Alexion Pharmaceuticals is outrageously undervaluedAfter noticing some call buying activity in Alexion Pharmaceuticals today, I gave the stock a look.
Analysts like Alexion. It has an 8.8/10 analyst summary score and an average price target of about $146.50 (versus the current price of about $113). S&P Global Intelligence rates it 85/100 for quality and 87/100 for financial health. Its growth stability earns a score of 62/100, which is great for a pharmaceutical company. Alexion has a nice, diverse portfolio of products that gives it some resiliency against changes in the demand for any one particular drug.
But the most attractive thing about Alexion stock is its valuation. The forward P/E of about 10 is very low for a stock with such extraordinary earnings growth. Analyst forecasts for Alexion's earnings have risen something like 25% over the last two years, but the share price has fallen over the same period. Moreover, Alexion has beaten estimates for every single one of the last 8 quarters. S&P Global Intelligence rates Alexion's valuation 97/100 (extremely undervalued)! Today's headline from DJ Realtime News is, "Elliott Looks Forward to Continuing Dialogue With Alexion in Effort to Close Gap Between Current Share Price and Fundamental Value."
Go to YouTube and check out my "Wall Street Petting Zoo" video titled "How to Determine the Fair Value of a Stock." There I describe how to use the Zacks "Price and Consensus" chart to determine the fair value of a stock. By this standard, Alexion is conservatively worth $175 per share.
Pharmaceuticals
ABBV remains a strong investment even after its recent runAbbvie has been surging lately after a bullish trend line break, but it remains undervalued at the current price. The analyst summary score for Abbvie is 9.6/10, and the average analyst price target is $92 per share. Personally, I think Abbvie's strong earnings forecast and 5.5% dividend yield justifies $100 per share. Call volume in Abbvie is very bullish today after its cancer drug Imbruvica beat a rival cancer drug in a clinical trial.
$MNK Go timeAscending Wedge Reversal.
Volume is there and ready to go.
Generic opioid manufacturers have been beaten down recently over fear of a copious monetary fine, but MNK has an established diverse profile.
Do NOT miss this stock when it runs.
Break above $4.15 and were off
Long Term Target: $12.90
Will Glaxosmithkline break out?Pressure is building and a breakout could be imminent.
It's taken 6 years from May 2013 where the high was 1816
Needs substantive news to make the push over the 1750s
VSTM - Bear Trend ReversalBear Trend Reversal - Long term downtrend rejected with bullish RSI divergence on the weekly.
These hops off a long-term bear trend reversals can be swift and powerful. I've played these before and won (DAN...TQQQ after '18 Christmas)..but I've also played these and lost (MAXR).
I've previously played these directly on the instrument, but this time I'm playing this with 10 buys of $2 March 20, 2020 calls. Hoping to see a continued surge of implied volatility for these options as I don't plan on holding them through expiry. That being said, I've yet to really win on any of my options trades...but IV is on the up and up since my purchase so we'll just have to wait'n'see.
Buy the dip in SAVA based on strong Alzheimer's trial dataCassava Sciences (SAVA) just got some positive clinical trial data on their Alzheimer’s drug. The result caused one analyst firm to upgrade SAVA’s price target from $3.00 per share to $6.00 per share. SAVA’s got a 9.4/10 analyst summary score, with most analysts rating the stock a “buy.” I entered SAVA Friday morning at $2.16 per share. It’s already up almost 100% from its share price last month, but I think it could continue its run next week.
Some upside potential in Athenex after sales beatAnalysts have been lowering their earnings forecasts on Athenex, Inc., causing the stock to crash. However, the company not only met earnings expectations on its report this morning, but also beat sales expectations and raised its full-year revenue guidance from a 32.5% increase to a 37.5% increase year-over-year. That's a pretty big bump, and it could cause analysts to revise their views on the company in the coming weeks. One or two upgrades could send this stock climbing back to the $14-15 range.
A long-term risk is the company's financial health. Athenex operates at a large loss and only has cash to fund operations until late 2020. The company is expected to make some progress toward profitability by then, but it will still be a long way from achieving that goal. So this is not a safe long-term investment; it's just a short-term scalp.
