META AND EARNINGS, WHAT IS IMPORTANT FOR PRICE?I added some drawing lines to show essentially what a move could look like that takes meta higher, and just as easy, earnings could be the a drop that goes below 400.
So price targets are marked.
There is a big area in price here where the move to the upside could be pretty decent.
I have a few charts for meta however this one is the most likely outcome.
Former rejection lines are now support.
META could easily see 900 levels.
META could easily see 300 levels.
Timing isn't really important here.
Watch for a BIG earnings drop.
Otherwise if we catch support, it could easily spring up.
Again, I know this isn't really an answer for exact price.
However, the trends are important, and we could easily see something happen here as indicators reset, projection has right around earnings.
Good luck!
Pins
PINS: Unclear what is next, but a long-term opportunity anywayThe price action for PINS since August of 2024 looks like a big 3 waves corrective move upward. This could be considered as the B wave if we see the big drop from June as the A wave correction. Since that correction was in 5 waves, it can be either the first part of a zigzag or wave 1.
Now, one can argue that entire channel move from May of 2022 to June of 2024 is a B wave. The wave relations do fit that. If that is the case then the big bad C wave has started and the move down so far is only waves 1 and 2 with bigger wave 3 is still upcoming.
So, the way to differentiate between the two would be how the next retrace happens. The current move up may not yet be complete and price can hit $35 - $36 before heading south. If the downward movement is strong and falls below $24, then it is most likely the wave 3 of bigger C. If the move down is slow and steady and takes time, then it is most likely the smaller wave C of Minor degree wave 2.
For Minor wave 2, target would be somewhere between $25 - $21. For Intermediate wave 2 target would be somewhere between $14 - $11. If $10.14 breaks, then all bull case is over. If price doesn't make any retrace below $28 and price moves above $45.78, then bearish cases are over and price will be extremely bullish.
Valuation Trade Setups: NVDA, AVGO, GOOGL, AMZN, PINS & SilverI have been filled long on some trades based on my valuation trading strategy.
In this video I explain the strategy (conditional criteria, entries & money management) implemented with this weeks entries in NVDA, AVGO & Silver (as well as resting orders for GOOGL, AMZN & PINS). I also briefly explain the idea of "relative strength", which I applied this week when I decided to long Silver instead of Copper.
Enjoy.
Pinterest Shares Plunges Nearly 14% Despite Upbeat Q2 ResultsShares of Pinterest Inc. ( NYSE:PINS ) took a steep dive in early trading on Wednesday, plummeting nearly 14%. This sharp decline occurred despite the company reporting second-quarter results that surpassed expectations. The market’s reaction underscores investor concerns about the sustainability of Pinterest's growth trajectory, particularly in light of tougher comparisons expected in the latter half of 2024 and into 2025.
Q2 Earnings Beat Expectations
Pinterest's Q2 revenue came in at $854 million, slightly exceeding the consensus estimate of $850 million. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $180 million, also surpassing the forecast of $179 million. This performance was buoyed by solid revenue growth and a steady margin trajectory, as noted by several analysts.
However, the positive sentiment was overshadowed by Pinterest's guidance for the third quarter. The company projected Q3 revenue between $885 million and $900 million, falling short of the expected $912 million. This guidance has led to a recalibration of growth expectations, particularly given the challenging comparisons and ongoing softness in key advertising sectors.
Eric Sheridan noted Pinterest's solid results and steady revenue trajectory but highlighted that the third-quarter guidance was stable compared to pre-earnings models, indicating potential multi-year margin expansion despite quarterly fluctuations.
Justin Patterson noted that while Pinterest's revenue and EBITDA beat expectations, the lower-than-expected Q3 guidance reflects a broader trend where investor expectations had become elevated. Doug Anmuth emphasized the 300 to 500 basis points deceleration in Pinterest's third-quarter revenue growth guidance, partly due to FX headwinds and a significant year-over-year comparison. He noted that ad trends remained stable, except in the Food & Beverage sector, which has been under pressure.
Market Concerns and Broader Implications
The digital advertising market is recovering from a downturn seen in 2022 and early 2023, but persistent weakness in specific sectors, such as consumer goods, particularly food and beverage, is affecting growth. This has raised concerns about broader implications for smaller ad players like Snap and ad tech firms such as Trade Desk, given their exposure to these sectors.
