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A Renko Trading Strategy with Multiple Indicators (update 1)This will serve as an update to the previous discussion specifically to some of the chart settings and the approach. Going into the open on 25-March-2024, I was looking for price to move lower to test the monthly and yearly Camarilla R3. My reasoning was that neither seemed to have been tested yet and that these two together would provide a good level for support. My long term view on crude oil is bullish and I believed this type of action would provide a good entry point. However, this plan did not come through so I stood aside to let the market playout to determine another entry strategy. While watching the market in the charts I had published earlier, I decided to make some adjustments to see if I would have detected the market’s plan sooner providing an entry point. The following are the changes that I’ve made: Changed the timeframe of the Renko chart from 15 minutes to 1 minute. Without paying for a higher subscription in TV, 1 minute is as low of a timeframe as you can go with Renko. This alone changed the dynamics of the chart with a different view on the DMI and Stoch. Changed the slower Stoch from 25,3,3 to 50,3,3 (which is a setting I’ve experimented with in the past. The DMI remained the same as did the levels of importance for the ADX of 35 and 20. Added the BPP (Bull Bear Power) indicator and set it to an interval of 50. I’ve not used this indicator before but was experimenting with some items yesterday and found this. I set the line to a step line and you can see the results here. Added a 2-hour candle chart next to the Renko and will use it in conjunction with the Renko chart to make entry/exit decisions. Removed the manual Linear Regression from the Renko chart and have added them to the 2hr chart. This is a more natural fit and have maintained the default settings. I have added two LR indicators with one at 1 STD and one at 2 STD. Removed the manual drawings of the Camarilla pivots and have added them as indicators to the 2hr chart. Removed the volume profile from the Renko chart and have added it to the 2hr chart with a week timeframe. All markup for volume area, opening range, etc. will be put on the 2hr chart and will be for a weekly view. The Renko chart will remain to work for timings of entry and exits. Considering the 1-minute chart, you can see that there was a buy signal across several of the setups. As noted earlier, the consolidation on the 1 minute/25 tick Renko chart provided a signal that a breakout was coming. The slower Stoch set to 50,3,3 provided some insight into the direction with the break of the %k up over the %d and lastly, the new BBP gave an indication that the down move was a correction and that higher prices could be coming. A long wick and breakout of consolidation would have been a trigger to enter a trade of buying a Call option (see green arrow on Renko). Looking at the 2hr candle chart with the 2 linear regressions (1 and 2 STD respectively), then you can see where the support was formed then then where resistance was hit. The monthly and the weekly R4 provided resistance and now support is at the median of the current LR. Because the break of the weekly R3 was with a force with no test, my plan now is to find an entry long (an August Call) along this line which is also the same proximity of the weekly Pivot and the top of the week’s opening range (where the opening range for the week is defined as the first 5 2hr candles of the week. With a red brick in place on the 1 minute/25 tick chart, a green brick now would be a buying opportunity. I’ve added a consolidation channel across levels of what could be support for any pullback and could see another 25-tick brick in place before the green brick to the upside.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
A Renko Trading Strategy with Multiple IndicatorsThis study will walk through several concepts in analyzing crude oil. The primary chart type will be a Renko chart with the block size (ticks) set to 25 (0.25 in TV) and with a timeframe set to 15 minutes. The significance of timeframe is that in TV, it will take this amount of time for the price to maintain a full block change (25 cents) in order for it to be ‘printed’. In times of high volatility, a 15-minute window can allow for more than one block to print at the same time. While this may be a disadvantage in trading CL futures either day or swing trading, it helps filter out noise in the type of trading I do. The basic strategy I’m wanting to establish using this setup is the buying of options, either puts or calls, that are as near to the market as possible and to limit risk to a % of the value of the purchase price of the option. So, for example, if I pay $2,500.00 USD for a CLQ24 85 Call, I will limit my loss to 10% of that price should the market go against what I had expected. The chart setups and scenarios in this study will be based on Renko charts along with various indicators that will be discussed (for the most part individually). A view of 2024 based on the Renko setup. I will start with this basic view that has the Renko chart configured as outlined above with two linear regression drawings manually drawn on it. There is an indicator for LR which will follow each block change and change accordingly based on the lookback configuration. With the drawing tool, you can start and end the LR based on your strategy. In mine, I want to base the LR on price from a major low to a major high and then adjust based on if a new high or low is obtained. In this chart, I picked the low as that of late December (the first long black arrow). As an exercise, you can hit the new highs from this point to see how the LR adjusted and how future price flowed within it. There are two LR drawings on this chart; one with an upper and lower deviation set to 2/-2 and the second with a upper and lower deviation set to 1/-1 (these are the ones with dots for a boundary). In this specific chart, I’ve started with the latest high to be that on 01-March and with the LRs both extended to the right, you