ETHUSD local long from an action lineLocally ETH broke double top line and we can build low-scope action-reaction set in order to find long entry point
Pitchforks
SPY bearish pitchfork setupSPY reached the middle (red) of the pitchfork line which may act as a resistance line. There is also a chance that it will break through and go to the next line up but I find it more likely that it will go down over the coming weeks.
Grab: Grabbing a RideGrab, often dubbed the "Uber of Southeast Asia," has solidified its position as a leading player in the region's rapidly growing digital economy, making it an exceptionally compelling investment. As of the latest reports, they boast a robust cash reserve of approximately $5.56 billion in cash and short-term investments, representing nearly 30% of its market capitalization. This financial strength provides a significant buffer for both growth initiatives and operational stability. From a financial perspective, Grab has consistently delivered impressive revenue growth, with projections indicating a 17-20% increase in 2024, and a potential acceleration in 2025, driven by its dominant presence in both the ride-hailing and food delivery sectors across eight Southeast Asian nations. Additionally, the company's adjusted EBITDA guidance has been upgraded by 15%, reflecting improving profitability and operational efficiency. Grab's strategic evolution into a super-app, integrating financial services such as digital payments and banking, further diversifies its revenue base, positioning the company as an attractive investment in a region poised for continued digitalization and economic growth.
The company has been strategically managing its finances by increasing its cash reserves and reducing its debt, a move that has positioned it favorably in the competitive ride-hailing and delivery market in Southeast Asia. This financial strategy is evident as Grab has been reported to have decreased its liabilities while bolstering its cash on hand, aiming for greater financial stability and operational flexibility. Simultaneously, Grab's partnership with Uber has been significant; after Uber sold its Southeast Asian operations to Grab in 2018, Uber retained a 25% stake in Grab, which not only facilitated Grab's dominance in the region but also allowed both companies to benefit from shared technology and market insights. This collaboration has been a cornerstone for Grab, enhancing its service offerings and market expansion while maintaining financial health.
$4.50 NASDAQ:GRAB
S&P500 & US30 Active DivergenceDivergence does not always have to be observed through the lens of a lagging indicator. Closes do provide powerful signals as to when a move is likely to reverse direction. They also allow us to enter with a smaller risk.
Lets first compare the previous swing lows marked out on both charts (dotted orange horizontal line) on the 20th Dec 2024. Zoom in on the white arrows! What do you see with the closes?
Now focus in on the S/R zone in purple. Notice that the block width is created from the highest high and the highest low of the same swing. These are very important inflection points from which to compare closes when observing divergence between both instruments.
Now observe the yellow arrows!! What do you see with the closes when comparing the S/R zone in purple?
Now look at the yellow UPWARD diagonal median line of both purple pitchforks . have they both touched the same median line? Yes or No? perhaps another line confirming divergence?
As an additional confirmation the market has touched the upper line of both light blue DOWNWARD pitchforks on both instruments with the current candle
Lets see if we get the reversal.
Cheers
Closing above Mother line & Pitchfork median line unsuccessful.Nifty tried hard to close above Mother line of 50 Weeks EMA and Pitchfork median line this week but was unsuccessful. Closing above 23433 is imperial for Nifty to gain a bullish momentum. Pitchfork is used to determine the long term trend of Nifty. In this particular chart the Pitchfork starts from 2021 and extends till 2026 end. The upper side has lot of potential as you can see the top is leading towards 32.5K+. Even the Median line is leading towards the target close to 29K. Supports for Nifty in the medium term because of the current bearish trend are at 22.8K, 21.8K, 21.2K, 20.2K and finally 200 Weeks EMA or the Father line at 19.5K.(This looks improbable as of now on chart as these levels are even below the pitchfork trend channel.)
Usually the tops and bottoms of Pitchfork channel are not easy to break hence the worst case scenario as of now looks like 20.2K. Looking at the bigger picture IMF has declared a robust outlook for India for the next 3 years with GDP growing at an average of 6.63% for the next 3 years. (2025-6.5%, 2026-6.7% and 6.7%). However actual GDP growth can be much higher if the Government remains stable for a sustained period of time. The IMF estimates should be taken with a pinch of salt.
Long term investors can utilise every fall to add some blue chips. Remain selective in Mid and Small cap space as the PE in some of the Mid and small cap companies are still at unsustainable levels even after this fall. For Bulls to be back in business we need a weekly closing above Pitchfork median and Mother line at 23433. Weekly Closing above 23433 would have potential to take us near 24.5K or even above 25.5K levels in the short to medium term. Closing below 22.8K can bring little more wait and pain for investors. Good effort by Nifty this week but closing was not good. We need a strong move next week for Bulls to be back to business.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I or my clients might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Local GOLD long from an action line on 15m chartPrice has broken kill-zone that consists of triple top and double top. So I expect stepping up swing movement on 15m chart. This is a good time to draw action-reaction set. It captures previous price movements wonderfully.
And we have nice risk/reward entry if we place our stop behind this kill-zone
NVDA morning analysisTechnical analysis for NVDA.
Price never tagged median lines of either bullish pitchfork drawn, implying price should be pulled down towards 100.95 and 90.69. If correct, would be in line with a C wave to complete a primary wave 4 expanded flat.
USOIL, evening analysisTechnical analysis of USOIL (CL1!).
Bullish (green) and bearish (red) counts for USOIL.
Price likely to rise towards resistance at 94.99, with median line of pitchfork as target.
Bulls see EW count in a wave 3, with price to challenge 2022 highs and keep 94.99 as support once it breaks as resistance.
Bears see a wave c in progress, to complete a zigzag X in the 96.5-105 area, then roll back down with a Y below 63.61.
Bitcoin Market Cap PitchForksCRYPTOCAP:BTC
Setup PitchForks for each cycle, starting at the low. Looks to be good high touchpoints and trendlines to follow. Interested to see this current PitchFork have more touchpoints and then move back into the 2021 PitchFork at high valuations, entering the 2021 PitchFork around 4 to 5 Trillion in Market Cap.
COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC
NIFTY technical analysis, big pictureTechnical analysis for NIFTY 50 Index.
This count has price in price in wave c of Primary wave 4. The a and b wave of the zigzag may need to be adjusted, depending on how price moves down to target, which is the 15000-17000 area.
Price never tagged the median line of the bullish pitchfork, did its best to stay above its bullish Hagopian line. As price continues to stay below 24857.75 (which is now key resistance), gravity should pull price down rather quickly towards target.
ETHUSD morning analysisTechnical analysis of ETHUSD.
Bearish count sees large regular flat from ATH, pitchfork drawn from ATH, A, and B.
C wave would be in its wave 3, with target ~2000.
Wave 2 was a zigzag with Elliott Triangle wave b. Wave c of 2 tagged .618 fib drawn from B at 4104.56 to end of wave 1 of C.
Smaller pitchfork drawn from B, 1, and 2; convergence with larger pitchfork below A at 880.03, which is where this analysis suggests price is going.
NAS100/NDX morning updateAnother look at NAS100.
I added another pitchfork and Hagopian line, drawn off bearish pivots after 16 December 2024 ATH.
The Hagopian line held resistance at wave ii. As long as it continues to hold as resistance, the red median line is the bearish target. Failure of the bullish pitchforks to hit their median line targets suggests price reversal.
Two bearish counts after ATH. Count in green shows a zigzag, and count in red shows an impulse. The red count assumes that price completed a (b) wave of an expanded flat, (b) wave starting October 2022, (c) wave impulse targeting October 2022 low.
NAS100/NDX technical analysisTechnical analysis for NAS100 (NDX).
Price shown from 5 August 2024 low.
This count sees price as an ending diagonal from 5 August 2024 low, with a truncated fifth wave finishing at 22084.70.
Completed impulse wave from 22084.70 to 20710.70 (first green ellipse).
Regular flat completed at 21654.70, with impulsive price action afterwards (second green ellipse) which broke below support of 20710.7 today.
Two pitchforks shown, neither of which had their median (red) lines tagged, implying prices will return to pivots at 20309.1 and 18297.4.
Impulse waves (red ellipses) with regular flat corrective wave would either be a zigzag or the beginning of a larger impulse wave down. Given the lower targets involved, this count implies the latter.
Key resistance now 21654.7.
XAGUSD morning analysisTechnical analysis for XAGUSD.
Bearish count is looking for a C wave to take price back towards 17.54.
If median line (red line) of pitchfork can't be tagged, lower prices remain likely.
US10Y afternoon analysisTechnical analysis for US10Y.
Bearish on long-term bonds, this analysis has yields continuing to go up.
Displayed count has A wave beginning off 9 March 2020 low, completed 23 October 2023. B wave as completed zigzag to September 17 2024 low.
C wave count in wave 3 of 3, with targets of 5.337% and 5.592%. This count shows C wave completing at top of pitchfork (drawn off 9 March 2020 low), but with measured move I would expect the C wave to complete north of 6.496%.
Key supports: 4.507% and 4.126%
Key resistances: 4.739% and 5.021%
AGLDUSDT Long Setup - Spot BINANCE:AGLDUSDT
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(For beginners, I suggest low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area: 1 step now
Yellow zone: 2nd step = 2.61-2.32
⚡️TP:
3.13
3.55
4.13
🔴SL:
1.99
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
USD/JPY Short using a GANN Fixed Square & Andrews PitchforksWe have an interesting short setup on the Daily. The highest candle printed was on the 26th Dec 2024 (UTC+2). Although it wasn't a nice 'Signal' candle it has traded sideways ever since. From a technical/geometric lens we can see heavy resistance against the angles and arcs of this perfectly scaled Gann Fixed Square including 2 median line touches and a "sliding parallel" exhaustion gap. Note: The 26th Dec from an Astro perspective has very interesting planetary alignments including a Price and Time Square Out, however, the details of this is beyond the scope of this idea. Inevitably the market will decide.
