continues to trade below the downside line taken from the high of September 7th, which keeps the short-term outlook negative. However, in order to get confident on a trend continuation, the experts would like to see a dip below $41.50.
A decisive break below that barrier would confirm a forthcoming lower low and may initially target the $38.15 per share hurdle, defined as a support by the 23.6 Fibo corrections. If investors are not willing to buy near that price, then the price could experience declines towards the $33.44 area, which acted as a temporary floor for the stock between October 2020 and March 2021.
Looking at our short-term oscillators, we see that the RSI moved lower but ticked up from slightly above 30, while the MACD, already negative, has just fallen below its trigger line. Both indicators detect downside speed, which enhances the case for further declines in this stock.
The move that could change the short-term picture to positive is the subsequent rebound from 200-EMA and 38.2 corrections and a break above $42.65. This will confirm the break above the pre-mentioned downside line and a forthcoming higher high. The bulls may get encouraged to push the action towards the high around $44.84 or the peak of September 07th, at $47.52. If they don’t stop there, we could see them aiming for the all-time high above $50.00.
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What May Happen to Moderna and Pfizer?International pharmaceutical giant Merck & Co announced the successful end of its clinical trial of the world’s first oral COVID-19 antiviral drug molnupiravir in the simple form of a pill. The company has claimed that molnupiravir effectively decreases the risk of hospitalization and death of sick individuals who have just contracted the virus or have advanced symptoms by half.
Moreover, the company also suggested that molnupiravir could be used to prevent the contraction of the coronavirus. But what is most important at this stage is that fact that the clinical trials of molnupiravir showed high effectiveness against different COVID-19 variants, including the terrifying Delta variant. This seems to be good news for antivaxers or for anybody who is looking for an alternative prevention method from COVID-19 other than the vaccine.
Whether you agree or disagree with having the vaccine, it is worthwhile to consider this information as a means of expanding your investment portfolio with Merck stocks. Additionally, COVID-19 major vaccine producers Pfizer and Moderna stocks may suffer if the new pill is officially registered.
Let’s take a look at Pfizer and Moderna’s price charts.
Both stocks suffered a 50% correction from their peaks in August. Although, Pfizer business model is more diversified than that of Moderna’s, the technical picture shows that the upward trend for Pfizer stocks is more in danger. The reason for such fears is that over the last three consecutive trading sessions its stocks closed below the trend support line that started in February 2021. So, if Pfizer stock prices fail to recover above the $43.20-44 correction, they are likely to continue towards the $38.20-39.20 area. In this area, two important technical lines cross – one is the support line of the upward trend that started in March 2020 and the second – former resistance line that connects September 2020 and May, June 2021 highs. Pfizer and BioNTEch may have a trump of positive opinion by the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) for the administration of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine as a booster shot six months after the second dose, but this factor is already priced in.
The Moderna stock prices chart seems to be more complex as it shows that the March 2020 long-term upward trend is supported by the upward trend that started in May 2021 in the area of $319-321. Even the correction from the peak of $496.71 closely echoes the ABC correction structure, where A and C waves are equal. And if so, Moderna stocks may recover both not only to recent highs, but to new all-time highs. Such a scenario might be activated if prices hold above the downward channel from August 10. In this case new targets may open at $563-565.
Technical perspectives of Merck stocks will be reviewed in the coming comments.
Pfizer | Fundamental Analysis | Short view Many would agree that a half victory is better than a total defeat. Pfizer and BioNTech have seen this through firsthand experience.
The two partners had hoped that an FDA advisory committee would recommend revaccination with the COVID-19 vaccine to all Americans 16 years of age and older. A week ago, however, the committee voted 16-2 against recommending the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine for a wide age range.
It wasn't just bad news for these drug companies, however. The FDA advisory committee also voted unanimously to recommend the boosters for U.S. citizens age 65 and older, and anyone at high risk for severe COVID-19. And now you're probably wondering, could Pfizer stock be a reasonable investment choice after this partial victory?
The FDA still has to decide whether to revaccinate the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine. If the agency follows the commission's recommendations and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) agrees with them, many additional vaccines could soon become available.
As per the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services' Office on Aging, there were about 52.4 million Americans age 65 and older in 2018. Today, that number is undoubtedly higher.
Vaccination rates among older Americans are higher than any other age group. According to the CDC, nearly 85 percent of people between the ages of 65 and 74 have been fully vaccinated. Nearly 80% of Americans age 75 and older have been fully vaccinated.
We don't know how many of these people received the Comirnaty COVID-19 vaccine from Pfizer and BioNTech. However, overall, Comirnaty accounts for about 57% of all COVID-19 vaccine doses administered to date.
It is estimated that about 25 million Comirnaty revaccinations could be administered in the following months if the FDA and CDC give the green light to revaccination. Based on previous vaccine prices, the total cost of revaccination for the groups recommended by the FDA panel could approach $500 million.
At first glance, the possibility of an additional $500 million over the next few months may seem significant. However, there are several reasons not to get so excited.
Most importantly, none of the companies are likely to get "extra" money from boosters shortly. The U.S. has already ordered a total of 500 million doses from Pfizer and BioNTech, plus another 500 million doses for transfer to other countries. At least at this time, it is doubtful that extra doses will be purchased by the government to vaccinate Americans.
Keep in mind also that Pfizer and BioNTech share profits from Comirnaty. Even if the companies could expect additional orders from the U.S. government for boosters, the financial impact for Pfizer would not be huge. In the second quarter, the company had revenue of $19 billion and profits of nearly $5.6 billion.
There is really no good reason to buy Pfizer stock based on the recommendation of the FDA advisory committee. Nevertheless, there are other reasons why investors might seriously consider stock in this major pharmaceutical company.
The need for an annual refill for everyone is still a real possibility. If Pfizer can count on strong recurring revenues from Comirnaty for years to come, the stock will look much more attractive.
No doubt, Pfizer doesn't just rely on its COVID-19 vaccine. The pharmaceutical giant has other growth drivers that should appeal to investors, notably the rare heart disease drug Vyndaqel/Vyndamax and the blood-thinning drug Eliquis.
Pfizer's pipeline could bring even more big wins. A pill for COVID-19 may be on the way. The drugmaker also has more than 20 other late-stage programs. It is also adding to its portfolio through deals, including intentions to buy Trillium Therapeutics.
Last, but not least, is Pfizer's dividend. Many income investors will like the dividend yield, which is currently 3.5%.
For some investors, Pfizer stock looks like a good choice. But any endorsement for older Americans boosters isn't much of a factor in deciding whether or not to buy the stock one way or the other.
Pfizer dropping momentumFibgoals fractally at origin of Wave 5 of impulse and then beyond. If our mapping is correct, this impulse is done for now.
Remember, this is not financial advice. You must do your own research and carefully make decisions for yourself by yourself. We love TA and do not provide individually tailored financial advice, or financial advice period.
Now that aside, Fibonacci in crystal clear green and invalidation noted, as always, in red. Good luck out there.