Daily Market Review and Analysis for BTC: January 1, 2025#BTC (Daily Chart)
The cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped by 2.5% over the past 24 hours, while #BTC dominance fell by 0.47%. Despite the bullish momentum, there is a growing likelihood of Bitcoin dropping to the $90,000 zone or lower.
Bitcoin’s upward movement was halted by intensified selling pressure near $95,000. Buyers failed to hold the $94,500 level, resulting in a price decline to around $91,600.
It’s worth noting that Bitcoin’s price on the daily timeframe is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, which is positioned above the seller liquidity zone.
In the short term, another attempt to test the $96,000 level is likely. However, it’s more probable that a new wave of decline will follow, targeting $90,500. This would trigger stop-losses for long positions (SSL) and push the price to a local low in the $89,000–$90,000 range.
From this point, a local upward trend could resume, targeting $96,963, where buyers’ stop-losses (BSL) are located. If this condition is met, Bitcoin could rally to $104,000.
That said, it’s too early to make global bullish predictions. Bitcoin first needs to clear key levels and stop-loss zones at $90,500 (the nearest realistic target) and $88,722.
Pivot Points
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🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
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📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
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BTC Camarilla Monthly PivotsWith a new year we have a new month and some new levels. Opportunity to buy optimally would be around the L3. Potential Resistance around the H3 and Central pivot. Keep an eye out this month for high timeframes close above or below the H4 or L4 for large breakout moves. I personally would like to wait for H3 for a short or L3 for a long.
FTMUSDT: Trend in weekly time framePlease pay special attention to the accurate trend, and very accurate colored levels.
The setup is very sensitive, do not get a position without SL.
Be careful
BEST
MT
Double BottomCLSK
Potentially a Double Bottom forming on the daily chart.
When the next low is printed I´m going to pay attention to if the daily chart prints Bullish Divergence on the RSI. If yes and we see upwards momentum in price with continuation it would confirm that the bottom is in for CLSK and we go up from here.... Possibly in to a parabolic phase of the market which also signals the end is near. for this cycle.
BTC
This all is dependent on what the price does for BTC. The BTC chart is a leading indicator when analyzing and trading CLSK. If/when BTC sets in the low of the present correction and pushes price up with continuation, first then the price of CLSK has a chance to break to the upside.
MARKET SENTIMENT
Right now in time of writing the market sentiment is cracking and the FEAR & GREED indicator is at 64 signaling that we are starting to see a reset of the market sentiment. This indicates that people that is suffering losses on their trade are willing to sell at a loss in order to salvage their hard earned money. A reset of the market sentiment is good for future price apreciation
"It is always the dumpiest before the pumpiest" as one smart guy once said.
WHERE IN THE CYCLE ARE WE?
Zooming out and watching previous cycle leading in to the CLSK top in 2021 we see that CLSK topped out 100 days before BTC did. Now one can assume that both BTC and CLSK are more mature assets now. How that affect its price-action we will hopefully live to see.
VOLUME
Looking at the volume on the chart we can see there is a substantial amount of volume traded at this times of lower prices... sellers are leading the race hence the price declines BUT... WHO is buying? Is it retail? I don´t think so... keep in min the market sentiment is cracking at the moment and scared money is probably letting go of their positions.
FUNDAMENTALS/b]
I believe CLSK is a bargain at $10. Why? Because they at the time of writing are mining bitcoin at a cost of around $55k / BTC and a time when price is around $100k / BTC, AND they are hodling their bag, i.e. not selling.
Accounting The FASB have adopted the FAIR VALUE ACCOUNTING for companies holding BTC and that could potentially boost the value of CLSK significantly, watch next earnings report.
Dilution CLSK have been diluting their shares significantly over the last year. In doing this they have been growing their hashrate to stay competitive which is good in the long run, shitty in the short run.
The last vote on issuing more common stock got approved in Q4 2024, in doing this they mitigate the dilution by featuring a capped call option meaning they will not be diluting any more shares until price reaches above $24.
MACRO
The liquidity has been increasing during 2024, i.e. there has been money printing by lowering interest-rates and other stimulatives. Jerome Powell raised a finger for inflation concerns as we move in to 2025 leading to a market decline as the fears are the liquidity (money printing) will slow in 2025.
COUNTER ARGUMENT
If the liquidity injection slows down in 2025 we will probably see markets turn over and a recession is likely to kick in full throttle. This would take us in to a bearmarket and all bullish bets are of.
CONCLUSION
BULL If the bullish bet is on I am expecting price to reach at least $24 before dilution starts to kick in.
