USDZAR Finding Support on PitchforkThe USDZAR found support on the lower point of the Pitchfork & could not continue to the 200 day moving average, the expectation is price to begin trending upwards, the black and the pink lines form a parallel channel within the pitchfork, price fell out of that channel & where the black meets the pitchfork line is an interesting place for price to consolidate (double resistance) before another attempt higher. Given time, we expect the trend to support the Rand firming over the medium term.
We must also be cognizant of the environment, recession figures will begin to feed into emotions, so a US dollar spike is not out of the question resulting in a hit on stock markets.
Pitchforks
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In at 1.1291.
Initial Elliottwave count and idea got blown up.
Had a plan B idea in the vid on it.
After being stopped, I cried, then watched how the PA played after the sweep.
Swift move up, corrective move to Algo zone.
Classic tradedevils setup played out.
Possibly a wee little W5 to pop the last pivot then maybe a turn, but I think 1.29 is the level to watch. Breaking below 1.1774 is sus.
My internal count idea, atm.
Cheers!
#FANTOM #FTM Long-Term Targets#FANTOM #FTM Long-Term Targets
With the survey that has been done, we will probably reach one of the following goals in the next 3 to 6 months.
0.75 $
3.2 $
After bitcoin halving, the next strong upward wave will start and as a result, we will reach the following goals one by one in the next two years, and the probability of the $6 level is very high.
6 $
14 $
61 $
stop loss:
under 0.15$
SBK: Yearly Low With Bearish PullOn the daily time frame, Standard bank has presented with a cycle failure as price went below 17 February low, the share is in intermediate decline. Price must go below the blue trendline. But since we are anticipating a yearly low, price must also go below R140.71 (19 September 2022). If it can do that in current cycle, the green circle is an area of interest for a bottom.
In the event we find a bottom in the red circle, we would need another weekly cycle to complete the picture, this would be severely bearish bringing into scope close to R100. This would mean events causing retreat to COVID lows, an unpleasant experience for perma bulls.
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - US30 H1 - ShortAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (near the lower parallel)
- Red: There is no valid H4 fork. Pevious week's levels
- Orange: There is no valid H1 fork. Pevious day's levels
- Yellow: m15 short fork (lower parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
- Short trend, long correction. If the m15 fork breaks, it is long. I'm expecting a sniping or banding.
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - UsdJpy H1 - ShortAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (between the median and the upper parallel)
- Red: H4 long fork (median line) and previous week's levels
- Orange: H1 long fork (over the lower parallel) and previous day's levels
- Yellow: m15 short fork (lower parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
- Long correction and short trend. If the m15 fork breaks, it is long. Target is the top of the H1 short fork.
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - EurJpy H1 - ShortAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (between the median line and the lower parallel)
- Red: H4 short fork (median line) and previous week's levels
- Orange: H1 short fork (median line) and previous day's levels
- Yellow: m15 short fork broken
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
- Short correction and long trend. If the H1 fork falls, it is long.
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - CadJpy H1 - ShortAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (between the median and the upper parallel)
- Red: H4 long fork (over the lower parallel) and previous week's levels
- Orange: H1 short fork (lower parellel) and previous day's levels
- Yellow: m15 short fork (between the median and the upper parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
- Short trend and long correction. If the m15 fork falls, it is long. Target the H1 fork top.
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - AudJpy H1 - ShortAnalysis
- Black: D1 trend long fork (between the median line and the upper parallel)
- Red: H4 long fork (median line) and previous week's levels
- Orange: H1 short fork (retests to the upper parallel) and previous day's levels. There is no valid H1 fork.
- Yellow: m15 short fork (retests to the lower parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines,
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
- Long correction and short trend. If the m15 fork breaks, it is long. Its target is the top of the forming H1 fork. Complicated opposite movements may occur.
SPY - bearish - pitchfork analysisOn the weekly chart SPY is close to some resistance pitchfork lines and the RSI is approximately in divergence with the price (the price high although lower then the earlier high it's still high relative to how the RSI high is in relation to the earlier one). On the daily chart the price is close to resistance pitchfork lines and the the RSI reached a resistance pitchfork line.
Andrews' Pitchforks are FunHere's an example of a pitchfork drawn on the 2 weekly BNC:BLX chart, measured from the March 2020 low to the Nov 2021 high and completed at the Nov 2022 low, and then extended in direction and levels (up to 9 levels can be added).
The chart above makes for a solid example of how pitchforks can be used to derive a trend or channel and find solid support and resistance levels within it. They are also just fun to work with!
There are several types of pitchforks which can be tested until you've found one that works best for your chart. They are called Andrews' Pitchforks because they were originally developed by Alan Andrews, with several derivatives created by modifying calculation for the placement of the pitchfork's handle (the slope of its median line):
Normal Pitchfork - Andrews' original pitchfork tool.
Schiff Pitchfork - moves start of the handle line halfway to the base of the channel.
Modified Schiff Pitchfork - handle start is adjusted by a distance equal to half the difference between price values of its first two points (first low and high, or first high and low) of three.
Inside Pitchfork - handle adjusted to half of the vertical & half of the horizontal distance between the first two points of three.
In the example above, I chose a Modified Schiff Pitchfork , and then identified 3 points of consecutive highs and lows. In this case: low -> high -> low. You can choose to do the opposite of this and start from high -> low -> high, typically your first point should represent the beginning of a new trend.
Play around with trying this in different timeframes, and also try editing / adding / removing levels. You can try basic levels at increments of 25% or by utilizing classic Fibonacci levels (or both, as shown above).
Pitchforks are a type of Fibonacci tool, so I like using classic Fib levels. You could just use the Fibonacci Channel tool and get a similar result. But, the nice thing about utilizing a pitchfork is that it can help you identify a channel that may not be immediately obvious.
Here is another example of using a Modified Schiff Pitchfork to derive trends on a popular altcoin, BINANCE:HBARUSD :
Thanks for reading, I hope this was helpful to you. I learned more about pitchforks myself while working on this, and encourage others to do the same!
Snowflake Head & Shoulders on the 4hrNYSE:SNOW This chart pattern of a 4hr H&S is quite prominent. So far so good if you're a bull you want to see this neckline hold. As the saying goes nothing is more bullish than a failed bearish move. If the neckline breaks it's trading back down to the 150s IMO. If it can hold I expect 190s to print. Based on the Modified Pitchfork I have if we chop around the 170s for the rest of the week I would lower the neckline down to 169 where the price would meet the 0.25 orange line, before considering the neckline broken. Big moves soon on SNOW is what I am expecting.
📈Bitcoin looking for a retest, 32K then 35K📉BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
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An idea for Bearish PathsA rough sketch of two predicted bearish paths.
We could see five pivots as one wave (of course, the breakout of the previous high would invalidate this assumption).
If it's WXYXZ- black.
If it's a less-than-ideal impulse wave, 12345.
This is derived from potential S&R that Gann Square, wave analysis, and the pitchfork can assume.
Bitcoin Summer Price and Time ProjectionsI am using the Fib Spiral with a Circles to help project price and time inside a pitchfork. Notice how COINBASE:BTCUSD really started breaking out to 30K at the edge of the first major circle on June 20th. The second smaller circle is taking the recent lows at 24.7K from June 15th to the most recent high at 31.5K on June 23rd. If we look at the edge of this second circle we get a time and price prediction of 35.5K by July 14th which lines up with my pitchfork analysis for the first TP.