Nektar should test 21.34 on earnings strength and might fill gapNektar Therapeutics got a big upside surprise on its earnings report for both earnings and revenue. With earnings and revenue trending up, $21-22 is a fair price for the stock given analyst estimates from before the earnings report. There's resistance at 21.34, so we may initially get rejected from that level.
In the near-to-mid-term, however, the earnings beat should lead analysts to revise their forecasts upward. Depending on the size of the revisions, Nektar could attempt a gap fill up to 27.85. (Average analyst price target is over $29.)
A little jump before big dump ?!Still bullish on AZN.L but ascending broadening wedge :
- Need to break 7 580$ resistance
- RSI divergence
- MM20 > MM50
Statiscally in 80% of cases, the exit of this pattern is bearish.
So, I will open a short position around 7 400 $. (TPs on chart)
Always 2 gap to fill :
- Around 6 930 $
- Around 6 550 $
Happy trading
Ascending Triangle Breakout from Double Bottom for up trend ideaAfter years of going from top-left to bottom-right, there was a Double Bottom bounce with an Ascending Triangle currently sitting at the top of bounce. NASDAQ pre-market volume is quite nice, and the weekly volume has been consistent with price movement direction. The weekly EMA and SMA are moving from vertical to horizontal, the last three weekly candles are currently green, and the angle from the lowest weekly opening to the current price is pointing (from left to right) in an up direction. Good luck to all.
MNK: DEAT CAT BOUNCE OPPORTUNITYMNK is dead or almost dead. Often times there is a dead cat bounce in stocks like these, as 'everybody' gets the same idea to throw some money at it.
This is a high risk scenario but with potentially good risk to reward ratios.
Disclaimers : I've clearly said this is high risk. This not advice to trade in securities. I am simply showing what may happen from a perspective of speculative opinion only. Your losses are your own if you enter a trade on this. Kindly sue yourself if you lose your money.
DRG - Pharmaceuticals Finding Relative StrengthDRG broke out of a consolidation period during yesterday's trading & continued its bullish momentum today. The industry is also beginning to find relative strength against the SPX. This could be an industry worth looking around in to find some stocks to provide alpha if it continues to strengthen.
FOMX - Foamix Pharma Reversal Pattern FormedOn October 18th, 2019, the FDA approved Amzeeq, otherwise known as FMX101 for the Israel based pharmaceutical company, Foamix. Amzeeq happens to be the first and only topical monocyline treatment to be used on acne patients. In anticipation of approval for this new product, shares of FOMX rallied from $2.53 per share on 10/08/2019 all the way up to highs around $3.63 per share. As it turns out, the anticipation for the approval is now correcting lower to what seemed to be overbought conditions in anticipation. FOMX 101 is expected to be entering into the market early next year with the hopes of being on shelves for January 2020. This new topical treatment will be entering the dermatology market which happens to be worth several billion dollars. This is very good news for a company that has been anticipating FDA approval for several years, these are make or break moments for new companies.
If you look at the chart above, I posted what seems to be a hammer which I am waiting for the end of the day for confirmation. If this pattern holds, this may be a reversal pattern to hop into FOMX to join the reversal towards December price targets between $3-$6 dollars. Watch to see if the hammer pattern holds, then watch to see if the reversal in confirmed. If we see a reversal, we may be looking towards short terms gains of 25% and higher. Option markets are pricing in a high volume of $4 and $5 strike price calls for december.
Cheers,
AC
LABU - watch the volume and trend lineBiotech has had a hard time of it lately due to both political risks related to the election and litigation risks from the opioid epidemic. All of this, of course, on top of broad market weakness due to the China trade war.
However, biotech earnings are better than most sectors this season, so the bear market likely won't continue forever. I've drawn a trend line on my 1-hour chart and am watching for an upward breakout. Today we had some nice volume come in as we recovered from oversold on the daily chart and achieved our first green day for some time. However, we fell short of the minimum 6 million shares I'd like to see to signify a true reversal. We also fell short of breaking my trend line.
