Phoenixfxc
GBPAUD Swing BuyThe GBP bear run caused by the elections has presented a very promising potential buy here. We have both an inverse head and shoulders on the daily and the 78.6 Fibonacci level. I suggest using a rather generous stop loss and a low lot size, as the potential for variance on the entry is high, but the potential amount of pips made in profit is quite large.
Whether this point holds or not may very well be decided by British news over the course of the week. If this clears from here and respects it as a support level, but news comes in poor later, you'll probably want to exit and reenter at a double bottom or new low.
USDJPY Buy EntryThis is a prime opportunity to try a buy for USDJPY. I myself already have swing buys in, but now that it's broken this descending trendline and is retesting it, I would look to potentially buy here. I myself am still targeting 115.300 or the day of the rate hike decision. Whichever comes first. But TP whenever you're comfortable.
USDJPY Buying OpportunityNews tomorrow may be good or bad for the USD. But I expect a triple top before news, and a new high if Friday's news is good. If this makes a fresh low, this buying plan is invalid. I will place two buys here, one to TP at the triple top, and the other to hold through news, with SL break even if it's up around 114s when news hits.
USDJPY Bullish BreakoutAnalysis from Phoenix FXC:
USDJPY broke to the top of the bearish channel. This signals that it's officially time to start looking for buys. Now we'd like to see it bounce off of the 50 Fibonacci level that it's currently at and come down to retest the trendline it broke. This will likely be somewhere around 112.800. If it holds here, our target is 114. For entries, watch for accumulation to form.
NFP Week - USDJPY 4/3-4/9 ForecastThis ties directly into what we wrote for Gold for this week. We're expecting a bullish USD over the first half of the week, possibly halted and reversed by bearish fundamental factors on Wednesday and/or Friday. If the current level around 111.300 breaks, I'll look to possibly buy at the retest of the broken trendline around 110.900.
Price action and the specifics of Wednesday and Friday news will be crucial for the week.
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