Pivot Points
Gold Hits Another All-Time High Amid Market JittersHello,
XAUUSD has once again surged to a record high of 3245.515 this Friday, driven by a weakening dollar and renewed U.S.-China tensions. As uncertainty grows, gold continues to shine as a safe haven asset—bolstered by fears of a potential recession and lingering inflation concerns.
The rally is further supported by rising expectations that the Federal Reserve may soon begin cutting interest rates. While some analysts anticipate a short-term pullback, the broader trend remains bullish, fueled by rate cut hopes, global instability, and ongoing strong demand.
Currently, gold is hovering around a key resistance level at 3272.103 . This area could mark the final push—designed to trap overly optimistic buyers—before a potential bearish reversal. If this resistance holds, it could trigger a significant downside move, possibly targeting the 1-year pivot point (PP) at 2466.313 . Although current conditions may not seem to support such a drop, these are exactly the kind of unexpected moves market manipulators might orchestrate.
Remember what happened when Trump posted bullish comments followed by a 90-day tariff break? Stocks temporarily soared. The takeaway? Anything is possible. One could argue there's an effort to stabilize the USD, masked by public optimism that doesn’t always reflect economic reality.
This all points to a potential bigger play unfolding—a move that temporarily strengthens the dollar, possibly as part of a broader long-term strategy. We’re likely to see sharp bursts of USD strength followed by weakness, creating a rollercoaster pattern as the U.S. works to rebuild and gradually reinforce its currency.
Trump’s current leverage comes from the power of the U.S. consumer—arguably among the most valuable in the world. Over time, more countries may be compelled to strike favorable deals with the U.S. to avoid economic fallout from imposed tariffs. It’s like a trial period for a premium service: first, you get a taste of the benefits without tariffs, and once you're accustomed to it, the terms change—creating a stark contrast that acts as a negotiation tool.
This “shock factor” strategy—swinging from favorable to harsh conditions—puts other nations in a position of urgency and increases the likelihood of deal-making. While technicals and fundamentals still play a role in the market, tariffs are currently the main catalyst behind the scenes.
In summary:
📊 XAUUSD Market Overview – April 2025
🟡 Current Status
Latest High: 3245.515 🔺 (Record-breaking)
Key Resistance: 3272.103
Trend: Bullish momentum fueled by:
Weaker USD 💵
Fed rate cut expectations 📉
Recession & inflation fears 😟
Geopolitical tension (U.S.–China) 🌏⚠️
🔮 Potential Scenarios
Condition Market Reaction
🔼 Break above 3272.103 More upside likely – bull trend continuation 🐂📈
🔽 Rejection at 3272.103 Bearish reversal – trap for late buyers 🐻📉
🎯 Bearish Target: 1Y Pivot Point @ 2466.313
📌 Underlying Narrative
USD Stabilization Strategy: Behind-the-scenes moves to strengthen dollar temporarily.
Tariff Manipulation: Market shocks used as leverage in international trade talks.
Trump Factor: Tariffs → Shock value → Deals → Strengthen USD via negotiation.
Psychology: "Free trial" tactic – benefits removed to push for favorable deals.
📈 Key Takeaway
If 3272.103 holds as resistance → Bearish move ahead
If broken → Expect continued bullish momentum
Good luck out there!
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1D-1Y timeframes!
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TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold Dips From PRZ – Will Supports Hold for New ATH?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Resistance lines . The question is, can Gold create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
In terms of Elliott waves , Gold appears to be completing a main wave 4 . This main wave 4 is likely to complete near the Support lines and Support zone($3,168-$3,133) .
I expect Gold to either rise again after breaking the Resistance zone($3,220-$3,211) or near the Support zone($3,168-$3,133) and Support lines .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
Note: If Gold breaks the Support zone($3,168-$3,133), we should expect a further correction from Gold.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Welcome to the resistance.
Bitcoin I Monthly CLS I Key Level Order Block I Model 1I Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
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VIEN Buy/Long Setup (8H)After the pump, the price has hit a strong and fresh order block, which could push it down toward the origin of the move.
If the price reaches the Demand zone, we will look for buy/long positions in this area.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
STORJUSDT buy/long (1W)STORJ is approaching a strong origin level on the weekly timeframe.
This origin has already been tapped once, but there should still be significant BUY orders remaining in this zone.
A liquidity pool has also been built up. We expect a strong reaction from this area.
We are looking for BUY/LONG positions around the demand zone, especially near the optimized entry.
A weekly candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this setup.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD was rejected from the channel line.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
FX:EURUSD started a corrective wave,
This decline may continue, but the support area of 1.1200 ~ 1.0890 could trigger a rebound.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The Triangle pattern formed in the price has broken downwards.
The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.1334
1.1334 Support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
💡 H1 Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
H1 Trading Idea:
Sell now or wait for pullback and Sell on price rejection from 1.1334.
SL: Above 1.1334
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Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
Woah This One is InterestingI couldn't seem to find a single trend or pattern in this until I scaled back my time frame and zoomed out.
There is a massive volume profile gap that I labeled in my green lines that I believe price is now targeting long term.
One single tiny piece of news will make this thing sky rocket.
Watch for a nothing burger or spike down to grab liquidity one final time. With time, this will rocket.
GBPUSD: Strong Bullish Market 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD set a new daily high today.
The pair remains in a strong bullish momentum since 8th of April.
With the complete absence of high impact fundamentals today, buying pressure
may persist.
I believe that it may continue rising at least to 1.33 - the closest historic resistance.
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