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Pitchforktrading

NVDIA - Arguments For BullsMedianlines (Pitchforks) do not forecast. They PROJECT the most probable path of price. At each moment in time, a "Medianline/Pitchfork Analyst" can relay on the rules and the framework they provide. In this case I see the following arguments for a continuation to the upside: - price is above the Center-Line - price did test the CL two times and hold - price was attempted to test the CL a third time, but was even too strong to reach it, and is now in this very momentum to the upside - when price trades towards a Medain-Line but can't reach it, it's a sign that price will continue the direction it had before (up in this case). The next Target is the "next" Medianline, which is the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel) - price broke the blue-dashed A/R line to the upside All said, we have to keep in mind that there is also a opposite side of the Coin. I will provide another Chart Analysis with "Arguments For Bears".
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Tr8dingN3rd
USD/JPY Analysis: Fundamental and Technical Outlook FX:USDJPY The recent price action in USD/JPY, characterized by a significant break through the upper pitchfork boundary with substantial momentum and volume, suggests an important moment for the currency pair. This technical development aligns with several fundamental factors influencing both the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen. Technical Analysis: Breakout Confirmation: The breach of the upper pitchfork boundary indicates strong bullish momentum. However, to validate this move, it's essential to observe whether the price can sustain above this level or if it will retest and potentially fall back into the previous channel. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The 150 level serves as a critical support. A decline below this threshold could signal a return to the long-term consolidation range between 80 and 150, which persisted for 27 years prior to 2022. Resistance: If the price reclaims the upper channel, we may see the continuation of the uptrend with huge momentum. Fundamental Analysis: Bank of Japan Hawkish Stance: The BOJ has recently adopted a more hawkish tone, hinting at potential policy tightening. Governor Kazuo Ueda has indicated progress toward sustained wage-driven inflation, suggesting that interest rate hikes could be on the horizon. Japanese Intervention: Japan’s Finance Minister has expressed concerns over excessive yen depreciation, hinting at possible intervention if the yen weakens too much. This stance aims to prevent the yen from falling to levels that could harm the economy by increasing import costs. Federal Reserve's (Fed) Dovish Shift: In contrast, the U.S. Federal Reserve appears to be concerned with the current economical development, especially about the unemployment level, with discussions around more potential rate cuts emerging. This dovish outlook is influenced by concerns over rising U.S. debt levels and a slowing economy. U.S. Debt: The U.S. is grappling with escalating debt, with the debt-to-GDP ratio nearing 100%. This situation is reminiscent of the economic conditions preceding the DotCom Bubble from 2000, raising concerns about potential economic instability. Not mentioning that the US credit card debt is record high. More to read about this: nypost.com www.wsj.com www.marketwatch.com www.cnbc.com Outlook: The convergence of these technical and fundamental factors suggests that USD/JPY may not revisit recent highs in the near term. Instead, the pair could stabilize within the 140-150 range as the market seeks equilibrium amid contrasting monetary policies and economic conditions in the U.S. and Japan. Risk Management: Given the inherent volatility and unpredictability of forex markets, it's crucial to implement robust risk management strategies. Market dynamics can shift rapidly, and while current analyses provide a framework, they are not guarantees of future performance. Always conduct thorough research and remain adaptable to changing market conditions. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making trading decisions.
