BTCUSDT: Trend in daily time frameThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames.
A strong move requires a correction to major support and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
BEST,
MT
Pivot Points
USDCHF -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.89147 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.89115 on 02/25/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.90367, 0.91497, 0.92218 and more heights is expected.
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GBPUSD - Dollar’s eye on the Fed?!The GBPUSD pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction, the pair can be bought within the specified demand range.
The Federal Reserve of the United States has embarked on a process that could have profound implications for the global economy: a reassessment of the framework used to determine interest rates. These rates influence borrowing costs and prices not only in the U.S. but also across much of the world.To implement this reform effectively, the Federal Reserve must first identify the core issue. During the January meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee, central bank policymakers emphasized that the new framework must be “resilient to a wide range of conditions.” This marks a step in the right direction, given that the current framework, established in 2020, proved inadequate in responding to the economic disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
The 2020 framework was introduced at a time when inflation consistently remained below the Fed’s 2% target. To compensate for this shortfall, policymakers committed to allowing inflation to run above target. Specifically, the Fed pledged to keep short-term interest rates near zero until three conditions were met:
• The economy achieved maximum sustainable employment,
• Inflation reached 2%,
• Inflation was expected to remain above 2% for some time.
Additionally, interest rate hikes could not begin until the central bank had concluded its asset purchase program, known as quantitative easing (QE)—a process that itself depended on substantial progress toward meeting the three stated conditions.
As a result, the Federal Reserve was significantly delayed in responding to a strong economy, a tight labor market, and accelerating inflation. When rate hikes finally began in March 2022, real GDP growth remained robust, unemployment was below the level deemed sustainable by policymakers, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge had already exceeded 5%.
Despite these clear signals, debates persist about whether the Fed’s policy framework was to blame. Some argue that the central bank merely made a forecasting error, later compensating with aggressive monetary tightening. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has echoed this view, calling the framework “useless.”
However, had the Federal Reserve disregarded this framework and instead adhered to traditional policy rules, it likely would have started raising short-term rates about a year earlier.
Another argument is that the inflation surge, which was observed globally, was beyond the Fed’s control. However, in the U.S., surging demand for goods—bolstered by a massive fiscal stimulus—played a significant role in driving up global prices.
Additionally, while many other countries faced dramatic increases in energy prices, this factor played a relatively minor role in the U.S. inflation spike.
A third perspective holds that the Biden administration’s $1.9 trillion stimulus package was excessively large. While this undoubtedly contributed to economic overheating, it was still the Fed’s responsibility to account for its effects and respond with tighter monetary policy.
Identifying these missteps is crucial. Otherwise, how can we be confident that the Federal Reserve won’t repeat them? Credibility is essential; without it, policymakers will struggle to influence financial markets and the broader economy effectively.
To restore confidence, the Fed must address the shortcomings of the 2020 framework. It should abandon policies that kept interest rates artificially low for too long and adopt a more cautious approach to quantitative easing (QE) and quantitative tightening (QT). Finally, it should reconsider whether interbank interest rates remain the best policy tool or if focusing on the interest rate banks pay on reserves would be more effective.
XAUUSD BUY AND SELLGold price is unable to hold on to the modest gains booked on Wednesday as buyers and sellers enter a tug-of-war situation early Thursday, courtesy of the uncertainty around US President Donald Trump’s tariff plans and lingering US economic concerns.
Gold price outlook appears more or less the same from a short-term technical perspective.
So long as the Gold price defends the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,890 and the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits above 50, the bullish potential will likely remain intact.
Gold buyers could retest the all-time highs at $2,956 on acceptance above the previous day’s high of $2,930. The next topside barriers are seen at the $2,970 resistance and the $3,000 threshold.
However, if sellers crack the 21-day SMA at $2,890 on a daily candlestick closing basis; the downside could open toward the February 14 low of $2,877.
The last line of defense for Gold buyers is at the $2,850 psychological barrier.
🔥Buy Gold
$2880 -> $2876
SL $2870
TP 1->$2885 >2->$2890 >3->$2900
🔥Sell Gold
$2941 -> $2938
SL $2950
TP 1->$2935 >2->$2925 >3->$2910
SONIC buy/long setup (2H)Sonic has stopped dropping, and it seems a large number of buy orders have entered this asset. It is currently in a trading range.
The lower liquidity pool has been collected, and now it appears ready to sweep the upper liquidity pool and reach the resistance zone.
Closing a 4-hour candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC is still bearish (1D)A resistance flip zone has formed on the chart, we have a bearish CH, and a supply zone has been created.
The common area of the supply and flip zones is a low-risk region for another Bitcoin short.
