S&P 500 Rally Exhausted? Watch This Level for the Next Drop!The S&P 500 Index( SP:SPX ) has finally touched the Resistance zone($5,680-$5,500) as I expected in my previous post .
The S&P 500 Index is moving near the Resistance zone($5,680-$5,500) , the Resistance line, and Yearly Pivot Point .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that the S&P 500 Index is completing the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) , and if the uptrend line breaks , we can confirm the end of the Zigzag correction .
When the S&P 500 Index started to rise on April 22 , Bitcoin also started to rise at the same time , so a decline in the S&P 500 Index can cause Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) to decline .
I expect the S&P 500 Index to drop to at least $5,313 AFTER breaking the uptrend line .
Note: If the S&P 500 Index touches $5,712, we can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD),2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Pivot Points
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2956.50 on 04/07/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3357.00, 3500.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3057.40
3160.00
3257.03
3357.00
3500.00
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ALPACA has reached the end of its trend (4H)Given the sharp and rapid bullish move and a 638% rally without any time correction, along with reaching a supply zone, we expect a price rejection from the red box area toward the green zone.
Tokens like this, when they pump this hard and reach major supply zones, often present short opportunities. However, one should not ignore the high funding rate on such tokens, as most traders are in short positions, which significantly raises the funding rate. Therefore, make sure to evaluate all conditions and risks before entering any position.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETHEREUM is getting ready for a major breakout (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The red zone represents a supply area based on the Philip strategy. It’s possible that the price might not be able to break through this zone on the first attempt. If the price gets rejected, the lower green box will be a re-entry opportunity for those who missed the move.
Let’s closely monitor this chart and see how it plays out.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. invalidation level : 1198$
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
SATS Buy/Long Setup (1H)Given the bullish structure, the formation of bullish BOS (Break of Structure), the preservation of the trendline, and the absence of any significant supply zone in front of the candles, we can consider entering this setup with proper risk and capital management.
The targets are marked on the chart. If the stop-loss is hit, it will indicate the invalidation of this trade and the position should be closed accordingly.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Bearish momentum on CADCHFTechnical analysis on CADCHF
CADCHF is showing signs of a potential reversal toward the previous support around 0.60500 or the resistance around 0.6200.The overall momentum of the CADCHF is bearish as it's being for months. We are expecting it to continue trading below the 100 EMA on the daily chart
Key levels
Support- 0.6050
Resistance- 0.6200
Fundamental analysis on CADCHF
- Canadian dollar remains under pressure due to bearish oil prices and dovish BoC rhetoric
- CHF is holding strong on the safe heaven demand that it possess especially with the uncertainty around the global markets and risk off sentiment
-Until the BoC signal a policy shift or oil prices increases.The Canadian dollar will likely continue to weaken.
Conclusion
CADCHF is bearish unless the resistance around 0.6200 is broken will clear bullish momentum
Most people are saying $50... I think $65 after a little bounceI am seeing put open interest and volume spike for PUTS expiring 04/25 for a strike price of $55 that were opened YESTERDAY...
There is over 60,000 contracts open and rarely do these not play out.
It has been my long term target to hit $65 - $60 even before NVDA split there shares.
Lets see tho, the tape for options expiring in late June look bullish at the moment
VICE Buy/Long Setup (12H)Before anything else, you should know that this coin is risky and highly volatile.
It appears to have turned bearish, with a bearish CH (Change of Character) visible on the chart, and the trendline has been broken. However, the candles are approaching a support zone.
In this area, you can enter a position with proper risk and capital management. Since the zone is relatively wide, you should enter the position in a laddered (step-by-step) manner.
The targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 25, 2025🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 25, 2025 🔴
"Inside Bar Alert — Calm Before the Storm"… And Then the Storm Hit!
📊 Market Recap: A Walk? No. A Sprint Downhill!
As we noted in yesterday’s report, the Inside Bar setup was hinting at a possible breakout—today, it delivered that breakout with thunder and lightning. And if you blinked, you probably missed it.
Nifty opened at 24,289, looked like it might test bullish waters by attempting PDH twice within the first 15 minutes, but the sellers were just getting warmed up. What followed was a merciless 400-point drop in just 30 minutes, slicing through level after level like a knife through butter.
Zone after zone fell like dominoes:
CDO
CPR Zone
PDH
S1, S2, S3, S4
24,225, 24,188
200 SMA at 24,052
24,000 ~ 23,951 Zone
Virgin Zone 23,905 ~ 23,872
Absolutely brutal sell-off. No mercy. No pause. Just raw momentum to the downside.
🕯️ Daily Candle Structure: Long-Legged Bearish
Today’s daily candle adds a strong bearish tone to the chart:
Open: Flat to Mild Gap-Up
High: 24,365.45
Low: 23,847.85
Close: Deep in red
Despite a small attempt at recovery near the lows, buyers couldn’t even regain the opening level. What’s left is a long-legged bearish candle, indicating volatility, intraday recovery attempt, and bear dominance.
📌 This type of candle often signals distribution or exhaustion, especially when it appears after a long rally. If the next session continues the bearish move, this might be the start of a short-term correction. If we get a bullish bounce, then today’s low may act as a temporary support.
🔍 Recalling the Setup:
We previously observed a Hanging Man on April 23, signaling a possible reversal. Then, the Inside Bar formed on April 24—a classic setup for a breakout.
✔️ Our expectation: 1x Mother Bar Range as a move
✔️ Bias: Slightly Bearish due to the Hanging Man and overall overextended rally
❌ Expectation: Didn’t expect this much bloodshed this fast!
📌 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 347.27
IB Range: 405.4 (Extra Large IB)
Market Structure: Balanced
🎯 Trade Highlights:
No System Trade: Setup didn’t align with risk management rules
Additional Trade (Discretionary Contra):
Long Entry Triggered at 12:35 PM
✅ Target Achieved: 1:3.7 Risk-Reward
📉 Index Performance Snapshot:
Nifty 50: -207 Points (-0.86%)
Bank Nifty: -537 Points (-0.97%)
Nifty 500: -332 Points (-1.5%)
Midcap: -1399 Points (-2.5%)
Smallcap: -416 Points (-2.45%)
Midcaps and smallcaps took the biggest hit, showing broad-based weakness across the market.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
📍 Resistance Zones:
24,050
24,120
24,190 ~ 24,225
24,330 ~ 24,360
24,480 ~ 24,540
24,800
📍 Support Zones:
24,000 ~ 23,950 (Immediate)
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
🧭 Final Thoughts:
"The storm doesn't announce itself with thunder—it begins with silence. Yesterday was silent. Today was the thunder."
The Inside Bar setup has played out, but now eyes are on whether we get follow-through selling or a relief bounce. The next session’s first 30–45 mins might give a clue.
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.