NIFTY analogy for 17-24th Nov: Struggling to move up (Upper Ckt)NIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Neutral/Bullish continuation
Index Components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Bullish; Indian 60↑ & Global 67↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.22↓, IVP: 0.79↓, Low IV: 13.26↓, VIX: 15.10↑ (24/30)↑
↑Upper Level : 18450, 18500, 18550, 18600, 18650, 18700.
↓Lower Level : 18350, 18300, 18250, 18180, 18120, 18050.
Market Opening(*Expected ORB): Flat/Gapdown to upward
Activity: Long Buildup/Short covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive and sentiment is neutral. Here Global market indicates negative sign whereas the Asian market shows negative. Observed VIX is at lower top lower button and Bond yield shows negative. It's probability of flat/gapdown to upward tomorrow(bullish continuation) and rallies/soars towards 18600 by weekend after a volatile breakout.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
Pivotlevels
BANKNIFTY analogy for 14-17th Nov: Struggling to make a New HighBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Bullish Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Bullish ; Indian 63↑ & Global 66↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.15↑, IVP: 0↓, Low IV: 17↓, VIX: 14.40↓ (22/29)↓
↑Upper Level : 42250, 42350, 42450, 42570, 42700.
↓Lower Level : 42000, 41930, 41800, 41700, 41550.
Market Opening(*Expected ORB): Flat
Activity: Long Buildup/Short covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was negative and sentiment is neutral. Here Global market indicates positive sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is at lower top lower button. It's probability of flat/gapdown to upward tomorrow and rallies/soars towards 43000 by coming week after a volatile breakout.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
NIFTY analogy for 14-17th Nov: Struggling to break Upper CircuitNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Bullish Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Bullish; Indian 63↑ & Global 66↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.06↑, IVP: 0↓, Low IV: 13↓, VIX: 14.40↓ (22/29)↓
↑Upper Level : 18400, 18460, 18500, 18550, 18600.
↓Lower Level : 18300, 18250, 18180, 18120, 18050.
Market Opening(*Expected ORB): Flat
Activity: Long Buildup/Short covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was negative and sentiment is neutral. Here Global market indicates positive sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is at lower top lower button. It's probability of flat/gapdown to upward tomorrow and rallies/soars towards 18600 by coming week after a volatile breakout.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
BANKNIFTY analogy for 10-17th Nov: Struggling to break Upper CktBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 60↓ & Global 63↑
FII /DII Status : Negative in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Negative, PCR: 0.84↓, IVP: 2↓, Low IV: 16↓, VIX: 15.56↓ (23/29)↓
↑Upper Level : 42300, 42400, 42500, 42600, 42700, 42800.
↓Lower Level : 42200, 42080, 41950, 41800, 41650.
Market Opening(*Expected ORB): Huge Gapup
Activity: Long Buildup/Short covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was negative and sentiment is neutral. Here Global market indicates positive sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is at lower top lower button. It's probability of 1.5% gapup tomorrow and rallies/soars towards 43000 by coming week after a volatile breakout.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@22:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
NIFTY analogy for 10-17th Nov: Struggling to break Upper CircuitNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 60↓ & Global 63↑
FII /DII Status : Negative in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Negative, PCR: 0.78↓, IVP: 4↓, Low IV: 13↓, VIX: 15.56↓ (23/29)↓
↑Upper Level : 18400, 18460, 18500, 18550, 18600.
↓Lower Level : 18300, 18250, 18180, 18120, 18050.
Market Opening(*Expected ORB): Huge Gapup
Activity: Long Buildup/Short covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was negative and sentiment is neutral. Here Global market indicates positive sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is at lower top lower button. It's probability of 1.5% gapup tomorrow and rallies/soars towards 18600 by coming week after a volatile breakout.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@22:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
BANKNIFTY analogy for 9th-10th Nov:Struggling to break Upper CktBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Positive Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 65↑ & Global 63↑
FII /DII Status : Bullish in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.11↑, IVP: 2.38↑, IV: 18↓, VIX: 16↓ (25/31)↓
↑Upper Level : 41900, 42000, 42150, 42300, 42500.
