Pivot Points
BTC ~ MACRO Bounce ZoneBTC has been holding the 80K zone well, but from the macro perspective the bearish cycle should be starting soon.
This is due to simple logic (after such a dramatic ATH) as well as the Wyckoff Method.
Unless we can reclaim 90K, it's likely that this will be the third touch on the parabolic curve - which is usually when the bearish cycle starts.
Previously, BTC retraced and bounced one Fib higher than the price at the start of the bullish cycle. This puts us roughly at 28k, as well as at the neckline of the previous resistance zone before the new ATH:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
The Reality of Bitcoin HODL. The odds of 100k AGAINLet's break down this CRYPTOCOM:BTCUSD BTCUSD chart and discuss the potential scenarios for 2025, considering current world economic conditions.
**Chart Analysis:**
* **Timeframe:** Daily (1D) chart, showing price action from early 2024 to March 2025.
* **Key Levels:**
* **Resistance:** $109,590 (recent high), $100,000 (psychological level).
* **Support:** $80,000 (recent low), $72,000 (previous consolidation), $68,000 (strong support zone).
* **Price Action:**
* **2024:** A period of consolidation and accumulation, with a clear upward trendline from May to November. This suggests growing bullish momentum.
* **Late 2024/Early 2025:** A significant rally, pushing BTC above $100,000 and reaching the $109,590 high.
* **Recent Correction:** A sharp pullback from the highs, indicating profit-taking and potential trend reversal. The price is currently hovering around $86,000.
* **Grey Box:** A highlighted area around $80,000 - $88,000, which represents a key support zone.
**Most Likely Scenario for 2025 (Given Current World Economic Conditions):**
**Current World Economic Conditions (Considerations):**
* **Inflation:** Persistently high inflation in many countries is a major concern. Bitcoin is often seen as a hedge against inflation.
* **Interest Rates:** Central banks are raising interest rates to combat inflation, which can negatively impact risk assets like Bitcoin.
* **Geopolitical Uncertainty:** Ongoing conflicts and tensions create market volatility and uncertainty.
* **Regulatory Landscape:** The regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies is still evolving, with potential for both positive and negative developments.
* **Economic Slowdown/Recession:** Growing concerns about a global economic slowdown or recession.
**Scenario:** **Range-Bound Trading with Potential for Further Correction**
Given the current economic climate, the most likely scenario for 2025 is a period of range-bound trading for Bitcoin, with potential for further downside correction. Here's why:
* **Uncertainty and Risk Aversion:** Economic uncertainty and rising interest rates make investors more risk-averse, reducing demand for volatile assets like Bitcoin.
* **Technical Indicators:** The recent sharp pullback suggests a potential trend reversal. The $80,000 support level is crucial. A break below this level could trigger further selling pressure.
* **Inflation Hedge Narrative:** While Bitcoin is seen as an inflation hedge, its correlation with traditional markets has increased in recent times, making it susceptible to broader market sentiment.
**Buy/Sell Recommendations (General Guidance):**
* **Long-Term Investors:** If you're a long-term investor with a high-risk tolerance, consider dollar-cost averaging (DCA) into Bitcoin during periods of weakness. The $72,000 and $68,000 levels could provide attractive entry points.
* **Short-Term Traders:** Short-term traders should exercise caution and wait for clear signs of a trend reversal before entering long positions. Look for confirmation signals like a break above key resistance levels with strong volume.
* **Risk Management:** Always use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
**Important Notes:**
* **This analysis is based on the provided chart and general economic conditions. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable.**
* **Do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.**
* **Keep an eye on key economic indicators, regulatory developments, and market sentiment.**
**In conclusion, while Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum in the past, the current economic climate suggests a more cautious approach. Expect range-bound trading with potential for further correction in 2025.**
Watch Out for 0.9510 Support for EURCHFEURCHF is approaching the 0.9510 support level ahead of the SNB decision. Markets are currently pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut with a 68.1% probability. However, the recent relief in the Swiss franc may give the SNB reason to hold rates steady.
Our view is that the SNB will proceed with a 25 basis point cut today, and the 0.95–0.9510 support area is likely to hold. However, if this support zone breaks, it could trigger a medium-term selloff, potentially pushing EURCHF below 0.94.
PI ANALYSIS (4H)Given the bearish CH and the formation of multiple supply zones, this asset is expected to move toward the green zone.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
btc fibonacci levels btc has broken resistance at 83548 and is holding 85636 after hitting 87429 level and k
now new resistance level big traders are moving market with other communities of traders looking to liquidate whales that short and looked like he closed short trade and entered long and markets are moving could it be traders filling large buy orders we will see ckean clise above 85636 buy green candle close above take profits at levels
ETHEREUM -Weekly forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1521.00, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 2090.33 breaks.
If the support at 1521.00 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1750.30 on 03/11/2025, so more gains maximum to Major Resistance (2090.33) is expected.
Take Profits:
2362.31
2546.73
2801.10
3042.75
3516.43
3741.60
4107.80
4500.00
4868.00
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ADAUSDT pump and gain expected only from supports below 0.5$We are looking for short-term dump and fall here and also some stop loss hunting first to the downside and soon after that we can expect start of gain and rise to the targets like 1.5$ and more like the green arrows mentioned on the chart.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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ETH is bullish (1D)Before anything else, you should know that Ethereum's structure in higher time frames is bearish. However, we currently expect an internal pullback to higher levels because the price has reached a significant zone.
The expectation is that the price will move from the mitigated demand zone toward the targets.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
ETH Looks Bullish (1D)Before anything else, you should know that Ethereum's structure in higher time frames is bearish. However, we currently expect an internal pullback to higher levels because the price has reached a significant zone.
The expectation is that the price will move from the mitigated demand zone toward the targets.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
ETH Analysis (1D)Ethereum is approaching a support level.
The risk-to-reward ratio is not very attractive since we are in a bearish trend, but we expect a reaction to the green zone.
There are two targets ahead of the price, which we have marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETHEREUM I Daily CLS within Monthly CLS I OB, Model 1Hey Traders!!
Feel free to share your thoughts, charts, and questions in the comments below—I'm about fostering constructive, positive discussions!
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