Is HOOK About to Bounce or Break? Critical Levels to watch!Yello, Paradisers! Are we on the verge of a bullish move with HOOKUSDT, or is a breakdown lurking around the corner? Let’s dive in!
💎HOOKUSDT is currently sitting at a key support zone, and the probability of a bullish bounce from this level is high. However, probabilities in trading are never guarantees, so here’s what you need to watch for to confirm the next move.
💎If we see a bullish I-CHoCH (Internal Change of Character) or classic bullish patterns like the W pattern or Inverse Head and Shoulders on lower timeframes, the chances of a bounce will increase significantly. These patterns indicate that buyers are stepping in at these critical levels.
💎We also need to watch TOTAL2 (the altcoin market cap excluding BTC) and TOTAL3 (altcoin market cap excluding BTC and ETH). These broader market indicators provide context for altcoin sentiment and help avoid making isolated decisions based solely on one chart. Remember, the crypto market moves as a system — you can’t ignore the bigger picture!
💎If the price breaks down and closes below this strong support zone, it will invalidate the entire bullish setup. In that case, waiting for more clear and confident price action before jumping in will be the smarter move. Chasing trades after a breakdown can lead to unnecessary losses, and patience is what separates professional traders from gamblers.
🎖 This is exactly why discipline and patience are your most powerful tools in this market. If the bounce comes, it could be highly profitable, but don’t let emotions drive your decisions if the price breaks down. Staying objective and waiting for confirmations is what makes long-term winners.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Pivot Points
Corn Market Trends: Production in Argentina and Brazil (02.11)As the global corn market navigates supply constraints, the latest WASDE report highlights a downward revision in production forecasts for Argentina and Brazil, key players in global exports. Adverse weather conditions, including prolonged heat and dryness in Argentina and planting delays in Brazil, have led to lower yield expectations, tightening global supply chains.
Production Declines in Argentina and Brazil
Argentina's corn production is now projected at 50 million metric tons, down from 51 million, reflecting yield losses due to drought conditions in key growing regions. Brazil's output is also revised downward to 126 million metric tons, mainly due to slow second-crop planting progress in the Center-West region, which is critical for global supply.
Impact on Global Corn Trade
With reduced output from South America, global corn trade is seeing shifts. The WASDE report lowers projected corn exports from Brazil and Argentina, increasing reliance on alternative suppliers like the United States. However, U.S. exports are expected to face stiff competition from other global producers, including Ukraine and South Africa, despite ongoing geopolitical tensions.
U.S. Market and Price Dynamics
The U.S. corn market remains stable, with production estimates unchanged at 14.87 billion bushels. However, ending stocks are revised downward to 1.54 billion bushels, reflecting stronger demand. The season-average farm price for U.S. corn is raised to $4.35 per bushel, reflecting tighter global supplies and steady domestic consumption.
Key Market Implications
• Rising Global Prices: Lower South American output could support higher corn prices worldwide, benefiting U.S. exports.
• Shift in Import Demand: China, a major corn buyer, has reduced its import forecast, while Vietnam and Chile have increased theirs, signaling shifting trade patterns.
• Weather Risks Persist: Continued adverse weather could further impact production estimates, making upcoming forecasts critical for market direction.
Evolving weather conditions and policy changes could further impact global supply chains and price trends.
TOCOM:TGCN1! BMFBOVESPA:CORN11
Rebuy Setup For BEL (12H)Given the bearish CH and the formation of lower highs, BEL is expected to retrace toward lower levels.
If the price drops further, we will look for buy/long positions around the green zone.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
XAUUSD - Gold, no competitors!Gold is located in a 2 -hour timeframe, above EMA200 and EMA50 and is on its uptrend channel. Gold reform to the demand range will provide us with a good risk position for us.
According to Tom Stevenson from Fidelity International, gold remains resilient despite challenges such as high interest rates and a strong dollar, continuing its march towards the $3,000 mark. However, while these fundamental factors persist, he believes that silver could be a more attractive investment option in the future.
Stevenson notes that gold prices have increased tenfold since 2000 and have surged by over $1,000 since late 2023. Yet, he argues that fundamentally, gold should not be this expensive.
He explains: “Historically, precious metals tend to underperform when interest rates rise. This is because, unlike bonds, stocks, cash, or real estate, gold does not generate income for investors. When other assets offer appealing returns, there is less incentive to hold onto what economist John Maynard Keynes once referred to as the ‘barbarous relic.’ This situation remains true today, yet gold continues to set new record highs.”
Stevenson also believes that gold should benefit from a weaker dollar. He states: “Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, when other currencies strengthen against the dollar, their purchasing power for gold increases.Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, global demand for gold should decline. However, despite Trump’s policies reinforcing the dollar, gold remains on an upward trajectory.”
He concludes that this signals something important to the market: “Gold’s performance suggests that not everything is as stable in the world as some may think. It indicates investor concerns, and history has shown that ignoring gold’s signals during times of uncertainty is a mistake.”
Stevenson further emphasizes that central banks around the world are taking steps to hedge against risks. Since the onset of the Ukraine war and subsequent sanctions, countries like Russia, China, India, and Turkey have increased their gold purchases in an effort to reduce their dependence on the U.S. dollar. He points out that gold has long been recognized as a valuable store of wealth and a diversification tool, as it carries no credit risk unlike paper currencies. According to him, central bank gold purchases in 2024 have surpassed 1,000 tons for the third consecutive year.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and head of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), has shared memes resurfacing old conspiracy theories regarding the status of the U.S. government’s gold reserves at Fort Knox. In response, a prominent politician seized this rare opportunity to call for greater transparency.
Senator Rand Paul, a Republican representative from Kentucky, replied to one of Musk’s posts advocating for an annual audit of Fort Knox, writing, “Let’s do it.” So far, no evidence has surfaced to support Musk’s theory of missing gold, but the status of these reserves remains highly classified.
EUR/JPY Buy from Pivot LineEntry:
Buy at Pivot Point (P) – 158.805
Stop Loss:
Below support level S1 – 158.023
Take Profit:
Near resistance level R1 – 161.561
Rationale:
Price is currently testing the pivot level, a common area for a bounce.
If the price holds above the pivot, it suggests bullish momentum.
Aiming for the next resistance level (R1) as a profit target.
Tight stop below S1 ensures minimal loss if the price breaks lower.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:3, making it a favorable setup.
Extra Confirmation:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns or price rejection at the pivot level.
Monitor volume increase to support the upward move.
XAGUSD - How far will silver go?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. If we see a correction, we can re-enter the silver purchase and accompany it to the ceiling of the ascending channel. Then we can sell within the specified supply zone with an appropriate reward for risk.
In recent weeks, analysts have warned investors that gold prices breaking strongly above $2,800 suggest an overbought market.Therefore, it is not surprising to see some profit-taking finally occurring, especially since gold prices have surged by more than 11% since the beginning of the year.
In contrast, silver has been notably underwhelming. Despite having strong bullish fundamentals, it has not experienced price increases on par with gold. Moreover, silver is more unpredictable, as its volatility is twice that of gold.
In recent days, U.S. President Donald Trump has taken bold steps in trade and foreign relations. On Tuesday night, he announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on imported cars, pharmaceuticals, and semiconductor chips. This decision comes at a time when global markets are grappling with heightened uncertainties, while hopes remain for an end to the Ukraine conflict.
A 25% tariff on imported cars could significantly impact the global automotive industry, which has already been facing challenges. Trump has long criticized what he perceives as “unfair treatment” of American car exports in foreign markets. For instance, the European Union imposes a 10% tariff on imported cars—four times higher than the 2.5% tariff the U.S. levies on passenger vehicles.
Similar tariffs are planned for pharmaceuticals and semiconductor chips, starting at 25% and set to increase significantly next year. However, Trump did not specify an exact timeline for implementation, stating that he wants to give pharmaceutical companies and chip manufacturers time to establish production facilities in the U.S. to avoid these tariffs.
Beyond their immediate impact on specific industries, these tariffs could have long-term repercussions, such as higher business costs and rising prices for consumers. Trump also indicated that he expects major corporations to invest more in the U.S. soon, although he did not provide further details.
Amid these trade developments, Trump has initiated negotiations with Russia, signaling a potential shift in diplomatic relations between the two nations. On Tuesday, senior officials from both countries took steps toward rebuilding ties, agreeing to collaborate on ending the Ukraine conflict, increasing financial investments, and restoring diplomatic relations. This meeting marks a significant shift following three years of U.S. efforts to isolate Moscow.
Meanwhile, a massive influx of gold and silver has entered the U.S., as major banks and market players hedge against potential tariff threats. This surge in demand has driven up gold and silver prices, creating notable premiums in North American markets. However, a research firm argues that concerns over tariffs may be exaggerated.
In a report by BCA Research, commodity analysts revealed they had taken a short position in silver as a contrarian play against tariff fears.
They stated, “There is a strong likelihood that the U.S. will not impose import tariffs on gold, silver, platinum, or copper. There is no compelling economic or political motivation for the U.S. to take such action.” They added, “Since the recent surge in precious metal prices has been driven by tariff concerns, investors may react negatively to these price increases.”
BCA also noted that if the U.S. were to impose tariffs on gold and silver, they would likely be introduced alongside steel and aluminum tariffs.
Analysts concluded, “The silver market is relatively shallow and less liquid, making it more vulnerable to short-term price declines than gold. However, any short-term weakness presents an attractive opportunity for cyclical and structural positioning in this precious metal.”
WTI - Will oil return to the upward trajectory?!WTI oil is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the support area, the next opportunity to buy oil with a reward at a reasonable risk will be provided to us. A valid break of the drawn downtrend line will pave the way for oil to reach the drawn areas.
Goldman Sachs has stated that even if hostilities in Ukraine cease and sanctions are eased, Russia’s oil exports are unlikely to see a significant increase. The bank believes that Russia’s crude oil production will remain capped at 9 million barrels per day, not primarily due to sanctions, but rather because of the country’s commitments under the OPEC+ agreement.
OPEC+, which is responsible for nearly half of the world’s oil production, has decided to delay its planned production increase, which was originally scheduled between April and July. Meanwhile, Trump has announced that additional negotiations with Russia are set to take place in an effort to bring an end to the war in Ukraine—an event that could impact the outlook of global energy markets.
Russia remains one of the key oil suppliers worldwide and plays a significant role in price fluctuations. Goldman Sachs predicts that the price of Brent crude will rise to $79 per barrel by the end of this month, while it is currently trading at around $76 per barrel.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that the United States has, in some ways, helped Vladimir Putin break out of his isolation. He emphasized that Trump’s team must gain a better understanding of Ukraine’s actual situation and made it clear that he has no intention of “selling” his country. Zelensky also highlighted the strength and resilience of the Ukrainian military and added that Trump’s envoy should ask ordinary Ukrainians how they perceive him following his recent statements.
Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin announced that the rapid reconstruction of the Caspian Pipeline is not feasible. He explained that Western-made equipment used in the Caspian Pipeline Consortium has sustained severe damage due to recent attacks.
Putin emphasized that the restoration of this pipeline would not be completed swiftly, as critical components rely on Western technology and have been significantly impaired.
The pipeline, which transports Kazakh oil to global markets, has experienced a 30-40% reduction in oil flow following a drone attack on one of its pumping stations in southern Russia. This reduction equates to approximately 380,000 barrels per day (bpd). This development was not entirely unexpected, as Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak had previously stated that repairs to the pipeline could take several months.
GOOGL OUTLOOKFor GOOGL, key levels are identified to evaluate market entries and exits. One strategy could be to look for buying opportunities when the price approaches or falls within the 175 to 180 range, capitalizing on potential bounces or technical support. Conversely, taking profits or closing positions might be considered in the sell zone around 188 and 192, where resistance levels could occur. It is crucial to complement these strategies with additional technical analysis and to remain aware of market volatility.