↓Lower Level : 41500, 41350, 41110, 40900, 40700.
Market Opening(*Expected ORB): Huge Gapup
Activity: Long Buildup
From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive and sentiment is positive. Here Global market indicates positive sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is at lower top lower button. It's probability of rallies/soars towards 43500 by coming week with following support @41400.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
NIFTY analogy for 9th-10th Nov:Struggling to break Upper CircuitNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Positive Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 65↑ & Global 63↑
FII /DII Status : Bullish in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.84↓, IVP: 4↓, Low IV: 14↓, VIX: 15.58↓ (24/30)↓
↑Upper Level : 18250, 18300, 18340, 18380, 18420.
↓Lower Level : 18150, 18100, 18050, 18000, 17950.
Market Opening(*Expected ORB): Huge Gapup
Activity: Long Buildup
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive and sentiment is positive. Here Global market indicates positive sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is at lower top lower button. It's probability of rallies/soars towards 18600 by coming week with following support @18000.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@22:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
BANKNIFTY analogy for 4th-10th Nov : Holds for a Line BreakBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 57↑ & Global 55↓
FII /DII Status : Neutral in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.67↓, IVP: 15.8↑, IV: 19↓, VIX: 16↓ (25/31)↓
↑Upper Level : 41400, 41550, 41650, 41800, 42000.
↓Lower Level : 41150, 41000, 40870, 40700, 40500.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown
Activity: Short Buildup/Short Covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive where other components are neutral as compared to overall sentiments. Here Global market indicates negative sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is also neutral. It's probability of taking support at 40500. If breakdown, it falls toward 39600 lower level.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
NIFTY analogy for 4th-10th Nov : Holds for a SupportNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Positive Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 57↑ & Global 55↓
FII /DII Status : Neutral in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.99↓, IVP: 15↑, Low IV: 14↓, VIX: 15.94↓ (26/32)↓
↑Upper Level : 18120, 18180, 18250, 18320, 18380.
↓Lower Level : 17980, 17920, 17840, 17780, 17720.
Market Opening(*Expected): Flat
Activity: Short Buildup/Short Covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive where other components are neutral as compared to overall sentiments. Here Global market indicates negative sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is also neutral. It's probability of taking support at 17850. If breakdown, it falls toward 17400 lower level.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
NIFTY analogy for 3rd-10th Nov : Holds for a SupportNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Positive Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 53↓ & Global 55↓
FII/DII Status : Neutral in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.10↓, IVP: 14.48↑, Low IV: 16↑, VIX: 16.66↑ (26/32)↑
↑Upper Level : 18180, 18250, 18300, 18350, 18400.
↓Lower Level : 18020, 17950, 17900, 17830, 17780.
Market Opening(*Expected): Flat/Gap down
Activity: Short Buildup/Short Covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive where other components are neutral as compared to overall sentiments. Here Global market indicates negative sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is also neutral. There's probability of take support 18000-17800 key level.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
GBP JPY - Imbalance pathway to fillG'day,
Breakdown:
1. Note
2. Contents
3. Research breakdown
4. Education recap
5. Information on Lupa.
A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon a long term trading strategy looking for Fresh Demand/Supply zones.
This is tagged Long due to the overall monthly demand in control , until the opportunity of a rejection of the PCP has occurred or a long opportunity from a break and retest of the trend. Overall, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers. Until this criteria is met - shorts are held.
Please do not take this as face value and conduct the relevant investment strategy to successfully trade the probabilities. However, note, at current we are awaiting confirmation using daily timeframes for longs towards the target (refer to monthly).
Weekly
As per previous analysis, GBP JPY pivoted to the weekly and monthly combo demand zone tapping 148.718* - refer to link here: or below.
The reactive week fell and aligned perfectly to the December 2021 zone where price had closed out all long positions in a drastic sell off. The reason for the weekly zone sell off to this zone is best shown in the monthly zone. Review the monthly below for further clarity.