by akvil3
Mastering Pitchforks: A Powerful Tool For TradersGood morning Traders So I had a question from one of my followers: can you explain pitchforks in more detail: Pitchforks are a fantastic tool for traders at any experience level, offering a visual way to map out potential support and resistance levels based on market movements. With three key anchor points, a Pitchfork reveals trend channels by highlighting the market's natural ebb and flow. The central line acts like a magnet for price, while the upper and lower lines provide a framework for spotting where the market might reverse or break out. For a more advanced strategy, try overlapping Pitchforks across different timeframes or swings. When these Pitchforks intersect at certain levels, they create a powerful correlation. This suggests that the market is paying attention to these areas, and they often become key turning points. These confluence zones act like traffic signals, giving you clues about where the market could change direction or gain momentum. By understanding and leveraging these correlations, you can build stronger, more confident trade setups. Whether you're looking to confirm a reversal or catch a breakout, Pitchforks can help guide your decisions and boost your accuracy in identifying those critical market levels. I hope this can add more tools to your trading style and maybe you will love pitchforks as much as I do if you like this video or want more videos: comment below and a good ole boost to help those in our trading community benefit Happy Trading MB Trader
Education
by Mindbloome-Trading
📈DXY Daily Long Scenario / A Bearish Week Waiting For Gold?📉TVC:DXY FXOPEN:DXY Hello dear traders. ⚡️ In this post I will track the DXY movements from 12 Apr - 18 Apr. 📈 What to Expect? 💡As long as DXY is above the midline of the pitchfork structure, the bullish scenario is quite valid. The bullish scenario targets are on the price chart. ⚠️Important Note⚠️: The price movement has been drawn a little wider than the actual movement to make it better visible. The actual price trend is likely to be faster. Do not hesitate to ask any question about the analysis. CrazyS
TVC:DXYLong
by CrazyS
IBKR Weekly Technical AnalysisIBKR Weekly - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Pitchfork, Confluence, Clusters, Trend Lines, ABCD Pattern, Fibonacci Extensions - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
NASDAQ:IBKR
by BahamasX
DV - Good reasons to go longI like a clean movement of price. Certainly this is the case in $DV. What I like the most is the behavior at the Accumulation Zone. In my Video I go over this in detail and explain how one could also play it with Options. If things go the wrong way, you could even morph it into a new Strategy. Reasons to buy: - Accumulation Zone held - Rising Volume / Doubled since Oct. - CIB (Change In Behavior broken - Vol. Profile: HVN@Acummul. Zone - 80% Chance to the Center-Line Consideration: - wait for a Pull-Back to Buy and/or Sell Options to get assigned to go Long and capture Premium too. Stop/Loss: - Full body Candle Open/Close below A. Zone if long the Underlying - With Options: Start Wheel Strategy
NYSE:DVLong
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
Invest in Bitcoin: Analyzing Market with Fibonacci PitchforkAre you considering investing in Bitcoin but unsure of the best time to do so? The past few years have seen a bear market for cryptocurrency, but it's important to remember that markets are cyclical and that prices will likely rise again. One of the best tools to analyze market trends and predict future price movements is the Fibonacci Pitchfork. This tool uses trendlines to identify support and resistance levels and can also be used to project future price movements. According to the Fibonacci Pitchfork, we are currently in the bottom territory of the trend for Bitcoin, which suggests that now may be the perfect time to invest. There is potential for significant price appreciation in the coming months. If you're willing to hold for the long term, this could be an excellent opportunity to get in at a low price. Don't miss out on the potential for significant returns on your investment. Best of luck.
BNC:BLXLong
by Majnoonu
S&P 500 Daily Technical AnalysisSP 500 Daily - No RECOMMENDATION or ADVICE Status / EDUCATIONAL only - Support, Resistance, Trend Lines , Parallel Channel, Cluster, Confluence, Pitchfork, Fibonacci Extension - Hope it Helps, Good Luck DISCLAIMER - This communication is not trading or investment advice, recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any investment product is provided for informational, educational and research purposes only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The author or persons involved in the conception, production and distribution of this material cannot be held responsible for transactions or any financial loss or damages resulting directly or indirectly from the use or application of any concepts or information contained in or derived from this material. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves.
VANTAGE:SP500
by BahamasX
OrderID BTCTHB-RR1.3-230510 Trading System = Discretionary using FIB and Pitchfork Side = Short/Sell Position = Closed Volume = All Order type = Exit TP = Fib Proj. 0.618, 1, 1.618 Problem & Anomaly = After the volatility peak at the previous highest high. Price has been climbing with exhaustion. Trader Emotion = Neutral Mistake & Error = Non Remark = Using a red downward slope median line to add short positions if the price has reached the 0.618 percent Fibonacci level. Ideas = This is a classic play shorting at the lower high to expect a lower low. Let's see how the price folds out.