Analysts noted that the lighter third-quarter guidance might exacerbate fears around growing ad pressures and potential spillover into other verticals. Pinterest's outlook could signal trouble for competitors who rely heavily on ad revenue from consumer goods companies.
Conclusion
Despite posting strong Q2 results, Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) faces a challenging path ahead. The company's cautious third-quarter guidance has prompted a reassessment of its growth prospects, leading to a significant drop in share value. While analysts remain optimistic about Pinterest's long-term potential, the immediate future appears uncertain as the company navigates a complex advertising landscape and strives to maintain its growth momentum.
PINS Price Action
At the time of publication, Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) shares were down 13.5% to $32.30. The digital advertising market's rebound remains uneven, with pockets of weakness impacting growth across the sector.
In conclusion, Pinterest’s solid Q2 performance and the subsequent market reaction highlight the delicate balance between meeting investor expectations and navigating sector-specific challenges. As the company continues to adapt to evolving market dynamics, its ability to sustain growth and capitalize on emerging opportunities will be closely watched by investors and analysts alike.
Pinterest / PINS - Idea I.hey Guys,
- Yearly Chart is bullish, Double Bottom and Engulfing Candle.
->Targets … 41 … 45 … 49.
Quarterly: Bullish Candle breakout above the Highs of Q1.
-> But it is retesting a major supply line and a yearly FIB. - creating a Grey Zone which divides the Stock into a bearish zone below and bullish zone above.
Monthly: Bullish candle - Stochastic Bullish but OB.
-> caution as we could see some Profit taking / reloading at lower prices.
3D: Signs of a possible reversal: Ascending Triangle, Fifth Wave, Diagonal Moving Stock (Distortion?)
Breakout to the upside would be extremely bullish…
Lower prices could be seen as a great buying opportunity.
targets Bears: 41 38
Targets Bulls: 45 49
Please let me know if you would like me to analyse an Instrument for you.
Thanks for reading
PINS - this social media company making a comeback LONGPINS on the weekly chart hit the ATH during the COVID era and then faded in a one-year trend
down until summer 2022. It has now reversed and is slowly trending up. The Price Volume Trend
indicator shows the reversal as starting July 29, 2022 with a correction in May 2023. I see this
as a safe swing trade targeting 50 and 65 as drawn by black horizontals. They are the levels of
a neckline of the H & S at the ATH and a small pivot in October 2021. These are roughly 20% and
50% profit at those two take profit levels.
PINS Pinterest Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PINS before the previous earnings:
nor entered in the Buy area:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PINS Pinterest prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 35usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $5.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ArrowMark Partners is betting on Pinterest: Trading idea 4/04/24ArrowMark Partners' optimism about Pinterest Inc. (PINS) is grounded in the company's solid performance throughout 2023, highlighting the significant growth in monthly active users and revenue. With an 11% year-over-year increase, bringing the monthly active users to a record 498 million in Q4 and annual revenue rising to 3.1 billion USD from 2.8 billion USD in 2022, Pinterest demonstrates a robust growth trajectory. This performance is further bolstered by an increase in average revenue per user (ARPU), a critical metric for platforms reliant on advertising revenue.
Pinterest's strategic expansion of its advertising products, more than doubling the options available to marketers, alongside partnerships aimed at enriching its advertising offerings, positions the company well for continued revenue growth. These strategic moves underscore Pinterest's appeal to both users and advertisers, leveraging its unique platform to capture a larger digital advertising market share.
Technical analysis of Pinterest Inc. stock (PINS)
D1 timeframe analysis: the daily chart reveals a 33.88 USD support level and a resistance level at 35.54 USD, within which Pinterest's stock has been trading. A notable "descending wedge" pattern is identified, traditionally considered a bullish reversal signal. This pattern suggests that, following a downward trend, the stock is poised for an uptrend, making it a focal point for investors anticipating a change in market sentiment.
H1 timeframe analysis: in the hourly chart, a potential opportunity arises for long positions once the resistance at 35.54 USD is breached, setting a short-term target at 41.23 USD. Based on current trends and technical indicators, holding a long position with an aim towards 49.32 USD could be advantageous for medium-term investment strategies.