Price since the sell off move towards the FL/OL Weekly and Monthly Demand combination - testing the imbalance (proximal line for short profits) has now been reversed and classed as a distal line (for stop losses). The proximal line was broken to the daily timeframe and four hour respectively for loading up on buy positions.
Monthly TF for upon closer inspection.
Monthly Timeframe
Looking left - shows the importance of price action built up from 2012 - August 2015 respectively - this has indicated market top. Using a long term view reviewing market structure, the price action pivot points are clearly displayed below and will be marked (review Figure 2)
Since the break of structure or (BOS) from July 2020s engulfing departure - GBP began the next cycle of moving towards a short term FL supply flip zone, of which later this zone becomes a CP for a Rally Base Rally (RBR).
Since March 2022 - a new PCP has formed - where the consolidative pattern from February to June 2016 - this has indicated a strong pivot within the curve - acting as a Fresh supply. Where price has formed a bullish candle above 163.8X.
(Acting confirms are below and outlined from a daily wick which fell to 148.X).
Figure 2 - 2012 - 2015 Pivot point monthly markup.
Notes
Ellipse 2015 - the marked zone here is where price action has consolidated due to a weekly pivot point hidden with the monthly structure. With this singular candle (inside bar) in this case price will look to the this level for a Potential continuation pattern (PCP) subject to confirms. As a first point of call - the PCP acts as a fresh supply zone. It will pivot to a zone of interest within itself - however this consolidation formation has not occurred out of nowhere.
The reason for this - is to look left back into 2003 - structure here had created a similar price action range which pushed sideways for around 10 months. Having this pivot without any large pivot points to fall back on solidifies the strategy in play of a Monthly time frame referring to - Rally Base Rally scenario.
From here the sell off was imminent from a FL level as the supply is now in control firmly.
Using the FL monthly TF, price needed to break the high curve and generate a break and re-test, this provides a clear monthly confirmation.
The reason why this risk-calculated move is provided is due to a preventative measure for price to penetrate the Supply further.
Reverting to the weekly candlesticks will provide a clearer view of the supply.
Two points of interest show the break of curve upon the weekly for a top of the curve sell.
The second (lower purple curve) shows the overall confirmed second risk adjusted entry or upon the failed break and retest of the supply.
Daily sell breakdown - July 30, 2022 Analysis
Price has created a fresh Daily supply within the weekly - all though unable to view this formation admittedly, the small Daily anchored move has been added.
A fresh daily supply has been created within the orange box while previously considered a range top - this is a situation where price return with a probability of the lower high wick formed. However to note, where price continues to break the TL - bearish CP (continuation pattern) will form. From here opportunities will highly probable to take price down towards the destination.
The current market state - Daily timeframe
Price is showing strong confirmation levels as outlined below - the Demand highlighted between 159-162. The has already created a 'retest' within a weekly candle, so the building up of this zone is already strong and in play.
With reference to the Gap down October 21st - price had tested this level and produced (broker dependent) an equal low or slightly lower low.
Now the formation of this candle the following trading day rejecting the gap- it offered buyers to be present and close out potential short sellers.
Omitted
Trading opportunities for ranges, longs
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Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets
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To all the followers, thank you for your continued support.
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LVPA MMXXII
NIFTY analogy for 1st-3rd Nov : Rallies towards new High by Dec.NIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index Components : Positive Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Greedy; Indian 50↓ & Global 60↓
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Bullish, PCR: 1.23↑, IVP: 13.89↑, Low IV: 16↑, VIX: 15.80↓ (26/32)↑
↑Upper Level : 18050, 18100, 18150, 18200, 18250.
↓Lower Level : 17920, 17870, 17820, 17770, 17720.
Market Opening(*Expected): Flat/Partial Gap down
Activity: Long Buildup/Short Covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive where other components are neutral as compared to overall sentiments. Here Global market indicates negative sign whereas the Asian market shows neutral. Observed VIX is neutral. That's sign of slow and positive momentum. There's probability of partial gap down to upward move towards 18200 or might down towards 17700 key level.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
BANKNIFTY analogy for Oct 31st-3rd Nov : Volatile movementBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index components : Positive Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Greedy; Indian 51↑ & Global 61↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.76↓, IVP: 0↓, IV: 19↓, VIX: 16↓ (25/31)↓
↑Upper Level : 41250, 41400, 41550, 41650, 41800.
