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Pivot Points

Why I’m Betting Bearish on GBPNZD: Key Market Drivers ExplainedAs I prepare to share my trade idea for GBPNZD, my overall bias is bearish. Here are some key fundamentals currently influencing this outlook: 1. UK Economic Slowdown: The UK is facing economic challenges, with high inflation and downgraded growth forecasts. This situation tends to weaken the British Pound against other currencies, including the New Zealand Dollar. 2. RBNZ's Hawkish Stance: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is likely to maintain a strong monetary policy, focusing on controlling inflation. This contrasts sharply with the UK's more cautious approach, which supports a stronger NZD. 3. Seasonal Trends: Historically, GBPNZD has shown a bearish trend from mid-August through December. This seasonal behavior suggests that now is an opportune time to consider short positions. In my trading strategy for GBPNZD, I rely on probabilities to guide my decisions for entering short positions. In summary, by leveraging probabilities based on historical data and current market fundamentals, I aim to position myself advantageously for short trades on GBPNZD. This disciplined approach aligns with my bearish outlook and enhances my trading effectiveness. I look forward to sharing my journey in this trade and welcome any thoughts or feedback! 2W: Hourly TF:
Short
by Jasminex1x2
NZD/USD Hits 1-Month Low, Bullish Outlook Despite Bearish TrendHello, The NZD/USD pair recently hit a fresh 1-month low at 0.61064. Despite this significant drop and its position below key pivot points, the majority remains optimistic about a potential bullish recovery. The 1-day pivot point has held up so far, acting as a support level. In conclusion, while the overall outlook remains bullish, the bearish trend is expected to persist until a stronger support level is established. TradeWithTheTrend3344
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
USD/CHF: Temporary Support Amidst Long-Term Bearish OutlookHello, The USD/CHF currency pair has moved as expected in a bearish direction recently, but it appears to have established a support level. So far, the price has found support around the 1M/1W pivot point. Despite this newfound support, the long-term outlook remains bearish. However, we will have to wait and see how the situation evolves. Overall, considering all factors, a bearish long-term perspective is still more likely to prevail. TradeWithTheTrend3344
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Caution Advised: GBP/USD Faces Key Support TestingHello, The GBP/USD has surpassed our previous targets, but recent movements indicate increased downside pressure, with key support levels currently being tested. Caution is advised, as the price is now positioned below the 1-month, 1-week, and 1-day pivot points, suggesting further testing of support levels. While a potential upswing remains possible, careful analysis suggests the likelihood of continued bearish momentum in the long term from this point. TradeWithTheTrend3344
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Cisco Systems Inc | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; * Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) * Weekend Crypto Session # Trend | Time Frame Conductive | Weekly Time Frame - General Trend - Measurement on Session * Support & Resistance * Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead # Position & Risk Reward | Daily Time Frame - Measurement on Session * Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618 * Extension | 0.786 & 1 Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
CAPITALCOM:CSCOLong
by P-Ment4U
XAG/USD Hits New High with Bullish Continuation ExpectedHello, XAG/USD has surpassed our previous targets, reaching a new yearly high of 32.964! Despite this impressive rise, there is no strong indication of a major bearish shift. Current support levels are expected to be tested, as both the daily and weekly pivot points have acted as resistance. The extent of this testing remains to be seen, but after these supports are confirmed, a bullish continuation is anticipated. TradeWithTheTrend3344
OANDA:XAGUSD
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
XAU Hits Target: 1M Pivot Test AheadHello, The previous target for XAU was successfully reached at 2570.900, marking a solid price increase. Currently, there is an expectation of a potential test of the 1M Pivot Point, possibly extending to a full test of the 1M support structure. So far, the 1W/1D support has held strong, but if the price remains below the 1W/1D Pivot Point, further downside movement is likely. Sellers remain optimistic about a significant bearish reversal, although this has yet to materialize. The current outlook suggests a test of the 1M Pivot Point before any further upward movement. TradeWithTheTrend3344
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Why I'm Going Short on USDCAD: Analyzing Market ConditionsKey Reasons for a Bearish Outlook 1. Economic Differences: The U.S. economy is doing well, showing strong growth, while Canada’s economy is struggling. This usually strengthens the U.S. dollar against the Canadian dollar. 2. Oil Prices: Canada’s currency is closely tied to oil prices. If oil prices stabilize or drop, it could weaken the Canadian dollar further, especially since Canada’s economy isn’t performing well. 3. Central Bank Policies: The U.S. Federal Reserve might lower interest rates, which could attract more investment into the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada is likely to stay cautious due to weak economic data. Given these factors, I believe there’s a good chance for USDCAD to move lower. I’ll be using probabilities to guide my short positions and manage risk effectively. Feel free to share your thoughts and ideas in the comments below! 12M: On the 12M timeframe, there is insufficient data available. Therefore, we will move to lower monthly timeframes to identify a valid range and look for FB mitigation. 1M: 1D: 1H:
Short
by Jasminex1x2