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📊 Pinterest (PINS) Trade Analysis - Partnerships and Growth! 🚀📊 Technical Overview:
NYSE:PINS : Pinterest, a visual discovery platform.
Key Levels: $34.80, $35.50, $50.00, $52.00.
📈 Trade Analysis:
Partnerships: Collaborations with Adobe, Salesforce, and Amazon.
API Revenue: API product contributing nearly 30% of Pinterest's revenue.
AI Growth: Explosive growth fueled by AI.
Amazon Deal: Anticipation for meaningful revenue from Amazon deal in 2024.
Bullish Sentiment: Positive outlook on Pinterest.
🚀 Trade Strategy:
Entry: Above $34.80-$35.50 range.
Upside Target: $50.00-$52.00.
Bullish Outlook: AI-driven growth and strategic partnerships.
📉📈 Note: Stay updated on Pinterest's growth and partnerships for trade decisions. 🔄💹 #Pinterest #TradeAnalysis #StockMarket 📊🚀
PINS Pinterest Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PINS ahead of the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PINS Pinterest prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 38usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-9,
for a premium of approximately $3.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Pinterest Faces Uphill Battle as Ad Revenue Slips
Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) experienced a significant setback, with its stock dropping over 10% after its first-quarter revenue forecast fell slightly below investor expectations. This decline underscores the intense competition among social media platforms for a share of the lucrative advertising market. While industry giants like Meta (META.O) and Alphabet's (GOOGL.O) Google continue to dominate, smaller players like Pinterest are left scrambling for their piece of the pie.
Struggle for Ad Dollars
The dip in Pinterest's ( NYSE:PINS ) stock value highlights the ongoing struggle smaller social media platforms face in competing for advertising revenue. Meta and Google's strong advertising sales showcase their ability to capitalize on the post-pandemic ad rebound, leaving platforms like Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) and Snap ( NYSE:SNAP ) fighting for the remaining ad dollars. This dynamic puts pressure on smaller players to innovate and find new ways to attract advertisers amidst fierce competition.
Impact on Revenue
The revenue decline experienced by Pinterest mirrors a broader trend affecting ad-reliant companies, including Snap, New York Times (NYT.N), and Fox (FOXA.O). The slowdown in advertising sales during the October-to-December quarter underscores the challenges these companies face in maintaining revenue growth in an increasingly competitive landscape. Despite efforts to diversify revenue streams, reliance on advertising remains a key vulnerability for platforms like Pinterest.
Gen Z Appeal
Pinterest's ( NYSE:PINS ) growing popularity among Gen Z, which comprises over 40% of its user base, highlights its potential to capture younger demographics coveted by advertisers. However, challenges in monetizing this user segment, particularly in the face of competition from larger platforms, pose significant obstacles to Pinterest's revenue growth. The platform must leverage its unique appeal to Gen Z while navigating the broader challenges of the advertising market.
Market Reaction and Analyst Sentiment
The sharp decline in Pinterest's stock value underscores investor concerns over its ability to compete with tech giants like Meta and Google. Despite the revenue miss, Wall Street analysts remain cautiously optimistic, with many raising their price targets for Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) stock. However, the platform's relatively high forward earnings estimate multiple compared to rivals like Snap and Meta suggests ongoing skepticism regarding its ability to deliver sustained growth in the face of stiff competition.
Conclusion
Pinterest's ( NYSE:PINS ) recent struggles highlight the daunting challenges facing smaller social media platforms in the battle for advertising revenue. As industry giants continue to dominate the market, platforms like Pinterest must innovate and adapt to remain competitive. While its appeal to Gen Z offers a potential avenue for growth, navigating the increasingly crowded advertising landscape will require strategic vision and agility. Only by differentiating itself and effectively monetizing its user base can Pinterest ( NYSE:PINS ) hope to carve out a sustainable niche in the ever-evolving world of digital advertising.
PINS, STRIKE, SPARE OR GUTTER BALL? YOU DECIDEThe important stuff kept quick.