↓Lower Level : 40850, 40700, 40500, 40350, 40200.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapup
Activity: Short Buildup/Short Covering ; Buy on Deep/Sell on Rise
Conclusion: As on Request
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
NIFTY analogy for Oct 31st-3rd Nov : Positive & Volatile NIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index components : Positive Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Greedy; Indian 51↑ & Global 61↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.92↓, IVP: 10↓, Low IV: 13.8↓, VIX: 16↓ (25/31)↓
↑Upper Level : 17820, 17860, 17900, 17930, 17970.
↓Lower Level : 17730, 17670, 17630, 17580, 17530.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapup
Activity: Short Buildup/Short Covering ; Buy on Deep/Sell on Rise
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive where other components are neutral as compared to overall sentiments. Here Global market indicates Strong Bullish against Asian market. Observed VIX is dropping down. That's sign of slow and positive momentum. Hence, the Market might open above 17850 upper level and turn down to retest/take support at 17780 key level. In Other term, If market opens at 17800, then probability of turn up towards 18000-18200 key level by coming week.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@21:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
BANKNIFTY analogy for Oct 27th-3rd Nov: Slow & Neutral momentumBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index components : Positive Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Bullish ; Indian 45↑ & Global 58↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.98↓, IVP: 13↓, IV: 19↓, VIX: 17↓ (27/33)↓
↑Upper Level : 41800, 42000, 42200, 42400, 42600.
↓Lower Level : 41500, 41200, 41000, 40800, 40500.
Market Opening(*Expected): Huge Gapup
Activity: Short Buildup/Short Covering
Conclusion: Probability of gapup to range or downward movement.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@11:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
NIFTY analogy for Oct 27th-3rd Nov : Slow & positive momentum NIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index components : Positive Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Bullish; Indian 45↑ & Global 58↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.04↓, IVP: 10↑, IV: 14↑ (Low), VIX: 17↓ (27/33)↓
↑Upper Level : 17780, 17820, 17870, 17920, 17970.
↓Lower Level : 17720, 17670, 17620, 17570, 17520.
Market Opening(*Expected): Huge Gapup
Activity: Short Buildup/Short Covering
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Showing Derivative data was positive where other components are neutral as compared to overall sentiments. As per Global data indicates Strong Bullish against Asian data. Observed Bearish engulfing in Nifty. That's sign of slow and positive momentum.
Hence, the Market might open above 1.5% gapup near 17850 upper level and turn down to retest/take support at 17700 key level.
In Other term, If market breaks down below 17700, then probability of fall towards 17500-17300 level by coming week.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@10:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
BANKNIFTY analogy for 24th-27th Oct : Gapup VolatilityBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend
Index components : Positive Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 43↑ & Global 45↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.17↑, IVP: 1↓, IV: 17.50↓, VIX: 17.28↓ (29/35)↓
↑Upper Level : 41600, 41800, 42000, 42200, 42400.
↓Lower Level : 41200, 41000, 40700, 40500, 40300.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapup
Activity: Short Covering/Long Buildup
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Observed that Derivative data was partial positive where other components are neutral along with overall sentiments. As per Global data indicates Strong Bullish against Asian data. Junk bonds carry a higher risk of default compared to other investment grade. That's demand as a signal for Greed position. Hence, the Market might open atleast 2% gapup at 41500 upper level and turn down to retest/take support from 41000 key level.
In Other term, Market might turn upward after consolidate between 41700-41300 level.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@11:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
NIFTY analogy for 24th-27th Oct : Gapup Volatility NIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Uptrend Volatile
Index components : Positive Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Neutral; Indian 43↑ & Global 45↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 0.88↓, IVP: 0↓, IV: 13↓, VIX: 17.28↓ (29/35)↓
↑Upper Level : 17800, 17850, 17900, 17930, 17960.
