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Pivot Points

The Worst Is Over – Bullish May and June AheadAfter months of uncertainty, volatility, and fear-driven sell-offs, the altcoin market is finally showing signs that the bottom may be in. The Market Cipher indicator are flashing early bullish signals, with trigger waves beginning to play out. While we still have key resistance levels to clear, particularly the 200-day and 200-week SMAs. All signs point to a market that’s gearing up for a strong move to the upside. Now, if Trump could just chill with the tariff war talk, we might even get some macro tailwinds to support the rally.
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by arcone
Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk IndicatorToday we’ll explore the Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk Indicator , which builds on the concept of Bitcoin Terminal Price. We’ll follow the same logic as in our previous idea on the Pi Cycle Top Risk Indicator. By the end, we'll have a new tool for analyzing INDEX:BTCUSD market cycles. First, let’s recap Terminal Price. Terminal Price = Transferred Price × 21 Transferred Price = Coin Days Destroyed ÷ (supply × time) It normalizes historical spending behavior to the full 21M BTC supply. This metric has historically been effective at calling Bitcoin cycle tops whenever the price of Bitcoin crosses above it. That being said, it signaled the April 2021 peak, but not the November one. Let’s now divide the weekly BTC price by Terminal Price. This gives us BTC-to-Terminal Price Ratio. (We use the formula from the Bitcoin Master Cycle indicator by InvestorUnknown for Terminal Price on TradingView.) When the ratio crosses above 1, BTC price exceeds Terminal Price and signals cycle top. We can notice that each cycle top forms slightly lower ratio peaks. Now let’s draw two logarithmic curves through the highs and lows of this ratio, and add a midline. This creates a band within which the BTC-to-Terminal Price ratio tends to oscillate. These bounds can help anticipate major turning points in future market cycles. Next, we normalize the ratio between these bounds: bottom curve = 0, top curve = 1. This gives us the Bitcoin Terminal Price Risk Indicator. Currently, risk sits around 0.46 , bouncing between 0.3 and 0.6 for ~1.5 years. This range suggests a stepwise price increase with consolidation periods in between — and no mania and blow-off top. Historically: Risk > 0.9 = potential selling zone Risk < 0.1 (or < 0.05) = potential buying zone Note: Risk stays > 0.9 for just 1–2 weeks. Reality check: the top curve lies above 1 and slopes down only slightly. This implies that if the ratio approaches the upper boundary, BTC price could meet or exceed Terminal Price this cycle — currently ~$155K and will be rising quickly should BTC move towards it. However, so far we have very few data points and they don’t fit the curve perfectly. And there’s no guarantee we’ll reach that upper bound. For a more conservative take, we can replace the log curve with straight lines. This steeper upper line would signal a top earlier — below Terminal Price. Using this method, risk is slightly higher now at 0.55. While also not perfect, this linear approximation can serve as a cautious alternative until more data points emerge. We'll keep tracking these charts.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by ChartNChill
CHILLGUY Looks Super Bullish (1D)Note: This is a highly volatile meme coin. Risk management and capital management should not be forgotten. It appears that a large-scale corrective wave has ended, and the price has entered a bullish wave of the same degree. Recently, we observed a bullish CH (Change of Character) and a clean break above a resistance zone on the chart. Currently, the price is approaching a supply zone, and a significant amount of sell orders have entered CHILLGUY. A short-term correction is expected, after which the bullish move is likely to continue. If the price reaches our marked entry points, we will enter a buy position in spot. Targets are indicated on the chart. The closure of a daily candle below the invalidation level will negate this outlook. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
4
btc fibonacci levels Trade Strategy Long to May 4 High: Entry: If BTC breaks above $94,310 (Square of Nine 90°) with a green candle, enter long. Target: $96,472 (Square of Nine 720°), aligns with your $95,976.36. Stop-Loss: Below $92,781 (Square of Nine -360°), risking ~$1,500. Time: Exit by May 4 (50-day cycle). Short for May 14 Dip: Entry: If BTC reaches $96,472 and shows rejection, enter short. Target: $91,567 (Square of Nine -720°). Stop-Loss: Above $96,472, risking ~$1,000. Time: Expect the dip by May 14 (60-day cycle).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by dlafave26
ETHEREUM is getting ready for a major breakout (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section The red zone represents a supply area based on the Philip strategy. It’s possible that the price might not be able to break through this zone on the first attempt. If the price gets rejected, the lower green box will be a re-entry opportunity for those who missed the move. Let’s closely monitor this chart and see how it plays out. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. invalidation level : 1198$ For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
Long
by behdark
4
ZK Secondary trend.-82% Wedge. Reversal zones. 01 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. Decrease from listing about -82%. For cryptocurrencies of such liquidity and capitalization, this is not the maximum decrease (-90-96%). But sometimes from such values ​​as now (-82-85%), taking into account the news hype during the listing "whales $ 458 million", a reversal and strong pumping can occur under the market as a whole. For example, like another hype project of "hanging noodles" - Flare (distributed to XRP holders). Decrease by -82% and then pumping slightly above the listing price under the next alt season of the cycle + 560%. This does not necessarily mean that this will happen, this is an example of what happens from such values ​​of decline with such liquidity and hype. In some ways, not only in the structure of the TA formation, but in the hype and disappointment of "investors", the projects are identical. Main trend , and the previously shown zone, in which the price is now. ZkSync Main trend. L2 for ETH. $458 million funds 21 02 2025 Main trend now in the moment (full trading history). There is no need to guess the minimums and maximums. It is important to know these zones and have an acceptable average price, from the position of the trend and its potential. It is regulated by the distributed entry volume (in advance) at potential reversal zones.