can see the price movement against these LR into the future. As price broke through the top of the LR recently, a new high was put in on 24-March and the adjustment of the LR will be shown next. With this new high confirmed, the LRs are both move to end at this high while keeping the original starting point the same. In this view, price pulled back to the top of the LR 1std and close here. With the LR extended, you can see where the mean is and a potential price target if just considering the LR itself. An expanded view of above: Next, I’ll introduce the DEMA and simple MA on the chart. There are two DEMAs added to the chart with one set to a period of 12 and one set to a period of 20. The significance of the two is that when the 12 (black on this chart) is above the 20 (red on this chart), then the trend is bullish and when the opposite, the trend is bearish. I use these two more for confirmation than for timing. If you study these, you’ll see that they lag for the most part but there are key times that they will provide insight to the direction of a market during times of consolidation. The next two indicators that I’ll introduce are the Stochastic and Directional Movement Index (DMI with the ADX). The experience of using these indicators on a Renko chart is like that on a candle chart except that the period is not for time but the number of bars that have been printed or committed. There are two Stochs used (5,3,3 and 25,3,3). The intent of the 5,3,3 is to provide a fast-moving change in momentum while the 25,3,3 is designed to provide insight to the momentum of the longer trend. Insight as to timing the entry and exit of trades may be possible with an in-depth understanding of the crossover of the 25,3,3 between the %k and the %d. The DMI can be used like it is against a candle chart but with settings at 5,5. This provides a faster moving indicator and, with some study, can determine the importance of the interactions between the 3 lines. There is one key aspect of this indicator with the Renko that works similar to the candle and that is of identifying pending consolidation of the market. In a traditional setup of the DMI on a candle chart, the settings are 14,14 and the line of 20 in the indicator is traditionally the line of strength. Meaning that when the ADX falling at or below the 20 line, then the trends are weak and the market is entering consolidation. During this time, the guidance from various sources is to look for patterns on the market and signs of a breakout. For the Renko charts, the are to watch for trend strength and consolidation is between the 35 and 20 area based on the analysis I’ve done. On the following chart, I’ve highlighted some of these areas of consolidation. Additionally, there is a notion of a high-swap of the +/-Dis which is when price has started moving strongly in one direction and then pivots to change direction and build into a strong trend from this. While in hindsight these look compelling, they can be difficult to trade in real-time, it’s difficult to differentiate between a high-swap and a future degradation of the trend that leads to consolidation. I think that the more reliable setup is finding the longer points of consolidation and prepare to trade in the breakout direction. As you can see on the close Friday, price has moved off of a new recent high and could now be trending down into a period of consolidation (if one were to use just the combination of the DMI and ADX). If you’ve not read “Secrets of a Pivot Boss” by Franklin O. Ochoa, I would encourage you to do so as it has many extremely valuable and innovative ideas in trading off volume, value, and pivots. The following discussions will be based on concepts from this book. The first covered will be that of volume area. I will not dig into the specifics of this but to just show one of the many indicators available in TradingView for these concepts. The volume indicators will work with Renko charts and the specific one I’m using allows me to set the increment of volume based on rows or ticks. I’ve chosen ticks and set the number to 5. With a 25 tick Renko chart, this will allow for a granularity of 5 rows per block for displaying the volume profile. In the chart below, I’ve highlighted a concept outlined in the book of the volume area that is extended out to the next trading day and is what forms the basis for 2-day volume area analysis. There are 6 scenarios that go with this analysis and the pink channels on the chart are intended to enable this view. The volume profile I’ve picked in the indicator is for the week so the analysis I do is for the week and not daily. One of the key setups from the book is an ‘inside day’ which you can see at the black arrow. An inside day is a day to watch for breakout (in this case it would be an inside week) and, after support was found, the price went higher. The last set of indicators that I’ll cover is the Camarilla Pivots. These too are covered in depth in the book referenced above as well as a wealth of details on the web. These pivots do not work on Renko charts so I will create a candle chart with an 8hr setting and then set up the monthly and yearly pivots on it. From this chart, I’ll copy key lines over to the Renko chart. This first chart is a view of the 25 tick, 15 minute chart going back to the beginning of 2024. I’ve labeled some of the key lines on this chart for both the year 2024 and the month of March. This is zoomed into the month of March. I believe a key concept that makes these pivots on the Renko with the timeframe powerful is the ability to see the tests that happen around the various pivots for both support and resistance. There is an entire trading strategy that is outlined in the book referenced above. The current price action seems to imply that price should come back to either the March R3 or the 2024 R3 (which is also the top of the value area for 2023). If price action does come back to these lines, careful attention should be paid to how support plays out and if a buying or selling opportunity arises from it. Next, I’ll provide a view with all of the reviewed items in one view. I’m