PLATINUM The 1D MA50 is the key. Potential long-term bull.Platinum (XPTUSD) has been trading within a (very) long-term Triangle pattern since the September 24 2020 Low. That was the low that initiated a massive rally to the February 16 2021 High that started the long-term Lower Highs trend-line, which lastly rejected the price November 11 2022.
The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is the key here. As long as it holds, there are good chances that Platinum will push for another Lower Highs test and potentially a break-out, targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
If the 1D MA50 breaks, we will pursue the Symmetrical Support Zone as our short-term target and the September 24 2020 low (830.00) as our long-term.
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Pl1
Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish MomentumTitle: Platinum Futures ( PL1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 1037.8
Pivot: 974.3
Support: 940.9
Preferred case: The current bias for PL1! on the H4 chart is bullish. To add to this bias, the price is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud and ascending trendline, indicating a bullish market. If the bullish momentum continues, price may head towards the resistance at 1037.8, where the previous high is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may retrace downwards and head towards the 940.9 support level, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Platinum Futures ( PL1!), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumType: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 975.5
Pivot: 940.7
Support: 914.0
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing the Ichimoku cloud and breaking ascending channel, which indicate a bearish market. The price may drop from the pivot at 940.7, which is in line with the 38.2% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 914.0, where the swing low and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Alternative scenario: Price may rise to the 1st resistance at 975.5, where the swing highs are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Platinum Futures ( PL1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 975.5
Pivot: 939.4
Support: 914.0
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. To add confluence to this, price is above the Ichimoku cloud and ascending channel, which indicate a bullish market. The price may rise from the pivot at 939.4, which is in line with the 38.2% fibonacci retracement to the 1st resistance at 975.5, where the swing highs are.
Alternative scenario: Price may drop to the 1st support at 914.0, where the swing low and 61.8% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Platinum (PL): Wave Analysis 1917-2022●● Preferred count
● Platinum Cash (PL.C), 🕐TF: 20D
Fif.1
The counting of long-term waves only confirmed the priority of the scenario defined in the previous review, in the context of which the supercycly wave (V) unfolds the ending diagonal . This hypothesis assumes the continuation of price growth within wave III , which will take the form of a zigzag, exceeding the maximum of wave I .
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● Platinum Futures (NYMEX) , 🕐TF: 1D
Fif.2
The wave Ⓐ in the composition of III of (V) must also take the form of a diagonal . At least, the double zigzag that formed from the top of wave II can be interpreted in a general context as the first wave in its composition.
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● Platinum Futures (NYMEX) , 🕐TF: 8h
Fif.3
According to the structure, the second wave of intermediate degree can be identified as a double zigzag W-X-Y with a combination in X . Moreover, wave (2) reached a level that created several Fibonacci ratios: wave Y = 61.8% W , while (2) = 61.8% (1) . Quite powerful the argument in favor of the fact that the downward correction is over. The breakdown of the 0-X line will serve as an additional signal in favor of this assumption.
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●● Alternative count
● Platinum Futures (NYMEX) , 🕐TF: 8h
Fif.4
The alternative markup tells us that the correction within wave (2) will continue. A series of overlapping zigzags in a downtrend can be identified as the leading diagonal in wave A . If this interpretation turns out to be correct, then after correction in wave B , the minimum of 797.5 formed by wave A will be rearranged within the impulse C .
📚 Elliott Wave Guide & Ellott Wave Archive ⬇️⬇️
Every rally starts with a short coverPlatinum has been trending lower for more than four months, the March peak, and is finally showing signs of a potential bottom. Yesterday's whipsaw helped complete the right shoulder of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Upon doing that, it also back-tested the trend line from its June peak, holding it as support perfectly. The large range consolidation over the last three days created a flag-like pattern, brining a coiling of strength to help pierce through the 21-day moving average this morning. The cherry on top is that Managed Money, hedge funds, have been net-short Platinum. This tells us that upon strength there will be short-covering. Not only in Platinum but SIlver and Gold too. In fact, Managed Money went net-short Gold as of last Tuesday for only the second instance in history. The first was at the exact 2015 low and the second was in the later innings of the 2018 sell-off. Managed Money going net-short metals is a contra indicator.
PLATINUM Buy opportunity long-termPlatinum (XPTUSD) is trading close to a Support Zone that is holding since the September 2021 Low. It does remain under two Lower Highs trend-lines, the one from the February 16 2021 High and the other from the March 09 2022 High. Technically that is the most optimal buy level for a short-term rebound towards the Internal Lower Highs trend-line and if broken, long-term extension to the Feb 2021 Lower Highs.
If on the other hand we break below the 900.00 Support, we will take that minor loss and turn bearish instead towards the 830.00 September 24 2020 Low.
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Platinum - A better deal than it looks?Looking at the price of platinum, it looks kind of overpriced, like many other things. But when adjusted for M2, it's much lower than most things. Seems like a great deal TA wise.
Longer term chart:
10x the price of 1970 = ~1500. This target seems pretty low not to mention we aren't even there yet! But the short term pattern looks like a bit of a topping pattern. Could take a while to setup.
Just something to keep an eye on.
What do you think?
Good luck and don't forget to hedge your bets :)
PLATINUM Perfect long-term Channel with 2 extremes to consider.Platinum (XPTUSD) got rejected two weeks ago on the 'war candle' on the 1W time-frame and is on the 3rd straight red week since. The importance of that rejection, is that the candle closed within the metal's long-term (almost 4 year) Channel Up that started half-way through 2018. As you see XPTUSD tends to trade exclusively within this Channel Up structure, unless a 1W candles closes outside (either above or below) the pattern.
In almost 4 years we had two such 'extreme' cases, one was the March 2020 market crash due to the COVID pandemic, which was the bearish extreme that reached as low as (marginally breaking) the -1.0 Fibonacci extension level and the other the Q1 2021 bullish extreme that reached as high as (marginally breaking) the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level. Notice who both distances are symmetrical on the extremes and that in both cases the candles, despite breaking marginally below/ above, they managed to close back inside the Fibonacci extensions.
This pattern provides a low risk frame-work to long-term investors. Buy low and sells high within the Channel and if the pattern breaks and closes a 1W candle outside its top/bottom, trade to the direction of the break-out, either towards the -1.0 Fib or the 2.0 Fib.
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Huge inversion for platinum after long term trendline breach!Hello my beauties,
Platinum has breached a long term trendilne and accumulated for about 4/5 years. After a spring and an SOS, the price retested a very long term trendline. Please check my previous analysis below this text.
It is now forming an inverted head and shoulders with a price target of 995.
Don't miss out on monitoring the price around the green area!
If you find this idea to be helpful like, follow, and drop a comment below if you'd want me to analyse a different pair.
Consider supporting me if you think I am providing you with value.
Peace.
Luca, TrickleDownFX
Platinum Wyckoff analysis, Accumulation! 2150 TARGET!Platinum is in Phase D of an accumulation.
It breached a 13 year long trend that lasted from the all time highs in 2008 to the upside.
I'll be entering my long term trade around the 935/920 area.
The price is coming down to retest the long-term trend-line, and will be hitting 2150 according to my point and figure calculations.
Platinum is one of the most used metals in the electric car manufacturing industry, which supports the bullish bias, given the fact that huge oil companies are switching to environmentally friendly solutions.
If you like the idea consider liking it, following me, and supporting me.
Peace.
TrickleDown FX
💨𝙋𝙡𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙪𝙢 𝙁𝙪𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙚 - Long Term 🐂 Trend🌊 𝙋𝙡𝙖𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙪𝙢 𝙁𝙪𝙩𝙪𝙧𝙚 (𝙋𝙇1!) — 𝙀𝙒𝘼
The senior wave degree is borrowed from the counting of the structure for gold and silver , which have a much longer history of quotations. The second slide shows how the correction, presumably the fourth wave of the “Supercycle” degree, is taking place in most metals, and the commodity market as a whole.
Further, taking into account the fact that the upward wave from the orthodox top (IV) is a single zigzag, it is correct to make an assumption about the formation of the ending diagonal (V) , within which wave III unfolds.
PL1! : 🕐2W
Wave ((A)) in the composition of III of (V) must also take the form of a diagonal . At least, the double zigzag that has passed from the end of wave II , in the context of the senior degree, can be interpreted as the first subdivision in its composition.
PL1! : 🕐1D
The first targets at 38.2% in wave (2) have been reached, the double zigzag W-X-Y of (2 ) looks complete. Growth is expected to resume by the intermediate wave (3) , the minimum targets for which are to go beyond the top of wave (1) .
PL1! : 🕐4h
The wave marking in the double circle parenthesis corresponds to the green marking in the circle on the chart.
Platinum Trade Set UpHello community. When you study the pattern at point 1, you will notice the bearish structure for the upside. This is the same with point 2. Now we are in a similar pattern at point 3, I expect the pattern to complete itself for more upside. Don't miss the bullish move, so like, comment and follow for more updates. Trade with profits.
Platinum - 2nd Target achieved ✔️✔️This was our FIRST VIDEO of the year , maybe watch it now if you haven't already. Trading 101 paid profits and dividends twice.
Now let's go for more - 2 target profits left: here
My friend Kaush says that:
It’s 8% away from its 20 ema
it’s pullbacks have been roughly 13%
in the past max it’s gone is 10% away from its 20 ema before doing a pullback
What does that mean? Well, it is basically a train going 300 miles per hour. Hard to get on it, happy to be on it. The secret is to buy the dips at the right price (that's why we share with you here).
what's next? #platinumlongterm 👈
Platinum Futures it will go up long tradePlatinum Futures will go up long trade but will take a few weeks to a month.
**Disclaimer** the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.