RISK 2 REWARD ratio is the key I know almost every trader has asked themselves these questions:
How come I keep losing?!
WHY?!
Why do I keep getting stopped out?!
Why is it taking so long? !
Is it even possible?! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Today I have some good news for you maybe you already know this maybe you don't, but this is for those folks who do not know the power of a good Risk to Reward ratio.
Let me tell something real quick you do not have a 80% winning rate not 70% I am going to say not even a 50% winning rate to be profitable ( Hold ON A MINUTE man HOLD the bus man... serious) dead serious.
With a risk to reward ratio of 1:2.5 you only need to win 30% of your trades to be profitable ( see below )
SAY YOU execute 10 trades and you only win 3 so essentially 30%
LOST:7 WON:3
Total loss: Total profit:
7 * 1 = 7 3 *2.5 = 7.5
Total profit - Total loss = +0.5
Now even though 0.5 is not a lot at least it's not a loss.
But there are a few things extra to keep in mind :
1) Your risk to reward has to stay the same for the period of the 10 trades
2) Your lot size needs to stay the same
3) AND as possible try to keep the amount of pips the same for your ratio because it does not help if you win 3 trades and you decided to set one of your positions SL as 100 pips and its TP as 250 pips and the rest of the positions SL as 20 pips and TP as 50 pips. If you lose the the big trade and hit the SL of a 100 pips its gonna through everything out of wack. So be sure to try and keep everything as consistent as possible and it will be a matter of time before you see profits.
Trade with H
Pips
USDCHF H4 - Long SetupUSDCHF H4 - Quite a clean S/R range with an interim S/R zone where we have seen a 2 stage reversal, we've continued to set new highs, looking for price to see a test of major resistance if these USD risk markets keep pushing up. YEN is still seeing strength and DXY is now trading above that 93.30 zone after retesting effectively as support.
DXY H4 - Long Trade SetupDXY H4 - Resistance zone has now been turned to support after breaking and retesting. New highs required to maintain upside momentum. Trying to follow YEN and USD strength in line with market risk. For example, minor bounce on EJ (Yen relief) but soon to be reversing downside once again as EUR/LON market volume resumes.
EURAUD H1 - Long SetupEURAUD H1 - This pair tried to bounce off support yesterday, but quickly round resistance at around 1:1.3, following protocol this would have been risk free. Still flirting between that 60 pip range, markets are fairly flat at the moment, looking for something to spice up today. Not masses on the economic calendar, but hopefully we can find something that moves markets. Underlying risk, EU/UK trade, Elections, CV19, US/China trade etc.
GBPCHF H1 - Long Trade SetupGBPCHF H1 - Lower timeframe analysis on GBPCHF, double bottom on support, key support zone as indicated with the white horizontal line, this is the start of the 2 stage reversal! Those that have got the advanced course, keep an eye on this! This would effectively act as the confirmation for this setup for intraday trading.
AUDUSD H4 - Long SetupAUDUSD H4 - This pair is well underway, arguably breaking above the monthly key level and previous resistance low. at 700 price. If we can keep gaining I feel we may reject 0.71 and pullback to 0.70688 to gear up for a break or the next zone upside. Trying to tie this is with DXY support/weakness.
AUDUSD H4 - Long SetupAUDUSD H4 - Again another zone break at that monthly key level of .070688, consolidation broke upside, and then downside more significantly. Looking to find support at 0.70200 ish for possible longs up to 0.72000 again, areas of possible resistance sit at monthly key levels and previous flag consolidation
Week 10/18/2020 Gold Trading Plan, Still Playing the Short GameContinuing from last week's plan, I expect gold to drop down.
There will be some risky buy opportunities but overall the price should be headed towards the fall out area.
When market opens look for a nice spike in prices or just do a buy stop at 1895 if you want to have a lower risk.
Look at my last week trading plan on gold as well.