↓Lower Level : 17720, 17670, 17620, 17570, 17520.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapup
Activity: Short Covering/Long Buildup
Conclusion: From above the nutshell, Observed that Derivative data was partial positive where other components are neutral along with overall sentiments. As per Global data indicates Strong Bullish against Asian data. Junk bonds carry a higher risk of default compared to other investment grade. That's demand as a signal for Greed position. H3nce, the Market might open from 1.5% gapup at 17800 upper level and turn down to retest/take support from 17670 key level.
In Other term, Market might turn upward after consolidate between 17850-17750 level.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@10:00 IST)***
___________________________________
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
BANKNIFTY analogy for 20th-27th Oct : Pullback - Short sellingBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Sideways
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Risky; Indian 43↑ & Global 35↓
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.05↓, IVP: 12↓, IV: 20↓, VIX: 17.45↓ (31/36)↓
↑Up : 40500, 40650, 40800, 40900, 41100.
↓Down : 40000, 39800, 39600, 39400, 39200.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown
Activity: Short Covering/Short Buildup
Conclusion: From the above nutshell, Derivative data shows positive(weak) where other components are negative. The Market has taken rejection from 40600 (Correction Channel Point-C). Here, the Call writers are unwinding and put writers are active. There's probability of fall down towards 39800-39500 level. In another scenario, If the market taken huge gapdown, it may turn up towards 40500.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@22:00 IST)***
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market
NIFTY analogy for 20th-27th Oct : Pullback - Short sellingNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Sideways
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Risky; Indian 43↑ & Global 35↓
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.11↓, IVP: 18↓, IV: 15↓, VIX: 17.48↓ (31/36)↓
↑Upper Level : 17550, 17600, 17650, 17700, 17760.
↓Lower Level : 17400, 17340, 17280, 17220, 17170.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown
Activity: Short Covering/Short Buildup
Conclusion: From the above nutshell, Derivative data shows positive where other components are negative. Market taken rejection from 17600 (Correction Channel Point-C). Here the Call writers are unwinding and put writers are active. There's probability of fall down towards 17350-17250. In another scenario, If the market taken huge gapdown, it may turn up towards 17450.
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@10:00 IST)***
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.
BANKNIFTY analogy for 19th-20th Oct : Negative VolatilityBANKNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Sideways
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Low Risk; Indian 40↑ & Global 35↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.24↓, IVP: 40↓, IV: 21↓, VIX: 17.45↓ (31/36)↓
↑Up : 40400, 40600, 40800, 41000, 41200.
↓Down : 40000, 39800, 39600, 39400, 39200.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown (upto 200pts)
Activity: Short Covering/Short Buildup
Conclusion: As on Request (at 9.15)
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@20:00 IST)***
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market
NIFTY analogy for 19th-20th Oct : Negative VolatilityNIFTY Pre-analysis::::::::::::
Overall Structure : Sideways
Index components : Neutral Correlation
FGI Sentiments : Low Risk; Indian 40↑ & Global 35↑
FII /DII Status : Positive in Cash Market & Derivatives (With Combined OI)
Insider Data : Neutral, PCR: 1.13↑, IVP: 36↓, IV: 17↓, VIX: 17.45↓ (31/36)↓
↑Up : 17500, 17550, 17600, 17650, 17700.
↓Down : 17400, 17350, 17280, 17220, 17170.
Market Opening(*Expected): Gapdown (upto 100pts)
Activity: Short Covering/Short Buildup
Conclusion: As on Request (at 9.15)
Have a Happy & Safe Trading!
(Data source@20:00 IST)***
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
***Note: Identify the B/S zone, Follow the trend direction with strong confirmation.
Factor Impacts: High Inflation and Interest rate hikes, Operating margin declines, Employment risks, GST Rate Hikes.
Nothing works 100% of the market. It depends on 50% weightage of technical chart, 25% to OI, and 25% to FII data.
We rigorously tested the strategy and is 88.6% accurate. This strategy is for knowledge point of view only & is subjected to market risk.