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BTC - 4H Elliott Wave Analysis (part 1 of 2)Greetings, this is my current Elliott Wave count for Bitcoin. This time it is a bit different as I will do two separate post one containing the bullish count and one containing the bearish count. I split it up into two posts to keep the chart clean so it is easier to understand and I highly recommend reading both as none of them is preferred at the moment. I do post both counts now instead of waiting for clarity so everybody has time to prepare and get ready as the price might move fast especially with more news tomorrow the 16. January and the inauguration of Trump next Monday the 20th January. The counterpart counts will respectively be posted in the notes down below. The bullish count: In this count we assume that the red ABC is finished and with it the blue Wave 4 bottomed during the 13th January at 88909.0 USD and we started the blue Wave 5 which could be the last rally in this bull market. The recent move up could be 1st Wave of the impulse displayed as white Wave 1 here. Next we are looking for a retracement in white Wave 2. Wave 2 support sits between the 0.5 FIB at 94327.8 USD and the 0.786 FIB at 91228.2 USD. After we get the orange Wave A and B we can calculated further targets for orange Wave C which would finish white Wave 2. Important is that the coming retracement is in a corrective fashion and not an impulsive. If we see five Waves down now this could be the first indication that the bears are in control and we might get a lower blue Wave 4. Thanks for reading. NO FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Long
by KanashimiBro
XRP/USDT Daily Chart Summary (Ichimoku Cloud)Strong Uptrend: XRP is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a strong bullish trend with reliable support. Breakout Momentum: A breakout from a triangle pattern, supported by high trading volume, signals the potential for further upward movement. Key Levels: Resistance at $3.00 is approaching, with $1.00 remaining a critical historical support level. RSI Insights: The RSI above 70 indicates strong momentum but suggests potential short-term pullbacks due to overbought conditions. Volume Surge: Increased volume reinforces bullish confidence, supporting a possible continuation of the rally. Historical Context: External factors like political events are overlaid on the chart, adding an interesting dimension to market sentiment. Outlook: XRP could test $3.00 in the short term, with the potential for new highs if it breaks resistance. A healthy correction may occur due to overbought RSI before targeting $3.50-$4.00. KRAKEN:XRPUSDT
KRAKEN:XRPUSDLong
by clljohns
1
Hims breakout imminent Hims is about to break this descending wedge, and I have marked the supply and demand zones I will be utilizing for this setup. I have added ~ 1000 shares recently and plan on continuing to sell puts and calls. We had a nice reset on the weekly for volatility and momentum. I am VERY bullish since CPI was good as well. My plan: When we approach the demand zone (green box) I will sell aggressive cash secured puts 24 strike When we approach supply (red box) I will sell safe covered calls at the top range Rinse and repeat
NYSE:HIMSLong
by Apollo_21mil
XAUUSD - The CPI index will determine the gold path!Gold is located in a 4 -hour timeframe above EMA200 and EMA50 and is on its uptrend channel. If weaken in CPI data and market concerns about inflation, gold buying opportunities. The release of the headline stronger than the expectation of the CPI will result in the uptrend and decrease in gold. But in the secondary wave it will result in gold climbing. Gold prices have reached their highest levels in approximately four weeks, nearing the $2,700 range. Recent changes in stock markets and concerns over U.S. economic policies have driven increased demand for gold. Several key factors have contributed to the recent price surges. First, rising global tensions, particularly involving major powers such as the U.S., Russia, and China, have destabilized financial markets, prompting investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset to shield against potential crises. Second, persistent concerns about inflation in major economies have made gold an attractive option for preserving purchasing power. Additionally, central banks have significantly increased their gold reserves, boosting demand. Finally, expectations of interest rate cuts or potential easing by central banks, including the Federal Reserve, have further enhanced gold’s appeal. Gold prices have previously experienced sharp declines. Between 2011 and 2015, gold lost nearly 45% of its value, falling from its peak of $1,920 per ounce to $1,050 per ounce, driven by a strong dollar, rising interest rates, and an improving economy. Beyond this historical context, other scenarios could also lead to a 30% decline in gold prices. For instance, if the Federal Reserve adopts unexpectedly aggressive monetary policies and raises interest rates faster than anticipated, the strengthening dollar would exert downward pressure on gold prices. A sudden increase in gold supply could also push prices lower, whether due to the discovery of new reserves or the sale of gold holdings by central banks or large institutions. Moreover, robust improvements in global economies alongside geopolitical stability could dampen demand for gold. Finally, growing investor interest in alternative assets, such as cryptocurrencies or other commodities, could diminish gold’s perceived value. Paul Williams, CEO of Solomon Global, has forecasted that the factors driving 39 record-breaking gold price highs last year remain intact and could support further price growth in 2025. In his report, Williams stated: “The year 2024 reinforced gold’s role as a timeless and safe asset. In a world filled with geopolitical conflicts and economic uncertainties, gold has provided stability and security for investors. The record highs achieved in 2024 reflect not only market conditions but also a broader sense of caution and risk mitigation among investors. This trend appears poised to continue into 2025.” Meanwhile, The Wall Street Journal has released predictions from 17 economists on U.S. inflation data set to be announced on Wednesday, January 15, 2025. In 2024, the Federal Reserve made limited progress in curbing inflation, with most inflation indicators only slightly declining from the start of the year. Although policymakers had hoped inflation would approach the 2% target, persistent inflationary pressures have kept it near 3%. However, November’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report offered a glimmer of hope. Prices in sectors such as housing and services, which have been major drivers of persistent inflation, have begun to ease. This may lead to an unexpected decline in Wednesday’s CPI data, although more significant decreases are likely in early 2025. Analysts predict a monthly CPI increase of 0.3%, which is lower than the 0.4% forecast from the Federal Reserve Cleveland’s Inflation Nowcast model. According to these projections, annual CPI is expected to rise from 2.7% to 2.9% in November. Given that markets currently price in only two 25-basis-point rate cuts for all of 2025, a strong CPI report may not elicit a major market reaction. However, if CPI data comes in weaker than expected, the U.S. dollar could face selling pressure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
ADAUSD What does SeekingPips think? ADA Key PRICE what about TIMAs you know my now SeekingPips often consider TIME more important than PRICE when analysing any TIME and PRICE chart. 🟢 There is no difference here with ADA. ADAUSD is not really something that has really been on our radar but NOW THINGS MIGHT CHANGE. ⭐️TIME & PRICE have met in a crucial space and SeekingPips likes what he sees.⭐️ 🟢 The next 9 hours are very important for the longer term PRICE on this. 🟢 Our key level is shared on this chart. Currently favour the long side but we have no valid trigger to get involved. 🟢 SeekingPips will be watching this one closely this morning. ✅️ Have a GREAT DAY & Like Always Manage Your Risk and the PROFITS will take care of themselves. ⭐️ PLEASE LIKE AND FOLLOW SEEKINGPIPS NOW FOR OUR LATEST ANALYSIS⭐️
CRYPTO:ADAUSDLong
by seekingpips
Is Tesla TSLA ready to resume HIGHER? TSLA Buy Opportunity?🟢Tesla has been real good to us in our long term portfolio. 🟢Yes we took some profit in 2024 Q4 last year but hey we trade and invest for a living so we have to pay ourself sometimes. ✅️ Our higher time frame next major level remails at $722. Is TESLA creating a nice base for a new rally time will tell but current TIME and PRICE structure looks good. The low at 373 remains a key price level if this base is to materialise. WHILST 373 STAYS UNTOUCHED WE REMAIN ALERT FOR OUR BUY TRIGGER. ⭐️REMEMBER NO TRIGGER NO TRADE⭐️ 🟢 FOLLOW SeekingPips NOW TO STAY IN THE LOOK ON OUR LATEST IDEAS💡
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by seekingpips
Canadian Dollar Rises Amid Tariff Concerns and Oil GainsHello, FX:USDCAD : The Canadian dollar slightly rose against the U.S. dollar, with bond yields reaching multi-month highs, partly recovering from recent declines due to U.S. trade tariff threats. The loonie traded at 1.4405 to the U.S. dollar, recovering from a near 5-year low in December. Concerns about potential U.S. tariffs and their impact on the Bank of Canada have influenced the market. Despite strong job data in December, investor confidence in further BoC rate cuts has waned. Speculators have increased bearish bets on the Canadian dollar. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar gained against major currencies as expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts diminished. Oil prices rose 2.9% to $78.82 per barrel due to anticipated U.S. sanctions on Russian oil. The Canadian 10-year yield increased to 3.507%, marking its highest level since July 9. For this pair a bearish reversal is still anticipated in the near future! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
Short
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
EUR/USD Bearish Setup Short Opportunity at Key Resistance ZoneThis chart suggests a potential short setup for EUR/USD The price has been in a downward trend, making lower highs and lower lows. The current price action indicates a potential retracement towards the marked resistance zone near 1.02820 - 1.03117, which aligns with a possible supply zone. This zone could act as a strong resistance due to previous selling pressure. The price is likely to reject this resistance and resume the downward movement, following the overall bearish trend. A breakdown from the resistance zone could lead to a short opportunity targeting 1.01764 as the first support level. If bearish momentum continues, the price might further decline toward lower levels. Key levels to watch Resistance: 1.02820 - 1.03117 (entry zone for shorts if rejection occurs) First Target: 1.01764 (potential take-profit level) Stop Loss: Above 1.03117 (to protect against a breakout) Confirmation of rejection through candlestick patterns or bearish momentum near the resistance zone is crucial before entering the trade.
Short
by wolfchemist
2
NZD/USD: Confidence Boost Signals Potential ReversalHello, OANDA:NZDUSD : Business confidence in New Zealand improved in the fourth quarter, reaching its highest level since Q2 2021, according to a private think tank on Tuesday. The NZIER's quarterly survey showed that a net 16% of firms expect better business conditions, compared to just 1% expressing pessimism in the previous quarter. This suggests we may see further support tests before a potential bullish reversal. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
Long
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Bulls or Bears? Who’s going to be Top Doge!The market remains in a critical state, with key levels in play that will determine the next major move. The price has failed to break the .41 level, confirming the development of a 3-wave move up. This signals that the market may be entering a period of consolidation or correction, rather than continuing its upward trajectory. Currently, the price has broken below key support and is facing rejection at this level. This rejection suggests that bearish momentum could be taking hold, with the potential for an impulse move down in the near future. For bulls, the immediate focus is on reclaiming the .35 level. If the price fails to regain this level, the next potential target could be .28. Traders should remain vigilant as the market tests these crucial levels. Key Levels to Watch .35 Level For bullish traders, reclaiming .35 is critical. If the price breaks back above this level, it would signal potential strength and might open the door for further gains. A failure to reclaim this level, however, could signal the start of a deeper pullback. .28 Level Should the bulls fail to reclaim .35, the .28 level becomes the next major point of interest with a potential of going deeper. This level could act as strong support, but a break below it may lead to further downside potential. Potential for Impulse Down At the moment, the market shows signs of a possible impulse move down, especially if the bulls cannot regain control above .35. If the price continues to reject at key levels, the market may quickly shift toward bearish pressure, with .28 coming into play as the next potential target.
Short
by CryptoKnee