Pitchforks
📈✌EURUSD 1H long position✌📉FX:EURUSD
FOREXCOM:EURUSD
💥If the price trend does not break the bottom of the yellow zone, a long position can have a good chance of winning.
Just don't forget to risk-free your position when it reached the TP1 - TP2
TP1-2-3-4-5-6 are on the chart
The optimum stop-loss is on the chart.
Please share ideas and leave a comment,
let me know what you think.
CrazyS✌
Uranium ETF Wave ForecastAMEX:URA
URA, the Global X Uranium ETF has completed the first wave of an impulse move, and is in the process of completing a Wave 2 correction.
Wave 2 appears to be a complex correction consisting of two corrective patterns. (Zig-Zag + Triangle)
The triangle is still in the process of completing it's structure.
(I also want to note the possibility that wave 2 has already completed a flat correction and that the triangle shown in this chart could be wave 1 & 2 of the 3rd wave of larger degree.)
Either way, price should begin rising sharply within the next month or two as it completes the triangle correction and begins Wave 3.
Or in the case that Wave 2 is a flat, Wave 3 of 3 could already be on it's way.
I've used a Modified Schiff Pitchfork to form a channel for the rest of this impulse move.
I've kept these projections pretty conservative, the actual move could be much larger.
Wave 3 is a 1.618 extension of Wave 1, and Wave 5 is only slightly larger than Wave 1.
(Wave 5 = .786 of Wave 3, compared to Wave1 being .618 of Wave 3)
Being that Wave 2 is a complex corrective pattern (zig-zag + triangle), I've projected Wave 4 as a flat correction.
(If Wave 3 begins very soon, it would be likely that Wave 2 was actually a flat. If this is the case, expect Wave 4 to be a Zig-Zag)
Disregarding any wave structure, price has formed a giant bull flag.
I'm going to be purchasing some long-dated call options on URA once price breaks out of this bull flag and begins Wave 3.
My conservative targets are Wave 3 = $60 and Wave 5 = $77
Fat_Fat
finally the attractive 3rd wave?crab harmonic pattern:
X=$0.276
AB=0.61 XA
BC=0.38 AB
1.6 BC=$0.047
0.78 XA=$0.056
2 BC=$0.093
0.88 XA=$0.118
2.24 BC=$0.142
2.6 BC=$0.277
1.13 XA=$0.729
3.6 BC=$1.61
1.27 XA=$2.1
4.23 BC=$4.79
1.41 XA=$5.89
1.6 XA=$27.85
📉✌BTC 30Min Position✌📈BINANCE:BTCUSDT
COINBASE:BTCUSD
Hi traders, first look at my previous analysis.
A quick long position can have a good chance of winning.
TP1-2-3 ---> Long position.
TP1-2-3-4-5 ---> Short position.
The optimum stop-loss for each position is on the chart.
Please share ideas and leave a comment,
let me know what you think.
CrazyS✌
Buy & Hold PalantirNYSE:PLTR
*This is a long term investment idea*
It's not a bad idea to start buying (& holding) Palantir down here.
With all the geopolitical tension in the world at the moment, the demand for their services should keep growing for the foreseeable future.
They have a stable stream of revenue from government contracts, along with a growing commercial business that should bolster their revenues.
Hence, their ever growing quarterly revenue numbers. (Screenshot below)
Technically speaking; momentum has been building bullish divergence for quite some time now.
At the moment, price is within the bottom range of the arcs, and has exited the yellow pitchfork without reaching it's median line. (Hagopian Gap)
I'm thinking that price should start climbing soon.
In the long term, I think price will eventually get back to the all time highs at $45.
Over the next few years, I'm thinking that a retracement to the 0.50 or 0.618 Fibonacci levels is likely. ($25 - $30)
I'm adding some PLTR to my retirement account this week.
I also plan to purchase some LEAPS in my trading account in three stages.
Positive Momentum Breakout
Weekly close above "Long-Confirmation A"
Weekly close above "Long-Confirmation B"
Fat_Fat
NY Heating Oil ReliefNYMEX:HO1!
NY Heating Oil Relief
I just filled up the heating oil tank.
$4.40 per gallon for 200 gallons = $880 delivered to the Fat_Fat residence.
Pre-Covid it was half that price.
Imagine being in Europe this winter..... Damn.
Hopefully we see this big "C' wave down.
Targeting the 0.618 fib at approximately $2.35
My fellow New Yorker's need some relief.
Fat_Fat
Keep it Simple Stupid - SPYAMEX:SPY
This idea is a reminder to myself to keep it simple.
Divergence + Trigger Line Energy Point + Fib Confluence
Right now we're in No Man's land, which is not great considering I dumped my long position on Thursday. #Transparency
If we get another retest of that lower ML-H, that's a great spot to enter long. (Yellow Oval)
I'm hoping to get another shot.
I'll update the idea if I make any moves.
Fat_Fat
SPX retraced 50% of the post-Corona Bull in 50% of the time- BTDTLDR: THE SPX HAS JUST RETRACED 50% OF THE UPMOVE IN PRICE SINCE MARCH 2020 IN 50% OF THE TIME; THIS PROBABLY WASN'T A BEAR MARKET, BUT A TECHNICAL CORRECTION
The 50% Rule of W.D.Gann states that an asset will usually retrace 50% of its range in 50% of the amount of time that it took to establish the range.
Doctor Alan Andrews described the Action-Reaction system of technical analysis which also aligns with Gann's above theory
As far as i can tell, apart from the Doomer WWIII-Weimar2.0 Narrative , the best arguments as to why the bottom is not in are as follows:
1. Bear Markets last longer than 10 months
2. The Vix needs a bigger spike, >40
3. Fed 'printing'
History rhymes: hence in the first grey box...We see that in 2016-2018 there was a bullish phase (1-2) following which the market retraced 50% (2-3) over around six months and there was no capitulation spike in the vix; there was no QE going on in this period.
Since the corona pandemic, we have had a bullish phase (A-B) and now a 50% retrace of that move (B-C) for over 9 months.
I believe this has been a 50% technical retrace of the parabolic upmove between pivots A and B. I do not believe we are in a Bear Market.
The 2016/18 bull move in spx was circa 60% in 3 years
The post corona bull move in spx was circa 150% in just over 18 months
A retrace of 50% in circa 6 months for the 16/18 move is comparable to this 2022 retrace over circa 9 months. Because this parabolic move up since the Corona drop was so brutal- it needed longer to retrace the move.
BUT MOREOVER SPX HAS JUST DONE THE PERFECT 50% PRICE AND TIME RETRACE
Yes the economy is challenged by the growth versus inflation paradigm... Some things never change... The market is not the economy and the market is forward looking... Yes i do believe great system change is inevitable, but i believe it is fiat currencies rather than equities that will bear the biggest brunt of this- pun intended.
GRI 2022
***NO ADVICE 'EVERGIVEN'*** (you can't Suez me ;-)