SELL OPPORTUNITY FOR BEARS.On a longer-term 4hr and 1-day time-frame have a bearish indication of victory but right entry positioning is required with proper risk management to obtain the foretold profits. My opinion SL- 0.69490, ENTRY-0.69090 TP- 0.68106. Stay blessed, stay safe. Please like my idea to follow for more updates and sincere apologies to my followers for not publishing any idea for some months now. PHOENIXFX promises to deliver more precise content onwards.
Pips
Gold H4 - Short SetupAs per the VN we are 'technically' bearish as we have a big selloff move $110 pulling downside, we also are trading below 1880, which is our resistance zone. Effectively a bearish flag pattern, and a bloody big one at that! The flag consolidation alone is 230 pips. With a target of 350 pips from 1880 to 1915 if we break upside. We haven't had much movement recently so lets see what unfolds.
USDCHF D1 - Short SetupUSDCHF D1 - Bit late to the part posting this, apologies. Very similar structure and paced moving pair here, DXY is at a key level to monitor, retesting after breaking upside of a trading zone, we covered all of this in the rundown, but take a look here too if you haven't got a chance to watch the video.
GBPCHF D1 - Short SetupGBPCHF D1 - This is an absolute textbook example of trading between the zones using price action, GBPCHF generally deemed as a slower moving pair (confirmation can be seen). The only issue is, the confirmation candle was very large which skews RR a little bit. Risk markets are still in play which is dangerous too, but confluences all stacked here and the principles and rule sets remain the same.
USDCHF H4 - Short Trade SetupUSDCHF D1 - Carried forward from last week, big daily S/R structure here, seen the downside break, looking for the subsequent retest and to find resistance at circa 0.90400. No stacked confluences here, just a simple break and retest of daily S/R, daily candlestick confirmation would be a must. Probably be more inclined to use this pair as a comparison pair, to see if there is anything else similar which offer more confluences.
us500 short call then possibly following up with a reversal Us500 call is based on some analysis ive been back testing based on the 50% update the reversal will be around that price area then the buy back up lets see
USDWTI H1 - Short SetupWTIUSD H1 - Western texas has been gaining since the start of the week, significantly, we have recently seen a double top exhaustion at a relevant resistance zone. We are now trading on support, further bearish pressure to break current price could see support turn to resistance and a s subsequent selloff to look to fill last Sundays market gap
EURAUD H1 - Long Trade SetupEURAUD H1 - More of a diagram than a technical analysis piece! But this is something we would typically be looking for, a break of structure, a break of sequence, everything is sequential, and a break (reversal) and retest (confirmation) is required to get on board in the change of sentiment!
USDCHF H4 - NeutralUSDCHF H4 - A snapshot example of the election impact on USD and risk pairs, technical structure holding, but that's nothing to base a trade off during these times. Much of TA on other pairs aren't infact holding. Wicks upside, wicks downside with no clear direction, and we are yet to decipher market direction until more clarity comes to the surface. I'll provide a summary on all headlines probably around UK lunchtime, there is some eastern headline catching up to do, plus getting ahead of todays headlines too.
EURAUD H4 - NEUTRAL RANGEEURAUD H4 - Broken below support at 1.65, sold off towards 1.63250 and retesting 1.65 again, zones holding nicely, pushing up to 1.65500 and rejecting could be going. This could show us trading back between major resistance and major support. This range covers circa pips, and was a lucrative trading range for some time before the upside breakout towards the latter part of October.
USDCHF H4 - NeturalUSDCHF H4 - Major support and resistance range marked on showing a 180 pip potential, please listen to the above voice note, we don't want to be caught on the wrong side of big fundamental moves! Try and work from higher timeframes if you're comfortable as this would allow breathing space for intraday highs and lows, effectively meaning we can ride some of the less detrimental headlines. Market risk is heavy, hence USD strength, although we are at major resistance on a 180 pip range setup.
NZD/USD UPDATE ! That was close I made an analysis yesterday on the NZD/USD talking about a possible sell for the market but jeez we almost got stopped out ,you can look for yourself. I mean talk about a fractional pip haha...
Luckily we saw price reverse but we are not out of the danger zone yet (are we ever) price reversed but it can possibly find support at the trendline it closed above.
ONLY TIME WILL TELL US NOW.
Comment down below your thoughts...
RISK 2 REWARD ratio is the key I know almost every trader has asked themselves these questions:
How come I keep losing?!
WHY?!
Why do I keep getting stopped out?!
Why is it taking so long? !
Is it even possible?! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Today I have some good news for you maybe you already know this maybe you don't, but this is for those folks who do not know the power of a good Risk to Reward ratio.
Let me tell something real quick you do not have a 80% winning rate not 70% I am going to say not even a 50% winning rate to be profitable ( Hold ON A MINUTE man HOLD the bus man... serious) dead serious.
With a risk to reward ratio of 1:2.5 you only need to win 30% of your trades to be profitable ( see below )
SAY YOU execute 10 trades and you only win 3 so essentially 30%
LOST:7 WON:3
Total loss: Total profit:
7 * 1 = 7 3 *2.5 = 7.5
Total profit - Total loss = +0.5
Now even though 0.5 is not a lot at least it's not a loss.
But there are a few things extra to keep in mind :
1) Your risk to reward has to stay the same for the period of the 10 trades
2) Your lot size needs to stay the same
3) AND as possible try to keep the amount of pips the same for your ratio because it does not help if you win 3 trades and you decided to set one of your positions SL as 100 pips and its TP as 250 pips and the rest of the positions SL as 20 pips and TP as 50 pips. If you lose the the big trade and hit the SL of a 100 pips its gonna through everything out of wack. So be sure to try and keep everything as consistent as possible and it will be a matter of time before you see profits.
Trade with H