I expect LABU will fall to about 25.50 before it's likely to get a real bounce.
Bristol Myers good performingI found a strong sector because there are strongly proves the pharmaceuticals helps to improve the quality of life and increases life expectancy
Farmacéuticas al Alzathe pharmaceuticals are performing well so the market makers are currently buying on this sector, my principal list on this sector are AMGEN, PFIZER and BRISTOL MYERS, i'm waiting to break levels to buy
High-risk, high-reward drug catalyst play on ASRTAssertio therapeutics is slated to get an FDA ruling on its new drug application for cosyntropin depot by October 19. If the FDA approves the drug, the stock could move up significantly. Assertio has an 8.9/10 Equity StarMine Summary Score and is rated extremely undervalued by S&P Capital IQ. Despite relatively good earnings last quarter, the stock price is down due to a stock offering after the earnings report. Assertio also has a lot of exposure to litigation or regulation around opioids, because its most successful drug is an opiate. A new drug approval could shake the stock out of its lethargy and give it a really nice boost. Short interest in the stock is reasonably high, at 15% of float, which could contribute to a short squeeze. Of course, failure to get approval would send the stock tumbling.
J&J vs opioids (Johnson is winning)Fundamental analysis
In one of the first state opioid cases, an Oklahoma judge ruled against Johnson & Johnson, awarding the state $572 million, well below the over $17 billion the state was seeking in damages.
Meaning... out of the 17 billion, they lost only 3.36%, and they expect to appeal the case, probably lowering this amount.
Technical analysis
On a technical analysis, I still think the risk reward ratio is too small to enter a position now. But technicals are good (not great). So I am keeping this on my watchlist.
#TORNTPHARM Cup and Handle Breakout @anish_sharmaaa#TORNTPHARM Cup and Handle Breakout @anish_sharmaaa
View negated below 1595...
ALKS BUY 03.09.2019BUY signal at 20.98 $
Alkermes plc is a biopharmaceutical company. The Company is engaged in the researching, developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products that are designed to address medical needs of patients in therapeutic areas.
If you want to see more history of this strategy, I will able to show you if you request me.
ATTENTION this strategy may has downtrend about 20%, so you can split your buy order, that you have not big downtrend.
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You can use the signals independently or like indicator of trends together with other indicators in your trading strategy.
Know that the success of your strategy that based on those signals depends from your money management and the additional conditions that you make in these strategies.
You use these signals inside your strategies at your own risk.
The chart shows the last trades on the product + the last signal.
I have several strategies for different products, and I want to show you proof of it works on history, and you will be able to see it, when returns to that profile.
Therefore, subscribe and watch for that profile.
The signals rare but useful.
GlaxoSmithKline - Top of the range, limited upside.SELL – GLAXOSMITHKLINE (GSK)
GlaxoSmithKline PLC is a global healthcare company. The Company operates through two segments: Pharmaceuticals and Vaccines. The Company focuses on its research across six areas: Respiratory diseases, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)/infectious diseases, Vaccines, Immuno-inflammation, Oncology and Rare diseases.
Fundamentals
GlaxoSmithKline has shifted strategy in recent months by increasing spend on science research and development by 12%, this has been seen by some as too little to late. AstraZeneca implemented a similar plan 5 years ago. Revenues were flat at GSK in the most recent market update. The timing of the additional investment is also under scrutiny as net debt increased from £23.9bn to £28.7bn. The share price feels a bit heavy here and it could be time to cash in.
Best Broker Target Price: 1750p (Jefferies 23/04/2019)
Worst Broker Target Price: 1575p (Deutsche Bank 08/07/2019)
Technical Analysis
The share price of GlaxoSmithKline has been trading in a huge range since mid-2015. The price has gyrated between 1227-1745 for many months and there appears to have been another failure at the upper end of the range. The week commencing 29th July 2019 ended with a inverted hammer candle, this is a bearish signal and suggests further downside could be seen in the short term. It is possible that we could see a continuation of the range.
Recommendation: Sell between 1600-1750p
Stop: 1780p
Target: 1230p
