NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 10/16/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20352.00
- PR Low: 20306.00
- NZ Spread: 102.75
No key scheduled economic events
Swing back below Monday's low
- Inventory front run Keltner avg cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 10/16)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 306.42
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 240K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Pivothigh
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 9/30/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20245.25
- PR Low: 20158.00
- NZ Spread: 195.25
Key scheduled economic events
09:45 | Chicago PMI
13:55 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Holding advertisement for potential rotation below 20200
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 9/30)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 331.40
- Volume: 30K
- Open Int: 234K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/20/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024
- PR High: 19883.00
- PR Low: 19857.75
- NZ Spread: 56.25
No key scheduled economic events
Auctioning inventory back towards 20000 pivot from 7/23.
- Reasonable to expect front run.
Session Open Stats (As of 11:35 PM 8/19)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 428.66
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 237K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -5.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Initiating a long term bullish position in goldThis is an analysis that I hope that it ages well, as I am starting a long term position in gold today and adding this asset to my investment portfolio. Therefore, this is not a post about an isolated trade, with a specific expiration date or focused on the short-term.
In fact, from a trading point of view I have already lost some great entry opportunities, since November 2022, which the asset provided. Looking back on the chart, I could see four previous entry opportunities that fit my setups. Unfortunately, I wasn't psychologically prepared to trade them and I was left out, but I will try to take some advantage of this situation and later write a study post pointing out these entries. Another post on trading psychology, This is an analysis that I hope that it ages well, as I am starting a long term position in gold today and adding this asset to my investment portfolio. Therefore, this is not a post about an isolated trade, with a specific expiration date or focused on the short-term.
In fact, from a trading point of view I have already lost some great entry opportunities, since November 2022, which the asset provided. Looking back on the chart, I could see four previous entry opportunities that fit my setups. Unfortunately, I wasn't psychologically prepared to trade them and I was left out, but I will try to take some advantage of this situation and later write a study post pointing out these entries. Another post on trading psychology, fears involved, strategies to control them and analysis paralysis may also be written later (spoiler: risk sizing and embracing the risk consciously helps to tame the beast) .
However, from an investment point of view, with a long-term perspective and also taking advantage of some hedging to reduce risk, it is better to buy gold late than never, or as I prefer to say, better late than too late. Because if a strong bull run starts after this breakout, I would regret not buying at the $2000 quote level. And, yes, there are indications that this may become a reality.
The first indication comes from the analysis of the chart, gold prices have been stuck into a multi-year congestion between $1700 and $2000. Tipically, the longer the congestion is, the more intense its breakout and further away the target, and historically gold has been king of this setup. The $2000 level is where the price peaked during the covid crisis and the russian invasion of Ukraine. I mean, this price level is imposing a very strong limit on quotations. But we're now facing the threat of a future interest rate and expected inflation much higher than we've been used to over the last decades (since the 90s, specifically), and these things could be a real game changer for the market scenario. So, here the gold quotes are, back at the $2000 resistance level and showing strong volume near it. Of course, resistance can work once again, but we have to trade probabilities and deal with risk, and that means grabbing a good entry opportunity like this one, and accepting a loss if the signal deviates.
The second indication comes from the analysis of the market cycle. All clues point to the fact that we may already be at the beginning of a secular bear market cycle, which means that expected future returns for the next years (10y average) can be near zero, single digit, or even negative. I'm not predicting some kind of crash here, it's different, this is not a single intense bearish movement, but a future outlook of low stock market growth. Using the model published by Ed Easterling in his book, Unexpected Returns, the top (thus the beginning of the end) of a secular bull market comes with high P/E's, low dividend yields, low inflation and low interest rates. This was just the scenario we had few years ago and it started to crack, first inflation got out of control (2021), then interest rates started to rise (2022) and P/E's just began to fall with last year falling quotes, but it's still on a high level, so this could just be the beginning of this cycle of low returns.
With this in mind, it is important to notice that gold is often the best secular bear market asset par excellence (see the returns in the 2000s and in the 1970s periods), but so far in this newborn bear cycle, gold has yet to shine, despite the very bearish year of 2022.
Considering the secular bear market hypothesis and the very long chart congestion, added to the habit of this asset to make strong breakouts, I decided to initiate a long term bullish position in gold. I made my entry using the ETF GLD. I bought the shares today, March 20th, 2023, at the market opening, @184.17. To manage my risk I also bought a bear put spread with strikes 166/165. I intend to stop the loss if this entry reaches a -6.5% loss. I've bought enough options to pay back my losses if that happens. The protection has cost me 0,8% of the position. Hopefully in the future I will post more about this position, and then I will use the GLD chart. For now, for a general approach, I prefer to do my analysis using the future contract chart.
