GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected.
Take Profits:
2833.00
2879.11
2955.00
3000.00
3057.40
3100.00
3150.00
3200.00
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Pivot Points
XAUUSD:Adhere to the strategy of selling at high levelsI have consistently adhered to the strategy of shorting gold. Today, after the gold price spiked upwards, it showed a pattern of being under pressure. The price reached a peak of 3149 and then pulled back. After fluctuating during the U.S. trading session, it continued to decline. Currently, it has broken below the intraday demarcation level of 3120, which in the short term indicates that the bullish trend has temporarily come to an end, and a retracement and adjustment trend has started.
This is also the risk that has been repeatedly highlighted. One should not be blindly carried away by the bullish sentiment and should always maintain a sense of reverence for the market. In the early morning, when the price tested the resistance level around 3135, short positions could be initiated. Now, the price has plummeted rapidly to the resistance level of 3100. It is estimated that most long positions have been stopped out, but we have still achieved the take-profit.
In the subsequent trading, focus on the resistance level around 3130. If this level is not breached, one can continue to chase short positions.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
sell@3130
TP:3110-3100
BTCUSDT:started to recover!!As I stated in my previous idea, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the true direction becomes apparent. Retail traders who short this structure are providing momentum for the next upward rally.
BTC has started to recover. Today, it directly surged to around 85,500. Currently, Bitcoin still maintains a bullish trend. It is advisable to wait for a price pullback and then initiate long positions.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@83500-84500
TP:85500-86500
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USOIL:The bullish momentum demonstrates strong performanceRecently, the United States has stepped up its sanctions against Iran. It also made threatening remarks indicating that if the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine fail to reach an agreement, it will further intensify sanctions against Russia. Such actions have heightened the market's concerns about the future supply side.
Meanwhile, the short-term and phased decline in the United States' domestic oil production, combined with its temporary abstention from taking additional measures to suppress oil prices, has led to a certain increase in the supporting strength of the oil market recently. Yesterday, the upward trend of oil prices continued.
Take a long position at $71.05 for the oil price. Set a stop-loss of 30 basis points and a take-profit at $72.70.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70.8-71.05
TP:72.20-72.50
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CRV ANALYSIS (1D)The smaller structure of CRV is bearish. It is expected to reject downward from the red zone, with our rebuy zone being the green area.
Given that the internal structure is bearish, it is ultimately expected to reach the green zone.
Closing a daily candle below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Gold Investors Beware: Bears Are Quietly AssemblingGold’s candlestick chart has displayed multiple upper shadows above the 3025-3030 zone, widely regarded as a clear rejection signal. With repeated failures to break through this resistance, gold is showing signs of forming a potential short-term top. This not only caps the upside but could also act as a key indicator of a possible bearish reversal.
Following the Asian session's opening, gold experienced a slight gap up but failed to sustain its momentum, maintaining a range-bound movement instead. The lack of strong bullish follow-through reflects weak buying interest.
Additionally, recent statements from Trump suggest a softened stance on tariff policies, with his rhetoric appearing less aggressive. If the tariffs are implemented in a more moderate manner or market reactions are less severe than anticipated, risk-off sentiment could subside, leading to a significant pullback in gold prices.
But given the presence of strong buying interest and bullish sentiment consolidation, expectations for an extensive decline remain limited. The primary support to monitor lies in the 3110-3100 range. If gold break below this zone, it may trigger an accelerated drop, with the next downside target at the 3095-3085 region.
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ADA - Next Trade Setups to WatchADA’s been stuck in this sideways grind for a while, and the volume’s basically ghosting us. So, where’s it at, and where’s the next move? Let’s dig in.
ADA’s sitting at $0.6615 right now, trading below the yearly open at $0.8451 and the range’s sweet spot, the POC, at $0.7325. That tells me it’s leaning a bit bearish, but not exactly screaming panic, more like it’s just chilling in this 57 day range. It tapped the monthly open at $0.6328 recently, bounced a little, but without volume showing up, it’s like nobody’s ready to commit yet.
Key Levels
Resistance Zones (Short Opportunities)
1.) Range POC: $0.7325, this is the most traded price within the 57 day range, acting as a magnet for price. A rejection here could signal a short setup.
2.) Yearly Open ($0.8451): a psychological and structural level that could cap upside if momentum remains weak. Trading below this level keeps the yearly bias bearish. A break above with volume would flip the narrative.
Support Zones (Long Opportunities)
1.) Monthly Open: $0.6328, already saw a little bounce here with that swing failure move, perfect setup for a long trade if you were quick on the draw.
2.) Yearly Open 2024 + 21 Monthly EMA: $0.594 - $0.5928, strong confluence with the prior yearly open and a key moving average. This zone aligns closely with the swing low at $0.5801, forming a robust support cluster between $0.5801 - $0.594.
3.) 21 SMA: $0.53, a deeper support level if the above zone fails. This would indicate a more significant breakdown, but it’s a potential accumulation area for longer-term traders.
Market Structure Analysis
Bearish Bias Above Swing Low: Trading below the yearly open and POC suggests sellers are in control unless price reclaims $0.7325 with conviction.
Range-Bound Behaviour: The 57 day range indicates consolidation. Volume is the missing catalyst, watch for a spike to confirm direction.
Swing Low as Key Pivot: The $0.5801 level is critical. A hold here maintains the range; a break below shifts focus to $0.53 and signals capitulation.
High-Probability Trade Setups
Long Setups
1.) Long Setup #1 at Swing Low ($0.5801 - $0.594 Zone)
Entry Trigger: Look for a swing failure pattern (SFP) where price dips below $0.5801, reclaims it, and shows rejection of lower prices (e.g., a bullish candle with a wick below).
Stop Loss (SL): Place just below the swing low
Take Profit (TP): $0.70 (near-term resistance)
Stretch Target: $0.8451 (yearly open), though this requires stronger momentum.
Confirmation: Higher-than-average volume on the reclaim + bullish price action (e.g., engulfing candle).
2.) Long Setup #2: $0.4735 Sniper Entry
Entry Trigger: If ADA takes a bigger tumble, $0.4735 is your sniper’s nest, think of it as catching the knife with style. Could be a wick that snaps back.
This is a deeper, high-reward play. Price has to fall by a lot from here, but if it hits, the R:R is amazing, and it’s below most traders radar. Patience is the name of the game.
Short Setup
At POC ($0.7325) or Yearly Open ($0.8451)
Strategic Outlook
Current Stance: If not in a trade, the $0.5801 level is the highest-probability long setup due to confluence and R:R. The SFP at $0.6328 today was a missed opportunity, but a deeper pullback sets up an even better entry.
Breakout Watch: A decisive close above $0.7325 (POC) with volume shifts focus to $0.8451. Conversely, a break below $0.5801 targets $0.53.
Patience is Key: Low volume suggests waiting for a clear catalyst (e.g., news, BTC move) to drive ADA out of this range.
Wrapping It Up
The $0.5801 swing low long with SL below and TP at $0.7 - $0.8451 is the standout trade right now—low risk, high reward, and backed by confluence. Monitor volume closely, as it’s the linchpin for any breakout or reversal. If ADA holds this support and volume picks up, the retest of $0.8451 becomes plausible.
If you found this helpful, please leave a like and a comment. Happy trading!
Trading with the CoffeeKiller Suite: A Friend-to-Friend GuideHey there! So you've got the CoffeeKiller indicator suite loaded up on your charts, and you're wondering how to use them together as a cohesive trading system. Let me walk you through how I'd approach this setup with the Rev&Line with TrendMarker on your main price chart and the RSI+MFI Momentum Mapper and MACD Boundary as your oscillators below.
The Big Picture: How These Work Together
Think of this setup as a three-layer confirmation system:
1. Rev&Line with TrendMarker gives you the big picture trend and potential reversal points on price
2. RSI+MFI Momentum Mapper shows you the underlying momentum strength
3. MACD Boundary confirms cycle timing and helps with entry precision
What makes this system powerful is how they complement each other. When all three align, you've got a high-probability trade setup.
Reading Your Main Chart: Rev&Line with TrendMarker
This is your primary trend identifier. The key features to watch are:
- Background color: Green means bullish (both SuperTrend and PSAR agree), red means bearish. This is your first clue about trend direction.
- ZigZag lines: These connect significant pivot points, helping you visualize the trend structure.
- Marker lines: These track the price range of the current swing. The high (magenta) and low (cyan) marker lines create a channel that price tends to respect.
- Triangle signals: When you see a down triangle at a pivot high or an up triangle at a pivot low, pay attention! These often mark potential reversal points.
The beauty of the Rev&Line indicator is that it combines multiple technical concepts (ZigZag, SuperTrend, PSAR, and Donchian Channels) into one visual guide.
Checking Momentum: RSI+MFI Momentum Mapper
This oscillator is your momentum gauge, combining RSI and MFI for a more reliable signal:
- Zero line: Above zero means bullish momentum, below means bearish.
- Colored columns: Watch how these behave - the color changes tell you about momentum shifts.
- Marker lines: Just like on the main chart, these track the range of the current momentum swing.
- Peak markers: The yellow triangles mark significant momentum peaks and troughs.
When the marker lines are making higher highs in bullish territory or lower lows in bearish territory, the momentum is strong. When they start to flatten out, momentum is weakening.
Timing Entries: MACD Boundary
The MACD Boundary adds precision to your entries and confirms the other indicators:
- Histogram columns: The dynamic coloring tells you about strength and direction.
