Pl1
Platinum (XPTUSD): $1,040 Target reached. Expecting a pull back.XPTUSD reached our 1,040 Target on our long since October 31st, 2019 as seen on the buy call below:
The 1M Bullish Megaphone since September 2018 is still holding (RSI = 57.612, MACD = 6.190, ADX = 38.381, Highs/Lows = 74.3178) and in fact the 1,040 top was its Higher High as seen on the chart. We are now expecting its technical pull back which based on the previous 3 occasions should be within -11% to -14%. As a result this puts the Target Zone within 925 - 895. Note: see how harmonic the RSI sequences are both on the bullish and bearish legs of the Megaphone alike.
This short term pull back doesn't mean that we have turned bearish on Platinum. Our portfolio still holds long term buy positions and we have illustrated our long term bullish sentiment on the idea below:
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Platinum (XPTUSD): Quick Update. Getting closer to our Target.Platinum is approaching our medium term Target Zone of 1,020 - 1,040 as we posted on this idea in late October:
As the moment, the current 1D Channel Up (RSI = 66.576, MACD = 14.780, ADX = 30.519, Highs/Lows = 23.68000) has just broken above the Higher High trend line again in a move that strongly resembles the late July/ early August break out. That Channel Up was supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend line) and on a similar RSI action as today's broke to the upside aggressively to form a market top near 1,000.
We assume that as long as the 1D MA50 supports the uptrend, XPTUSD will aggressively break into our Target Zone.
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Platinum (XPTUSD): Bullish Megaphone towards a new Higher High.Platinum posted a strong rebound on the 871.00 October 2nd low and is currently rising on 1D (RSI = 62.934, MACD = 2.660, Highs/Lows = 16.6714) towards a new Higher High. The Higher High is designated by the 1M Megaphone pattern it has been trading within since August 2018. The 1D RSI patterns suggest that a new bullish leg may start without needing to make a Higher Low. Our Target Zone is 1,020 - 1,040.
Keep in mind that XPTUSD has just initiated its new multiyear Bull Cycle, and we consider it a top investment in the coming years, a matter we analyzed on our long term analysis below:
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Platinum: Top investment for the coming years.In our search for solid long term investments in the coming years we have decided to share our long term outlook on Platinum.
Technically it recently broke above a 3 year Falling Wedge turning bullish on the monthly chart an effect that has since receded as it pulled back on the 1,000 mark (RSI = 50.285, MACD = -8.660, ADX = 25.926, Highs/Lows = 11.4571).
If the 1W MA50 holds this pull back and another spike prints a Golden Cross, then we may come across a unique multi year buy opportunity on Platinum as most parameters will be similar to the late 90's Golden Cross pattern when the metal entered a hyper strong Bull Cycle. The target will be 2-3 times the initial value.
We wish to add at this point that Platinum has fairly reliable pointers both on the short and long term and thanks to that most of our latest XPTUSD signals have met their target on high quality patterns. You can get an idea of those below:
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Platinum - Consolidation / Price At Support LevelXPTUSD sitting at support level from recent consolidation. Also, back-testing descending trend-line from previous breakout.
Resistance is up near $1960, offering a decent RR setup, depending on where on places their stop.
One final consideration.... We're heading into seasonal strength. While there are many fundamental details to consider, I like the odds posted below and I don't mind being a few days early. ;)
Platinum Futures Continuous Contract Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of October 4 and a sell date of May 23, investors have benefited from a total return of 761.53% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 10 of those periods.
www.equityclock.com
Lonf from $930
Platinum (XPTUSD): Lower Buy Opportunity.XPTUSD has been on a very strong rise in late August almost hitting the 1,020 - 1,045 1M Resistance Zone. Despite trading on bullish 1W technical values (RSI = 64.131, MACD = 26.660, Highs/Lows = 45.6178), the volatility itself is high enough (ATR = 41.0321) to justify a pull back to the 1D Support (890).
This is where we expect Platinum to seek buyers as long as the 1W MA50 (blue line) provides support. Once this pull back is completed we will aim again for the 1,020 - 1,045 Resistance Zone.
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Platinum Pre-Breakout SetupPlatinum broke above descending trend-line. Price is coiling. Possible breakout in the near future (Comex Session). Bias to the upside. Seems to have found support around $930 (tested three times) after price sold off $60 last week. Still up almost 10% on the month, outperforming both silver and gold.
Link showing commodity price comparison.
prntscr.com
I mentioned the initial breakout in a previous idea.
Platinum Looking to Join Gold / Silver RallyPlatinum looks like bulls have finally stepped in.
It has been consolidating within a $150 range for over a year.
The blue dashed line in a trend-line connected from the all time low in 2008.