Ethereum Bullish Outlook: Targeting $8,000 During Altcoin SeasonBINANCE:ETHUSDT
COINBASE:ETHUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 1x-2x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
After the alt-season scenario occurs, a very likely target for ETH/USDT is around $8,000. Currently, the price is stabilizing, and if it remains within this zone, a strong breakout could drive the price up to the $8,000 target.
In another scenario, if the price breaks below the red zone, a lower dynamic support line could provide protection for buyers around the $2,500 to $2,600 range.
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
4K
5.2K
6K
6.8K (Risk-free level)(if the price reached this level, risk-free your positions.)
8K
🔴SL:
2850$
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
TOTAL2 Index Set to Surge Towards $2.5 Trillion!CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
📈Which side you pick?
Bulls or Bears
This chart shows the gravity points for the TOTAL2 index. It also describes the potential targets and their different probabilities of realization. The nearest zones within this structure are highlighted in green.
After TOTAL2 broke above 1.29 trillion dollars, and with Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) decreasing, a very likely scenario for TOTAL2 is reaching the 2.5 trillion-dollar level.
⚡️Target:
2.5T
GOLD & SILVER Short ideaHi,
We have an interesting bearish idea with the metals GOLD & SILVER. Being highly correlated we are able to extract confirming bearish signals of a turn next week. Price action shows selling pressure is greatest in Silver ( The Divergence Circle ) creating a vacuum against the yellow dashed horizontal line where GOLD has closed the GAP against the same line. Apart from this the same can be observed on the horizontal plane with Silver failing to reach the yellow diagonal frequency line showing greater selling pressure as compared to GOLD. We also have multiple Timing confluences ( Including ASTRO ) which has squared with Price on the same "Signal" candle of GOLD & SILVER last Friday. This however is beyond the scope of this analysis. Also note we have news next week pointing to a possible bigger move than average.
DXY afternon analysisLong-term analysis of DXY.
Bullish count sees double-combo of March 2008 low, W is a regular flat, X is a zigzag, Y would be a zigzag with target of ~128 and median line of pitchfork to complete wave C of Y.
This move would likely see US10Y targeting 8% in a long-term bond long-squeeze.
2025 Stock Buyback CrashI think there's going to be a major stock market crash now. I drew a Schiff Pitchfork connecting the peak and bottom of the 2008 subprime mortgage crash to the peak of Covid-19. Why? I'm looking at the geometry of how the stock market reacts to large systemic human problems. Notice that SPX is now overbought in exactly the same region as the 2000 dot com bubble crash.
What is this thing I'm calling the "Stock Buyback Crash"? Well without getting too political, the name of the game in Capitalism in exploitation and grift. You can only pay your employees shit, fire huge percentages of your employees, and buy back your own stock to inflate your stock prices for so long before the game of chicken is up. Corporations haven't been reinvesting their surplus capital into improving their businesses. No, they've been artificially inflating their stock prices to get those sweet executive bonuses. Well, the bubble's about to burst. This whole system is a grift. I can highly recommend reading the book called 'Understanding Capitalism' by Richard Wolff.
Bitcoin 1D Pitchfork & Correlating Tops Where To Next For $BTC Basic little draw up from now just checking market sentiment with the MACD providing great analytical insight into where we are NOW and were we were MID bull run from $75k ATH to $109k. See the bearish MACD over the ATH of 75k and the same over the 109k ATH. We are back to zero on MACD we should see small dips or sideways movement but more volatile as price is higher. It will always seem more volatile as %s of BTC price are larger. So 10% drop or gain now on $93k is $9.3k where when 1 CRYPTOCAP:BTC was 9.3k 10% drop or gain was only $930! Yes same % loss or gain but more capital required to make or loose hat 10%. Still you can always order less but this is just a sentiment driver when you look at the % math of now and back in the day even 4 years ago or pre covid.
Currently we sit at $93,250 USD at time of writing. Up from the down turn to $91k. IF we keep the market moving up growing and more $ flow in to longs and or buying bitcoin the better.
I think also as its in a DIP phase people WONT be selling who brought in at or between 50k-80k. At least I wouldn't be. Even if it goes to any price pre Covid so under 25k~ This will take a while to occur with many chances to exit before or you will see much increase from where we are now.
The market sentiment is good. Its down but its still dominant and will be for another 10 - 100 years plus. It's almost perfect and the coins doing other things BTC can mostly achieve but in directly. However it is no1 and will stay that way for some time.
Love you Holders let us know you thoughts on this projection to upward of $200k within a few 6 months ?
Not finical advice I trade on my own and use my own methods the post here isn't method to trade its just an assumption of what could happen with little degree of success. Thanks for reading!