Short
by ProDukeSadudee
MNST - Monster with a monstrous drop?Nah, not monstrous, but a drop maybe. What do we have in this chart? The up-sloping Fork projects the most probable path that price takes. So, it's up, until price is falling out of the Pitchfork. Next, the A/R or Action/Reaction lines (slight blue). All they do is measure a pullback action and project the corresponding reaction. As we see, the A/R line above the last high is not touching price, but it gives kind of a resistance to price. Then we have price itself: A huge bunching is happening up there. And, price crossed below the Center-line a couple weeks ago and is currently trading below it, with support of the EMA(30). So we land at the Indicators and Oscillators: The MACD crossed negative weeks ago. And this time the negative indication is longer than the last two times. The Mansfield Indicator shows weakness compared to the S&P500, and the RSI has taken a dive weeks ago. All this leads me to believe that we see bigger correction in MNST. Maybe not a monstrous one, but a correction down to the L-MLH. Play it save if and don't let greed eat your brain §8-)
NASDAQ:MNSTShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
3
How to Profit from Trend Exhaustion - XAGUSDHow much ... and when? What else is there to know? Enjoy this multi-timeframe tour of the XAGUSD chart to learn how I find MAJOR reversals and targets BEFORE price action reaches them. As always, I strive to produce charts that speak for themselves, and yet this is my video debut here on Tradingview, and I could not be more pleased to narrate this unusual experience. If you enjoy it or, better yet, if you learn from it, then consider this a preview of forthcoming weekday morning livestreams, which I hope you will follow. Until then, be liquid!
OANDA:XAGUSDEducation
by TheLeadingIndicator
4
"A Dangerous Tool" - Palantir Rally Ends w/ 6.66:1 Short A detailed look at the weekly price action history of PLTR indicates that the recent rally has come to end ... but I've been wrong before, so I welcome your tough questions and chart-based counterarguments. The strongest confluence supporting my conclusion is the simultaneous retest of the Euler Trend Exhaustion Limit and the 2nd Standard Deviation of the VWAP anchored at the Swing Low. As always, I strive to render these ideas of mine so obviously that their explanation will require no words, and this forecast is no exception. My trading tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION. In this case, it is the last of those, TREND EXHAUSTION, and specifically the use of Euler's number as a ratio in the Pitchfork to estimate the major inflection points in advance, that makes this chart unusual, and explains why it must be viewed in the weekly timeframe. This technique has appeared before (Bluzelle, for example) and will appear again in my ideas and videos. Notice how price interacted with the Limit before, when it passed thru it for the first time in August of 2022 ... The Short position is placed in the future, as I expect price to range and even retest the aforementioned AVWAP one last time before falling into the trade. If you zoom in carefully, you will notice that the Stop Loss and Profit targets are discretionary and based on dynamic levels within the AVWAP Array. The Risk:Reward ratio is arbitrary, and 6.66 is merely a measure of my esteem for this beastly "business" and the product that it sells. As Gandalf said, "If all the Seven Stones were laid out before me now, I should shut my eyes and put my hands in my pockets." The overlapping S-Curves indicate a price squeeze followed by a breakout, which I anticipate will be upward. If price rise to the highest potential shown, that would only improve the Short entry as opposed to negating my opinion, which is, of course, subjective. The fact that this company and others like it (BAH, for example) are so enthusiastically traded by a sheltered public foretells of a troubled future, which I look forward to discussing in forthcoming livestreams. Again, I welcome your best questions. Until then, be liquid !!! . . . movie-sounds.org
NYSE:PLTRShort
by TheLeadingIndicator
4
GOOG - Why a 25% drop Is lurking in Google StockSometimes live can be simple. This trade is simple to me. Let's examine it: 1. Over all Indexes are not favoring the long side. 2. Price reached the Center line and get pushed back. 3. The Divergence in the RSI is significant. ...and the rest is Risk & Money management. My stop goes a couple points above the last high. But I probably play it with Options and give me at least 100 days to expiry (DTE). Simple enough? §8-) Happy trading folks.
NASDAQ:GOOGShort
by Tr8dingN3rd