The Gold /Silver ratio recently started to reverse. This could indicate that gold is being perceived as "expensive" compared to related metals. I have no reason to think why platinum would be excluded from this class.
There are a couple more resistance areas (marked on the chart), but we could see a decent run in once price breaks above these levels.
I have a couple ratio charts that I will post along with my interpretation of what they are telling us.
I will post the weekly chart in the comments just to show the potential upside if price returns to historical levels.
Platinum / Palladium Ratio Breakout from Falling WedgeWeekly chart Platinum / Palladium ratio.
Clear sign of a breakout / retest from the falling wedge after testing all time lows from 2001.
Supports continuation of platinum bullish breakout.
Will post long term chart in the comments to show potential upside.
Price of platinum broke above two key resistance points today.
Extremely undervalued from a historical standpoint.
XPTUSD: Medium term buy opportunity.Platinum has been trading within a bullish Megaphone pattern on 1W that is has now completed its bearish leg and is consolidating on the Higher Low zone (RSI = 45.796). We are expecting this consolidating to form the 1D Support for the next bullish leg towards the next Higher High. This is calculated to be around +18/19% from the current levels based on a +8% sequence on Higher Highs. The RSI patterns are also similar. We are going long on the medium term with TP = 937.00.
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XPTUSD: Sell opportunity on recurring patterns.Platinum is on a strong 1D pull back (RSI = 40.890, MACD = -6.510, Highs/Lows = -5.9250) that is currently consolidating (1H neutral) before the next bearish leg. A similar pattern was identified both on the RSI behavior and on the High - Low measurements. We expect the selling to complete a -11.00% decline and our short TP is 815.00.
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Platinum Buy & SellI think platinum has now completed leg C and is on its way up to leg D before sellers come in again. It may extend further down a bit more before going up but i think this is a good level to buy before shorting again.
DISCLAIMER
Please note that this chart is an opinion based chart only. Please trade at your own risk
Platinum: High trending test. Don't miss the opportunityPlatinum is approaching important crossroads on 1M. Trading on a long term 1M Channel Down (RSI = 50.828, MACD = -31.030, Highs/Lows = 27.2071), the very bullish 1W leg is closing in on the Lower High of the 1M Channel Down on overbought 1D action (RSI = 73.845). Technically we should be expecting a rejection towards the 1M Support Zone. But since this Support Zone has been holding since October - December 2008, and only recently tested (August 2018 - Feb 2019) for the second time in 10 years, it is not unreasonable to expect that at some point a strong break out from the bearish trend will happen. So if 940.50 breaks, we will be going long with TP = 1,000.
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DXY XAU - Relationship - SeasonalityI was using these charts to explain to a friend where the price of gold could be heading depending on USD course of action. Maybe someone will appreciate them. :)
I'm considering 1282.XX, today's low to be the bottom unless DXY breaks above the long term descending trendline. Started buying in around this price.
XPTUSD I bought at $836 along the same theory.
XAGUSD I'm holding out a little longer to $14.90 - $15.00 range.
Platinum: Strong 1W Resistance. Sell opportunity.XPTUSD is approaching the strong 1W Resistance Zone (873.80 - 878.10). In the past 15 months this level has provided a pivot point 4 times. When tested as a Resistance it rejects the price downwards. In addition to that 1D has heavily entered into overbought territory (RSI = 77.235, STOCH = 80.786, STOCHRSI = 100.00, Williams = -3.226, Ultimate Oscillator = 76.165) issuing a sell signal. We are taking this short TP = 831.60.
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Platinum / Palladium Price Ratio - Long PlatinumThese charts deserve a closer look. :)
Platinum / Palladium ratio just touched an all time low. You can see the explosive move up, following the last time the price ratio of these two metals touched this level.
Considering the platinum chart on its own... Price recently found support from a ten year old support level... $750. Since then price has mostly consolidated with a couple failed breakouts dropping price back to support. However, although it doesn't look like much on the long term weekly chart, platinum is up $65 from the February low and has broken above $830, previous resistance.
There's a couple interesting things looking at the Palladium chart also. Price is at a measured move above the midpoint from the lows, which also looks to be significant support / resistance. I'm not jumping all in calling a top in Palladium, but $1500 does sort of portray a psychological milestone in and of itself. And although the fundamental argument could be made that price still has a long way to run, I'm sure people were saying the same thing about Platinum in May 2008 before it dropped from $2200 down to $750 in the course of six months.
And often technicals are all that's needed to trigger a sharp reversal in price... Looking at the selloff in crude October 2018....
All things said Platinum looks like a good buy and hold Risk / Reward ratio, supported by the strength across the other precious metals. I'm going to wait and see how Palladium reacts to the $1500 level...