Introducing the Responsive Supply and Demand IndicatorIn this comprehensive tutorial, Stock Justice offers an insightful walkthrough of the enhanced Supply and Demand Indicator. We delve into the tool's advanced features, demonstrating its capacity to identify pivot points across multiple timeframes, its customization options, and ways to interpret its outputs. The video provides valuable guidance on how to navigate the settings of this powerful tool, from plotting circles and lines to adjusting the number of ranges to be analyzed. By the end of this tutorial, users will better understand how to utilize the Supply and Demand Indicator to optimize their trading strategy and make more informed decisions.
Closer look at the current S&P500 situationThis analysis shows what I am currently looking for in the market, regarding the S&P500 possible outcomes.
Since my last post the bulls made a good job and prices reached the previous tops level, at a very strong resistance near 4200.
But at such levels a small range is common and expected. I highlighted the zone between the orange lines, that was defined by the last top and the last bottom. I am carefully observing the movements around this small area, and I consider that the outcomes from it may lead to decisive movements. I am considering the breakout of the 4200 to be a long trade trigger, whilst the breakdown would be a short trade trigger. But while none of these cases happen I remain neutral until I can see some outcome out of this relevant resistance level.
The overcoming of the 4200 zone would be the final missing confirmation of a trend reversal (from bear to bull).
On the other hand, this resistance can do its job once again and hold the prices below it, keeping us in the congestion or in the bearish scenario for the next few months.
It is good to note that we're close to the "sell in May" seasonality.
CHK daily evening star reversal with volumeCHK daily evening star reversal with volume at all time highs. Stop loss above extremum, take profit at MA 100.
Will Xrp Maintain the uptrend?Hi Everyone
#XRP / USD
XRP has been moving slow on the 1 D chart.
We can see a new support level forming at 1.04, 1.05 positions.
If the Bears decide to pull out at 1.35, 1.5 and 1.55, we might see the retest level at 1.04708
But if the Bulls keep up with the trend we might form a strong a resistance at 1.71241 position.
💎Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
Thanks for seeing this idea
Have a nice day and Good luck
PROBABLE GOOD SHORT ENTRY IF RESISTANCE BROKEN - US30- DOW JONESThank you for you likes and shares! Much appreciated!
_______________________________________________
The market has moved down a bit to bounce on the historical support uptrend line.
Bigger candlesticks have shown pressure to move downward. The market have found enough strength to return to its narrow previous range (before the break).
This ranging movement is not a real one, it is actually the market moving around historical level which has been a very important pivot point.
Therefore, beware of a sudden change in market profile.
Lastly but not the least, the top dotted historical support is very important because close to the TOPS of this market lately (30 April). There is strong probability if the market goes around that resistance line to benefit of a nice short profitable entry point.
If market breaks the top resistance, stay out of the market to analyse again, this will announce a big change. It is the least probable scenario at the moment but lets keep it in mind.
#bitcoin - Daily Parallel Channel & Yearly PivotGood morning traders,
some of you have taken a long position yesterday, after the small inverted Head & Shoulder on a smaller interval seemed to break upwards. The target for this small IHS is roughly located just under the so important Yearly Pivot . The November is nearly finished and we will get new Monthly Pivots in a couple of days. To be honest, I am under the impression that it will be decided between the Channel Middle Line and the Yearly Pivot if this heads further down towards Quarterly S1 or will end this correcture. A bearish retest of that Yearly Pivot is within possibilities and would send us likely to the lower 6k´s.
To mention is the regular bullish divergence on this Daily and the fact it accepted again the Channel Support. We are not out of the woods, but have a new local low with a key-level to break, before further down-action. (blue)
Happy trading.
_________________
Neru
Major Resistance Ahead for Bitcoin.Bitcoin is approaching a major resistance point that it has already failed on the last two candles, forming a pivot. If this pivot begins to fail for a third time I will look for a Daily short play with a loose target around the daily pivot high and daily pivot low.
If we can S/R flip this Weekly Pivot then I will look for a Daily Long play with a loose target around 8900-9400.
FISERV, INC. (FISV): All The Pivots, Supports & ResistencesFind Winning Trades In Seconds >> efcindicator.com (Special Discount)
FISERV, INC. (FISV): All The Pivots, Supports & Resistences