standing aside on trading this for now until the current price action plays out and a cleaning view of potential trade comes into focus. Some observations considering what’s been discussed individually in this study: The DEMA is currently swapped to the bearish trend. The -DI is over the +DI which is a bearish trend. However, The ADX has been dropping to the 35 line but has not dropped in the 35 to 20 range to indicate a consolidation phase. The Stoch has not completely bottomed out long term and could see more downward movement. While price is at the top of the 1std of the LR, it could drop further. A drop and hold of the 2024 R3, March R3, top of the 2023 volume area, and the median of the current LR (all would be within proximity of each other) could be a strong buy setup. A break below these lines with an ensuing test from the bottom could be a strong sell setup. The relationship of the past two weeks’ volume area is bullish.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by mxb1961
1
High and Low Liquidity Pivots. Which ones do I choose?Welcome to the coffee shop everybody this is your host and Baristo Eric, and I'm here today to let you guys know about the difference between high liquidity and low liquidity pivots and when I say pivots I mean price levels in the market. I want you to keep in mind that this trick works on all time frames it doesn't matter what time frame you're looking at but it certainly works best if you're comparing the high time frame to the low time frame that you're trading on. This is a price action trick and strategy that you do not need an indicator for. Which means you can never get this wrong as you long as you follow these rules but the minute you try using an indicator for this you're going to miss out on some important details. Now obviously there's a few rules that you need to follow when you're looking for high liquidity or low liquidity pivots and in the image above you should be able to see it but in the text below I'll give you my breakdown of the 123 rule that you can really follow to understand what you're looking for. Here's a few rules to follow: 1. Bullish candles make high pivots 2. Bearish candles make low pivots 3.the length of the Wick of the candle is the trigger to tell you what you're looking for. You cannot find low or high liquidity in a market during the trend. You can only see it after the trend has finished and you are either currently ranging or you are in the alternate trend meaning you were in a downtrend and now you're in an uptrend or a sideways market. You want to look for these liquidity types in the previous trend but using the strategy in this video you can also find high and low liquidity in arranging markets simply by looking at the ranging market that previously took place. The trick to finding liquidity in the market goes like this: Finding Sell Liquidity (Resistance) in previous market moves. If you were in a downtrend and now it has completed you can look backwards at that downtrend and find all the bullish candles that will reflect the rules you were looking for. Look at the downtrend and find the bullish candles. You want the bullish candles that had swing highs and their upper Wick is longer than their lower Wick. If the previous market was an uptrend you simply wanna do the opposite: and previously up trending market you wanna find all the bearish candles and those bearish candles need to have a swing low Wick plus the Wick on the bottom must be longer than the Wick on top. These will reflect your SUPPORT levels (Buy Liquidity) One of the questions often asked is what do you do with these levels once you find them. Once you find low liquidity levels you wanna mark them this way you can treat them as plausible breakout areas meaning that with low liquidity in these areas price will reach those areas later on and price will continue to move through them because there are very few participants trying to buy or sell in a low liquidity area. High liquidity area however simply means there is a lot of volume lot of activity and when price reaches back to these levels that price will either stall or reverse at these levels. High liquidity areas also mean that these are banks and institutions trading at these levels so price can pull away from it retest and then come back to it for a very large move initiated by that same level.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CoffeeshopCrypto
🚧Bitcoin will Go Up Again🚧 Road Map(1-DAY)🗺️!!!The Bitcoin is in a Bullish phase by Ascending Triangle. 🌟 Bullish signals are: - Pivot Yearly - Ascending Triangle - PRZ ZONE - break the Ascending Triangle - Crab pattern ❗ and the Upward signals of market momentum are: - moving Ema 200 & 20,50 ⭐ Note if the PRZ is broken downwards with the strength of Bearish candles , this analysis of ours will be failed. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
Long
by CobraVanguard
8
#EURGBP buying opportunityHello, traders. Let's examine the EURGBP chart, where the price is currently completing a pullback to the broken short-term bearish trendline after a change in market structure towards the upside. This provides us with an opportunity to position ourselves in alignment with the higher time frame. When you review the Daily timeframe, you'll notice a bullish impulsive move that has occurred. Since reaching the recent high, we've been experiencing a bearish corrective move until yesterday. The price reached a critical support area and formed a bullish engulfing candle, which closed above the high of the previous doji candle. This suggests that the bearish momentum may be coming to an end. Following the formation of the daily bullish engulfing candle, on the 4-hour timeframe, we observed a downward move. The price retraced to approximately 50% of the previous day's candle and approached the 200 EMA. These factors provide significant confluence for considering a buy position from this area. Furthermore, the price is currently testing the daily pivot area. Since the price opened above the pivot and is now testing it from above, this indicates that the price may continue its bullish momentum.