Long
by SpartaBTC
2
USDJPY Daily & H4 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeaTechnical analysis is on the chart! No description needed! FX:USDJPY ________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
Long
by ForecastCity
17
INIT buy/Long Setup (4H)On INIT chart we do not yet have a bearish CH on the chart, and within the substructure, we can look for potential buy/long positions. There is an unmitigated POI zone, and once the price reaches this area, we can look for buy/long setups. The targets are marked on the chart. A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam
ORCA Buy/Long Setup (4H)The ORCA structure is bullish and shows strong bullish momentum. Therefore, we can look for buy/long positions at the origins of the moves. We have identified two entry points on the chart, where we will be looking for buy/long setups. Target levels are marked on the chart. A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis. Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting Comment if you have any questions thank you
by iMoneyTeam
Nifty Analysis EOD - April 30, 2025 - Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 30, 2025 - Wednesday 🔴 🗓️ One more expiry day ended in suspense, surprise and a last-minute spike! 📊 Nifty Summary Nifty opened slightly green at 24,342, just 6 points above the previous close. A quick dip below the previous day’s low was swiftly recovered, triggering a rally towards 24,400. However, most of the session turned into a slow grind between a narrow 40-point range as both bulls and bears hesitated. As is typical on expiry days, a sudden burst in the last 5 minutes added 198 points to the move — a nightmare for option sellers but a jackpot for Hero-Zero traders. The day’s true intraday close stood at 24,243, while settlement was at 24,334, reflecting a wide 90-point gap traders must factor in. 🕔 Intraday 5 Min Time Frame Chart 🔁 Intraday Walk 🔹 Opened at 24,342 with a quick drop below PDL, then rebounded. 🔹 Rallied to 24,400 within the first 30 minutes. 🔹 Ranged for hours between 24,330–24,370 with no clear breakout. 🔹 A 198-point spike in the final 30 minutes caught most off-guard. 🔹 True intraday close = 24,243 vs. settlement = 24,334 → Huge difference! ⏱ Intraday 75 Min Time Frame Chart 📐 75-Min Chart Analysis / Zone Commentary The last 3 sessions showed repeated failed attempts to close above 24,365 (the previous week's high). A symmetrical triangle was clearly visible and delivered a classic trap: a false breakout, a liquidity grab, and an immediate pullback to meet the pattern’s target. Unfortunately, the real breakout happened around 2:35 PM — just after most had packed up for expiry! 📅 Daily Time Frame Chart 🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown Today’s Candle Type: Spinning Top (Bearish Tilt) Today’s OHLC: Open: 24,342.05 High: 24,396.15 Low: 24,198.75 Close: 24,334.20 Change: –1.75 (–0.01%) Know How of Candle Type:A Spinning Top reflects indecision — a small body with long shadows shows a battle between buyers and sellers with no clear winner. Key Observation: Real Body = 7.85 points → Minimal net movement Upper Wick = 54.10 pts Lower Wick = 143.30 pts → Stronger buyer defense but weak follow-through What It Implies:Buyers showed strength at lower levels but couldn't close strong. Despite the strong lower wick, the red close tilts sentiment mildly bearish. The breach of previous day’s low confirms weakness unless reversed tomorrow. ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update Strategy Parameters: ATR: 313.49 IB Range: 126.40 IB Category: Medium IB Market Structure: Balanced Trade Highlights: 📉 No Trade Triggered Gladiator system remained silent today amidst the choppy expiry behavior. 🔮 What’s Next? / Bias Direction Although the larger bias had been mildly bullish, the breach of the 24,290 low shifts the short-term view to slightly bearish. However, one more session confirmation is needed before taking any aggressive stance. 📌 Support & Resistance Levels 🔺 Resistance Zones: 24,290 (PDL) 24,330 ~ 24,360 (Immediate hurdle) 24,396 (CDH) 24,457 (PDH) 24,480 ~ 24,540 (Incl. 24,500 psych level) 24,800 🔻 Support Zones: 24,190 ~ 24,225 24,120 24,050 24,000 ~ 23,950 23,820 23,710 ~ 23,660 23,500 23,410 ~ 23,370 23,215 💬 Final Thoughts “Expiry days are for the patient and the prepared. Today was a perfect example of how calm waters can suddenly become tidal waves.”The pattern, structure, and volatility continue to show that structure is key — respect it when it holds, and adapt when it breaks. ✏️ Disclaimer ✏️ This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia