Pivot Points
M2 Peaking as Reverse Repo Drains to ZeroThe reverse repo balance at the Fed represents trapped liquidity. When this balance comes down it means liquidity is released into the economy and markets. The M2 level lags the change in reverse repo by about 300 days. Because reverse repo changes have been steady for some time, it is possible to draw a trajectory for reverse repo going to zero, and then M2 peaking out. This would coincide with a potential topping process for SPX as shown in the lower pane of the chart.
Minimum 9% Buy and hold at 9 year support + Confluence factorsHigh confluence zone gathering POC's of the last few months of 2024 and a Month Fair value gap used as a support for over 10 years.
This is a grab for me and its ready by monday as we retest the Q1 Pivot point
This EMA200 of a monthly chart is only available since 2018 but is such a wonderful support resistance for many pairs of Forex and we clearly see it happening with two week candles rejecting.
I will add to the winner above weekly BISI Fair value gap of Jan 06 at 0.838 after retest and only 1 more position to .81 which is higly risky if we reach .81
But getting down there would be a wreck of the British economy which is a 9 year low
Cardano AnalysisCardano ADA/USD Analysis
Cardano (ADA/USD) is currently trading at 0.788, having recently breached a critical support level. This breakdown has shifted the asset's technical structure, with the price now retesting the previously broken support zone, which has since turned into resistance. In technical analysis, such a retest of a breached support level often acts as a key confirmation point for the potential continuation of the prevailing trend. If the current candle closes decisively below this newly established resistance level, it could signal a resumption of bearish momentum, potentially opening the door for further downward movement.
The validity of this bearish outlook hinges on several factors, including the volume accompanying the price action and the broader market sentiment surrounding Cardano. Traders should remain vigilant for any signs of rejection or reversal patterns at this critical level, as these could negate the bearish thesis and indicate a shift in market dynamics.
In summary, while the current price action suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend, it is essential to approach the market with caution. We welcome your perspective on this analysis and whether you agree with the potential bearish outlook for Cardano. As always, prioritize responsible trading practices and robust risk management strategies.
IBIT (BTC) target March 31stHere is my coinciding target for IBIT which I hold in my main investment account and 401k. I believe this will happen in March or April and my target for BTC is 143k with an IBIT price of 83.
We see a consolidation similar to the recent pump we have a few months ago. Deeply low stochastic RSI and a moderate BBWP. I think we see a 30-40% move soon.
My plan:
I am trading this setup by utilizing my recent COIN/CONL trade. I also plan to dump all my IBIT around these levels since I already own Bitcoin and have a mara trade on deck.
Coin update and targetCoin I have not covered in a while since I sold my shares for a 550% gain last year. I thought this sell off was ridiculous after such blowout earnings. The market does not realize how large stable coin backed bonds will be. Since these stables are backed by USD, this will be an easier way to enter bonds for yield, especially since the dollar still crushes other fiat.
The chart I am posting is my typical weekly, the broadening channel I drew from the start is still in effect and I use it as a guide for my target which is 325-350$. The stochastic RSI is heavily bottomed out and BBWP recently flashed blue on the daily chart (very low historic volatility).
My plan:
I entered Coin on the dump with spot shares, I also added about 15% of the total position as levered Coin (CONL). I plan to exit between 310-325$.
WIF (dogwifhat), my notes for long-termI expect it to rise above 1.48 in the first place, I see it as a buying opportunity between 0.6 - 0.8.
If it manages to rise above $1.48, we may need to re-evaluate the chart. Above, 2.7 - 3.5 - 7.5 can be considered as profit-taking targets. However, the confidence in memecoins has decreased and whether we will see these levels again is unlikely. But as I said, it would be good to do research on the market in general after 1.48. I have allocated a very small portion of my portfolio to this coin.
not investment advice
GOLD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2789.95 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2789.95 is broken.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 2942.55 on 02/11/2025, so more losses to support(s) 2879.11, 2833.00 and minimum to Major Support (2789.95) is expected.
Supports and Resistances:
3000.00
2942.55
2879.11
2833.00
2726.10
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UK100 (FTSE)-Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
8380.25 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 8006.10 on 12/20/2024, so more gains to resistance(s) 8664.21, 8765.00, 9000.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
8083.43
8183.03
8242.89
8380.25
8485.05
8664.21
8765.00
9000.00
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Aave, my notes for long-termIt looks strong, if it does not lose the $250 level and passes the 430 level with a good-volume closings, I expect a new ATH. The levels I am watching are 215 and 160 and 120 below. 430, 660, 830, 1050, 1300 above.
For close term, I'm lookin for $330, if it passes there, it can rise more.
not investment advice
Avax analysis: How far will the fall continue...hello friends
Considering the drop we have, now we have to find the best support and check the reaction to the support when the price reaches that level.
We have obtained an important support for you, which can be moved up to the specified targets according to the price reaching there and maintaining the support.
*Trade safely with us*
Time to buy Solanahello friends
Well, I must say that it is very difficult to predict the route, but we can buy step by step.
Here, the price has fallen, and now it is on an important support. If the support is broken, we can buy lower support with capital management and move forward with it.
*Trade safely with us*
EURUSD Buy📉 EURUSD Signal | 1H Timeframe Analysis
📆 Date: February 7, 2025
🔍 Strategy: Breakout and Risk Management
✅ Suggested Position: Buy after pullback confirmation
🎯 Targets:
First Target: 1.04016
Second Target: 1.04429
Third Target: 1.04938
🛑 Stop Loss: 1.03083
🔄 Entry Level: Confirmed breakout at 1.03372
⚠ Key Points:
Enter if a pullback to 1.03372 is confirmed.
Set stop loss at 1.03083.
Apply proper risk management.
📊 Technical Analysis: The previous downtrend has been corrected, and we are in a demand zone. If the key level breaks, an upward move is expected.
#Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #EURUSD
TTD, where do we go from here?A significant sell-off in The Trade Desk (TTD) followed its earnings report, driving the price toward a critical technical zone. The 76.45 - 80.16 range has historically acted as a strong support area, with multiple price interactions suggesting institutional buying interest in the past.
If the price holds this zone as support and RSI begins to recover, a potential bounce toward the 96.50 resistance level could occur. Price action at in this zone will be key—if buyers step in, a short-term rebound may follow. However, a break below 76 with rising volume could indicate further downside, potentially leading to lower support levels.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve risk, and independent research or consultation with a professional is recommended before making any financial decisions.
2x Potential of TEVA. Possible Buying AreasIt looks like it has a possible 2x potential, I think the chart is pretty good. Around 15.25 as a buying place and if it comes, the 13.5-14 area looks good. If it goes directly from 15 or from here, it can be bought when it breaks and tests 18.5.
When we look at the chart from further back, we see that the price has risen above the price movement from May 2019 to May 2024. This movement is also positive as it comes with a voluminous candle. For this reason, it can be a good investment tool.
BTCUSDT 4H - Update✅ #BTCUSDT 4H - Update
📊 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
Bitcoin is currently in a neutral trend on the 4-hour timeframe.
🔹 Support Level: $90,000
🔹 Resistance Level: $108,000
💡 Key Points:
🔸 The closer we get to the $90,000 support level, the more attractive the buying opportunity becomes.
🔸 The closer we get to the $108,000 resistance level, the more attractive the selling opportunity becomes.
———————————————————
📢 Analyst: @MohsenHasanlu
📅 Date: 2025/02/04
PNUT buy/long setup (4H)Given the clearance of the resistance order block, a bullish iCH, the formation of a support zone, and the preservation of the low, we can look for buy/long positions on PNUT with a setup that offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
The green zone marks the entry area for the position, while the targets are indicated on the chart.
If the invalidation level is touched, this setup will be stopped.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Best Fibonacci Retracement and Extension Levels for Trading
In this short article, you will learn the best Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for trading Forex and Gold.
I will share with you correct settings for Fibonacci tools and show you how to use & draw Fibonacci's properly on TradingView.
Best Fibonacci Retracement Levels
First, let's discuss Fibonacci retracement levels.
Here are the default settings for Fibonacci retracement tool on TradingView.
We will need to modify that a bit.
We should keep 0; 0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786; 1 levels
0,382; 0,5; 0,618; 0,786 will be the best retracement levels for Forex & Gold trading.
How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement Levels Properly
In order to draw fib.retracement levels properly, you should correctly identify a price action leg.
You should underline that from its lowest low to its highest high, taking into consideration the wicks of the candlesticks.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bullish price action leg will be applied from its low to its high.
1.0 Fibonacci level should lie on the lowest lie, 0 - on the highest high.
Fibonacci Retracement of a bearish price action leg will be applied from its high to its low.
Best Fibonacci Extension Levels
Above, you can find default Fib.extension settings on TradingView.
We will need to remove all the retracement levels; 2,618; 3,618; 4,236 and add 1,272; 1,414 levels.
1,272; 1,414; 1,618 will be the best Fibonacci Extension levels for trading Gold and Forex.
How to Draw Fibonacci Extension Levels Properly
Start with correct identification of a price action leg.
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bearish price movement from its high to its low .
Draw the Fib.Extension levels of a bullish price movement from its low to its high.
I apply the fibonacci levels that we discussed for more than 9 years.
They proved its efficiency and strength in trading different financial markets. Learn to combine Fibonacci levels with other technical analysis tools to make nice money in trading.
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Near Protocol AnalysisNear Protocol Analysis:
Near Protocol is currently trading at 3.565, having recently broken through a critical support level. This breakdown has altered the technical structure of the asset, as the price now appears to be retesting the previously breached support zone, which has since transformed into resistance. In technical analysis, such a retest of a broken support level often serves as a key confirmation point for potential trend continuation. Should the current candle close decisively below this newly established resistance level, it could indicate a resumption of the bearish momentum, potentially paving the way for further downward movement.
It is important to consider that the reliability of this bearish outlook will depend on several factors, including the volume accompanying the price action and the broader market sentiment surrounding Near Protocol. Traders should also remain cautious of any signs of rejection or potential reversal patterns at this critical juncture, as these could invalidate the bearish thesis and suggest a shift in market dynamics.
In conclusion, while the current price action suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend.
We would be interested in hearing your perspective on this analysis and whether you concur with the potential bearish outlook for Near Protocol. As always, trade responsibly and prioritize risk management.
BTC at a Crossroad, Is the Drop to $91K Closer Than You Think ?A few days ago, we accurately predicted the market movement before anyone else. The price rebounded from the trendline, fell to the resistance level that aligned with the resistance zone, and eventually broke through it.
Following this breakout, the price continued to decline, even breaking through the support level before quickly reversing. After the reversal, the price surged sharply to the resistance zone but soon began to fall again, breaking through the 100,500 resistance level in the process.
Later, Bitcoin dropped to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and made an attempt to rise. However, it failed and pulled back to the 94,800 support level, where it traded for some time before bouncing back to the trendline.
Recently, the price turned around and resumed its downtrend.
Currently, I anticipate Bitcoin will rise to the trendline and then eventually fall below the support level. For this scenario, my target is set at 91,000, which lies below the support zone.
For more free strategies and trade updates, feel free to message me!
$ETH to $3000-3100 before new lows?Everyone is extremely bullish on ETH (and crypto in general), but the charts tell a different story. While many people will think the low is in (Feb 3 spike), I think we still have another larger fall to come over the next few weeks.
I could see the possibility of a move up to the resistance at $3000-$3100, but then after that, I'd set tight stops, as I think we're in for new lows. We're likely to see the bottom supports get tagged.
$1200-878 are likely, and in the extreme case, it's also possible to see $693.