GBPJPY Bounced at SupportSTRATEGY: S&R Trading Strategy
(1247)
Analysis
1D: Price still moving inside a well-defined range
1H: Looking at 1H TF, a Hammer was created and it was followed by Bullish Engulfing which act as our ETs
See previous post for more details:
Action Item(s)
- Scale-in as necessary
Note: This post is for my personal journal/personal opinion only. Please trade at your own risk
Pin Bar
Bitcoin Bullish Pin BarGood afternoon ladies and gents, update on btc. Sadly enough if btc fails then so will the rest of the alt coins. It is absurd how fast we hit that 6800 support. I wasn't expecting us to hit it so quickly. You had 1 hour bullish divergence play out last night and you tested the .382 at 7700 before rejecting that to lower prices. That is absolutely disgusting. But what could we expect from here. I am currently accumulating btc throughout critical supports between 6150 and 7400, that being said this is meant for my long term trade set up and you still need a plan for when hell breaks loose. But I am not in a short-mid term trade set up.
I would like to state that you did close a price reversal candle known as the Bullish Pin Bar. What you want is follow through price action. As of now we are rejecting that $7400 critical support. If we can't break above that, then we will just ladder ourselves back down to 6800 once again and if you break that, then see you at 6150ish at that real critical support during the bear market of 2018. That being said, if btc manages to break that, then we'd be looking for us to break 7700 again or test the common retrace zones between $8,213 and $9,102. From this range, you'd want to see us reverse price action once again either creating a higher low than our bottom or a lower low with 4 hour and DAILY bullish divergence or convergence. The daily in this trend would honestly be our best bet.
Measured move of the descending triangle break out remains the same inside the teal box range which we have hit, but the real measured move is at $6,150ish. So, I am not going to be going over alt coins because all have dumped so poorly compared to btc and because of btc. Although, once btc reverses its price action, then we can expect a better chance for those alt coins trade set ups.
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USDCAD DAILY SHORT, bearish pin bar and downtrend line rejectedUSDCAD has shown brief consolidation at the long term downtrend line before providing a bearish pin bar which has lead us to the trade setup where we anticipate it reaching a previous floor that has been bounced up from twice.
SL - 1.32636
TP - 1.30558
EUR AUD AB=CD Point C Pin Bar rejectionPrice has formed a nice AB=CD pattern.
It has rejected the 61.8 level at point C.
Take profit could be as much a 435 pips. A tight entry could a very nice risk reward. There for Risk reward of 13.5 or 4.4.
A nice rejection pin bar has formed, so a stop placed a bit beyond that is my preference.
Currently I can't see any sign of divergence.
I have seen a trendline breakout when using the smaller time frame.
The rejection pin bar sits nicely on the 61.8 level and the 1.62500. There is some structure there, but there is more on the 1.6300 - which may be the safer location for a stop loss..
Rejection of horizontal (blue) ascending resistance trendline.
USDCAD False Breakout?
STRATEGY: False Breakout Strategy/Counter-Trend
Long Term Trend Time Frame: 1D/4H
Focus Time Frame: 1H
Market Condition 1D:
Short Term: Downtrend (based on 100ema)
Long Term: Sideways
Market Condition 1H:
Short Term: Sideways
Long Term: Uptrend (based on 100ema)
Area of Value (AOV)
Resistance: 1.32915 - 1.33813
Support: 1.31118-1.30205
Entry Trigger:
1H: Bearish Engulfing
Entry Price (EP): 1.32216
Stop Loss (SL): 1.32426
Take Profit (TP): 1.31234
RRR: 4.68
Analysis:
1H: Price boke above minor resistance but immediately followed by bearish engulfing. Found support at descending trendline, however, price seems struggling reaching new high (pin bar was also formed rejecting higher price). These could be a sign of False Breakout.
NOTE: This post is for my reference/journal purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
EURCAD Support & Resistance TradingSTRATEGY: Support/Resistance Trading Strategy
Focus Time Frame: 1H
Long Term Trend Time Frame: 1D/4H
Market Condition: Ranging
Area of Value (AOV): Resistance (Price at Resistance Zone) 1.47387 - 1.46936
Entry Trigger:
1H: Bearish Pin Bar
4H: Bearish Engulfing
Entry Price (EP): 1.46725
Stop Loss (SL): 1.47432
Take Profit (TP): 1.44753 (2.79R)
Analysis:
EURCAD is currently at a ranging market condition as we see clearly on the chart. Looking on the 4H Time frame, we can see that price rejected the Resistance Zone with Bearish engulfing. On 1H Time Frame, the zone got rejected with 2 bearish Pin Bars. Prior to these, we can see that the price approached the Resistance Zone with High Momentum. This usual type of move approaching either Support or Resistance Zone usually indicates trend reversal.
OANDA:EURCAD
DISCLAIMER: This post is for my reference/journal purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
NZDUSD : BEAR OR BULL ?NZD at a decision point or is it USD weakness ?
This pair is registering at the opposite ends of the daily strength and weakness table which could present some trend opportunities going forward.