- Marker lines: These track the historical range of the current MACD cycle.
- Peak markers: Just like the RSI+MFI indicator, these show you momentum turning points.
One huge advantage of this MACD implementation is the timeframe flexibility - you can view a shorter timeframe chart but calculate the MACD on a higher timeframe for better trend alignment.
Putting It All Together: Trade Setups
Bullish Setup:
1. Main chart: Background turns green, ZigZag starts moving up, and we get an up triangle
2. RSI+MFI: Crosses above zero, columns turn green, and the high marker line starts making higher highs
3. MACD: Histogram turns green and crosses above zero
Bearish Setup:
1. Main chart: Background turns red, ZigZag starts moving down, and we get a down triangle
2. RSI+MFI: Crosses below zero, columns turn red, and the low marker line starts making lower lows
3. MACD: Histogram turns red and crosses below zero
Fine-Tuning Entries
For entry timing, I'd pay special attention to:
- When price tests the lower (cyan) marker line in an uptrend
- When the RSI+MFI indicator shows a yellow up triangle at a trough
- When the MACD histogram starts to turn back toward zero after making a notable low
Managing Risk
Use the marker lines on the main chart for stop placement - they create natural areas of support and resistance. In an uptrend, I'd place my stop just below the lower marker line. In a downtrend, I'd place it just above the upper marker line.
Pro Tips from Personal Experience
1. Watch for divergences: If the main chart is making higher highs but the oscillators are making lower highs, be cautious of a potential reversal.
2. Pay attention to confluences: When marker lines from different timeframes align at a similar price level, that's often a powerful support/resistance zone.
3. Don't fight the background color: One of the easiest mistakes is trying to short when the background is green or go long when it's red. Be patient and wait for full alignment.
4. Focus on peak markers: Those little yellow triangles on the oscillators often precede major moves, especially when they show up after a deep momentum thrust.
5. Use the percentage values: On the main chart, the percentage indicators show where price is within the current range - great for gauging how much "room" is left in the current swing.
Remember, no system is perfect, but this suite gives you a comprehensive view of market structure, momentum, and timing. When all three indicators align, that's when the highest probability setups occur.
Disclaimer
This trading system explanation is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Trading financial markets involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. The analysis, indicators, and strategies discussed do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or signals to trade. Past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results. Before implementing any trading strategy, consult with a licensed financial advisor who can provide personalized advice based on your specific financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment goals. Remember that no trading system can guarantee profits, and you should never invest money that you cannot afford to lose.
EURUSD:Pay special attention to the resistance level at 1.0850In the future, two major variables will dominate the trend of the euro:
1、Details of tariff policies: If the US imposes tariffs on the EU with an intensity exceeding expectations, the euro may quickly test the support level of 1.0750. Conversely, if the measures are mild or postponed, the exchange rate may rebound above 1.0900.
2、Linkage of US economic data: If the manufacturing PMI and non-farm payroll data reinforce the "American economic exceptionalism", the US dollar may regain buying interest and suppress the euro. If the data is weak, it will solidify the expectation of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in June, which is bearish for the US dollar.
We can focus on the initial resistance level of 1.0850 above. If this level is not breached, one can attempt to short at high levels.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0850
TP:1.0750
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EUR/USD BuyHello dear traders
I try to guide you in trading and creating trading positions and share my trading ideas with you so that if I make a profit, you can also make a profit with me.
These analyzes are done with great complexity and all technical parameters are taken into account as much as possible.
And finally, it is presented to you in a completely simple and practical way to use them.
Be sure to follow the capital management.
Do not risk more than 1% of the capital in any of the positions.
Keep in mind that you are responsible for all trades.
(Good luck)
BTC:Start to recoverBTC broke below 83,000 and continued to decline, reaching around the lowest level of 82,000. Currently, it generally shows a downward trend.
In my opinion, the entire bearish trend is merely a well-structured catalyst. Its function is to attract breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downward trend, and trap liquidity at the low points before the true direction becomes apparent. Retail traders who short this structure are providing momentum for the next upward rally.
Before that, BTC can still be regarded as bullish, and each pullback to the demand zone can be considered as an opportunity to go long.
BTC Trading strategy:
buy@82000-82500
TP:83000-85000
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
XAU/USD BuyHello dear traders
I try to guide you in trading and creating trading positions and share my trading ideas with you so that if I make a profit, you can also make a profit with me.
These analyzes are done with great complexity and all technical parameters are taken into account as much as possible.
And finally, it is presented to you in a completely simple and practical way to use them.
Be sure to follow the capital management.
Do not risk more than 1% of the capital in any of the positions.
Keep in mind that you are responsible for all trades.
(Good luck)