BEAR If the moneyprinter stops all bets are of and we sell our bags to fight another day.
GOAT LONG SETUP 4HThe market structure for MIL:GOAT signals a possible shift. Yesterday’s low was swept, and price reclaimed a 4H OB cluster. This level could act as support for bullish continuation.
Key Level
The S/R reflects the 4H OB cluster. A solid defense of this zone supports an upside move. Any close below it weakens the bullish argument, indicating sellers may regain control. A successful hold above the line confirms that recent buyers are willing to defend positions.
Entry Zone
A sweep of yesterday’s lows highlights a liquidity grab. This move often clears out weak longs and sets the stage for a rebound. The 4h OB box represents an area where price might stabilize after that liquidity sweep. If strength emerges, a long entry from this region becomes attractive.
Adding Higher if Momentum Persists
If price consolidates above the red line, partial position adds can follow. This approach is contingent on persistent buying. Scattered pullbacks may occur, so verifying each bounce with supportive volume can confirm continued demand.
Risk Management
A stop loss placed under yesterday’s lows.
Upside Focus
Price targets often FVGs around local range highs. If buyers maintain control, minor resistance levels may offer partial profit opportunities. Further gains depend on broader market health. No single level guarantees an extended trend, so steady monitoring of daily or 4H closes helps refine targets.
Observing Market Context
A supportive environment across correlated assets strengthens the bullish narrative. If market sentiment deteriorates, caution is warranted. Sudden volatility can invalidate local setups.
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MOCA is at the end of its trend (2H)From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, MOCA appears to have formed a large triangle.
It seems that wave C of the large triangle is a double combination, and we are currently in the second part of this combination, which is itself a triangle.
At present, we appear to be in wave c of this smaller triangle. Wave c also seems to be a diametric, and we are now in the final stages of this diametric.
It could reject downward from the red zone.
The closure of a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ALGO buy setup (1D)Here, we have a high-potential zone for ALGO.
The green zone represents strong support, and if the price reaches this area, we will look for buy/long positions.
The red box is a fresh order block that hasn’t been tapped yet, containing the main sell orders.
The target can be this red box.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
TRIAS - Mid cycle HTF buy setupAfter the capitulation event where KUCOIN delisted TRIAS, the coin was offered to market at an extreme discount thanks to FUD.
Most won’t see these opportunities as buying opportunities, just like they won’t like this current setup where it has broken structure to the upside on the weekly and is currently being offered under the 61.8 retracement level.
Volume spiked with the FUD as concerns were raised over the inability to withdraw the asset from KUCOIN, leading to a large cascade of price.
On the other side of every losing trade there is a winner, and in this example the winner was buying at a discount from the FUD sellers.
Where the weekly saw a large bullish expansion, it left an inefficiency in price that the market has now balanced, and the asset has been “fairly” offered to both buyers and sellers.
This is a pivotal point as it needs to now either run above $8 and ideally push toward $20 or challenge the lows made earlier this quarter, and the notion will be seen in volume on both price and time volume profiles; when volume increases as price increases it is a good indication of a strong trend.
Risk should always be aggressively and independently managed.
Arweave ($AR) Reversal in Play: Eyeing $60!BINANCE:ARUSDT (Arweave) is showing signs of a potential reversal after the week of November 4th. While I’m a bit late to the entry, I’m watching for an optimal entry point to capitalize on potential upside.
Strategy:
Entry Point: Looking to enter below $22
Confirmation: I plan to buy on a weekly close above $23.4. This would confirm the reversal and suggest stronger upward momentum.
Target Price: Aiming for $60 in the medium-to-long term, should the bullish momentum continue.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Analysis on the 1-Hour TimeframeKey Levels and Observations
The black horizontal lines on the chart represent monthly support and resistance levels, which are critical zones for price reactions.
Significant levels include:
Support Levels: 2600, 2580, 2560
Resistance Levels: 2620, 2640, 2660
Momentum and Price Behavior
On the 1-hour timeframe, bearish momentum appears stronger as the red (bearish) candles are relatively larger than the green (bullish) ones.
The price has tested the 2600 support level twice but has failed to generate a strong rebound, suggesting possible weakness in buying pressure.
Possible Scenarios:
If Support at 2600 Holds:
The price could consolidate above this level, potentially targeting higher resistance zones like 2620 or 2640.
If 2600 Breaks:
A break below 2600 could lead to further downside movement, with 2580 and 2560 as the next potential targets.
Market Outlook
For now, the price appears to be stuck in a tight range between 2600 and 2620, indicating consolidation.
Traders should wait for a clear breakout or reversal around the key levels before making decisions.