Long
by mohemati
3
📈📊 Detecting Liquidity: Pivot Points and Trading ReversalsGreetings, fellow traders! Today, let's delve into the fascinating world of liquidity, pivot points, and how they can be essential elements in your trading strategy. Understanding the relationship between these factors can provide you with valuable insights into potential price reversals and market sentiment. 💡📈 🤔 What is Liquidity? Liquidity refers to how easily and quickly an asset can be bought or sold without significantly affecting its price. In the context of trading, liquidity often clusters at specific price levels, creating zones where many orders are concentrated. These zones can act as critical points of interest for traders. 🔄 Pivot Points and Liquidity: Pivot points are technical indicators calculated from previous price data, typically using the high, low, and close prices. They provide potential support and resistance levels, but they also reveal where liquidity might accumulate. 🔍 Liquidity Pools: Liquidity often pools around pivot points, creating liquidity pools. These pools represent price levels where a large number of buy and sell orders are clustered. Traders pay close attention to these levels as they can signal significant price reactions. 🚀 Trading Liquidity and Reversals: Here's how you can leverage liquidity and pivot points in your trading strategy: Identify Pivot Points: Use technical analysis tools to identify pivot points on your chart. There are various pivot point calculation methods, such as Standard, Fibonacci, or Camarilla. Choose the one that aligns with your trading style. Focus on Confluence: Look for confluence between pivot points and other technical indicators, such as trendlines, moving averages, or RSI. When multiple factors align at a specific price level, it strengthens the significance of that level. Observe Liquidity Zones: Pay attention to areas where liquidity is concentrated. These zones can act as magnets for price action. When price approaches a liquidity pool, it's more likely to experience significant movement. Spotting Reversal Signals: Reversals often occur near pivot points, especially if there's a confluence of factors. Look for candlestick patterns, divergence in oscillators, or other reversal signals to confirm a potential change in trend direction. Risk Management: Always implement proper risk management strategies. Set stop-loss orders to limit potential losses if the market moves against your position. 🌐 Conclusion: Understanding liquidity and pivot points can provide you with a unique perspective on market dynamics. By identifying liquidity pools and watching for reversal signals around pivot points, you can make more informed trading decisions. However, remember that no strategy is foolproof, and risk management is paramount. Keep refining your skills and adapt to ever-changing market conditions. 🔄📈
Education
by AlexWhale
1
EURAUD: When China's news make Aussie and other Asians strong! My dear friends, Thursday, 14 September, 2023 and ECB interest rate decision is on the way. We'll wait for confirmations. But before ECB meeting, series of several bad economical news over China's financial stability were published. Market reacted to them rationally. Suddenly the red dragon start to regain it's reputation. Good news for China means stronger Aussie, Kiwi and Yen! A personal belief: Markets are not optimist to China's long-term relations with the free world and it makes them avoid longer term investing on Asian currencies. We could expect a more bearish weeks for them in next months, however, we don't hold that much so a mid-term bearish correction could be a opportunity for us! Regarding the weekly chart, some more corrective weekly candles are expected. snapshot Considering the daily timeframe, market structure has changed so there could be a stop hunt around 1.68950 snapshot The horizontal level could be a high probable and good R-to-R entry point. Levels are based on: Order-blocks, Pivot Points, Support and resistance and Reversal points.
Short
by AliSignals
XAUUSD Weekly OverviewRegarding our observations, currently there are more buyers in the market These are best levels regarding Support and resistance, Channels, Weekly pivots, Buyers and Sellers focus and order_block. Both Long-term and Short-term Trends are bearish! There is not almost any reason that could change the short-term trend in near future. We expect a bearish gold for this week! 1901 is the best place to strat putting sell orders in case breaking the bearish trend line. We take the market under observation to find long opportunities. We do not suggesst any setup now!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AliSignals
BTC Potential Movements Time for a new update : Hello, traders. I'd like to provide an update on Bitcoin's Fibonacci pivot points for various periods, including 1 year, 3 years, and 10 years. Fibonacci pivot points are a popular tool used in technical analysis to identify potential support and resistance levels. These levels are calculated based on Fibonacci ratios and are commonly used by traders to identify entry and exit points for trades. For this analysis, I've calculated the Fibonacci pivot points for Bitcoin using three different periods: 1 year, 3 years, and 10 years. By analyzing these different time frames, we can get a better understanding of Bitcoin's long-term trend and potential price targets. Based on my analysis, Bitcoin's Fibonacci pivot points for the 3-year period suggest that the current resistance levels are around HKEX:30 ,000 Of course, these levels should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis, such as trend analysis and price action, to make trading decisions. It's also important to note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, so traders should exercise caution when using Fibonacci pivot points or any other technical indicator. I hope this analysis provides some useful insights for Bitcoin traders. As always, I welcome your comments and feedback on this idea.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by MaximusGains