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AUD/USD Weekly Inverse Head and ShouldersHere we have a High time frame analysis on the AUD/USD pair . On the 1W TF we can clearly identify the formation of the Inverted Head and shoulders with the right shoulder to be completed over the next 24+ months With all the un certainties around the world of course anything can happen and this pattern can completely fail like any other if a big event occurs and if 2020 is anything to go by then its definitely possible . Despite that it will be interesting to see as the months go by how this will play out in the long term . Support me with a Simple Like and a follow ...Thankyou
Short
by SJTRADESFUTURES
2
WHY PIPS DON`T MATTER#ExplanationHey tradomaniacs, ever since I`m in this business I see posts about "Profit in pips" and how important allegedly pips are. I can tell you... this is non-sense unless you trade the same PAIR with exact the SAME Risk-Reward over and over again! In this post, I want to clarify and show you that it is absolutley senseless to count the profit in pips as it says nothing about your actual profit! NOTICE: THERE IS A BUG IN THIS POST SO OPEN THE SNAPSHOTS AND CLICK ON IT AGAIN! So let`s have a look at the first chart and see what we got here... In this scenario you see two trades with exact the same risk-reward-ratio of 5:25. This means you risk 1$ for 5,25$ or can win 5, 25x more than you can lose. We assume here that we risk 1% per trade. Scenario 1️⃣: 👉You win EUR/USD and lose USD/JPY EUR/USD: Risk: 1% Profit in pips: 68 pips Profit in %: 5,25 USD/JPY: Risk: 1% Loss in pips: -5 pips Loss in %: -1% Result in pips: 68 pips - 5 pips = 63 pips profit Result in %: 5,25% - 1% = 4,25% Scenario 2️⃣: 👉You lose EUR/USD and win USD/JPY Risk: 1% Loss in pips: 13 pips Loss in %: -1% USD/JPY: Risk: 1% Win in pips: +25 pips Profit in %: +5,25% Result in pips: 25 pips - 13 pips = 12 pips profit Result in %: 5,25% - 1% = 4,25% The real profit on your account is 4,25%, no matter which trade you`ve won and how many pips you`ve made! The pip-difference is 51 pips, but you still have these 4,25%, no matter which trade you win! Why is that? Now look at USD and at JPY-Pairs. A pip in USD, or MAJOR-PAIRS is always the fourth figure behind the komma. 👉 1,248(0)0 A pip in JPY, or JPY-PAIRS is always the second figure behind the komma. 👉 107,6(8)5 Let`s calculate the pip-difference from Entry to target for both pairs: 1️⃣ EUR/USD: Take-Profit - Entry 1,2547 - 1,2479 = 0,0068 = 68 pips 2️⃣USD/JPY: Take-Profit - Entry 107,935 -107,685 = 0,25 = 25 pips Also notice that if you lose both trades that a -5 PIP loss and a -13 PIP loss are both the same LOSS of 1 % if you stick to a consistent risk! IT DOESN`T MATTER! Okay, let`s say you trade the same pair with the fourth figure behind the comma as a pip, but you trade with different risk-rewards but a huge move you catch! In this case you trade with a different risk-reward as you need a wider stop-loss due to volatility and you want to advoid to get stopped out! You use the same strategy to follow the trend, but now we had news that pumped EUR/USD like hell! Scenario 1️⃣: 👉You lose the first EUR/USD trade and win the second EUR/USD trade EUR/USD #1: Risk: 1% Loss in pips: -13 pips Loss in %: -1% EUR/USD #2: Risk: 1% Win in pips: +140 pips Win in %: 4% Result in pips: 140 pips -13 pips = 127 pips profit Result in %: 4% - 1% = 3% profit on your account Scenario 2️⃣: 👉You win the first EUR/USD trade and lose the second EUR/USD trade EUR/USD #1: Risk: 1% Win in pips: +68 pips Win in %: 5,25 EUR/USD #2: Risk: 1% Loss in pips: -37 pips Loss in %: -1% Result in pips: 68 pips - 37 pips = 31 pips profit Result in %: 5,25% - 1% = 4,25% profit on your account Even though you`d make 127 pips in scenario 1, the real profit would be 1,25% less on your account! ERGO: More pips = Less profit So let`s head into a very extreme example of HOW pips don`t tell you a s**t about your profits! ;-D In this example we compare a GOLD-TRADE with our recent EUR/USD-TRADE. I don`t want to spamm this post with too many calculations so I try to keep it simple here. Important to notice is that the PIPS for GOLD are represented by the second figure behind the comma. In this scenario we buy Gold at 1.800$, or 1800,0(0) <- Cents A dollar change in Gold , for example 1800 to 1801, is called a POINT. A dollar change in Gold would be 100 Cents, or 100 pips! So let`s say you buy gold with a risk-reward of 2:1, means you risk 1$ for 2$ or can win 2x more than you can lose. In this case you would make 20 POINTS as the price moves from 1.800$ to 1.820$. In pips you would make 2.000 friggin pips but only 2% profit compared to your 68 pips in EURO /USD with 5,25% profit. One last example: In this scenario you win the EUR/USD trade and LOSE the GOLD-TRADE: EUR/USD #1: Risk: 1% Win in pips: +68 pips Win in %: 5,25 XAU /USD: Risk: 1% Loss in pips: -700 pips Loss in %: -1% Result in pips: +68 pips - 700 pips = -632 pips profit Result in %: 5,25% - 1% = 4,25% profit on your account You would lose -632 pips but make a real profit of 4,25% on your account! So when do PIPS really matter? If you would trade the same PAIR with the same RISK-REWARD over and over again as you would always win and lose the same amount in %. If you`d trade the same EUR/USD trade, PIPS would actually make sense to be counted. But who trades that way? Almost noone! What does that mean for your positionsize in LOT? They always VARY! Use a position-size-calculator to get your right position-size. But thats a topic for another post... :-) IF YOU WANT TO SEE MORE EDUCATIONAL CONTENT PLEASE LEAVE A LIKE AND A COMMENT.. especially when this helps you! :-) Peace and good trades Irasor Wanna see more? Don`t forget to follow me
Education
by Trading2ez
19
Cable is cresting 1.3900 with upside target at 1.4...Cable is cresting 1.3900 with upside target at 1.4... and Eur/Gbp is back below 0.8750 partly due to another downturn in the Dollar and relative Euro lethargy between key technical levels. However, Sterling is also bid in its own right and benefiting from the UK’s ongoing advanced progress in terms of vaccinating the population against COVID-19 that is keeping the PM on track to begin relaxing restrictions early next month. For the record, over 15 mn people have now been inoculated and the Government is aiming to have administered first jabs to 32 mn by April. Whether you think these numbers are good or bad, Gbp strength is showing though.
Long
by FTUKcom
20