With these bearish signs, Bitcoin is expected to at least reach the green zone.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BBRI Potential Drop to 3090 Before a ReboundI'm forecasting that BBRI may decline further to the 3090-2930 demand zone, where an unfilled order block exists. There's a potential bounce in the 3750-3690 area, but if selling pressure continues, the price could reach the lower support before reversing. Watching for confirmation at these key levels before taking action.
What do you think? let discuss below? 😊
ALGO ANALYSIS (1D)ALGO's structure is still bullish on higher timeframes and will remain so unless the origin of the previous bullish wave is broken.
We have a low-risk Rebuy zone where spot entries can be made gradually within this range.
The target could be the supply zone.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
TOTAL is bearish (1D)The TOTAL structure is bearish. After breaking the previous high, there was no pullback to the previous high, meaning that buy order collection for the continuation of the trend has not occurred.
We are waiting for this index to reach the designated line.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
NEO is bearish (1D)The NEO structure is bearish. We have a support zone on the chart, and with this bearish structure, we expect the price to reach the demand zone.
The target is the same as the green box.
The closure of a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Ethereum has turned bearish (12H TF)After the CH turned bearish and lost the flip zone, along with the formation of a large liquidity pool below the chart, there are multiple confirmations that Ethereum is in a bearish structure.
It is expected to reach the lower demand zone and sweep the liquidity pool along its path.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
KAVA is bearish (4H)KAVA has been consistently making lower highs and lower lows in the swing structure for some time.
Now, a major base has been broken, and a Flip zone has formed. There are also liquidity pools below the chart, which we have marked.
From the supply zone, it can move toward the targets shown on the chart. The targets are clearly marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
BTC New Update (4H)This analysis is an update to the analysis you can see below in the "Related Analyses" section.
Bitcoin remains bearish in our view.
After sweeping the marked liquidity pool on the chart, it made a bullish move, but the overall trend is still bearish.
From the marked area, it can move toward the demand zone lower on the chart.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
Buy and SellBuy and Sell Signal for AAVEUSDT
📌 Buy Signal:
Buy if the price breaks $267.
Stop-loss: $247
Bullish targets:
$284.23
$314.29
📌 Sell Signal:
Sell if the price breaks $246.
Stop-loss: $267
Bearish targets:
$229.58
$206.04
🔹 Risk Management: Considering support and resistance levels, an appropriate stop-loss should be set.
GBPUSD Weekly Review: Feb 24th - 28thThe cable is still showing bullish with dollar concerns on the rates and the pound being stronger at the moment.
Last week
Monday & Tuesday: Consolidation
Wednesday: Downward breakout, filling the imbalance, forming the week's low
Thursday: Price rallied higher, taking out buy-side liquidity and ERL @1.2666
Friday: Price traded lower to close the week, closing in a 4hr buy-side imbalance
Forecast and Key Levels:
Immediate bounce off @1.2630
Potential targets if trading lower:
Weekly BISI @1.2560
Lower @1.2550
Targets on the upside:
Last week's high @1.26800
Buy-side liquidity @1.27300
Ultimate target @1.28000 which is at the monthly sibi
DXY Confluence:
DXY has a daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) to be filled, which could lead to a move lower targeting @105.40
EU and the world will aslo be following closely the Germany elecions 23rd/feb/2025.
Does the Corrective Bearish Rally Continue?GOOGL remains in a corrective downtrend, presenting potential opportunities for strategic entries. If the pullback deepens, we could capitalize on key support levels:
📉 Entry Points:
🔹 173
🔹 162
🔹 152
📈 Profit Targets:
🔹 181
🔹 189
🔹 206+
Will the price rebound from these levels, or will the downtrend extend further? Stay sharp and manage your risk accordingly.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves significant risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
AU Bullish Play - Multi-Timeframe Precision 4H is running bullish after breaking a major HH. I spotted an IDM, but mitigation to the 4H OB looked like it could take days or even weeks. Instead of waiting, I dropped to the 30M to hunt for bullish continuation.
On the 30M, price was still pushing, but I needed refinement. Spotted a major IDM from the 2H, then dropped back to the 30M to locate near-term structure. Instead of a clear OB, order flow stepped in—wicking into refined 15M levels. That was my cue.
Dropped to the 5M and waited for a clean CHoCH confirmation. Price followed through strong, locking in my entry. Now the 30M is pushing through, confirming bullish intent. TP is mapped—now it’s just execution and trade management.
When you stack timeframes the right way, the market lays out the moves for you. Let’s see how this one plays out.
#SMC #Forex #AUDUSD #OrderFlow #MultiTimeframeAnalysis
Bless Trading!..
Bull Market Started. GO UP ETHThe 2300 region that I have been waiting for a long time has finally come again. While BTC is falling, ETH is now looking stronger. A nice bottom structure has formed in ETHBTC. I think the bull market has started and the rise is coming from here. I am adding to my ETH contracts by the end of April.