A close below the previous daily candle could show a break of support with short setups. A close at the present level then PA to the upside with a close above 0.6490 could resume speculative buying to push up for a higher selling position around 0.6900.
USDZAR 0.618 and 4hr shooting star combination shortThe bullish bat worked fantastically!
Now the 2 0.618 retracements are basically both at the 15.06 spot,
which will be a good combination short to focus on!
A sell limit @ 15.06,
Out: 15.1400
1ST kick: 14.9800
TP2: 14.7500
Let's see how it goes yo!
AUDUSD 0.618 and shooting star combination shortAUDUSD has retraced to its 0.618 spot and formed a shooting star,
which is right after the pullback of the bearish bat.
That is, I would like to short this breakdown as a confirmation entry to put a sell stop below the shooting star low!
If it made new high before triggering the stop, this trade will be cancelled.
Let's see how it goes yo!
Low risk entryThis is a simple breakdown of a good price action trade setup
1. Breakout from the triangle pattern
2. Pullback to previous support
3. Fibonacci level in play
4. Moving average respected
5. Pin bar sell signal
Stops for this type of trade setup is best placed above the pin bar where this setup is deemed invalid. The target value should be at least 2x the stop value (or more) - in this case targeting support at 14.50xx
Don't invest what you can't afford to lose. This is not investment advice. Subjective view/report of a financial product only.
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Setting up for a possible shortThis pair has a possible short setup forming after the support was broken.
I'll be looking for:
1. Fibonacci levels to be met
2. Signal candle
3. Confluence like the resistance and moving average coming into play....
This setup is to be confirmed with the above in mind.
Don't invest what you can't afford to lose. This is not investment advice. Subjective view/report of a financial product only.
You can learn price action trading at no cost. Join my mailing list to receive more information zc.vg
For live updates please feel free to join Forex Bootcamp using the link below
DISCLAIMER
All information published within this website is purely for educational purposes and offers no guarantees. Profit Fx, Forex Bootcamp and any of its associates cannot be held responsible for any trades that you have executed in any way whatsoever. Please familiarize yourself with the relevant risks involved when trading forex, CFD’s and other products. Any trading is done solely at your own risk. Profit Fx, Forex Bootcamp and any of its associates are in no way employed by any broker or any other legal entity. All information published within this website does not constitute advice, but rather objective information about a financial product and analysis or report of a financial product.
Long way up from down under.... AUDCAD LongI've been following this pair since the last bullish weekly close and added to my position on when it touched my prefered fib zone pull back this week. Now with a second bullish weekly close a reversal looks really on the cards. There are still a couple of entry opportunities. One is at market open with stops below the last weekly low, maybe not for the risk adverse but for those of you who are more conservative then wait for a break and test of the descending trend line (in red).
AUDUSD LONG OPPORTUNITYBig pinbar on the weekly from a strong support level. Price has failed to break past this key level twice now over the past couple ofweeks. I see price moving up to the yellow line for now.
Price action: Pinbar
Timeframe: Weekly
Risk to Reward: 1.5
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Breakout and retestAfter trading in the triangle for some time the market finally broke out and created newer highs:
1. Breakout
2. Retest resistance as support
4. Pin bar signal
5. Fibonacci zone hit with the pin bar reinforcing the signal (confluence)
This type of setup requires the stop to be a few pips below the pin bar candle and the target should be at least 2x that of the risk value.
Don't invest what you can't afford to lose. This is not investment advice. Subjective view/report of a financial product only.
You can learn price action trading at no cost. Join my mailing list to receive more information zc.vg
DISCLAIMER
All information published within this website is purely for educational purposes and offers no guarantees. Profit Fx, Forex Bootcamp and any of its associates cannot be held responsible for any trades that you have executed in any way whatsoever. Please familiarize yourself with the relevant risks involved when trading forex, CFD’s and other products. Any trading is done solely at your own risk. Profit Fx, Forex Bootcamp and any of its associates are in no way employed by any broker or any other legal entity. All information published within this website does not constitute advice, but rather objective information about a financial product and analysis or report of a financial product.
Confirmed buy signalIn my view this is a good quality technical setup with low risk
1. Good support on the weekly time frame
2. Inverse head and shoulder pattern on D1 - a reversal pattern found on major support? How lucky :)
3. Pullback to the fibonacci zone
4. Pin bar signal candle
5. Moving average pinned
This trade setup can be traded with a provisional target and if the resistance pops there can be MUCH more profit that can be realized.
See the daily time frame view
Don't invest what you can't afford to lose. This is not investment advice. Subjective view/report of a financial product only.
You can learn price action trading at no cost. Join my mailing list to receive more information zc.vg
DISCLAIMER
All information published within this website is purely for educational purposes and offers no guarantees. Profit Fx, Forex Bootcamp and any of its associates cannot be held responsible for any trades that you have executed in any way whatsoever. Please familiarize yourself with the relevant risks involved when trading forex, CFD’s and other products. Any trading is done solely at your own risk. Profit Fx, Forex Bootcamp and any of its associates are in no way employed by any broker or any other legal entity. All information published within this website does not constitute advice, but rather objective information about a financial product and analysis or report of a financial product.