Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - US30 H1 - LongAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (near the lower parallel)
- Red: H4 long fork (upper parallel) and previous week's levels
- Orange: There is no H1 fork
- Yellow: There is no m15 fork
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
I expect high volatility thrashing.
Pitchforks
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - UsdJpy H1 - LongAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (between the lower parallel and the median)
- Red: H4 long fork (lower parallel) and previous week's levels
- Orange: There is no H1 fork. Orange: H1 double tops and triple bottoms.
- Yellow: m15 long fork (upper parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines, target price is the top of the m15 and H4 fork
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - EurJpy H1 - LongAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (between the median and the upper parallel).
A lateral, flat-like movement can be seen in the fork.
- Red: H4 long speculative fork (near the lowe parellel) and previous week's levels
- Orange: There is no H1 fork
- Yellow: m15 long fork (near the median)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines, target price is the top of the H1 and H4 fork
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - CadJpy H1 - LongAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (near the upper parallel)
- Red: H4 long fork (near the median) and previous week's levels
- Orange: There is no H1 fork and double bottoms
- Yellow: m15 long fork (upper parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines, target price is the top of the H1 and H4 fork
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested (If the m15 fork falls)
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - AudJpy H1 - LongAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (near the lower parallel)
- Red: H4 long fork (near the median) and previous week's levels
- Orange: There are no H1 fork and double bottoms
- Yellow: m15 long fork (upper parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines, target price is the top of the H1 and H4 fork
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested (If the m15 fork falls)
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - US100 H1 - LongAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (near the upper parallel)
- Red: H4 short fork (near the upper parallel) and previous week's levels
- Orange: H1 long fork (upper parallel)
Next move
- Long trend, short correction
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - EurJpy H1 - LongAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (near the upper parallel)
- Red: H4 long fork (near the median) and previous week's levels
- Orange: H1 long fork (near the median) and double bottoms
- Yellow: m15 long fork (near the median)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - CadJpy H1 - Long- Black: D1 long fork (median)
- Red: H4 long fork (median) and previous week's levels
- Orange: H1 long fork (near the median) and triple tops, bottoms
- Yellow: m15 long fork (upper parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
Market Frequency - Kite Analysis - AudJpy H1 - LongAnalysis
- Black: D1 long fork (lower parallel)
- Red: H4 long fork (lower parallel) and previous week's levels
- Orange: H1 long fork (median) and double tops, bottoms
- Yellow: m15 long fork (upper parallel)
Next move
- Purple: H1 trendlines
- Blue: H1 levels to be retested
Long FTX TokenBINANCE:FTTUSDT
FTX Token - FTT has exited the major descending fork after printing an RSI Bullish Swing Rejection on the daily timeframe.
The next logical target for FTT is the trigger line of the major descending Pitchfork.
I plotted a Modified Schiff Pitchfork and an ARC on the chart, to demonstrate the likely paths to the trigger line.
Both have held price well up to this point.
I went long with a stop just below the prior low pivot.
Entry = $30.60
Stop Loss = $28.55
Take Profit = $40
Fat_Fat
XAU/USD Short/Long - 5/15m - Post NY Open - May 23 2023Using the long term PF , we can see that price has respected a major support once again and jumped up to one of the parallels that was used as support/resistance before. Looking at the short term PF (purple), price was also rejected a resistance which is why the first trade was a sell after price broke that red channel. This red channel is usually drawn when price seems to be dancing around a major support or resistance and it can be seen that is was respected in the recent past.
First trade had a stop above previous high and was taken at the retest of the red channel on the 5m. The trade idea was that price could go down to test the major support from the long term PF once again. Once we realized that price is recovering and respecting the lower bound of the red channel, the sell was taken out at half the SL since it was obvious that the SL will eventually be hit.
The second trade was a buy on the premise that price is now respecting the red channel which it did and it went up to the other channel boundary. The TP was put at the channel top boundary since it is highly likely that price will touch it after testing the lower boundary. The SL was put below the hour candle and under the lower boundary as well.
Price hit TP where we took 90% profits, leaving a runner set at $1983 as our TP2. This is likely to happen as price has broken/retested the larger time frame parallel and will head to the next parallel as we have seen it happen before. No partials were taken and it was a fairly quick move.
Are we halfway through a 3rd market cycle since 1932?This idea aims to visualize the market cycles in place since the great depression. Based on analyzing the cycles we can see some similarities which we may be able to use to our advantage. According to this analysis we are currently halfway through the 3rd cycle which started after the GFC in 2009. We had 2 bear markets since then which were both less than 50% in magnitude. All other information is on the chart!
XAU/USD Short - 5/15m - Post NY Open - May 18 2023We have one long term 4H PF and price broke a major support after some news at 8:30 (red line). A shorter time frame PF drawn on the 30m timeframe shows a clear path for price to follow. Upon drawing the PF , we see that 0.25/0.75 parallels are relevant and price is respecting them.
As price dropped closer to the median line, the 0.25 parallel became a resistance that price retraced back to and retested after breaking (we can see this parallel acting as a support twice in the past). First 1:2 trade was taken after the retest was confirmed with a rejection doji which signaled a drive down following momentum. SL was above the base doji and TP was at the 0.25 parallel on the other side (following the PF rule of: what happens above, so below).
The second trade was a 1:1 which was used to further capitalize on the move as the PF is further validated by what price is doing. Once the median line was broken, the sell was taken on the retest with an SL above the previous 15m and same TP as the first trade. Both trades hit TP and price rejected from this level.
TSLA bearish analysisOn weekly chart the price (almost) reached both the solid blue top pitchfork line and the middle orange pitchfork lines. Additionally, weekly RSI reached the dotted green resistance trendline. These are all bearish signs.
On daily chart, RSI has a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern and there is also a divergence between RSI (with purple trendline pointing downwards) and the PRICE (the purple trendline poingint upwards). Again, these are bearsih signs.
My previous TSLA idea was bullish and it went up 54% (from 137.80 to 212.11 when I gave the close signal), see related idea.