Yellow line = guideline, one of many possible outcomes, helps me with backtracking, it should not be followed, instead focus on trends and price targets
Green = support, expect bounces
Support trends = 1 weak short term support likely to fail, but backed up with a much stronger trend. Weekly RSI dropping, Likely only one decent move to the upside left. IMO, lots of risk in bullish positions where profits aren't quickly taken.
There is downside showing all the way to $12.
There is upside showing to $54, but 43 and 48 are more likely.
Good luck!
Pinterest's Price Momentum (NYSE: PINS)Shares of visual search and idea platform Pinterest (PINS -1.17%) skyrocketed on hours ago, following the company's third-quarter earnings report. While its stronger-than-expected third-quarter results and robust fourth-quarter revenue guidance were obviously key to the tech stock's big move higher, there was likely more behind the move than the details provided in the earnings release. For instance, investors may want to listen to Pinterest's earnings call to see if there was even more bullish information shared by management during the call.
The call was packed with useful information for investors -- and some good reasons to be bullish. Here are the two must-see takeaways from the call.
1. The advertising market is stabilizing
During times of uncertainty, investors look for management to provide clues that the macroeconomic environment isn't deteriorating. From Pinterest's view, it isn't. Indeed, advertiser demand seems to be stabilizing.
One way this is showing up is the trend the company is seeing in its average price of ads. Though ad prices on its platform were down 12% year over year, this was a huge improvement from 20% year-over-year declines in pricing last quarter. Management said this was driven by a combination of "industrywide demand stabilization" and the company's artificial intelligence-driven efficiencies gained across its ad stack during the quarter.
2. AI is becoming integral to Pinterest's business
One of the most repeated keywords during the call was artificial intelligence (AI).
"We continue to use AI to improve the relevance and personalization of our content recommendations and satisfy user intent on our platform through improved shopping experiences," said Ready.
In one example of how Pinterest is using AI, it's pairing it with large language models "to more precisely link product metadata to user queries to show ads that are visually and contextually relevant," Ready said. Doing this "drove meaningful improvements across cost per click and cost per action and better ads relevance."
With Ready calling AI a "great source of strength" for the company, investors should expect Pinterest to continue investing in it. Fortunately, it looks like it's already additive to the company's business performance; so shareholders are in the fortunate position of being able to see results from these investments quickly.
Pinterest's momentum in AI, a stabilization in advertiser demand, and its improving differentiation as a place for a unique and seamless shopping experience position the company well for a potentially solid fourth quarter and a strong 2024. With momentum like this, Pinterest's top-line growth could continue accelerating.
No wonder shares surged higher this week.
PINS Pinterest Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PINS, which reached its Price Target here:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PINS Pinterest prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price in the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-11-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.96.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
PINS: Will it come back to test the channel bottom?Pins broke out above the down trendline from July and failed immediately. The current support at $25.7 area needs to hold in the coming weeks to keep the recent uptrend alive. If that area breaks, then bottom of the channel retest will be the most probable move. As long as $ 20.60 doesn't break, the higher timeframe uptrend will still stay intact.
Indicators are slightly bearish to neutral. RSI needs to hold 44 to prevent a complete collapse. MACD is neutral. DI is on bearish posture, but ADI is weakening, so not expecting a full meltdown at this point.
EW perspective, a leading diagonal is still in progress as long as wave 4 holds. Even price comes back to test the channel, I will add some to my holdings, with stop loss below wave 4 low.
Is Pinterest awaiting a higher correction?Pinterest - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 28.88 (stop at 30.28)
In our opinion this stock is overvalued.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the daily chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
A higher correction is expected.
29.27 has been pivotal.
29 continues to hold back the bears.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 25.58 and 25.08
Resistance: 27.70 / 28.35 / 29.27
Support: 26.97 / 26.00 / 25.50
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PINS Pinterest Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold PINS here:
Then analyzing the options chain of PINS Pinterest prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 25usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15
for a premium of approximately $2.17.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
PINS | Informative NYSE:PINS
Pinterest dropped by 15% after its recent earnings report, despite exceeding expectations. Based on my analysis, I anticipate further decline as the stock closed below the weekly trendline from August 2022. The next support level is estimated to be in the range of 18$ to 19$. While there is potential for the stock to fill the gap left after the earnings drop.