Disclaimer: The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves significant risks, and you should consult a financial advisor before making any decisions
EURNZD -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.82059, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 1.85400 breaks.
If the support at 1.82059 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.85400 on 12/27/2024, so more losses minimum to Major Support (1.82059) is expected.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 43.
Supports and Resistances:
1.87650
1.85400
1.82059
1.78251
1.76500
1.74929
1.73804
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TRON is going to the MOON? TRX Weekly forecast & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 0.17000, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 0.27260 breaks.
If the support at 0.17000 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 0.20100 on 02/03/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 0.24740, 0.25800 and maximum to Major Resistance (0.27260) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.24740
0.25800
0.27260
0.30099
0.33299
0.45000
__________________________________________________________________
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. . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?)
🙏 Your support is appreciated!
Now, it's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Have a successful week,
ForecastCity Support Team
Going Long with ADBE!ADBE after hitting take-profit, sold off during first hour of day and got stopped, only to reverse. Typically when trades start to win, they continue doing so, which is why I went long when the signal fired earlier.
The King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for this one! ARKK and over 100 equities are built into this script with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off).
BITCOIN analysis in 2H TFGiven the bearish structure, lower highs (H) and lower lows (L), and the formation of a resistance line, we can expect the price to move downward toward the demand zone.
The price may react to the demand zone.
A 4-hour candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
invalidation level: 100284$
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
What to do if you hold a short position?Dear Traders,
Gold has continued its upward movement, supported by strong buying interest, pushing above 2930, with bullish momentum regaining control. However, at this stage, I do not believe it is wise to chase further long positions in gold.
I am currently still holding short positions in gold, and despite its apparent strength, I am not concerned about my short positions. This is because gold is once again facing resistance at previous highs, and according to the trendline, the 2936-2940 region remains a key resistance zone. Therefore, it is likely that gold will pull back upon reaching this zone and test support in the 2915-2910 region.
In terms of short-term trading, I will continue to short gold in batches above 2930, using the 2936-2940 resistance zone, and expect a retracement towards the 2915 area.
Bros, do you have the courage to short gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
ORDI buy/long setup (2H)Notice: This coin is highly volatile and somewhat risky—trade with caution.
After a sharp drop, it has formed a ranging zone. As long as no candle closes below the previous low, we can look for buy/long positions in the lower order blocks, as there are sell orders in the swap zone and above, aiming to push the price lower.
Note: Enter positions only within the demand zone, not higher.
Targets are marked on the image.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
The bearish superwave of SOL has begun (3D)It seems that the The bearish superwave of SOL has begun.
A large liquidity pool has formed below the price, which is likely to break soon.
The all-time high has been broken falsely. This could lead to heavy drops in the weekly timeframe.
In the mid-term and long-term, Solana appears bearish.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
AMZN Trading AnalysisLong Positions:
Initiate long positions at three key support levels:
Buy at 228 with a profit target of 232.
Buy at 223 with a profit target of 235.
Buy at 213 with a profit target of 241.
Strategy Overview:
This approach is designed to capture an upward move by entering at progressively lower support levels and setting corresponding profit targets as resistance levels. The staggered entry allows for averaging the entry price and optimizing the exit points.
Risk Management:
Implementing proper stop loss levels is essential to manage potential risks effectively. Adjust position sizes in line with market volatility and your personal risk tolerance to minimize losses.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in financial markets involves risks and may result in losses. It is recommended to conduct your own analysis and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVDA Trading AnalysisLong Positions:
Buy at 138 and 132 with profit targets at 144 and 150.
Short Positions:
Sell at 148 and 152 with profit targets at 142 and 133.
Risk Management:
Ensure proper stop losses and adjust position sizes according to market volatility.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading in financial markets involves risks and may result in losses. It is recommended to conduct your own analysis and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.