PLTR: Watch out for these turning points! (D&W charts)PLTR broke through the resistance at $38 that we warned about in our last study, triggering another bullish continuation pattern. It has also broken through an important resistance on the weekly chart, which further reinforces the bullish bias. Now we have to update the main turning points to keep an eye on over the next few days. The link to our previous study is below this post, as usual. Daily Chart (Left): Higher Highs and Higher Lows: The price structure on the daily chart shows a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, suggesting strong bullish momentum. This pattern indicates that buyers are stepping in at higher levels after each retracement, maintaining the trend. Support Levels: Immediate support is found around $38.30, which aligns with a previous minor resistance zone that was broken and turned into support. Below that, $36.05 remains a significant support level, as it is near tthe 21-day EMA, making this a double support area. PLTR needs to lose this key point in order to reverse the mid-term trend and trigger a sharper correction in the weekly chart. PLTR would need to lose the double support level seen on the daily chart is order to trigger a pullback. Gap at $31.04 (D) + 21-Week EMA: These two key points would act as targetts if a sharper correction materializes. The gap at $31.04 seen on the daily chart could work as a magnet, attracting the price to lower levels, while the 21-week EMA is another reliable support level on the weekly chart. Weekly Chart (Right): Ascending Channel: PLTR has been trading within an ascending channel since mid-2023, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. The price broke the upper boundary of this channel, indicating a potential acceleration of the bullish momentum towards its next target. All-Time High Target: The all-time high for PLTR is around $45.00, and it is its next resistance level, meaning, it is our next target. Conclusion: PLTR’s bullish momentum is well-supported on both the daily and weekly charts. The price is maintaining a solid structure of higher highs and lows, with $36.05 acting as the nearest support and $41.00 as the immediate resistance. If the price manages to break through $41.00 convincingly, the all-time high at $45.00 could be tested. A sustained breakout above the ascending channel on the weekly chart would further confirm the continuation of the uptrend. Traders might consider waiting for a confirmed breakout above $41.00 or watching for a potential pullback to $36.05 as a safer entry point. For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions. Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation. “To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore All the best, Nathan.
NYSE:PLTR
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
4
USDCAD OverviewThere’s a bit of a range forming between two key Order Blocks (OB), and both sides seem to have a case. On the bullish side, price could move up to the OB around 1.3720, where I expect strong resistance to come into play. That could present a solid area to look for shorts if the market reacts as expected. On the other hand, if we see a failure to hold current levels, price could drop towards the lower OB around 1.3480. This area might attract buyers, and it would be a good place to watch for potential long entries. The key here is waiting for price action around these levels to guide the next trade. OANDA:USDCAD
by Astonstevn
EURUSD PROBABILITY/BOSIBILITYCurrent Market Overview: The EUR/USD pair is showing consolidation in a key no trade area, with price trading sideways between levels of liquidity and a Fair Value Gap (FVG). Let's dive deeper into the potential price movements based on this market structure. Key Zones Identified: Fair Value Gap (FVG): The FVG on the 15-minute chart is located slightly above the current price. This area typically attracts the price as it represents inefficiency where orders are likely to be filled. Watch for a potential move upwards to fill this gap before any significant market direction is established. Liquidity Zone: A key liquidity zone is marked just above the FVG. Liquidity zones are areas where stop-losses of traders are clustered, creating an opportunity for market makers to push prices in these areas to capture that liquidity. If the price moves toward this zone, expect a reaction as buyers or sellers attempt to capitalize on this liquidity. No Trade Area: The current price is in a no trade area, which suggests that it's a period of indecision and low trading volume. Traders should wait for a breakout before making entries to avoid getting trapped in consolidations. This zone is bounded by resistance near 1.09800 and support near 1.09400. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the current consolidation zone, we could see the price head towards the liquidity area and fill the Fair Value Gap around the 1.10024 level. Traders might look for buy setups targeting this zone. Bearish Scenario: On the other hand, if the price breaks downwards from the current no trade area, there is potential to see a move towards the next support zone around 1.09125. This could provide a selling opportunity for those aiming to short the pair. Strategy Consideration: Wait for Confirmation: Since the price is in a no trade area, it is advisable to wait for a breakout either above or below the current range. Entering before a clear trend emerges could expose traders to unnecessary risk. Watch Key Levels: Traders should closely monitor the FVG and liquidity zones for potential entry points. These levels often act as magnets, drawing the price to them before reversing or continuing the trend. Conclusion: Currently, EUR/USD is consolidating with key areas of interest just above and below the market price. A breakout from the no trade area will give us a clearer indication of the next major move. As always, ensure you have proper risk management in place and trade with a plan. Get real-time analysis and trade signals by joining our Telegram community . Stay ahead of the market with FourTrades!
by FourtradesTV
$AMZN, Bullish Towards $195Hey ya'll, The chart above highlights Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) on the daily timeframe. I've added #thestrat indicator, MACD, and RSI indicators. I've marked the Fibonacci price points from low (Aug 28) to high (Sep 24). Normally, I would've gotten in at the 0.618 fib retracement ($179.02) or the 0.5 fib ($182.15) but I would still take a 3+ week out options contract. If price goes above Fri, Oct 7th high of day (HOD) @ $187.60, but 1 strike out of the money. If price opens below Fri, Oct 7th's HOD, wait for it to either reversal at the previous low of day (LOD) or at whatever point. Entry: $187.61 (above prev daily high) Target: $190.86 (Fri, Sep 27 open price) SL: $185.13 (tight under 0.382 fib) R:R = 1:1.32 MACD = curling up RSI = curling up, low 50s Potential Contracts: $190c 11/15 @ $8.00 (ITM) $185c 11/15 @ $10.55 (1 OTM)
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by Brandonthrives