DXY D1 - Short Signal DXY D1
Cleaning up our dollar index chart here, we have previously been following the price level of 103.000, then 103.300 and now we are looking at this 104.000 whole number. This would be an area of resistance we would yet again expect a rejection. Of course, we have exploded through both previous zones, after some consolidation.
Without trying to catch a falling knife, so to speak… There certainly should be a correction due on the dollar index in the near future. The bullish D1 candle run has been insane, I’d like to see a correction to around 102.000 after testing 104.000 territory.
Barriers in the interim sit at 103.300 support and 103.000 support respectively, simple resistance to support and support to resistance as we break and move beyond certain trading zones.
Pips
GBPJPY H8 - Short SignalGBPJPY H8
We have a nice setup here yet again, with our crosshairs on that 193 handle for GBPJPY. Last weeks price movement on Friday was wild, to say the least, over the eastern session we took off 100's of points, before closing the day down towards 190 price. 600 points from top to bottom we saw, from the likes of ***JPY, this was very impressive!
With the exception of the fakeout to the upside, albeit it headline driven, we have now seen a subsequent correction, which takes us back towards that 193.000 handle, a confluence zone and an area we could look to sell.
Stops would be around 50 points at 193.500 covering recent highs, and take profit targets would be every 100 points.
Tips and Tricks on How to Trade the Inside Bar Candlestick Tips and Tricks on How to Trade the Inside Bar Candlestick Formation
What is an Inside Bar?
An Inside Bar is a two-bar price action pattern where the second bar (the inside bar) is completely contained within the high and low range of the first bar (the mother bar). This often signifies a period of consolidation or indecision.
Trading the Inside Bar:
Breakout Strategy: Look for a strong breakout above the mother bar's high for a long position, or below the mother bar's low for a short position.
Volume Confirmation: Increased volume on the breakout candle can strengthen the signal.
Stop-Loss Placement: Consider placing your stop-loss at the opposite end of the mother bar.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a favorable risk-reward ratio before entering a trade.
False Breakouts: Be aware of false breakouts, especially in ranging markets.
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the inside bar in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for improved accuracy.
Remember, the inside bar is a powerful tool, but it's not a foolproof strategy. Always practice risk management and consider using it as part of a broader trading plan.
#tradingview #insidebar #priceaction #forex #stocks #tradingtips
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]Margin? Lots? Spread? What are they?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Today we are going to cover terms such as Margin, Lot size, Spread and What are they.
Forex trading is a dynamic and potentially lucrative endeavor, but it comes with its own set of terminology and jargon that can be intimidating for beginners. Understanding these terms is crucial for aspiring traders to navigate the forex market effectively and make informed decisions.
Margin
One of the fundamental concepts in forex trading is margin, which refers to the amount of money required to open and maintain a trading position. Margin allows traders to control larger positions with a relatively small amount of capital, amplifying both potential profits and losses. It's important for traders to understand margin requirements and manage their leverage carefully to avoid excessive risk.
Lot Size
Another key concept is lots, which represent the size of a trading position in forex. Standard lots typically consist of 100,000 units of the base currency, while mini lots and micro lots represent 10,000 and 1,000 units, respectively. Lot size determines the potential profit or loss of a trade, with larger lots leading to greater fluctuations in account equity. If you are more comfortable with smaller lot size, you can even go on to nano lots in 100 unit of currency.
Spread
Spread is another term commonly used in forex trading, referring to the difference between the bid and ask prices of a currency pair. The bid price is the price at which traders can sell a currency pair, while the ask price is the price at which they can buy it. The spread represents the cost of executing a trade and can vary depending on market conditions and liquidity.
There are different types of spreads encountered in forex trading, including fixed spreads and variable spreads. Fixed spreads remain constant regardless of market conditions, providing traders with certainty about trading costs. On the other hand, variable spreads fluctuate in response to market volatility, widening during times of high activity and narrowing during periods of low activity.
Understanding these trading terms and jargon is essential for beginners to develop a solid foundation in forex trading. By mastering concepts such as margin, lots, spread, and different types of spreads, aspiring traders can make more informed decisions and effectively manage their risk in the dynamic and fast-paced world of forex.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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New Premium Gold Idea #XAUUSD Gold is facing strong resistance and is likely to drop. Consider shorting gold at the current resistance level with a target price set at the nearest support level. Monitor price action and market sentiment closely for potential profit opportunities. Use proper risk management techniques and stay informed about economic data and geopolitical events.
Entry: 2325.70
SL: 2332.17
Target 1: 2320.28
target 2: 2317.77
#signal #daytrading #gold #xauusd #forex #pips
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Trade God out
Next Premium Gold idea $$$$Gold is currently facing resistance at key levels, making it challenging for prices to push higher. Factors such as a strong US dollar, rising interest rates, easing geopolitical tensions, and bearish technical indicators have all contributed to the pressure. While the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, the current resistance zone suggests that the metal may struggle to break out in the near term. Investors should closely monitor price action to determine if gold can overcome this resistance and resume its upward trajectory.
Entry: 2322.64
SL: 2331.18
TP1: 2312.15
#xuausd #gold #signal #analysis #daytrading #forex #pips
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Trade God out
EURUSD CALLSThe price is forming a double bottom with higher lows just above the crucial demand zone.
Expecting the price to test the first major supply zone of 1.0847. And if successful at breaking it, then the price should keep going up to the next supply zone of 1.09, which just happens to be at the upper limit of the descending channel the pair has been trading in.
Week Of 2/25/2024 Gold Performance Never have i ever though id trade Gold so here we are! After analyzing the previous week for Gold, Gold was still in a strong bullish market. With this information, heading into the first day of the week, would be the beginning of a good one!
Gold formed a new higher high indicating a continuation of a strong bullish market, then later retracing to form a higher low, prompting new supply and demand zones. With this retracement, gold formed a descending wedge pattern which is a bullish pattern that is used to catch the trend break of a retracement during a bullish trend. To continue, because the market is bullish, we are only looking to enter in a buy after the trendline break of the descending pattern, and this will be the first round of profits for the week for a profit of 1.5% at a total of 53.7 pips! After the trade, price failed to break past the previous high and retraced back to the higher low. As price failed to break the previous higher low, we can confidently predict, price is in a range market, and because the overall trend is bullish, we can throw another trendline and the starting point of the current retracement, and wait for price to break that trendline to ride it up to our target percentage. Furthermore, this would be our second round of profits for 1.5% at a total of 57.2 pips! Now with a net profit of 3%, coming into Thursday, price broke the supply zone and formed a higher high! After that, price started to retrace a bit and once it formed a second point of data, we are able to throw in another trendline which ended up breaking early morning for our third round of profits at 1.5% for a total of 109.8 pips!
All in all, we ended the week with 4.5% gain on the account and no losses! Consistency is the key to trading. even though the travel of price was different with each trade especially on friday, your target should always be 1.5-2% of your total account size. your lot size will vary depending on the setup and how far your target loss is. You do not have to take the full move of a break. You only need a piece of it!
Getting Paid? With the USD/TRY Carry Trade?The USD/TRY has one of the highest Roll Over Interest out there should you choose to take on this highly volatile pair. It isn't so much that it is volatile, it has to do more with price just moves one direction, and that is up. The way we want to go is down (short) or at least sideways (ranging). Why is this interesting? It is because the Rollover Interest for going short stands at a whopping annualized rate of 28.94%. With 1:4 Margin Requirement for trading a standard lot on the TRY (based off the broker I use), $25,000 could earn me $28,940 yearly, which would be a staggering 115% return at the end of the year. Compounded, I would be a multimillionaire in no time, Buying up yachts, private jets, gourmet food, luxury cars, a pony that shoots lasers, Space X Starship, and countless other items.
But hold up, is there a downside or something that makes this too good to be true? Yes, there is price movement as well as changes in interest rates as well as capital in the account. Having only $25,000 in the account, going full throttle and placing one huge position is sure to activate a margin call within seconds (as price can move thousands of pips against you quickly) and/or cause you to lose more than you put in. Now, we don't want that. You would need to have at least double the amount in the account in order to allow for price movement. The return would be halved, but making over 50% yearly isn't too bad either, is it? With price movement, the USD/TRY (I just call it the TRY), price moved higher over 57,000 pips in 2022, and over 100,000 pips in 2023; that is $18,240 and $32,000 respectively. Interest have just reached 45%, so things definitely would not have been good. Now, with funds in your account, not to many of us have $25,000 lying around to utilize in the markets, nor do we want to just tie up $25,000 into something really risky.
Yet if used correctly and price does stabilize, then the TRY carry trade could payout (similar to the EUR/HUF). What could be done to reduce the risk? For starters, position sizing. Don't use the full force of your account and go "YOLO." Manage expectations. With a $25,000 account size, only getting into a position at around $3,750 (which is about 15% of the account used and a 15k position), would be around $3,650 return, which would be about a 14.6% return (still not bad. How many people can do this). If things go sour and price does move up at the end the year by 100,000 pips against you ($0.05 move per pip), that would be -$5,000 reduced to $1,350 because of the gained rollover interest (which would be only a 5% hit to your account instead of 20%). Putting some hedges in could also reduce some of the risk. Additionally, research and analysis, this could push you to make a more informative speculation on if getting into the pair is a good idea. Furthermore, to really ensure you don't lose any money, is to not get into the pair at all.
For myself, I am utilizing around 41% of my Forex account in this pair, about 14% of my overall accounts. There are hedges in place to reduce the impact of price moving against me as well as my position being small enough to not cause any traumatic moves, even if price moves 100,000 pips against me (of course don't want that to happen). The decision is also made to stay in this pair for the long term or until there is some major changes. There is additional funds in reserves if needed, if things don't go well, in order to put another plan into play to get out of my positions in an orderly fashion.
You all have some great trading out there.
EUR/USD Next Down Wave Is Almost Herethe price is moving in a down trendline making a decent waves. after watching the DXY we can say that this pair will continue to the downside. right now we are in a middle of a retracement preparing the price to go down back again. we will measure the current wave with our Fibonacci tool and be ready around ( 61%, 71%, 78% ) fib levels with any good bearish price action to sell the pair.
the stop loss can be tight around 50 to 60 pips maximum.
XAUUSD-Next move. Short idea!Gold sell idea.
Entry: 2046.30
Stop loss: 2052.50
Take profit: 2020.00
Explanation: Given the outcomes of the Wednesday's Fed and Friday's NFP, Dollar set the bullish sentiment for the month of February. I'll be looking for shorts for the whole month ahead, starting with Monday 2046.30 sell limit. Reason for entry: Retracement from Friday to create a new weekly high tomorrow, 61.8% fib which is also Friday NY retracement zone.Stop loss is put above the 78.6% fib, if I get taken out, I'll look for shorts at 2053.00-2055.00. Take profit is the first fibonacci target, which is 2020.00, a little below where volume is sitting at (2025.00). The trade is 4.3 RR. There will be no high impact news this week, only some Fed member speeches and Today's Powell discussion on Inflation and Interest Rates.
Cheers!
DXY H8 - Short SignalDXY H8
DXY is currently maintaining its position at the key resistance level of 104, demonstrating resilience at this significant whole number price point. Despite hitting this zone yesterday, we observe a relatively subdued level of market activity.
It appears that the markets are in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating a potential surge in trading volume driven by the release of crucial economic indicators, namely NFP, AE, and UE figures scheduled for tomorrow afternoon. Investors seem poised for a potential shift in market dynamics following the upcoming data release.
That being said, we are anticipating more downside.
DXY D1 DXY D1
The dollar has sold off a healthy amount from swing lows to swing highs here, but we are now sitting on a key point of pivot. We could look to trade higher in line with a break of trend as indicated, or lower with a continuation of trend.
Sitting on the sideline for the moment until we can see some sort of confirmation confirming either of the above.
DXY D1 - Short SignalDXY D1
We continue to navigate to the southside here with the dollar index. During recent trade and events over the past few weeks.
Should we breach the significant 103.000 threshold, our sights are set on the next target at 101.500.
Additionally, anticipate a continued upward trajectory for XAUUSD, with all-time highs on the horizon.
AUDUSD D1 - Long SignalAUDUSD has successfully executed an upward breakout, skillfully navigating a retest after surmounting the significant 0.65 threshold—a resistant range that has steadfastly held its ground for a considerable duration. Anticipating a pullback, seizing a buying opportunity within that zone seems prudent.
A substantial upside potential beckons from 0.65, stretching toward our ambitious targets of 0.67200—a robust 220-point range. Notably, minimal resistance is expected beyond 0.65700 along this upward trajectory.
EURUSD - Short/Long SignalEURUSD H8
We might not have highlighted this particular trade yesterday, as our attention was primarily on AUD/USD and GBP/USD. It's worth noting that EUR/USD tends to exhibit a pattern more closely aligned with GBP/USD than with AUD/USD. Despite this, we've observed a significant upward spike, and we've identified a promising setup for a new long order. Today's developments will reveal whether this opportunity is one we can capitalize on.
Retracing Bearish for the LONG Bullish RUNDrawing from our analysis of this pair in the past few weeks, we have seen this pair show considerable movement in both directions: bullish and bearish, especially on the 1 hour and 4 hour timeframes.
With the spike across all USD crosses last Friday, this pair, like all other USD crosses, lost its bearishness and u-turned bullish on the 1 hour and 4 hour timeframes.
Today, we will look at it from the 4-hour perspective.
On the 4 hour, we see the market in a Bullish PB. The market has made a high and has begun to pullback into the PB. We expect this bearishness to hold, believing that the retracement will bring prices into our zone, from which we would look to take a LONG trade all the way up to the top.
Did I say "All The Way Up...?" Just kidding guys. The up move is expected to last long enough to hit the 4-hour liquidity target marked out towards the top of the chart.
We will monitor as prices unfold and look to make the most of the trading opportunity when we find one.
A Great Deal of Bearishness Expected on the GBPUSDFrom our analysis of this pair in the previous weeks, we saw a good amount of bearishness.
With the close of last week, this pair witnessed a bullish reversal on the 1 hour and 4 hour timeframes, invalidating our bearish zones and PBs and going all the way into the north.
Today, we are beginning to see another round of bearishness. On the 1-hour, the market has already reversed bearish with the breach of our bullish PB.
We are setting up for a short trade position, and we will look to take it when we get the needed retracement.